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演講重點摘要(KeyTakeaways)Page2AI
PC裝置概念就是:讓使用者隨時享用AI雲端服務成果。AI技術對PC產業(yè)的影響:
(1)透過自然語言(輸入階段)和生成式AI技術(輸出階段)來節(jié)省傳統(tǒng)文件與影片製作時間。
(2)整合後端作業(yè)流程,提供即時雙向互動模式。
(3)
PC週邊設備的需求將從鍵盤,滑鼠轉向觸控,主動筆,與鏡頭。
(4)虛擬助理應用軟體(聊天機器人)將成為雲端服務(伺服器)和終端設備(客戶端)之間的新使用者介面。
(5)當AI技術改變輸入與輸出方式時,將推動折疊,穿戴裝置的需求。AI技術趨勢將推動下列面板技術發(fā)展:
(1)當圖片與影音可以即時轉換時,面板將需要符合雙100%色域規(guī)格(AdobeRGB&DCI-P3)。
(2)當虛擬助理應用軟體(語音機器人)成為必需時,將推動全息投影/3D全像投影與穿戴式面板的需求。
(3)當AI技術改變傳統(tǒng)輸入與輸出方式(鍵盤與滑鼠)時,將推動折疊顯示器面板的需求。演講重點摘要(KeyTakeaways)AI科技對PC產業(yè)的影響Page4自然語言將取代傳統(tǒng)的圖形介面成為新的輸入方式Page5AI技術將改變舊有的輸入與輸出作業(yè)流程[note]Query:Thisword’srelevancetootherwords;Key:Otherwords’relevancetothisword;Value:Thisword’srelevancetothesentencesbeforeandafter.[Omdiaanalysis]1.AIlanguagemodel:Notonlyunderstandsyourmeaning,butalsoyourlogic;2.Prompt:KeycommunicationtoolwithmachinesbeforevirtualagentAppsready.Page6AI技術發(fā)展將創(chuàng)造雙向的使用者經驗Page7AI
PC裝置概念就是:讓使用者隨時享用AI雲端服務成果MicrosoftEcosystemAIRoadmapTimelineAvailablenowFY23+FY24H1(Jul'23toDec'23)CY24+StageCloudAI(PoweredbytheCloud)AICapablePC
(AIontheClient)DynamicCloud+Client(Integrated)SolutionAreaBusinessApps,DigitalApp,&InfraBusinessApps&InfraSecurity&WindowsWindowsandDevicesProductAnnounceDynamic365Copilot:VivaSales
Dynamic365Copilot:Marketing
Dynamic365Copilot:CustomerService
Dynamic365Copilot:SupplyChain
Dynamic365Copilot:BusinessCentral
GitHubCopilot
AIOptimizedVirtualMachines(GA:NC,NV,NDv2,NDv4)CopilotinPowerApps
CopilotinPowerAutomate
CopilotinPowerVirtualAgents
AzureOpenAIService
AzureOpenAIServiceinAIBuilder
Microsoft365Copilot(Word,Excel,PowerPoint,Teams,Outlooks,Loop,OneNote,BusinessChat)
AIOptimizedVirtualMachines
(Preview:NDv5H100)
Fabric-Previewnow
WindowsCopilotpreviewMicrosoftSecurityCopilot
LimitedPreview:Closed
PublicPreview:FY24Q2
-June2023:Developerspreview
forWindowsCopilot
-Fall2023:WindowsCopilotStaytunedformoreWindowsanddeviceAIinnovation.PartnerActionSellCopilotBizApps
SellNC,NV,NDv2VMsSellBizApps
SellTeamsPremium(nochangetoplan)
SellME3/ME5as"AIready"pre-requisites
SetupanAIworkshopSellMicrosoftDefenderandMicrosoftSentinelStaytuned.Lotsofexcitingannouncementstocome.Source:Microsoft
?2024OmdiaPage8虛擬助理(聊天機器人)將成為新的人機互動介面MicrosoftPowerPlatformMicrosoftPowerPlatform:anAI-poweredlow-codetoolsetforenhancingMicrosoftcloudservices,includingAzure,Dynamic365,andMicrosoft365.MicrosoftPowerAutomate:Microsoftcloud-basedservicethatallowsuserstocreateindividualworkflowbetweendifferentservicesbothwithinandoutsidetheMicrosoftCloud–increasetheefficiencyoftheprocessesatthecompany.MicrosoftPowerVirtualAgents:Microsoftsoftware-as-a-service(SaaS)offeringwhichenableuserstocreatechatbots,bothinadedicatedonlinewebappandasaMicrosoftTeamapp.UserscangetupandrunningwithMicrosoftCopilotStudiochatbotsinMicrosoftTeams.[note]MicrosoftCopilotStudio:anend-to-endconversationalAIplatformthatempowersuserstocreateandcustomizeCopilotsusingnaturallanguageoragraphicalinterface.VirtualAgents(Chatbots):
Newuserinterfacebetweencloudservices(Server)andend-devices(Client)(Launchingdate:Apr’23)Imagesource:MicrosoftPage9虛擬助理(聊天機器人)將加速推動數(shù)位孿生/元宇宙的發(fā)展
Imagesource:NvidiaVirtualAgentpowersDigitalTwinsintheMetaverse-DigitalTwinsintheMetaverse:thedigitalduplicatesofreal-worldelementsorprocessesinasetofdigitalspaces.Forexample,VirtualAgentsactasup-to-date,real-timecopiesintheEnterpriseMetaverseandassisteachenterprisetooptimizeinternaloperationprocesses,especiallyhybridworkstylehasbecomeanewworktrend.[Omdiaanalysis]NewtopicsbyDigitalTwins(ex:VirtualAgents)intheMetaverseNewtopic1:HowtobuildaDigitalTwinintheMetaverse(ex:Comp-utility/Apps)Newtopic2:HowtocreateandtradeassetsintheMetaverse(ex:Crypto)Newtopic3:HowtomanageactivitieswithintheMetaverse(ex:LawforMetaverse)Page10Imagesource
:
myKITT.deImagesource
:
myKITT.deMicroLED+OpticalcommunicationVirtualAgentOpticalCommunication
(V2Xcommunication–V2V,V2I,V2N)VirtualAgent
(Domaincontrollermanagementby
VirtualAgent)MSFT’sOpenAI&TomTom(Dec’2023)
MicrosoftandTomTomlaunchanewin-carAI
-chatwithorhavehelpyounavigatetheworldGoogle’sGemini(Feb’2024)
GooglebringsAI(GoogleGemini)toGoogleMessages,AndroidAuto,WearOSandmore.SonySpaceCommunicationsCorporation(Jun’2022)
SonySpaceCommunicationsCorporation(SSC)foropticalcommunicationstechnology.SonyMicroLEDforcar(Jan’2024)
SonyHondaMotorAfeelacarwithMicroLEDdisplay[Omdiaanalysis]1.Hybridcardesign-CarwithVirtualAgentsupport
Throughtraditionaldesign(mechanicaldesign)and
newdesign(ex:car’sdomaincontrollermanagement
byVirtualAgent)toachievelowoperationalriskbut
highuserexperience.3.NewbizmodelforAutoTier1:
AssistthecarbrandstomodifythecarstohaveVirtual
Agentfunctionsandcompletethesafetycertificationof
carbrands.2.Howtoredesign“KnightIndustryTwoThousand”:
(1)Lowriskbyminimumrequiredmechanicaldesign
Retaintheminimumrequiredmechanicaldesigndevices
whenelectronicequipmentcompletelyfails
(2)HighuserexperiencebyVirtualAgent
Improvingautomotiveequipmentusageefficiency
(ex:accelerator,sensor,powerandconnectivity)
throughVirtualAgenttomanagecar’sdomaincontroller.
(3)Switchmodeswithoneclick
Clarifythelegalresponsibilitiesbetweenusersandcar
brandsbyswitchingmodeswithoneclick.虛擬助理(語音機器人)將成為智慧座艙發(fā)展的關鍵Page11當虛擬助理(語音機器人)成為必需時,何種顯示器需求將崛起?Imagesource:IronManImagesource:https://youtu.be/8VU8fpaYYfc?si=kKV7-_e31hcyLAogHolographicProjectionWearabledevicedisplay以Walmart
併購VIZIO為例
“Weredefinetheintersectionofretailandentertainment.”SethDallaire
ExecutiveVicePresidentandChiefRevenueOfficer,WalmartU.S.Walmart自有電視品牌(Onn+Vizio)將成為北美第一大品牌
Analysis:IncreasethecoverageofcollectingcustomerinformationandsendingadvertisementsCastOS將成為北美市佔率最高的電視作業(yè)系統(tǒng)Analysis:GettheVizio’sCastOSandSmartCastplatformforlessthanafifthofthecostofRokuPage16"Walmartcustomersarefindinginspiration
everywhereandanywhere,includingtheirfavorite
TVshows.It’swhywe’realwayslookingfor
innovativewaystoshortenthedistancebetween
thatinspirationandtheabilitytopurchase"
-WilliamWhite,chiefmarketingofficer,WalmartU.S.TheshoppableepisodesenabledbyNBCUniversal'sMustShopTVAdInnovationandWalmart'sseamlesswebcheckout[NewinteractiveprocessbyAItechnology]
Step1
:
Identify
Identifyobjectswithinthesceneofashow,
enablingviewerstoshopproductsfeaturedinorinspired
bythecontentthey’rewatching.
Step2:Pair
ItemsarepairedwithWalmart’sinternalsystem(inventorychecking),soviewerswillonlyseeoptionsthatarereadilyavailabletopurchase.
Step3:Shop
PressarrowsontheremotetobrowsetheinteractiveonscreenproductcarouselandscanaQRcodetoeasilycheckoutonW.VideoPhotoImagesource:WalmartWalmart透過電視影集了解消費者並即時生成廣告Page17當圖片與影音可以即時轉換時,何種顯示器需求將崛起?Imagesource:HPTheimpactofgenerativeAItechnology:GenerativeAItechnologywillbreakthescenesinwhichusersusepicturesandvideosandwillalsoindirectlybreaktheexistingrequirementsfordisplaycolorgamutspecifications(AdobevsDCI-P3).Newdisplaycolorgamutspecificationrequirement:TheDisplayneedstosupport100%Adobecolorgamutspecificationand100%DCI-P3colorgamutspecificationatsametimewhenAItechnologycanletpicturesandvideostobeconvertedinstantly.Startingin2025,HPwillbegintorequirenotebookdisplaytomeetthisnewcolorgamutspecificationrequirementforhigh-endcontentcreatornotebookPCmodel.DisplaycolorspecificationColorGamutsRGB
(Rec.709)45%50%60%69%72%92%DCI-P3AdobeRGBNTSC
(CIE1931)BT2020
(Rec2020)Wx0.3130.3130.3130.3130.3130.3130.3130.3130.3130.3130.3127Wy0.3290.3290.3290.3290.3290.3290.3290.3290.3290.3290.329Rx0.640.590.60.620.630.640.6530.680.640.670.708Ry0.330.350.3450.3320.330.330.330.320.330.330.292Gx0.30.330.330.3450.310.30.2650.2650.210.210.17Gy0.60.5550.5550.6070.60.60.6770.690.710.710.797Bx0.150.1530.1520.1480.150.150.1440.150.150.140.131By0.060.1190.1190.1150.060.060.0280.060.060.080.046Gammanon-linear2.22.22.22.22.22.22.22.22.2
ColorGamutsRGB
(Rec.709)45%50%60%69%72%92%DCI-P3AdobeRGBNTSC
(CIE1931)BT2020
(Rec2020)sRGB100.00%66.80%69.20%
100.00%
135.70%134.90%141.20%189.10%DCI-P373.70%49.20%51.00%
73.70%
100.00%99.40%104.10%139.40%AdobeRGB74.10%49.50%51.30%
74.10%
100.60%100.00%104.70%140.20%NTSC70.80%47.30%49.00%
70.80%
96.10%95.50%100.00%133.90%BT202035.90%35.30%36.60%
35.90%
53.60%52.10%75.80%100.00%Source:HP?2024OmdiaAI
PC產品開發(fā)趨勢分析Page19微軟對AIPC產品的定義[note]NPU:NeuralnetworkProcessingUnit;RAM:Random-AccessMemory;SSD:Solid-StateDrive;DDR:DoubleDataRateSDRAM;LPDDR:LowPowerDDR;UFS:UniversalFlashStorage;TOPS:TeraOperationsPerSecond;SoC:SystemonaChip
MIPI:MobileIndustryProcessorInterface;FP64/FP32/FP16
(forAItrainingmainly):Floating-Point64bits/Floating-Point32bits/Floating-Point16bits;INT16/INT8/INT4(forAIinferencemainly)
:Integer16bits/Integer8bits/Integer4bits
[Omdiaanalysis]-ThekeytoAIPCdevelopment:HowtoreduceLatencyissuewhenusingAIfunctions-Threesolutionsforlatencyissues:Comp-utility,Storagecapacity,andBandwidth.Page20微軟AIPC產品設計規(guī)範:MainstreamMicrosoftAInotebookPCrequirements(Mainstreamproductline)RequirementitemsMainstream(Entry)Mainstream(Core)Mainstream(Hero)StartingPrice$699$849$999FormFactorUltraslimUltraslim/ConvertibleUltraslim/ConvertibleDisplaySize/Type13"-16"/IPS13"-16"/IPS14"/16"IPSDisplayAspectRation/Resolution16:10/FHD+orhigher16:10/FHD+orhigher16:10/QHD+DisplayPPI/Brightness155PPIabove/300nits155PPIabove/300nits214-225PPI/400nitsCPUPlatformList(example)QC:PurwaQC:PurwaQC:Hamoa;AMD:KrakanRyzen5;Intel:LunarLakeCore5UltraMemory16GB16GB16GBStorage256GB512GB512GBCamera720p1080p1080pThickness(mm)<18.9mm<18.9mm<18.9mmWeight<4lbs./1.81kg<4lbs./1.81kg<3lbs./1.36kgBatteryLife16+hrs.videoplayback
12+hrs.webbrowsing16+hrs.videoplayback
12+hrs.webbrowsing14+hrs.videoplayback
10+hrs.webbrowsingTouchNoYesYesBiometricLoginFingerprintFingerprintFingerprintorFacialRecognitionI/O≧1xUSB-Cports
;≧1xUSB-Aport;HDMISecuritySecureCorePC/Plutonenabled/AutopilotReadySource:Microsoft
?2024OmdiaPage21微軟AIPC產品設計規(guī)範:PremiumT&LMicrosoftAInotebookPCrequirements(PremiumThin&Lightproductline)RequirementitemsEntryPremiumCorePremiumHeroPremiumStartingPrice$999$1199$1299FormFactorUltraslimUltraslimUltraslim/ConvertibleDisplaySize/Type13"-16"/IPS13"-16"/IPS14"or16"/IPSDisplayAspectRatio/Resolution16:10/FHD+16:10/FHD+16:10/QHD-2.8KDisplayPPI/Brightness155PPIabove/300nits155PPIabove/300nits214-225PPI/400nitsCPUPlatformList(example)QC:Purwa
AMD:KrakanRyzen5QC:Hamoa
Intel:LunarLakeCore5Ultra
AMD:Krakan/StrixRyzen5QC:Hamoa
Intel:LunarLakeCore7Ultra
AMD:Krakan/StrixRyzen7Memory16GB16GB16GBStorage256GB512GB512GBCamera1080p1080p1080pThickness(mm)<16.9mm<16.9mm<16.9mmWeight<3lbs./1.36kg<3lbs./1.36kg<3lbs./1.36kgBatteryLife16+hrs.videoplayback
12+hrs.webbrowsing16+hrs.videoplayback
12+hrs.webbrowsing14+hrs.videoplayback
10+hrs.webbrowsingTouchNoYesYesBiometricLoginFingerprintFingerprintFingerprintorFacialRecognitionI/O≧2xUSB-Cports;≧1xUSB-Aport(Recommended);HDMISecuritySecureCorePC/Plutonenabled/AutopilotReadySource:Microsoft
?2024Omdia[note]T&L
:
ThinandLightPage22微軟AIPC產品設計規(guī)範:PremiumT&LFlagshipMicrosoftAInotebookPCrequirements(PremiumThin&LightFlagshipproductline)RequirementitemsEntryStep-upHeroPremiumStartingPrice$1499$1649$1799FormFactorUltraslim/ConvertibleUltraslim/ConvertibleUltraslim/ConvertibleDisplaySize/Type13"-16"/IPS13"-16"/IPS14"or16"/IPSDisplayAspectRatio/Resolution16:10/QHD-2.8K16:10/QHD-2.8K16:10/QHD-2.8KDisplayPPI/Brightness155PPIabove/300nits155PPIabove/300nits214-225PPI/400nitsCPUPlatformList(example)AMD:Krakan/StrixRyzen5
Intel:LunarLakeCoreUltra5AMD:Krakan/StrixRyzen7
Intel:LunarLakeCoreUltra5/7AMD:Krakan/StrixRyzen7
Intel:LunarLakeCoreUltra7Memory16GB16GB32GBStorage256GB512GB512GBCamera1080p1080p1080pThickness(mm)<15.2mm<15.2mm<15.2mmWeight<3lbs./1.36kg<3lbs./1.36kg<3lbs./1.36kgBatteryLife16+hrs.videoplayback
12+hrs.webbrowsing16+hrs.videoplayback
12+hrs.webbrowsing14+hrs.videoplayback
10+hrs.webbrowsingTouchNoYesYesBiometricLoginFingerprintFingerprintFingerprintorFacialRecognitionI/O≧2xUSB-Cports;≧1xUSB-Aport(Recommended);HDMISecuritySecureCorePC/Plutonenabled/AutopilotReadySource:Microsoft
?2024Omdia[note]T&L
:
ThinandLightPage23微軟AIPC產品設計規(guī)範:MobileWorkstationMicrosoftAInotebookPCrequirements(MobileWorkstationproductline)RequirementitemsEntryWorkstationCoreWorkstationHeroWorkstationStartingPrice$1399$1899$2199FormFactorClamshellClamshellClamshellDisplaySize/Type13"-16"/IPS13"-16"/IPS14"or16"/IPSDisplayAspectRatio/Resolution16:10/FHD+16:10/FHD+16:10/QHD-2.8KDisplayPPI/Brightness155PPIabove/300nits155PPIabove/300nits214-225PPI/400nitsCPUPlatformList(example)a.StrixHaloRyzen7
b.Krakan/StrixRyzen5a.StrixHaloRyzen9
b.KrakanRyzen7a.StrixHaloRyzen9
b.KrakanRyzen9D-GPUa.No
b.Noa.No
b.Yesa.No
b.YesMemory16GB32GB64GBStorage256GB512GB1TBcamera1080p1080p1080pThickness(mm)<28mm<28mm<28mmWeight<3lbs./1.36kg<3lbs./1.36kg<3lbs./1.36kgBatteryLife16+hrs.videoplayback
12+hrs.webbrowsing16+hrs.videoplayback
12+hrs.webbrowsing14+hrs.videoplayback
10+hrs.webbrowsingTouchNoYesYesBiometricLoginFingerprintFingerprintFingerprintorFacialRecognitionSecuritySecureCorePC/Plutonenabled/AutopilotReadySource:Microsoft
?2024Omdia微軟AIPC規(guī)範下的晶片發(fā)展趨勢分析[note1]TOPS:TeraOperationsPerSecond;Perf:Performance;AI:ArtificialIntelligence;NPU:Neural-networkProcessingUnit
;
TDP
:
ThermalDesignPowerPage24[note2]QualcommHamoaNPUchip:45TOPS(INT8condition);AppleM3NPUchip:18TOPS(FP16condition)=>UnderFP16condition,NPUTOPSpeakperformancewillbeabout50%lessthanint8.Page25微軟OS權利金政策造成AI
PC高成本問題?![OmdiaAnalysis]FollowingisOmdiaanalysisifMicrosoftwantstoactivelypromoteMicrosoftAIPCproducts.1.RevisememoryandstoragespecificationrequirementsinMicrosoftWindowsOSro
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