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Chapter8:HowTradersManageTheirRisks
8.1交易組合價(jià)值減少10500美元。
8.2當(dāng)波動(dòng)率變化2%時(shí),交易組合價(jià)格增長(zhǎng)200X2=400美元。
8.3兩種情形均為0.5*30*4=60美元
8.41000份期權(quán)短頭寸的Delta等于-700,可以通過(guò)買入700份股票的形式使
交易組合達(dá)到Delta中性。
8.5Theta為-100的含義是指在股價(jià)與波動(dòng)率沒(méi)有變化的情況下,期權(quán)價(jià)格每天
下降100美元。假如交易員認(rèn)為股價(jià)及隱含波動(dòng)率在將來(lái)不會(huì)改變,交易員可以
賣出期權(quán),并且Theta值越高越好。
8.6當(dāng)?個(gè)期權(quán)承約人的Gamma絕對(duì)值較大,Ganmia本身為負(fù),并且Delta等于
0,在市場(chǎng)變化率較大的情況下,期權(quán)承約人會(huì)有較大損失。
8.8看漲及看跌期權(quán)的多頭頭寸都具備正的Gamma,由圖6.9可以看出,當(dāng)Gamma
為正時(shí),對(duì)沖人在股票價(jià)格變化較大時(shí)會(huì)有收益,而在股票價(jià)格變化較小時(shí)會(huì)有
損失,因此對(duì)沖人在(b)情形收益更好,當(dāng)交易組合包含期權(quán)的空頭頭寸時(shí),
對(duì)沖人在(a)情形收益會(huì)更好。
8.9Delta的數(shù)值說(shuō)明當(dāng)歐元匯率增長(zhǎng)0.01時(shí),銀行交易價(jià)格會(huì)增加
0.01*30000=300美元,Gamma的數(shù)值說(shuō)明,當(dāng)歐元價(jià)格增長(zhǎng)0.01時(shí),銀行交易
組合的Delta會(huì)下降0.01*80000=800美元;
為了做到Delta中性,我們應(yīng)該賣出30000歐元;
當(dāng)匯率增長(zhǎng)到0.93時(shí),我們期望交易組合的Delta下降為(0.93-0.9)
*80000=24000,組合價(jià)值變?yōu)?7600。為了維持Delta中性,銀行應(yīng)該對(duì)2400
數(shù)量歐元空頭頭寸進(jìn)行平倉(cāng),這樣可以保證歐元凈空頭頭寸為27600o
當(dāng)一個(gè)交易組合的Delta為中性,同時(shí)Gamma為負(fù)時(shí)資產(chǎn)價(jià)格有一個(gè)較大變動(dòng)時(shí)
會(huì)引起損失。因此銀行可能會(huì)蒙受損失。
8.15.
Thegammaandvegaofadelta-neutralportfolioare50per$per$and25per%,
respectively.Estimatewhathappenstothevalueoftheportfoliowhenthereisashock
tothemarketcausingtheunderlyingassetpricetodecreaseby$3anditsvolatilityto
increaseby4%.
Withthenotaiionofthetext,theincreaseinthevalueoftheportfoliois
0.5xgammcK(A5):+vegaxAc
Thisis
0.5x50x32+25x4=325
Theresultshouldbeanincreaseinthevalueoftheportfolioof$325.
8.16.
Consideraone-yearEuropeancalloptiononastockwhenthestockpriceis$30,the
strikepriceis$30,therisk-freerateis5%,andthevolatilityis25%perannum.Use
theDerivaGemsoftwaretocalculatetheprice,delta,gamma,vega,theta,andrhoof
theoption.Verifythatdeltaiscorrectbychangingthestockpriceto$30.1and
recomputingtheoptionprice.Verifythatgammaiscorrectbyrecomputingthedelta
forthesituationwherethestockpriceis$30.J.Cany
outsimilarcalculationstoverifythatvega,theta,andrhoarecorrect.
Theprice,delta,gamma,vega,theta,andrhooftheoptionare3.7008,0.6274,0.050,
0.1135,-0.00596,and0.1512.Whenthestockpriceincreasesto30.1,theoption
priceincreasesto3.7638.Thechangeintheoptionpriceis3.76383.7008=0.0630.
Deltapredictsachangeintheoptionpriceof0.6274x0.1=0.0627whichisvery
close.Whenthestockpriceincreasesto30.1,deltaincreasesto0.6324.Thesizeof
theincreaseindeltais0.6324-0.6274=0.005.Gammapredictsanincreaseof0.050
x().1=0.005whichis(tothreedecimalplaces)thesame.Whenthevolatility
increasesfrom25%to26%,theoptionpriceincreasesby0.1136from3.7008to
3.8144.Thisisconsistentwiththevegavalueof().1135.Whenthetimetomaturityis
changedfrom1to1-1/365theoptionpricereducesby0.006from3.7008to3.6948.
Thisisconsistentwithathetaof-0.00596.Finally,whentheinterestrateincreases
from5%to6%,thevalueoftheoptionincreasesby0.1527from3.7008to3.8535.
Thisisconsistentwitharhoof0.1512.
8.17.
Afinancialinstitutionhasthefollowingportfolioofover-the-counteroptions
onsterling:
TypePositionDeltaofGammaofVeguof
OptionOptionOption
Call-1,0000.502.21.8
Call-5000.800.60.2
Put-2,000-0.401.30.7
Call-5000.701.81.4
Atradedoptionisavailablewithadeltaof0.6,agammaof1.5,andavega
of0.8.
(a)Whatpositioninthetradedoptionandinsterlingwouldmaketheportfolio
bothgammaneutralanddeltaneutral?
(b)Whatpositioninthetradedoptionandinsterlingwouldmaketheportfolio
bothveganeutralanddeltaneutral?
Thedeltaoftheportfoliois
-1,000x0.50-500x0.80-2,000x(-0.40)-500x0.70=-450
Thegammaoftheportfoliois
-l,000x2.2-500x0.6-2,000x1.3-500x1.8=-6,000
Thevegaoftheportfoliois
-l,000x1.8-500x0.2-2,000x0.7-500x1.4=-4,000
(a)Alongpositionin4,000tradedoptionswillgiveagamma-neutralportfoliosince
thelongpositionhasagammaof4,000x1.5=+6,000.Thedeltaofthewhole
portfolio(includingtradedoptions)isthen:
4,000x0.6-450=1,950
Hence,inadditiontothe4,000tradedoptions,ashortpositionin£1,950isnecessary
sothattheportfolioisbothgammaanddeltaneutral.
(b)Alongpositionin5,000tradedoptionswillgiveavega-neutralportfoliosincethe
longpositionhasavegaof5,000x0.8=+4,000.Thedeltaofthewholeportfolio
(includingtradedoptions)isthen
5,000x0.6-450=2,550
Hence,inadditiontothe5,000tradedoptions,ashortpositionin£2,550isnecessary
sothattheportfolioisbothvegaanddeltaneutral.
8.18.
ConsideragainthesituationinProblem8.17.Supposethatasecondtradedoption
withadeltaof0.1,agammaof0.5,andavegaof0.6isavailable.Howcouldthe
portfoliobemadedelta,gamma,andveganeutral?
LetH'Ibethepositioninthefirsttradedoptionandw」bethepositioninthesecond
tradedoption.Werequire:
6,()00=1.5卬?+0.5卬2
4,000=0.8K,I+0.6卬2
ThesolutiontotheseequationscaneasilybeseentobeW|=3,200,卬2=2,400.The
wholeportfoliothenhasadeltaof
-450+3,200x0.6+2,400xO.l=1,710
Thereforetheportfoliocanbemadedelta,gammaandveganeutralbytakingalong
positionin3,200ofthefirsltradedoption,alongpositionin2,400ofthesecond
tradedoptionandashortpositionin£1,710.
8.19.(SpreadsheetProvided)
ReproduceTable8.2.(InTable8.2,thestockpositionisroundedtothenearest100
shares.)Calculatethegammaandthetaofthepositioneachweek.Usingthe
DerivaGemApplicationsBuilderstocalculatethechangeinthevalueofthe
portfolioeachweek(beforetherebalancingattheendoftheweek)andcheck
whetherequation(8.2)isapproximatelysatisfied.(Note:DerivaGemproducesa
valueoftheta“percalendarday,"Thethetainequation8.2is“peryear.")
Considerthefirstweek.Theportfolioconsistsofashortpositionin100,000options
andalongpositionin52,200shares.Thevalueoftheoptionchangesfrom$240,053
atthebeginningoftheweekto$188,760attheendoftheweekforagainof$51,293.
Thevalueoftheshareschangefrom52,200x49二82,557,800to52,200x48.12=
$2,511,864foralossof$45,936.Thenetgainis51,293-45,936=$5,357.The
gammaandtheta(peryear)oftheportfolioare-6,554.4and430,533sothatequation
(8.2)predictsthegainas
430,533X1/52+0.5x6,554.4x(48.12-49)2=5,742
Theresultsforall20weeksareshowninthefollowingtable.
WeekActualGain($)PredictedGain($)
15,3575,742
25,6896,093
3-19,742-21,084
41,9411,572
53,7063,652
69,3209,191
76,249
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