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CBRE
FIGURESSINGAPORElQ32025
+44%
GDPGrowth(Q22025)
+0.5%
CPIInflationyo-Y(Aug2025)
1.46%
3MSORA
(End-sep2025)
Note:CBREResearch,singstat,MAS,Q32025
Executivesummary
-
CBD(GradeA)rentsincreasing0.8%q-o-qto$12.20psf/month.
--to-
upofnewprojects.However,momentummayeasewithnofurthercompletionsin2025.
-
drivenbysustaineddemandforprimeretailspaces.Asaresult,islandwideprimeretailrentsrecordeda0.5%q-o-qincrease,extendingthegrowthof0.7%q-o-qinthepreviousquarter.
--o-
q-o-qdiplastquarter.Averagerentsforwarehouseandfactorysegmentsremainedflat·
-
atbumpernewlaunches.privatehomepricegrowthacceleratedonfirmpricesatnewlaunches.
--o-
10.3%y-o-y)to$10.294bn,a7-yearquarterlyhigh.Thequarterwitnessedanimprovementininvestorsentimentoneasingofdomesticinterestratesandde-escalationoftradetensions·
TABLE1:QuickFigures
office
Q32025
Q-O-Q
Y-O-Y
GradeARent
$12.20
+0.8%
+2.1%
capitalvalue
$2,950
Netyield*
3.9%
Retail
Q32025
Q-O-Q
Y-O-Y
primeRent(orchard)
$38.35
+0.7%
+2.4%
capitalvalue
$7,400
+0.7%
+1.4%
Netyield
5.3%
Businesspark
Q32025
Q-O-Q
Y-O-Y
Rent(cityFringe)
$6.15
0.8%
1.7%
source:CBREResearch,Q32025
Allcapitalvaluesandyieldsstatedasprime.Rentsarequotedona$psfpermonthbasisandcapitalvaluesona$psfbasis.
*yieldcalculationmethodologyrevisedbasedonanaverageofrollingeightquarterrents.
Residential
Q32025
Q-O-Q
Y-O-Y
primeRent
$5.53
-2.2%
+1.9%
capitalvalue
$2,053
-0.7%
+1.9%
Netyield
2.6%
Industrial*
Q32025
Q-O-Q
Y-O-Y
primeLogisticsRent
$1.85
+1.1%
-1.1%
capitalvalue
$234
+0.9%
yields
6.7%
Inyestment**
Q32025
Q-O-Q
Y-O-Y
Totalvolume
$10.294bn
+64.3%
+10.3%
source:CBREResearch,Q32025
*30yearprimelogisticsdataprovided.
*Investmentvolumesarepreliminary.Alltransactionsabove$10mil.
ofce
singaporemarketsustainsgrowthinrents
ThesingaporeofficemarketcontinueditsupwardtrajectoryinQ32025,withcorecBD(GradeA)rentsincreasing0.8%q-o-qto$12.20psf/month.Thismarksthethirdconsecutivequarterofrentalgrowth,supportedbyresilientoccupierdemandandatighteningsupplypipeline.Despiteglobal
economicuncertainties,themarkethasremainedrobust.vacancyinthecorecBD(GradeA)sectordeclinedfrom5.9%inQ1to5.1%inQ3,reflectingsustainedleasingmomentumandaflighttoqualityamongoccupiers.
LowvacancyratesincertainsubmarketswithincBD
BeyondrobustleasingactivityinMarinaBayandRafflesplace,adjacentsubmarketssuchasMarinacentreandBeachRoad/cityHallalsooutperformed,withvacancyratesfallingbelow3%.with
severalnotabletransactionsexpectedtocloseinQ4,corecBD(GradeA)vacancycoulddipbelow5%byyear-end.FollowingthecompletionofkeppelsouthcentralandpayaLebarGreeninQ12025,nonewsupplyenteredthemarketinQ2andQ3,whilesometransitionalofficestockwaswithdrawn.
LeasingactivityextendsbeyondcBD
occupieractivityremainsbroad-based,ledbysectorssuchasbankingandfinance,transport,
governmentandagilespaceoperators.DemandoutsidecBDisalsostrong,ledbypayaLebarGreen,whichisnowfullyoccupiedfollowingvisa'srelocationthatabsorbedtheremainingspace.This
broughtvacancyratesindecentralisedlocationsdownfrom7.9%inQ2to6.5%inQ32025.
Flighttoqualityandtightsupplytosupportrentalgrowth
primeofficerentshaverisen2.1%year-to-date.Assupplypipelinetightensandvacancycontinuestoimprovebetween20252027,largeoccupiersseekingcontiguousandqualityspacewilllikelyface
feweroptions.Thistightsupplyenvironmentcouldpromptsomeoccupierstoaccelerateleasing
decisionsbeforeavailabilitydiminishes.CBREResearchexpectsthemarkettomaintainitspositive
momentumintoQ4forafullyear2025rentalgrowthforecastofaround3%.Rentscouldacceleratein2026supportedbythelimitedsupplyandresilientdemand.
FIGURE1:officesupplyDemand(Islandwide)
source:CBREResearch,Q32025
TABLE2:officevacancyRates
Q325
Q-O-Q
Y-O-Y
$12.20
0.8%
2.1%
corecBD
$9.10
0.6%
1.7%
corecBD(GradeB)
$8.85
1.1%
2.3%
Islandwide(GradeB)
$8.15
1.2%
1.9%
TABLE3:singaporeofficeRents
Q125
Q225
Q325
5.9%
5.3%
5.1%
Islandwide
5.9%
6.1%
5.7%
corecBD
5.4%
5.0%
4.9%
FringecBD
6.8%
6.8%
6.5%
Decentralised
6.2%
7.9%
6.5%
source:CBREResearch,Q32025
source:CBREResearch,Q32025
Businessparks
Fifthconsecutivequarterofpositivenetabsorptionthoughmomentumslows
Thebusinessparkmarketposteditsfifthconsecutivequarterofpositivenetabsorptionthoughmomentumslowedsignificantly.Leasingactivitymoderatedthisquarterastakeupforthe
freshlycompletedprojectsstabilised.DemandwasconcentratedinthecityFringe,particularlyinprimedevelopmentsatAlexandraandone-north.Therewerenocompletionsthisquarter.with
somestockremoval,islandwidevacancyeasedfrom22.0%inQ22025to21.4%inQ32025.
Mixedsignalsandunevendemand
Demanddriversthisquarterweremixed.Take-upsweredrivenbyrelocationsoftech,softwareandconstructioncompanies,signallingaflighttoqualityandstrategicconsolidation.However,thiswaspartiallyoffsetbydownsizingofselecttenantsduetocostpressuresandoperational
recalibration.pharmaceuticalactivitywassubduedamiduncertaintyoverpotentialustariffsonbrandedandpatenteddrugexports.whileexemptionsmayapplyforsingaporecompanies,long-terminvestmentcouldbecloudedasmultinationalsshiftcapitaltowardusoperations.
cityFringerentsedgeupasvacanciestighten
InQ32025,averagerentsforthecityFringeincreased0.8%q-o-qto$6.15psfmthwhileaverage
rentsfortheRestofIslandsubmarketwerestableat$3.55psfmth.ThecityFringewitnessedstrongertakeupthisquarter,withvacanciesinchingdownto11.2%whileaveragevacanciesfortheRestofIslandremainrelativelyhighat29.7%.year-to-date,cityFringerentsgrew1.6%,
contrastingwiththe1.4%declineintheRestofIsland,highlightingadivergenceinperformance.
Narrowingsupplypipelinecouldmoderatefuturenetabsorption
year-to-datenetabsorptionstandsstrongat1.27mil.sq.ft.,drivenbytake-upofnewprojects.However,momentummayeasewithnofurthercompletionsin2025.Thenextaddition,27IBP
(0.21mil.sq.ft.),isslatedforQ12026,afterwhichnewsupplyisexpectedtotaper.supplycouldtightenfurtheraslandlordspursueassetenhancementtoupgradeagingproperties.withflight-to-qualitytrends,newerbusinessparksinprimelocationsshouldcontinuetooutperform,whileolderassetsmayfacecontinuedpressureonoccupancyandrents.
FIGURE2:BusinessparksupplyDemand(Islandwide)
FIGURE3:Businessparkvacancy
TABLE4:singaporeBusinessparkRents
Q325
Q-O-Q
Y-O-Y
$6.15
0.8%
1.7%
RestofIsland
$3.55
0.0%
-2.7%
RestofIslandcityFringe
TABLE5:knownBusinessparkpipeline(sq.ft.)
cityFringe
Restoflsland
0.00mil
0.00mil
2026
0.00mil
0.21mil
2027
0.00mil
0.00mil
source:CBREResearch,Q32025
source:CBREResearch,Q32025
Note:HistoricalvacanciesmaydifferduetorebasketofpropertiesinQ12025
Retail
Turnaroundinretailsales;tourismarrivalscontinuerecovering
Retailsalesindex(excludingmotorvehicles)reboundedinJulandAug2025,risingby3.1%and
3.0%y-o-yrespectivelyfollowingthemarginaldeclineof0.2%y-o-yinQ22025.consumer
sentimentscouldbeturningpositiveamidbetter-than-expectedGDpgrowthandaresilientlabourmarket.Tourismvisitorarrivalsalsocontinuedtorecover,withJulandAug2025postinggrowthof4.9%and4.5%y-o-yrespectively.
HealthyleasingdemandledbyF&B,fashionandbeauty&healthbrands
Despitemediareportsofintensecompetition,highrents,andrisingcostscontributingtostore
closures(includingprive,AImabyJuanAmador,andcathaycineplex),leasingactivityremainedrobustinQ32025.CBREResearchobservedexpansionacrossdiversesectors.DemandwasledbyF&BoperatorssuchasMajsonpjerreparis,Yo-chi,andDinTaiFung.Fashionbrandsandbeauty&healthplayersincludingBape,IMMenandcledepeauBeautealsogrewtheirpresence.Meanwhile,chinesebrandsenteringsingaporearediversifyingbeyondF&Bandfashion,with
growthinbeauty&healthandservicessuchasJoocyee,TTEElephantandBolon·
primeislandwideretailrentscontinueascentinQ3
InQ32025,thecityHall/Marinacentreandorchardsubmarketsledperformance,drivenby
sustaineddemandforprimeretailspaces.Thiswasfuelledbyretailers'confidenceintourism
recoveryandtheofficecrowdcatchment.Asaresult,islandwideprimeretailrentsrecordeda0.5%q-o-qincrease,extendingthegrowthof0.7%q-0-qinthepreviousquarter.
overallprimeretailrentspoisedforfullrecoverybyend-2025
Retailerscontinuetonavigatechallenges,includingmanpowershortages,elevatedcostsande
commercecompetition.Nevertheless,tourismrecoverysupportedbyarobustcalendarofMICE
eventsandconcertsissettodrivedemandforprimeretailspace,evenwithcautiousexpansion
strategiesduetoeconomicuncertainty.primeretailrentshaveincreased1.8%year-to-date.CBREResearchprojectsthat,withnewsupplyinlinewithhistoricalaverage,overallprimeretailrentsareontracktorise2.3%forthefullyear,returningtopreCOVID19levels,
FIGURE4:RetailEconomicIndicators
source:STB,MTI,CBREResearch,Q32025
TABLE6:primeRetailRents
EstimatedNLA(sq.ft.)
Q42025
0.10mil
2026
0.45mil
2027
0.39mil
TABLE7:EstimatedGrossNewsupply
Q325
Q-O-Q
Y-O-Y
$27.65
0.5%
2.6%
orchardRoad
$38.35
0.7%
2.4%
suburban
$32.65
0.5%
1.7%
source:CBREResearch,Q32025
source:CBREResearch,URA,Q32025
Note:projectswithaNLAoflessthan20,000sq.ft.areexcluded
Industrial
Manufacturingoutputandexportsweakenasu.s.tariffstakeeffect
InAug2025,manufacturingoutputcontractedby7.8%y-o-y,withonlythetransport
engineeringandchemicalssectorsshowinggrowth.Exportsfellby11.3%y-0-y,asnewly
implementedtariffstookeffectandtheboostfromearlierfront-loadingactivitiesdiminished.Thatsaid,SIPMM'SPMIedgedbackintoexpansionterritoryinsep2025,withtheelectronicssectorabrightspot,drivenbyrisingdemandforserversandchipsduetoadvancementsinAl1.
LeasingmomentumacceleratesinQ32025
Amidongoinguncertaintiesinglobaltrade,leasingactivitygainedmomentuminQ32025.
occupiersgravitatedtowardsingapore'ssafehavenstatus,whichsupportsbusinesscontinuityandfutureexpansion.Demandforwarehousespacesurged,primarilyfrom3PLS,while
semiconductor,engineeringandtechnologyfirmsshowedstronginterestinfactoryandhi-techspaces.Landlordsareselective,strategicallyofferingtenantincentivestoenticerelocations.
primelogisticsrentsreboundamidstrongdemand
InQ32025,primelogisticsrecordedthehighestrentalgrowthamongallindustrialsegments,
drivenbyrobustdemandformodernramp-upfacilities.withstrongtake-up,theoccupancyrateofcBRE'sprimelogisticsbasketrosefrom92.1%inQ22025to93.6%inQ32025.primelogisticsrentsincreasedby1.1%q-0-qinQ32025,recoveringfroma0.5%q-o-qdiplastquarter,while
averagerentsforthewarehouseandfactorysegmentsremainedflat.
Moderationinfutureprimelogisticssupplycouldfavourlandlords
Despitetheadditionofover5.0milsq.ft.ofnewprimelogisticsspacefromQ1toQ32025,morethan80%ofthisnewsupplyisalreadycommitted·Lookingahead,primelogisticssupplyfromQ42025to2026isexpectedtobelimited,asmostsitesarepreleased.Forthefullyear,primelogisticsrentsareprojectedtobeflat,suggestingapotentialreboundinQ42025,sincerents
havedeclinedby1.1%year-to-date.withinterestratesrapidlydeclining,investorsareseekingqualityindustrialassetstobenefitfromfavourableyieldspreads.
FIGURE5:ManufacturingIndices
y-o-ychange
30%
54
52
20%
10%
-10%
-20%
44
-30%
PMI-contractPMI-ExpandMfgoutputNODX
source:singstat,SIPMM,CBREResearch,Q32025
TABLE8:IndustrialRents
Development
Est。GFA(milsf)
Bulimsquare(JTC)(partial)
0.80
TuasDistributionHub(sankyu)
0.40
pasirRisIndustrialDrive1(SOITECMicroelectronics)
0.38
CTFoodNEX
0.20
TABLE9:significantFutureDevelopments
Factory(GrdFIr)
Q325
Q-O-Q
Y-O-Y
$1.81
0.0%
11%
Factory(UPPFIr)
$1.41
0.0%
1.4%
warehouse(GrdFIr)
$1.90
0.0%
-1.6%
warehouse(UPPFIrn)
$1.38
0.0%
-2.1%
primeLogistics
$1.85
1.1%
-1.1%
source:CBREResearch,Q32025source:CBREResearch,JTC,Q32025
Residential
Q32025newsalessurgedonrobusttake-upatbumpernewlaunches
NewhomesalesinsingaporesurgedinQ32025onthebackofrobusttakeupatbumpernew
launches.preliminarydatashowed3,281unitsweresoldup170.7%q-o-qfromQ2'slowof1,212unitsandmatchingQ12025's3,375units.Homebuyingappetitehasrecoveredstronglyamidlowinterest
ratesandbetter-than-expectedeconomicperformance.Therewere8majorlaunchesinthequarter.
Thebest-performingprojectswerespringleafResidence(941units),Lyndenwoods(343units)and
RjverGreen(524units)whichpostedlaunchweekendtakeupratesof94%,92%and88%respectively.
privatehomepricegrowthacceleratedamidfirmpricesatnewlaunches
privatehomepricesrose1.2%q-o-qinQ32025accordingtoflashestimates,acceleratingfrom1.0%qo-qgrowthinQ22025.Theincreasewasdrivenbythelandedsegment,whichclimbed1.4%q-o-q.
Non-landedhomepricesrose1.1%,pickingupfrom0.7%inthepreviousquarter.pricesgrewacrossallmarketsegments,supportedbyagoodmixoflaunches.TheccRledwith2.4%q-0-qriseon
benchmarkpricesatnewlaunches·ThiswasfollowedbytheocRwith1.0%q-o-qgrowthandlastlytheRCRwhichposteda0.4%q-o-qincreaseonmorerealisticpricingatcityfringelaunches.
RentslikelycontinuedtoriseinQ3withunevenperformancesacrossmarketsegments
URA'SRentalIndexforallprivateresidentialpropertiessawfastergrowth,rising0.8%q-o-qinQ22025aftero.4%q-o-qinQ12025.MedianpsfrentsinJulAug2025weremixed.TheccRwhich
outperformedinQ2postedareversalinQ32025,falling2.4%q-o-q,whiletheRCRandocRwhichposteddeclinesinQ2rebounded,recording1.9%and4.3%q-0-qgrowthrespectively.
Newhomesaleshavereacheda4-yearhighsince2021
Lookingahead,whilethebulkofmajorprojectshavebeenlaunched,therearestillafewanticipated
launchesinQ42025.Amidlowinterestratesandeconomicresilience,thecurrent2025newsalestallyof7,868unitshasalreadyexceededfullyeartalliesfor2022-2024.CBREResearchhasupgradedour2025newhomesalesforecastto8,0009,000units.correspondingly,homepriceswhichhaverisen3.1%year-to-datecouldgrowatasimilarpaceinQ42025,withafullyeargrowthatthehigherendofour34%forecast,andmatchorexceed2024's3.9%growth.
FIGURE6:NewprivateResidentialunitsTakeup&URApriceIndex(incl.ECS)
Note:"preliminaryfigures(excl.ECS)forQ32025basedonRealiscaveatsasof8oct2025.
TABLE10:TOP3projects(Newsales)inQ32025
FIGURE7:NonlandedMedianpsfRentsbyMarketsegment
202520252025*
CCRRCROCR
source:URA,CBREResearch,Q32025
Note:BasedonRealiscaveatsasof8oct2025.
Note:*Fornon-landedresidentialunits(excl.ECS)fromJul-Aug.BasedonRealiscaveatsasof8oct2025.
Investments
privateinvestmentvolumesroseamidlowerinterestrates
preliminaryrealestateinvestmentvolumesforQ32025surged64.3%q-o-q(up10.3%y-o-y)to
$10.294bn,a7-yearquarterlyhigh.Thiscouldbeattributedtomorepubliclandsalesandseveral
big-tickettransactions.Excludingpublicsites,Q32025volumeswereupby22.0%q-o-qbutdownby11.7%y-o-yat$6.150bn.Thequarterwitnessedanimprovementininvestorsentimentonthebackofcontinuedeasingofdomesticinterestratesandde-escalationoftradetensions·
office,retailandothertransactionssurgedq--9
Theoffice,retailand"others"sectorsdroveinvestmentvolumegrowthinQ32025.officedeals
soaredsevenfoldq-o-qto$1.794billion,buoyedbythe55%staketransactionofcapitaspringfor$1.045bn($2,822psf).Retailvolumesmorethandoubledto$625.83milwithuoL'ssaleofkinexfor$375.00mil($1,836psf)toElegantGroup,whichwasalsotheawardeeofa30-yearleasefornearbyTanjongkatongcomplexinQ22025."others"transactionswereup21foldq-o-qto$1.505bninQ32025,fuelledbytheIpoofcenturionAccommodationREIT,whichsawitacquiringaportfolioof5westlitedormitoriesfromcenturioncorporationandLianBengGroupfor$1.348bn.
Industrialandmixed-usevolumesnormalisedafterastrongQ2
ontheotherhand,industrialinvestmentvolumesnormalisedafterastrongQ22025,fallingby49.3%q-o-qto$858.03mil.Likewise,themixed-usesectorsawvolumesdropby26.5%q-o-qto$1.013bn
followingthebig-ticketsaleofa50.1%stakeinsouthBeach($1.378bn)inthepreviousquarter·
stronginvestmentmomentumshouldcontinuefortherestoftheyear
9M25investmentvolumes(excludingpubliclandsales)wereup11.9%.singapore'sreputationasa
stableandsecureinvestmentdestination,coupledwithsolidfundamentals,remainsakeydrawfor
investors,evenamidavolatilegloballandscape.Besidesyear-to-dateshort-termdomestic
benchmarkinterestratesmorethanhalvingto1.46%,theusFedinterestratecutinsep2025has
providedglobalinvestorswithmoreclarityontheinterestratetrajectory,whichshouldsupport
stronginvestmentmomentumfortheremainderoftheyear.consequently,CBREResearchmaintainsourforecastofa10%increaseininvestmentvolumesfor2025comparedto2024·
FIGURE8:TotalTransactionvolumebysector
source:CBREResearch,Q32025,*preliminaryfigures
source:CBREResearch
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