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析,慢慢建立你自己的Screening ndProcessOnlineStockScreener: /newscreener.html /investor/finder/customstocks.asp它們的用法非常簡單,依次設(shè)立自己的PE,Growth,MarketCap,Last3monthspricechange等等filterNews/ysttickler有時(shí)你讀 ysts分析報(bào)告,他們時(shí)常會(huì)提到sectoryers,或者是有關(guān)聯(lián)的公司,如果你覺得發(fā)展前景會(huì)不錯(cuò)的話,也可以把這些ticklers記下來。比如,俺看TIE的headlines時(shí),看到這么篇文章:7GrowthStocksonSale(h
那俺只要有時(shí)間,肯定會(huì)進(jìn)去看看他們是在講哪7 很大空間繼續(xù)run的。 OnlineStockScreener yst 錯(cuò)的話,也可以把這些ticklers記下來。比如,俺看TIE的headlines時(shí),看到這么篇文章:7GrowthStocksonSale(h 那俺只要有時(shí)間,肯定會(huì)進(jìn)去看看他們是在講哪7很大空間繼續(xù)run的。2InputTIE,and“GetStep2: ystystEstimatesisalwaysfirstthingIwanttoSamequarteryear-to-yearEarningsEstimateshoudbegrowing,samedoestheannualEarningEst.CurrentQ$0.39vs$0.29yearago;$1.61currentyearvs$1.53lastyear;nextyearis$2.01,Great!Bytheway,ifNextYear’searningsestimateisnegative,Iwillnotdofurtherresearch.Rule:don’tinvestmoneyona willlosemoneyforthenextTWOyears.自己看到的tickler, 定要自己也再次研究貫徹,才能成為自己所熟悉的tickler。我個(gè)人般用Yah InputTIE,and“GetStep2: ystystEstimatesisalwaysfirstthingIwanttoSamequarteryear-to-yearEarningsEstimateshoudbegrowing,samedoestheannualEarningEst.CurrentQ$0.39vs$0.29yearago;$1.61currentyearvs$1.53lastyear;nextyearis$2.01,Great!Bytheway,ifNextYear’searningsestimateisnegative,Iwillnotdofurtherresearch.Rule:don’tinvestmoneyona 3Step3:CheckKeyTherearequitesomecriticalindicatorsyouwanttocheckinthisMarketCap:5.32B,notsmallgarbageone,ForwardP/Eis16.31,Totaldebtis0,OperatingCashFlow:113.48M,Short%ofFloat:5.5%,HeldbyInst:35%,Next5yearsGrowth25%!Step3:CheckKeyTherearequitesomecriticalindicatorsyouwanttocheckinthisMarketCap:5.32B,notsmallgarbageone,ForwardP/Eis16.31,Totaldebtis0,ReturnonEquity:36.74,OperatingCashFlow:113.48M,Short%ofFloat:5.5%,HeldbyInst:35%,4StepStep4:CheckAquicklookofthistableshowsTIEdoeshave2bigcompetitors,andATIhaslowerPE.DoesthismeanATIischeaperthanTIE?Maybenot,becausethePEGofTIEisonly0.79,andATIcarriesaPEGof0.9.ThisshowsTIE’sgrowthisbetterthanATI’s.Tillnow,wecanonlysayTIEisokayinthesectorcomparingwithitscompetitors.However,itisreallyimportanttogofurtherandcheckthedetailedproductcomparisonsbetweenTIE,ATIandRTI.ItisnotrarethatthecompetitorslistedinYahooarenotdirectcompetitorswiththeweareinterested.Moreworkneedtobedoneforthisarea,MarkMark.AquicklookofthistableshowsTIEdoeshave2bigcompetitors,andATIhaslowerPE.DoesthismeanATIischeaperthanTIE?Maybenot,becausethePEGofTIEisonly0.79,andATIcarriesaPEGof0.9.ThisshowsTIE’sgrowthisbetterthanATI’s.Tillnow,wecanonlysayTIEisokayinthesectorcomparingwithitscompetitors.However,itisreallyimportanttogofurtherandcheckthedetailedproductcomparisonsbetweenTIE,ATIandRTI.ItisnotrarethatthecompetitorslistedinYahooarenotdirectcompetitorswiththe MarkMark.5Thischartshowsthemost ystsopiniononthestockare3buysandoneneutral,whichisprettyyst’smeanpricetargetis41.5,thisissignificantlyhigherthanthecurrentstockprice,goodsignStepStep5: ystsThischartshowsthemostrecentystsopiniononthestockare3buysandoneneutral,whichisprettygood.yst’smeanpricetargetis41.5,thisissignificantlyhigherthanthecurrentstockprice,goodsigntoo.6Thistableshowsquitegoodinsiderpurchasesan institutionalpurchases,whilethesellsizeis0,veryveryPOSITIVEsign.Step7:CheckFinancialTobespecific,checkthose3tables: eStatementBalanceSheetCashFlow.DetailedcheckprocesshasbeenSummaryisStep8:CheckGochecktheBusinesssummaryinthispage,looksthey ngsomebusinessIcanGochecktheKeyExecutivestableandcheckhowmanytheyhaveexercisedlastyear,itisNA,sowemightneedtodofurtherresearch.BasicallyIdon’tlikethesharestheyhaveexercisedmorethan2M,comparingwithTIE’ssize.TheStep6:CheckInsiderThistableshowsquitegoodinsiderpurchasesaninstitutionalpurchases,whilethesellsizeis0,veryveryPOSITIVEsign.Step7:CheckFinancialTobespecific,checkthose3tables: eStatementBalanceSheetCashFlowDetailedcheckprocesshasbeendescribedinthe“平民選股“部分,soIwouldnotrepeatagainhere.SummaryisStep8:CheckGochecktheBusinesssummaryinthispage,lookstheyarengsomebusinessIcanGochecktheKeyExecutivestableandcheckhowmanytheyhaveexercisedlastyear,itisNA,sowemightneedtodofurtherresearch.BasicallyIdon’tlikethesharestheyhaveexercisedmorethan2M,comparingwithTIE’ssize.Themore,themoregreedyoftheexecutiveteam(Inmostcases).7Thepast12monthschartdidn’tshowmuchstockpricechange.Therewasabottominmid-August,buthowever,thiswascausedbythebroadmarketselloff.SonotaspecificconcernofTIE.Myreadingisthestockstillunderconsolidation,andTApointofview,ifitcanbreak35,thenthereisabigchancestockwillstarttorunupthere.Step10:CheckNowitisthetimetoreadwhathavehappenedforTIEinthepastfewmonths,go /q/h?s=TIEandifyouspendnext30minutestoonehour,probablyyouwillfindbelowusefulnews:Newson10/19,TIEisjustaddedtoS&P500,Man,thisisaNewson10/12.,AlleghenyStumblesonWeakOutlook.ATIisTIE’speer,butyoumightfindthatTIEisfocusTitanium,butATI’snewsison“standardstainlesssheet”whiightnothavedirectimpactonNewson rsFall.ThiswillhavedirectimpactonTIEbecauseof’sdelayof787.Isveryserious?No,afewmonths’delayshouldbe…Aftercheckedallabove,IcameouttheconclusionthatTIEisagoodwithcheapstockprice,goodgrowthandstrongbalancesheet,insiderpurchaseshowsstrongconfidentontheirbusiness,etcetc.Newe,itsrecentjointoS&P500clubwillalsobringtonsofindexfundbuyers.Downsie,ATI’srecentwarningmightshowsomekindofweaknessinthesector,and’s787delaymighthavedirectimpactonTIE’searninginthenextotwoBasedonallthese,IwoulddecidemakeTIEagoodbuyStep9:Step9:CheckThepast12monthschartdidn’tshowmuchstockpricechange.Therewasabottominmid-August,buthowever,thiswascausedbythebroadmarketselloff.SonotaspecificconcernofTIE.Myreadingisthestockstillunderconsolidation,andTApointofview,ifitcanbreak35,thenthereisabigchancestockwillstarttorunupthere.Step10:CheckNowitisthetimetoreadwhathavehappenedforTIEinthepastfewmonths,go /q/h?s=TIEandifyouspendnext30minutestoonehour,probablyyouwillfindbelowusefulnews:Newson10/19,TIEisjustaddedtoS&P500,Man,thisisaNewson10/12.,AlleghenyStumblesonWeakOutlook.ATIisTIE’speer,butyoumightfindthatTIEisfocusonTitanium,butATI’snewsison“standardstainlesssheet”whiightnothavedirectimpactonTIENewson10/10: rsFall.ThiswillhavedirectimpactonTIEbecauseof’sdelayof787.Isthatveryserious?No,afewmonths’delayshouldbeokay.…Aftercheckedallabove,IcameouttheconclusionthatTIEisagood withcheapstockprice,goodgrowthandstrongbalancesheet,insiderpurchaseshowsstrongconfidentontheirbusiness,etcetc.Newe,itsrecentjointoS&P500clubwillalsobringtonsofindexfundbuyers.Downsie,ATI’srecentwarningmightshowsomekindofweaknessinthesector,and’s787delaymighthavedirectimpactonTIE’searninginthenext otwoBasedonallthese,IwoulddecidemakeTIEagoodbuy8好,迄今為止,TIE這個(gè)tickler基本上通過了 的screening。但是不是 但你肯定可以把它加到你的watchlist里去了。以下是還要繼續(xù)研究的問題。ReadystsIfyouhavesomekindofpremiumserviceoryouhavegoldenbrokerageaccount,theyshouldhavesomebriefystreportsonthisstock.Gogetandreadthem.GotoGocheckwhatarepeopletalkingaboutthisformonlinemessaglikeYahooor/mb/tie/smbd.asp?mb=399&clear=1&pt=mNormallypleaseforgetthosepricetargetpumper/dumpers,findthosepostthatonlydescribethefact,youwillseelotofveryusefulinformationtoanswerthequestionswehadinScreeningstage:WhatistheedgeforTIEcomparingwithitscompetitorslikeWhythestockdidn’t’quitemovealoginthepastWhatisthereasoncausedthestockflewsohighbeforeMay2006?ArethosereasonstillFollowtheStockPriceInthenextfewweeks,youmightwanttofollowTIE’sstockpricechangedailyorhourly(ifyouhavetime?),trytounderstandhowTIEbehavescomparingwiththebroadmarket,thenewscoverageorystreportsonit.Ifyoudothisdaily,Ibelieveinotwomonths,youwillgraspaverygoodsenseonhowisTIE’sstockpricechange,isthatcausedbyitselforweak/strongmarket?Orbysomeunknownreasons?So,afteronemonthto2monthsobservation,youwillbeabletomaketheShouldIbuyandholdTIEforthenextoneyear?好,迄今為止,TIE這個(gè)tickler基本上通過了我們的screening。但是不是我們馬上就可以買TIE了 ystsIfyouhavesomekindofpremiumserviceoryouhavegoldenbrokerageaccount,theyshouldhavesomebriefystreportsonthisstock.Gogetandreadthem.Goto Goch
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