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STATEOFCONSUMERINTERNET
2025STATE
OF
CONSUMER
INTERNET
2025
22Thecompaniesthatwilldefinethenextdecade
won’tjustbebuilding
bettertechnology,they’llbe
creatingexperiencesthat
seamlesslyenhanceourdaily
lives.WhetherthroughAI,mixedrealityortechnologiesyettoemerge,theconsumer
marketwillremaintheultimateprovinggroundforinnovation.”Alicia
FullerSeniorMarket
ManagerTechBankingafuller@Since
we
last
brought
you
SVB’s
State
of
Consumer
Internet
report,
thepromise
of
artificial
intelligence
(AI)
has
fanned
into
a
full-fledged
techrevolution,fundamentallyreshapingnotjusthowcompaniesbuildproducts,
but
also
how
they
operate
at
their
core.Whilethelion’sshareof2024VCinvestmentflowedtofoundationalmodels
and
enterprise
applications,
the
consumer
space
represents
amassiveuntappedopportunity.Justasmobileinternetcreatedaplatform
for
transformative
consumer
apps
such
as
Airbnb,
InstagramandUber,weexpecttoseetheemergenceofconsumer-focusedAIcompanies
that
prioritize
user
experience
and
accessibility
(page
10).Today’s
consumer
companies
are
competing
for
increasingly
saturatedattentionspans,andscreenfatigueisdrivingmanytoseekofflineexperiences.Thewinnersinthisnextwavemustthreadadelicateneedle—leveragingAI'scapabilitieswhilerespectingusers'growingdesireto
disconnect.Thetransformationcomesataninflectionpointfortheconsumerinternet
sector.
Many
companies
that
were
darlings
of
the
2021
VC
peaknow
find
themselves
in
a
period
of
reinvention.
Thestaggering
valuationsthatcharacterizedthaterahavegivenwaytoamoremeasuredreality,promptingsomeinvestorstopivottheirfocuswhileothersaredoublingdown
—
albeit
with
a
markedly
different
thesis
(page
11).Forinvestors,burnefficiencyhasreplacedgrowthasthemetricthatmattersmost.Foundershaverespondedbyslashingspendingandgrowingprofitabilitytonear-recordhighs(page13).Whilethishasallowedsometocontroltheirowndestiny,ithascreatedaloomingchallenge
for
the
substantial
herd
of
consumer
internet
unicorns
thatgrew
up
on
high
burn
and
plentiful
capital.
With
slower
growth,
thesecompanies
face
limited
exit
opportunities.M&Aactivityhasyettomaterializeinthewaymanyanticipated.Withfewerfinancialbuyerssteppingup,VC-backedcompaniesthemselvesare
becoming
significant
acquirers
of
other
startups(page
19).
This
trendcould
lead
to
further
consolidation
in
tech
as
well-funded
unicorns
seektodiversifytheirofferingsastheystayprivatelonger.Publicexits,whichhave
been
largely
paused,
could
provide
another
source
of
liquidity.Revenue
multiples
of
venture-backed
consumer
IPOs
have
ticked
up
toathree-yearhigh(page20),whichcouldenticesomelate-stagecompaniesto
pursuealisting.Despitethepresentuncertainty,thelong-termtrajectoryisclear.Consumerspendingcontinuestorepresentthemajorityofeconomicactivity
worldwide,
and
history
has
shown
us
time
and
again
that
techinnovationfindsitsgreatestexpression—anditsmostlucrativeopportunities—inconsumerapplications.Thecompaniesthatwilldefine
the
next
decade
won't
just
be
building
better
technology,
they'llbe
creating
experiences
that
seamlessly
enhance
our
daily
lives.STATE
OF
CONSUMER
INTERNET
2025
3Digitalcontenthasbecomethefuelthatpowerstheventure-backedconsumersector.Marketingbudgetsthatwereoncedumpedintopaidsearchandadbuysarenowdivertedtoinfluencertestimonials,communitygiveawaysandorganiccampaigns.
It’sno
surprise
then
that
companies
in
thesocialmediaandcreatortoolsspaceareseeingaboominVCinvestment.Thesecompaniessawa33%year-over-year(YoY)increaseinventuredollars,apace4xgreaterthantheincreaseforconsumerinvestmentsoverall.TheemergenceofgenerativeAI(GenAI)isaplatformshiftasmonumentalastheswitchtomobileinternet.Butseachangesdon’thappenovernight.IttookyearsaftertheiPhonelaunchedforconsumerappslikeUbertocreatethemagicaluserexperiences—summoningaridewith
a
click
of
a
button
—
that
elevatedthe
tech
from
a
novelty
to
a
way
of
life.ThesameisnowtrueforAI.Aslargelanguagemodels(LLMs)becomecommoditizedandcostsdrop,userexperiencewillbecomeparamount.Companiesthatbestleveragethistechintoaseamless,intuitiveinterface
will
win
the
AI
race.VC-backedcompaniesarequicklybecomingkeybuyersinconsumeracquisitions.One-thirdofconsumerinternetM&AdealswenttoaVC-backedbuyerin2024,upfromhalfthatsharefiveyearsago.Thesecompaniesareseizingonlowvaluationsandfiercecompetitiontogobbleuprivalsandaddnewcapabilitiestotheir
existingproducts.We
expect
this
trend
to
accelerate
asexistingunicornscontinuetoage,increasinginvestorpressureforliquidity.Theprospectoflessregulatoryscrutinyunderanewadministrationcouldhasten
deals.With
investment
less
plentiful
than
inrecentyears,foundersare
prioritizingcapital
efficiency
more
than
ever.Consumercompanieshavereducedburnbyamedianof30%from
2023.Asaresult,profitabilityforall
sizesofconsumercompanieshasincreasedtoaneardecadehigh.Companiesthatnavigatetoprofitability
may
be
in
a
better
positiontocontroltheirdestiny,usingVCstrategicallytoaccelerategrowth,ratherthanto
stayafloat.STATE
OF
CONSUMER
INTERNET
2025
4Source:SVB
interviews.“Weusedtolookattherevenuelineitemfirst;now,welookattheburnlineitem
first.Ifburnexceedsacertainamount,itcanbedisqualifying—thisisrelative—butthebroaderrealityisthatinefficientgrowthisnolongertolerated.Profitablecompaniesarereceivingsignificantlyhighervaluationsthanthosethatareburning.Ifyou'reshapingupforanM&Aoutcome,incumbents
will
not
tolerate
burn.”JasonFiedlerManaging
Partner“AI
is
enabling
more
efficient
growth.
I’ve
seen
consumer
companies
getting
toseveralmillioninrevenueonverylowburn.Thatsaid,AIhasleveledtheplayingfieldandcompaniescan’tgetcomplacent—Ibelieveearly-stagecompaniesshouldstillbeburningtoacquire(retentive)users.There’sabalance,
but
I
don’t
want
an
early-stage
founder
to
be
solving
forprofitabilitybeforethey’vewonthemarket.Formid-tolate-stagecompanies,
it’s
a
different
game
—
at
that
point,
strong
margins
andprofitabilitybecome
key.”Laura
ChauPartner“Cominginto2025,we'reenteringthe"AgeofAgents,"whereAIisbeingempoweredwithgreaterautonomytoactonbehalfofindividualsandbusinesses.WhatthismeansisthatAIisnolongerjustassistingexistingsystems;
it'sreshaping
howthey
operate.
While
many
industries,
rangingfrom
healthcare
and
education
to
legal
and
financial
services,
have
long
relied
on"middlemen"(i.e.,serviceproviders)astranslatorsofcomplexinformation,AIisincreasinglysteppingintoeitheraugmentand,incertaininstances,overtakethese
human
security
blankets
—
faster,
cheaper,
and
often
more
accuratelythan
consumers
have
ever
imagined
before.”Meera
ClarkPartner“Overthelastfiveyears,thewaythatinvestorshavebeenthinkingabouthandicappingriskhasshifted,andperspectivesonriskitselfhavechanged.Wewentthroughaperiodwherefirmswithoutdeepconsumerinvestingexperiencedippedtheirtoesintotheconsumermarket,andthatdistortedbothassetpricesandthedefinitionofsuccessforaconsumercompany.Asconsumer
businesses
scaled
rapidly,
some
saw
them
as
software-like
models.”Matt
NugentPartnerSTATE
OF
CONSUMER
INTERNET
2025
5STATE
OF
CONSUMER
INTERNET
2025
6TheUSconsumeriscaughtinatug-of-warbetweenexuberanceandrestraint.Optimismiscreepingback,butinflation,risingdebtandincomedisparitiesaredragging
it
back
down.
Disposable
income
is
recovering,but
lower-income
households
remain
disproportionatelyaffectedbytherisingcostofliving.Debtpressuresarealsomounting,withmissedpaymentsontherise,signalingfinancialstrainfor
manyhouseholds.While
consumer
sentiment
has
rebounded
from
its
2022lows,itremainsshaky.Concernsaboutinflationandeconomicuncertaintyleaveconsumersnavigatingachallengingenvironment.Meanwhile,spendingpatternsrevealagrowingdivide:higher-incomehouseholdsaredriving
discretionary
spending,
buoyed
by
wealth
and
jobstability,
while
lower-income
groups
focus
on
essentials.Thisbifurcationrepresentsasignificantshiftfromthemoreuniformspendinggrowthseenacrossincomegroupsbetween2018and2021.Evenstockmarketoptimism
reflects
this
divide,
in
2024,
expectations
weresharplysplitbyincome,mirroringbroaderdisparitiesinspending
behavior.The
uneven
financial
landscape
across
income
levelsis
dampening
broader
consumer
growth
and
leaving
keysectorsdependentonasmaller,wealthieraudiencetosustain
momentum.Notes:
1)
Consumer
Sentiment
is
from
the
University
of
Michigan:
Consumer
Sentiment
(UMCSENT)
index,
retrieved
from
FederalReserveEconomicData(FRED).Indexedto
January2020.Source:
Federal
Reserve
Bank
of
St.
Louis,
NewYork
Federal
Reserve,
US
Bureau
of
Labor
Statistics,
US
Bureau
of
Economic
Analysis.0.3-0.6-0.63.53.3-1.23.10.93.63.16.33.4-5.55.12.9-3.92017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
20246%8%10%12%14%16%2018201920202021202220232024-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%2018201920202021202220232024Consumer
confidenceisupnearly45%fromtherecent
low.YoY
Change
in
Disposable
IncomeYoY
Percentage
Point
Change
in
InflationConsumerSentiment
IndexLow
IncomeMiddle
IncomeHigh
IncomeMeanHouseholdProbabilityofMissingaDebtPaymentintheNext3MonthsShareofBalance90+
Days
Delinquent: Credit
Cards Consumer
LoansSTATE
OF
CONSUMER
INTERNET
2025
7911009610072
737788706765506062727080677072201920202021202220232024202510987654321Social
Media183.9B-3%Browsers28.5B2%Social
Messaging23.5B-2%Music&
Entertainment6.7B-2%Film&TV
Streaming5.7B-3%Americansnowspendmorethansevenhoursadayonscreens,
with
social
media
alone
consuming
around
2.5hoursdaily.PlatformslikeTikTokaredrivingthistrend,with
American
users
spending
nearly
an
hour
a
daywatchingvideos.Socialmedia’sdominanceisclear,ranking
only
second
to
streaming
services
in
US
in-apprevenuein
2024.However,consumersareapproachingdigitalfatigue.App
retention
rates
are
falling,
with
less
than
3%
of
usersremainingactiveafter30days,demonstratinghowdifficultitistoholdconsumerattentioninanoversaturatedmarket.Withscreentimeatsaturationandappretentionratessliding,socialmediaandstreamingplatformsdominateattentionspans,leavinglimitedopportunityfornewappstobreakthrough.Forconsumerinternetcompanies,thereal
challengeisn’tjustcapturingdownloads,it’salsofindingwaystostandoutinamarketwhereattentionisfragmentedandcompetitionforconsumermindsharehasneverbeenmore
intense.Holidayspendingtellsasimilarstoryofshiftingconsumer
behavior.
Online
and
non-store
sales
grew
bynearly9%in2024,indicatingthatconsumersareincreasinglyprioritizingdigitalspending,evenasoverallbudgets
tighten.Notes:
1)iOS
and
Play
combined.
Revenue
is
gross
—
inclusive
of
any
percent
takenby
the
app
stores.
2)
Minimum
of
50,000
globalinstalls
per
app,
per
quarter
in
question;
average
excludes
statistical
outliers.
3)
2024
holiday
retail
sales
are
an
estimate.Source:
SensorTower,
AppsFlyer
Data,
National
Retail
Federation
and
SVB
analysis.$600B$700B$1.1T200620082010201220142016201820202022
20240%3%6%9%12%NewsShoppingHealth&
FitnessFinanceFood&DrinkEntertainmentTravelProductivityLifestyleGamingSocialYoY
ChangeMost
UsedApp20192024YoY
change1 Film&TV
Streaming$5.4B36%2 Social
Media$3.8B33%$1.0T3 Dating
Apps$2.3B13%4 Cloud
Storage$1.3B22%$900B5 Books&
Comics$1.3B20%Onlineand
non-6 Music
&
Podcasts $1.1B 9% $800B
storesales
were
up8.6%in
20247Sports
Entertainment$0.8B16%to
$296.7B.8 Photo
Editing$0.5B-6%9 Gyms&
Fitness$0.5B12%10 AI
Chatbots$0.5B177%STATE
OF
CONSUMER
INTERNET
2025
8STATE
OF
CONSUMER
INTERNET
2025
9Abusydadbookingthefamilyvacation,abodybuilderoptimizing
her
meal
plan,
an
author
transcribing
her
nextthriller
—
chances
are,
there’s
an
AI
app
for
that.Concierge
applications
are
sprouting
up
as
companiesseektobringmoreseamlessuserexperiencestothehorsepowerofLLMs.VCinvestmentinAIassistantsjumped6xinthelastyear,to$1.3B.Whilethisisafractionoftheoverallinvestmentthatenterpriseapplicationsandfoundationalmodelsareattracting,theopportunities
for
consumer
uses
could
one
day
dwarf
themarket
cap
of
the
current
incumbents.Onthehypecurveforconsumertechnologies,there’sahollowing
out
of
the
middle
right
now.
Many
use
cases
areeithernearingtheirpeakofproductivity—andthus,havelessgrowthpotential—oraresoearlyintheirdevelopmentthatmassadoptionisstilladistantvision.Someofthesetechnologies,suchasautonomousvehicles,havemassivemarketopportunity,butscaleremainselusive.Autonomousvehiclecompaniesreceived
$6B
in
2024,
up
from
just
$500M
in
the
prior
twoyearscombined.Thesector,whichhaslongpromisedtodeliveradriverlessfuture,gainedneededtractionin2024.Waymoprovidedfourmilliondriverlessrides,4xmore
than
its
previous
total.
Yet
the
16-year-old
companystillhasalongwaytogobeforeitchallengesthelikesofUber,
which
provides
about
a
million
rides
per
hour.Notes:
1)
VC
investment
in
consumer
companies
within
the
AI/machine
learning(ML)
verticaland
“AI
assistant”
as
a
keyword
in
PitchBook.Source:
PitchBook
Data,
Inc.
and
SVB
analysis.ExpectationsInnovation
TriggerPeak
ExpectationsDisillusionmentSlopeof
EnlightenmentPlateauof
Productivity$34M$57M$72M$539M$430M$205M$1.3B141414384149802018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024$3.5B$1.4B$3.0B$6.5B$0.2B$0.3B$6.6B242210211420102018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024NotableCompaniesNotableCompaniesHousehold
RobotsPersonalizedMarketingPlay-to-Earn
GamingAutonomousRideshareAutonomousAir
TravelAutonomousVehiclesClassroom
AIAutonomousPackage
DeliveryAI
Assistants
GenAIfor
VideoGigEconomyToolsRobo-Travel
AdvisorsWellness
AIAR/VRGenAIfor
TextSocialSalesGenAI
forImagesGamblingOnlineMarketplacesMobile CustomerGaming
ChatbotsSubscriptionBoxesMeal
KitsFood
DeliveryDatingAppsRideshare
AppsSocial
MediaPlatformsPlateau
will
be
reached
in:0-2
years 5-10
years2-5
years Morethan
10yearsSTATE
OF
CONSUMER
INTERNET
2025
10DollarsDealsDollarsDeals本報告來源于三個皮匠報告站(),由用戶Id:866864下載,文檔Id:618703,下載日期:2025-03-2322%24%
24%23%21%20%19%18%15%11%25%
25%25%33%20%21%20%15%12%
12%7%5%2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024Notes:
1)
Includes
USVC
funds
with
consumer
as
onestated
areaof
focus,
often
among
other
areas.2)
Consumeris
defined
according
toSVB’sproprietary
taxonomy.Source:
Preqin,
PitchBook
Data,
Inc.
and
SVB
analysis.$8B$31B$67B$25B$20B$8B$25B$25B$23B$23B$30B$65B$29B$27B$15B$9B1441822452083953132922012017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024DealsDollars12345Non-FoodConsumerGoods
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024EdTechE-CommerceEnablementMarketplacesHealth&
Fitness43%50%60%0%0%YoYChange
inUSVC
Deals74%63%50%52%58%64%26%37%50%48%42%36%2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024Consumer
InternetOther
SectorsConsumer-Focused
VCs
TheconsumerVClandscapeisfracturing.Big-namefirms
are
reallocating
to
enterprise
tech,
leaving
smallerfunds
to
redefine
the
future
of
consumer
investing.In
2024,
consumer
internet’s
share
of
VCinvestmentdollars
accounted
for
just5%
of
total
VC
dollars
from
thetop100mostactivefirms.2Boththeshareofdealsanddollarsgoingtoconsumercompaniesfromthesefirmshavebeensteadilydeclining,reflectingagrowingdividebetweengeneralistandconsumer-focused
funds.AsgeneralistVCspivottoenterprisetech,consumer-focused
funds
are
no
longer
just
concentrated
on
moretraditionalventure-backedconsumerproducts
suchas
consumer
goods.
Instead,
they
are
redefining
what
itmeans
to
be
a
“consumer”
company.
Today’s
consumermarketextendsbeyondphysicalgoodstoincludeAI,digitalexperiences,marketplacesandevensports—areasthatalignwithaparadigmlessreliantoncapitalsubsidizing
growth.Consumer
health
and
fitness
now
dominates
consumer-focusedVCportfoliosasthedemandforwellnesssolutionssurges.Incontrast,non-foodconsumergoodslikeclothingandbeautyhaveseentheirshareofdealsplummet,frombeingthemostcommoninvestmentsin2019
to
the
least
in
2024.ClosedAnnouncedFunds
AnnouncedSTATE
OF
CONSUMER
INTERNET
2025
11Consumersectorinvestmenttrendsareshiftingasmegadealsaremakingacomeback,capturing
alargershareof2024’s
investment
dollars.
While
smaller
deals
fade,investors
are
prioritizing
companies
that
don’t
just
use
AI,butarefundamentallybuilt
aroundit.Overall
deal
counts
have
plunged
since
2021,
highlightingamoreselectiveinvestmentenvironment.Investorsareconsolidating
capital
into
fewer,
higher-conviction
bets.Yet,withinthisslowdown,consumerAI’smomentumisaccelerating.MentionsofAIinconsumerearningscallshave
skyrocketed,
reflecting
its
growing
role
in
the
sector.Among
consumer
companies
funded
in
2024,
nearly
one-thirdincorporatedAIintotheirproductoffering,upfrom18%in
2023.TheAIdisruptionhascreatedaforkintheroadforconsumer-focusedVCs.Somefirms,suchas
AndreesenHorowitz,aretransitioningawayfromtraditionalconsumerinvestmentsentirelytofocusexclusivelyonconsumer
AI,
while
others
are
leaning
into
areas
seen
aslessdisreputablethanAI,suchassportsleaguesandconsumer
staples.BeyondAI,thestateofconsumerinternetreflectsabroader
recalibration.
The
era
of
flowing
capital
has
givenway
to
a
more
disciplined,
profitability-driven
approach.Notes:
1)
Consumer
deals
classified
by
SVB’staxonomy
include
digital
companies
spanning
e-commerce,
entertainment
and
marketplaces.2)
Includes
AI-related
keywords
within
earnings
transcripts
for
15
of
the
largest
public
consumer
tech
companies
including
Amazon,Meta,Netflixand
Google.Source:
PitchBook
Data,
Inc.
and
SVB
analysis.$13B$22B$23B$51B$33B$14B$15B2.2K2.4K$23B2.8K2.7K4.0K3.6K2.5K2.1K27%47%42%46%57%43%25%42%20172018201920202021202220232024Capital
InvestedDeal
CountPercentage
of
Capital
in
Deals
Over
$100M
5570100200300400500600700202020212022202320241801601401201008060402002019
2020
2021202220232024SeedABCDSTATE
OF
CONSUMER
INTERNET
2025
129%12%9%17%15%26%18%31%2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024Share
of
Consumer
AI
Capital0%10%20%30%40%50%60%-40%-30%-20%-10%
0%
10%
20%Median
YoY
Change
in
Burn30%
40%AsVCinvestmentdwindled,graduationrates
startedtoslide.Tokeepfromsputteringoutontherunway,companies
have
adjusted
their
burn,
but
not
withoutconsequencesto
growth.Consumergraduationrateshavehistoricallybeenlower
than
other
sectors.For
example,
seed
to
Series
Agraduation
rates
for
2020
were
five
percentage
pointslower
than
the
innovation
economy
at
large.
These
lowergraduationrateshaverecentlybeencompoundedbyalowersupplyofVCdollars.Today,graduationratesareless
than
a
quarter
of
what
they
were
in
2020.Withtheaddeduncertaintyofraisingafutureround,companies
have
focused
on
being
capital
efficient
andreducingburn.Asaresult,profitabilityforallsizesofconsumercompanieshasincreased,nearing
thehighestlevelinthelastdecade.Consequently,
runwayimproved
in
recent
quarters
despite
limited
investment.The
side
effects
of
improved
profitability,
reduced
burnand
extended
runway
include
lower
growth
rates.Consumer
companies,
more
so
than
other
sectors,depend
on
marketing
spend,
selling
products
at
a
lossandotheraggressivesalesstrategiesto
drivegrowth.Buttheseareoftennotcompatiblewithafocusonprofitability,sogrowthrateshavestagnated
atthe
lowest
point
in
the
last
decade.2018202120192020202220232024Revenue
Growth0%
-5%-10%-15%
-20%
-25%-30%-35%-40%-45%-50%$10M-$25MQ1Q3Q1Q3Q1Q3Q1Q3Q1Q3Q1Q3Q1Q32018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024051015202530$25M-$50M$50M+$10M-$25M$25M-$50M$50M+0%5%10%15%20%20240 3 6 9 1215182124273033
36Months20232022202120202019Notes:
1)
Revenue
calculated
at
the
current
run
rate
of
revenue
annualized.
2)
Median
EarningsBeforeInterest
Taxes
Depreciation
andAmortizationSource:
PitchBook
Data,
Inc.,
SVB
proprietary
data
and
analysis.STATE
OF
CONSUMER
INTERNET
2025
13Q1Q3Q1Q3Q1Q3Q1Q3Q1Q3Q1Q3Q1Q32018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024STATE
OF
CONSUMER
INTERNET
2025
14$35.0M$26.0M$34.0M$67.5M$32.5M$47.0M$6.5M$5.0M$9.0M$12.0M$9.2M$13.8M$125.0M$115.2M$196.0M$307.5M$40.0M$108.0MThegamingandesportslandscapesareevolvingasVCsadapttonewmarketrealities.Thistransitionreflectsdeeperchallengesinthegamingindustry.Saturatedmarkets,longdevelopmentcyclesandplayerretentionstrugglesaremakingearly-stagegamingatoughersell.Whilegamestudiosandinfrastructurestillreceivefunding,thesedaysmaysoonbebehindusasinvestorsprioritizemorescalableopportunities.Inamarketfloodedwithlookalikeofferings—manyofwhichtakeyearstodevelop—acquiringusersis
alreadyachallenge,butkeepingthemhookedlongenoughtobuildsustainablerevenueisprovingeven
harder.Asthelandscapeshifts,sodoinvestorpriorities.TraditionalconsumerVCsarebroadeningfromcoregaminginvestmentstoincludesportsleaguesandlotterycompanies.Atthesametime,gamblinggamescontinuetogrow,withsportsbe
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