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Automotive
Industry
IndustryInsights
SUMMER2025
Learnmore
IndustryHighlights
Overview
Globally,2024markedayearofslowgrowthfortheautomotiveindustry,asvolumesonlygrew1.7%to88.1millionunits.2025isexpectedtobeanotheryearofsluggishgrowth,withonlya1.6%forecastedincreaseinsalesvolumes.Salesareexpectedtobenegativelyimpactedbyweakercustomerdemand,mixedeconomicconditionsandpoliticalriskmarkedbyanuncertaintariffenvironment.1
In2024,U.S.autosalesgrew1.9%yearoveryear(YoY),withstrongsalesinthelastthreemonthsoftheyear.2For2025,salesareforecasttodropto15.4millionunitsasdemandsoftensandtariffimpactsincreasethecostofvehicles.3Electricvehicles(EVs)continuetogainmarketshareintheU.S.butgrewonly10%in2024comparedto40%in2023.Batteryelectricvehicles(BEVs)andplug-inhybridelectricvehicles(PHEVs)nowaccountfor10%ofnewcarsales.4
Chineseautosalesroseto31.4millionunitsin2024,up4.6%from2023.5Saleswereespeciallystronginthebackhalfof2024andthestartof2025ascertaingovernmentsubsidyprogramsandsalestaxexemptionsbuoyedconsumerdemand.6TheEVmarketinChinacontinuestoaccelerate.HelpedbytherecentgrowthofPHEVsales,nearlyhalfofallnewcarssoldinChinain2024wereelectric.7
InEurope,vehiclesalesin2024increased0.9%comparedto2023.8Growthslowedduetolowerdemand,politicaluncertainty,andtheendingofcertainEVsubsidiesinmajorEuropeanmarkets.1Mutedsalesresultscontinuedinto2025,assalesforthefirstquarteraredown0.4%YoY.9AlthoughBEVshavelostsomemarketshare,anincreaseinhybridsaleshasdriventhemarketshareofallEVsover50%for2024.8
M&Aactivityintheautomotivesectorcontinueditsdeclinethroughtheendof2024andinto202510duetouncertaineconomicandgeopoliticaldynamics.11Seventy-seventransactionsclosedinthefirstquarterof2025,down46%fromthefirstquarterof2024,representingthelowestquarterlytotalinover10years.10
.
PubliccompanyequityperformanceinselectedautomotiveindexeswasmixedthroughApril2025,withtheAutomotiveMobility,AutomotiveAftermarketPartsandRepairandAutomotiveSuppliersindicesinpositiveterritoryTheAutomotiveDealers,AutomotiveOriginalEquipmentManufacturers(OEMs),and
EVindicesendedtheperiodinthenegative.10
2
ExecutiveSummary
GlobalLightVehicleSalesGrowthSlowedin2024andinto20251
GlobalAutoSalesExpectedtoGrow
Modestlyin2025,HamperedbyTariffs1
TariffImpacts:U.S.VehicleSalesEstimatesLoweredby850Kfor20253
TariffImpacts:U.S.VehiclePricesEstimatedtoIncreaseby$2Kto$10K3,18
AutomotiveM&AActivityRemainsWeakin202510
3
GlobalAutoSalesTrends
GlobalVehicleSales
Globalvehiclesalesslowedin2024afterastrongreboundin2023.Salesgrew1.7%to88.1million,butvolumesarestillbelowpre-COVID-19levels.TheChinesemarketgrewover4%asincentivesandtaxexemptionsdrovestrongersalesinthesecondhalfoftheyear.TheU.S.marketgrewmodestlyat2%,whileEuropehadthelowest
growthamongthetopthreeautomarketsin2024,growingatonly1%.1
EVadoptioncontinuestodifferbyregion.In2024,over20%ofnewcarssoldgloballywereBEVsorPHEVs.1Chinacontinuestodominatethespace,withEVsalesmakingupnearlyhalfofallnewcars.7InEurope,over22%ofnewcarsareBEVsorPHEVs.9TheU.S.lagstheothertwomajormarketsatonly10%electricmarketshare.4For2025,itisexpectedthatoneinfourcarssoldgloballywillbeanEV.1
Toyotaremainedtheglobaltop-sellingbrandin2024,witha10.7%marketshare,thesameas2023.Volkswagenremainedinsecondplace.BYDjumpedintothirdplacein2024,upfromninthin2023.BYDhadthestrongestsalesgrowthofthetopbrands,increasinganastounding42%in2024.12
Globally,vehiclesalesareprojectedtoincreasejust1.6%in2025to89.5millionunits.Salesareexpectedtobehamperedbyglobalpoliticalandeconomicuncertainty,especiallywithregardtotariffs.DemandisexpectedtobesofterintheU.S.andEuropeevenwiththepositiveimpactsoflowerinterestratesandnewmodelactivity.1,6
Brand
BestsellingVehicle
Brand%of2024MarketShare
2023
Rank
AnnualGlobalVehicleSales
15%
100.0
95.394.3
90.2
86.6
88.189.5
10%
77.880.779.5
80.0
UnitsinMillions
5%
Growth
60.0
0%
40.0
-5%
20.0
-10%
-15%
0.0
201720182019202020212022202320242025F
UnitsGrowth
Sources:
“Globalcarmarketintheslowlane:ChinasoarsaheadoftheWestinelectrification,”ING,January22,2025.
2024GlobalBestsellingBrands
1.
ToyotaCorolla
10.7%
1
2.
VolkswagenTiguan
5.8%
2
3.
BYDSONG
4.5%
9
4.
HondaCR-V
4.4%
3
5.
FordF-Series
4.3%
5
4
Sources:
“WorldBestSellingCarRanking2024.TeslaModelYKeepstheLeadershipforaBreath,”Focus2Move,January30,2025.
“WorldBestSellingCar2024.TheTop25BrandsRanking,”Focus2Move,January29,2025.
Alltrademarks,tradenames,orlogosreferencedhereinarethepropertyoftheirrespectiveowners.
GlobalTariffImpacts
May12,2025:TheU.S.
andChinacametoa
temporarydealontariffs
betweenthem.TheU.S.
temporarilyreducedits
tariffsonChinesegoodsto30%,insteadofthe
proposed145%.Chinadecreaseditstariffson
U.S.goodsfrom125%downto10%.
April9–April11,2025:TheU.S.
imposeda125%tariffonChinaaftertheydidnotlifttheirretaliatorytariffsonU.S.importedgoods.
Simultaneously,theU.S.announceda90-daypauseoftariffsonother
countries.Thenextday,China
imposedan84%tariffonallU.S.
goodsandtheEUpausedits
retaliatorytariffsontheU.S.for90
days.OnApril11,ChinaraisedtariffsagainonU.S.goodsto125%.
April1–April3,2025:OnApril1,
2025,theEUplannedtoimplementretaliatorytariffsof25%onalistofU.S.products.Twodayslateron
“LiberationDay,”theU.S.
announceda25%tariffonall
importedautomobiles.Thisappliedtolight-dutyvehiclesandtrucks,
butnotmediumorheavy-dutytrucks.
April29,2025:TheU..S
governmentoffered
temporaryreliefto
automakersfromthe25%
tariffimposedonMarch3.Itprovidedautomakersatwo-yeartimeframetomove
productionbackintotheU.S.
January20,2025:DonaldTrumpwasswornintoofficeandbecamethenewpresidentoftheUnitedStates
(POTUS).Inhisinauguraladdress
POTUSpromisedto“tariffandtax
foreigncountriestoenrichourcitizens”andreiteratedhisstanceonincreasing
globaltariffs.
GlobalTariffTimeline–KeyDatesImpactingtheAutomotiveIndustry
March4–March6,2025:TheU.S.implementeda25%tariffongoodsfromCanadaandMexicoanddoubleditstariffon
Chinesegoodsto20%.Canadaannouncedretaliatorytariffsof25%onU.S.productsandmaterialssuchasEVs,trucks,
buses,steel,andaluminum.OnMarch6,2025,the25%tariffonCanadianandMexicangoodswasadjustedtoapplyto
goods/productsnotincompliancewiththeUnitedStates-Mexico-CanadaAgreement(USMCA).
Jan.’25Feb.’25Mar.’25Apr.’25May’25
March12,2025:PresidentTrump
reinstatedtariffsof25%onsteeland
aluminumimportsintotheU.S.Canadarespondedwithretaliatorytariffsof
25%onU.S.steelandaluminumgoods/products.
April5,2025:Astandard10%tariffwasappliedtoallcountriesexcept
CanadaandMexicofromtheU.S.,
althoughmanycountriesalreadyhadmuchhighertariffrates(China:34%,
EU:20%,Vietnam:46%,andTaiwan:32%).
May3,2025:TheU.S.
governmentimplemented
tariffsof25%onforeignautocomponentsandparts.
April13–April15,2025:Chinahaltedtheexportofrareearthmineralsandmetals,suchas
samarium,gadolinium,terbium,andothersthat
arecrucialtothemanufacturingofautomobiles
andvariousothergoods.OnApril15th,PresidentTrump’sadministrationdecidedtoincrease
tariffsonallChineseimportstotheU.S.to245%.
AutomotiveOEMsIndexTimeline
5.0%
0.0%
-5.0%
-10.0%
-15.0%
-20.0%
31-Dec-2415-Jan-2530-Jan-2514-Feb-251-Mar-2516-Mar-2531-Mar-2515-Apr-2530-Apr-2515-May-25
Sources:
S&PCapitalIQ,May2025.
5
SamanShafiq,“TranscriptofDonaldTrump’sSpeech:FullTextofTrump’sInauguralAddress,”USAToday,January20,2025.DebbieBoyce,“U.S.AutoTariffs–TimelineandImpactontheAutoRelocationIndustry,”ReindeerLogistics,May5,2025.
“OfficialCBPStatementOnTariffs,”U.S.CustomsandBorderProtection,March8,2025.
GlobalTariffImpacts
ImpactofTariffsontheU.S.AutomotiveIndustry
GlobalAutomotiveProduction
Forecasts3
2025U.S.AutomotiveSales
PricesofNewCars3,18
Estimates3
2025forecastloweredby
1.7million
units,or1.9%
ExpectedtoIncrease$2,000to$10K
2026forecastloweredby
1.9million
units,or2.1%
Loweredfrom16.25millionunitsto
15.40millionunits,down850K(5.2%)
TheintroductionofnewtariffsintotheautomotiveindustryisexpectedtohaveasignificantimpactonbothOEMsandsuppliersintheU.S.Theincreasedcostsassociatedwiththesetariffsisexpectedtoleadtohigherpricesforconsumersamonganalreadyuncertaineconomicbackdropandhigherinflation.ThiscouldaffectU.S.OEMs,as
lowerdemandandhigherinputpriceswillleadtoshrinkingprofitmarginsandfewercashflowsforotheroperating,investing,orfinancingactivities.19Largecapital
investmentsareexpectedtodiminishintheshorttermascompanieswillbehesitanttoreconfiguretheiroperationsbasedonback-and-forthtradenegotiationsand
potentialpolicychangesinthenextadministration.Inthemeantime,U.S.automakersandsuppliersaretakingsomeofthemeasuresbelowtomitigatetheimpactsoftariffsgoingforward:20
1.QuantifyingExposureandDevelopingShort-TermPlans:assessingvulnerabilitytorisinginputcosts
2.ManagingInventoryinHigh-RiskAreas:buildingupinventorytobuytimetoreachfullUSMCAcomplianceandalleviateuncertainty
3.EvaluatingProductionandSourcingPlans:assessingproduction,supplychain,andprocurement,withthepossibilityofchangingsupplychainstrategiesbasedonwhichtariffsareimplemented
4.BolsteringTradeComplianceandReviewingPartnerships:partneringwithotherOEMstomanagecapacityneedsorpotentiallyutilizeaco-productionplatform.(e.g.,FordandVolkswagen).
6
GlobalTariffImpacts
PercentageofVehiclesImportedtotheU.S.22
ImpactsofTariffsontheGlobalAutomotiveIndustry
100%
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
90%
81%80%
Europe:
65%63%
52%51%
46%45%45%
Approximately3.4millionvehicleswereexportedfromGermanyin2024,withtheU.S.beingthetopdestination.Export-dependentcountrieslikeGermanyarefacingincreasinglynegativeimpactsfromglobaltariffs.21
35%
ManyEuropeanautomakershaveresortedtothestrategyofexportingasmany
21%
0%
vehiclestotheU.S.aspossiblebeforethetariffskickin.Thisstrategyofstockpilingexportsisaimedatavoidinghigherduties,atleastforafewmonths.21
Throughnegotiations,theUKgovernmentreducedautotariffsby10%onupto100KBritishcars.21
HighImpactModerateImpactLowImpact
EstimatedTariffImpacttoJapaneseOEMs($inBillions)23
Asia:
$12.0
$10.0
$8.0
$6.0
$4.0
$2.0
$0.0
$10.7
$4.5
$3.0$2.6$2.3
ToyotaHondaNissanSubaruMazda
Japan’sbiggestautomakersarefacingimpactsfromU.S.tariffsthatcouldcostbillionsofdollarstooperatingincome.Manyoftheindustry’stopbrandscut
managementforecastsforthisyearorwithheldguidancealtogether.23
Companiesarescramblingtoshiftoperations:HondahasdelayedplanstoexpandanEVfactoryinCanada,NissanhasstoppedU.S.ordersforSUVsbuiltinMexico,andMazdaisstoppingsomeexportstoCanada.23
InSouthKorea,companiesintheautosupplierandtireindustriesareexploring
operationalchanges,suchasmodifyingproductionplansandupdatingsupply
chainstrategies.SupplierswithaU.S.-basedmanufacturingfootprint,including
HyundaiMobis,HankookTireandKumhoTire,areworkingtoincreaseproductionattheirlocalplants.24
7
AutomotiveLandscapebyGeography
NorthAmericanAutoSalesTrends
U.S.vehiclesalesendedtheyearhigher,finishing2024withnearly15.9millionunitssold,a2%increaseover2023.Improvedinventoryvolumesandhigherincentivesledtosteadynew-vehiclesales.Saleswereespeciallystronginthefourthquarterof2024.AftertheU.S.electionseason,manycustomerspurchasedcarsinNovemberand
Decemberbeforeanypolicychangescouldbeimplemented,suchasarollbackofEVsubsidiesortariffsthatwouldincreaseprices.2
Forecastedsalesfor2025intheU.S.arenowat15.4millionunitsduetotariffimpacts,downfrompreviousestimatesof16.25million.2026estimatesof15.25million
are1.1millionlowerthanapriorforecastof16.35million.Withtariffspossiblyincreasingthecostsofimportedandmanufacturedcars,itwouldbedifficulttopassonthefullcosttocustomers,especiallywithdemandalreadysoftening,negativelyimpactingindustryprofitability.3AfterthecancellationofcertainEVsubsidies,EVgrowthis
expectedtobeimpacted,withEVshareexpectedtoremainaround10%ofnewcarsalesinsteadofgrowinginmarketshare.1
Pickuptrucksonceagainwerethetop-two-sellingvehiclesin2024,despitedeclinesinsalesforboththeFordF-SeriesandtheChevroletSilverado.TheRamPickup
droppedfromthirdplacein2023tofifthin2024afterasalesdeclineofover16%.Tesladoesn’treportsalesfiguresinthesamemannerasotherautomanufacturers,sotheyareexcludedfromthetablebelow.TheTeslaModelYsoldanestimated405,900unitsin2024,whichwouldbethesecond-highest-sellingSUVaftertheToyota
UnitsinMillions
YearlyU.S.VehicleSales
20.0
18.0
16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
17.417.516.4
17.3
17.2
17.0
15.915.415.3
15.6
15.5
15.0
14.7
13.7
RAV4.25
2024U.S.BestsellingVehicles
Model
Make
UnitsSold
Changefrom2023
1.
FordF-Series
732,139
-2.5%
2.ChevroletSilverado
542,517
-2.3%
3.
ToyotaRAV4
475,193
9.3%
4.
HondaCRV
402,791
11.4%
5.
RamPickup
373,120
-16.1%
Sources:
“The25BestsellingCars,Trucks,andSUVsof2024,”CarandDriver,January8,2025.
Alltrademarks,tradenames,orlogosreferencedhereinarethepropertyoftheirrespectiveowners.
Sources:
“U.S.AutoIndustrySalesAnalysis,”GoodCarBadCar,March2024.
8
“CoxAutomotiveForecast:DrivenbyaStrongQ4andaPost-ElectionBoost,U.S.AutoSalesBeatExpectationsin2024,ExpectedtoFinishAbove15.8Million,BestResultSince2019,”CoxAutomotive,January6,2025.
MichaelGauthier,“GoldmanSachsDropsAGrimPredictionForU.S.CarSales,”CarScoops,April10,2025.
AutomotiveLandscapebyGeography
ChineseAutomotiveLandscape
Chineseautomotivesalesgrewto31.4millionunitsin2024,up4.6%from2023.5Afteranexpectedslowstartto2024duetotheLunarNewYearholiday,sales
reboundedinthesecondhalfof2024duetogovernmentstimulusmeasuresandaggressivepromotionsbymanufacturersanddealers.27Salesinthefirstquarterof2025increasedby11.2%comparedtothefirstquarterof2024.5
For2025,autosalesareexpectedtogrowbetween2%and5%.1DespiteasluggishChineseeconomyandweakerunderlyingdemand,EVsalestaxexemptionsandarecentlyincreasedsubsidytrade-inprogramareexpectedtodrivesalesgrowththroughtheendof2025.6ExportsofChinese-madevehiclesareexpectedtogrow6%in2025inspiteoftariffsandincreasingprotectionism.27
TheChineseEVmarketcontinuedtogrowin2024.EVmarketsharedroppedtostarttheyearbutreachedrecordlevelsasEVsoutsoldcombustionenginesinthesecondhalfof2024.EVsreacheda48%marketshareforthefullyear.BEVsalesslowedbutstillmadeupmorethanhalfofEVsales.TotalEVmarketshareis
expectedtobeover50%forthefullyear2025.7InadditiontohelpfromEVtaxexemptionsandgovernmenttrade-inprograms,globalpricesofbatterypackscontinuedtofallin2024,droppingby20%.Withbatterypricesexpectedtofallfurther,EVsmaybecomemoreaffordable.1
60.0%
ChineseMonthlyAutoSales
4.00
EVMonthlyMarketShare
50.0%
3.50
VehiclesinMillions
40.0%
3.00
30.0%
2.50
2.00
20.0%
1.50
10.0%
1.00
0.0%
0.50
0.00
Sources:
ChinaAssociationofAutomobileManufacturers.
9
MonthlyVehicleSalesFour-MonthMovingAverageEVMonthlyMarketShare
“China–AutomotiveSalesVolume,2025,”Marklines,May12,2025.
CleanTechnica.
AutomotiveLandscapebyGeography
EuropeanAutomotiveLandscape
In2024,carregistrationsgrewmodestlyat0.9%to12.96millionnewregistrationsintheEU,EuropeanFreeTradeAssociation(EFTA)andUKcombined,comparedto12.85millionin2023.8Spainhadstrong7.1%growthYoYduetoextensionsofincentivesforEVs.1TheotherthreelargestEUmarketsofGermany,France,andItalyhaddeclinesof1.0%,3.2%and0.5%,respectively.TheUKmarketgrew2.6%in2024onthebackofEVmandates.1,8Inthefirstquarterof2025,totalEuropean
registrationsdeclined0.4%comparedtothefirstquarterof2024,asanuncertainglobaleconomyweighedonconsumersandautomanufacturers.9
TheEuropeanEVmarketimprovedin2024comparedto2023.FortheEU+EFTA+UK,EVmarketshareincreasedto54.1%ofallnewregistrations.HEVscontinueto
bethepreferredelectricchoiceforEuropeancustomerswitha31.4%marketsharein2024,accountingfornearlyallthegrowthinEVmarketshare.Marketshareof
BEVsfellfrom15.7%in2023to15.4%in2024.PHEVsalsosawdecliningmarketsharein2024.8Inthefirstquarterof2025,HEVsandBEVscontinuedtogainshareasthecombinedshareofgasolineanddieselcarsfellto36.5%.9
Fortherestof2025,vehiclesalesareprojectedtogrowjust1%over2024.LowerinterestratesandareboundinEVsalesareexpectedtosupportthelimitedmarketgrowthdespitepoliticaluncertainty,tariffs,andotherpricepressuresformanufacturers.1,6
2024NewCarFuelTypes
EuropeanMonthlyAutoRegistrations
NewRegistrationsinThousands
20.0%
2.5%
7.3%
33.0%
15.4%
31.4%10.4%
1,500
YearOverYearGrowth
11.6%
12.0%10.1%
1,200
10.0%
Gasoline
3.6%
4.1%
Diesel
0.4%
0.1%
900
-2.0%
-2.6%
-2.8%
HybridElectric
-4.2%
0.0%
600
BatteryElectric
Plug-InHybrid
-10.0%
300
-16.5%
Other
0
-20.0%NovDec
2024YoYGrowth
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct
2023Registrations2024Registrations2025Registrations
Source:TheEuropeanAutomobileManufacturers’Association
10
Note:MonthlyregistrationsrepresentnewpassengercarregistrationsintheEU,EFTA,andUK
PublicCompanyTradingStatistics
PublicCompanyEquityPerformance
Overthepasttwoyears,theautomotiveindexesvariedsignificantlyinperformance.AutomotiveMobilitywasthehighestperformer,rising106.9%duetoincreasesinride-sharingcompaniessincethethirdquarterof2023.TheElectricVehiclesindexcloselyfollowedTesla’sstockprice,surgingtoend2024beforedeclininginto2025,endingthetwo-yearperiodup100.0%.TheAutomotiveAftermarketPartsandRepairindex,andtheAutomotiveDealersandAutomotiveOEMsindicesbeattheS&P500overthetwo-yearperiod.TheAutomotiveSuppliersindexwastheonlyindextoendtheperiodinthenegativeatadeclineof15.4%.10
Intheyear-to-date(YTD)periodthatendedMay15,2025,theAutomotiveMobilityindexwasthelargestgainer,up38.3%,aboveAutomotiveAftermarketPartsandRepairat15.0%andAutomotiveSuppliersat3.8%.TheotherindicesendedtheYTDperiodinnegativeterritoryasconsumerconfidencefellamidfearsofnewpriceincreasescausedbytariffs.10,28
YTD2025EquityMarketPerformance
LastTwoYearsEquityMarketPerformance
50.0%
200.0%
38.3%
40.0%
30.0%
150.0%
20.0%
15.0%
106.9%
10.0%
100.0%
100.0%
3.8%
0.6%
(1.1%)
(-2.2%)
(14.8%)
0.0%
-10.0%
50.0%
33.5%
27.1%
5.9%
4.3%
-20.0%
-30.0%
0.0%
(15.4%)
-40.0%
-50.0%
-50.0%
May-25
31-Dec-2430-Jan-251-Mar-2531-Mar-2530-Apr-25
May-23Aug-23Nov-23Feb-24May-24Aug-24Nov-24Feb-25
S&P500AutomotiveAftermarketPartsandRepairAutomotiveSuppliersAutomotiveMobilityAutomotiveOEMsAutomotiveDealersElectricVehicles
11
Note:Representsthemostactivelytradedpublicautomotivesectorcompanies
Source:S&PCapitalIQasofApril30,2025
PublicCompanyTradingStatistics
HistoricalTradingMultiples
TheAutomotiveOEMsaretradingat7.2xlasttwelvemonths(LTM)earningspershare,downapproximately1.0xfromtheirfive-yearmedianprice-to-earnings(P/E)multipleof8.1x.TheAutomotiveAftermarketindexiscurrentlytradingabout2.0xlowerthantheirfive-yearmedianEnterpriseValue/EBITDAmultiple.AutomotiveDealermultipleshaveincreasedinthelasttwoyears,currentlytradingat8.5x,upfrom4.9xin2022and6.6xin2023.AutomotiveSuppliersaretradingbelowtheirfive-yearmedianmultipleof6.1x.10
HistoricalP/EMultiplesSince2020
HistoricalEBITDAMultiplesSince2020
20.0x
20.0x
5-YearMedian:13.7x
16.8x
15.6x
16.0x
14.6x
16.0x
13.7x
13.1x
5-YearMedian:8.1x
5-YearMedian:6.6x
11.7x
11.3x
12.0x
12.0x
5-YearMedian:6.1x
9.8x
8.2x
8.4x8.5x6.6x
7.3x7.2x6.8x
8.1x
8.0x
8.0x
6.7x
6.9x
5.7x
6.1x
5.3x4.9x
4.5x4.4x
4.0x
4.0x
0.0x
0.0x
AutomotiveOEMs
AutomotiveAftermarketAutomotiveDealersAutomotiveSuppliers
FY2019FY2020
FY2021.FY2022FY2023LTMasof5/15/25
Note:MultipleshavebeenadjustedhistoricallytoreflectcorrespondingadjustmentsmadeintheAutomotiveValuationDeckonpages3–7
12
Note:LTM=latesttwelvemonths
Source:S&PCapitalIQasofMay15,2025,andcompanyfilings
M&AActivity
HistoricalM&AActivitybyQuarter
YearlyM&Aactivityintheautomotivesectorhasdeclinedoverthelastfewyears.Asinterestratesincreasedthroughout2022and2023,volumefelltoonly585closeddealsin2023.Withstill-elevatedinterestratesandmarketuncertaintythroughout2024,only508dealswereclosed.ThroughApril2025,only98dealsclosed,on
paceforthelowestM&Avolumeinyears.10
Onaquarterlybasis,activityslowedthroughout2023and2024.Dealactivitywassuppressedbyelevatedinterestrates,globalpoliticaluncertainty,andfallingconsumerdemand.11Inthefirstquarterof2025,only77dealswereclosed,thelowestquarterlyvolumeinoveradecade.10
AutomotiveIndustryYearlyM&A
AutomotiveIndustryQuarterlyM&A
NumberofClosedTransactions
200
300
244
NumberofClosedTransactions
250
215
202
194
185179185
167163168
153
146142
150
123
130124128126112
95
100
77
50
0
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
754769
654
585
565
508
98
201920202021202220232024YTD
2025
Note:Alltransactionsclosedintherespectivetimeperiod
Source:S&PCapitalIQ
13
M&AActivity
NotableIndustryM&ATransactions
KunshanVeritas
MitoyoCo.,Ltd.ChitaKogyoCo.,Ltd.
AutomotiveSystems
Co.,Ltd.
hasbeenacquiredby
hasbeenacquiredby
hasbeenacquiredby
hasbeenacquiredby
hasbeenacquiredby
hasbeenacquiredby
Feb.2025
Mar.2025
Apr.2025
Mar.2025
Apr.2025
Apr.2025
hasbeenacquiredby
hasbeenacquiredby
hasbeenacquiredby
hasbeenacquiredby
hasbeenacquiredby
hasbeenacquiredby
Nov.2024
Oct.2024
Dec.2024
Oct.2024
Oct.2024
Jan.2025
hasbeenacquiredby
hasbeenacquiredby
hasbeenacquiredby
hasbeenacquiredby
hasbeenacquiredby
hasbeenacquiredby
EUROPASOLARS.a.r.l.
Aug.2024
Jul.2024
Jul.2024
Jul.2024
Apr.2024
Sep.2024
14
SolvencyOpinion
AmericanTrailerWorldCorp.,a
portfoliocompanyofBainCapital,LP,hascompletedaleveraged
dividendrecapitalizationtransaction.
SolvencyOpinion
Airxcel,Inc.,aportfoliocompanyofLCatterton,hascompleteda
comprehensivereorganizationtransaction.
SolvencyOpinion
JHTHoldings,Inc.hascompletedaleverageddividendrecapitalizationtransaction.
FinancialadvisortotheboardofdirectorsofJHTHoldings,Inc.
FairnessOpinion
eHiCarServicesLimitedwas
acquiredbyaconsortiumof
investors,includingitschairman;
MBKPartnersFundIV,L.P.;and
BaringPrivateEquityAsiaLimited.
Financialadvisortothespecial
committeeofindependentdirectorsofeHiCarServicesLimited.
FairnessOpinion
SORLAutoParts,Inc.
(NasdaqGM:SORL)hasbeenacquiredbyaninsider-led
consortiuminagoing-privatetransaction.
Financialadvisortothespecial
committeeofindependentdirectorsoftheboardofdirectorsofSORLAuto
Parts,Inc.
SolvencyOpinion
KARAuctionServices,Inc.
(NYSE:KAR)hascompletedthespin-offofIAA,Inc.
FinancialadvisortotheboardofdirectorsofKARAuctionServices,Inc.
SelectKrollAutomotiveTransactionExperience
FairnessOpinion
FenixParts,Inc.hasbeenacquiredbyStellexCapitalManagementLP.
FinancialadvisortotheboardofdirectorsofFenixPartsInc.
FairnessOpinion
DaimlerAG(XTRA:DAI)hassettledtwoarbitrationmatterswiththe
FederalRepublicofGermany
relatedtoitsjointventureinterestinTollCollectGmbH.
Financialadvisortotheboardof
managementofDaimlerAGandDaimlerFinancialServicesAG.
15
FairnessOpinion
JohnsonControlsInc.hassolditsPowerSolutionsbusinessto
BrookfieldBusinessPartnersL.P.
FinancialadvisortotheboardofdirectorsofJohnsonControlsInc.
SolvencyOpinion
Cap-ConAutomotiveTechnologiesLtd.,aportfoliocompanyofThe
JordanCompany,hascompletedaleverageddividendrecapitalizationtransaction.
Financialadvisortotheboard
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