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文檔簡介
Landscape
ofHigher
Education
ReportHigherEd’sStrategicImperative
forTransformationin
aShiftingLandscape2026ExecutiveSummaryHigher
education
is
entering
a
decade
of
structural
change
where
volatility
will
be
the
norm,
not
the
exception.
Economicinstability,demographicdeclineand
thedisruptivepowerof
AIareconvergingintoadefiningquestion
for
highereducation
leaders:Willyour
institution
shapethefuture,
or
be
shapedby
it?TheMarketRealityTraditionalstudentenrollmentbasehaspeaked.Beginningin2026,institutions
willlargelyfaceasustaineddecline
intraditional-agedundergraduates.
Meanwhile,enrollmentgrowthisconcentratedinnew
markets:adult
learners
seeking
rapid
reskilling,
highschoolstudents
acceleratingthroughdual
enrollment
and
the
millions
ofAmericans
with“somecollege,nocredential”whoremainasignificantscalableopportunityforgrowth.The
impactwill
not
befeltevenly
across
institutions.Some
layersof
immunity
are
built
intothe
higher
education
infrastructure
for
flagshippublicinstitutionsandhighlyselectiveprivateinstitutions
withsubstantialendowments.
The
remaining
institutions
are
moreexposedtotheshiftsdescribed
in
this
summary
and
report.
Institutions
that
clingto
historicstudent
pipelinesand
insistontryingto
holdontothe
status
quowillface
contraction.Those
that
pivot
decisively
will
build
a
sustainable
future
for
growth,
based
on
serving
the
ModernLearnerof
today
and
the
future.The
ValueImperativeWhile
the
data
proves
the
enduring
wage
premium
of
a
college
degree,
public
skepticism
of
higher
education’s
value
continuesto
deepen.
Institutions
cannot
afford
passive
defense
ofthestatus
quo.Towin
trust,
institutions
mustleadboldlywithoutcomesbypublishingtransparentdata,strengtheningemployerpartnershipsandshowing
tangiblecareerpathwaysineveryprogram.This
is
not
just
marketing;
it
isa
blueprintfor
a
sustainablefoundation
andfuturegrowth.The
TechnologyShiftArtificialIntelligencehasredefinedbothhowstudentssearch
and
howgraduateswork.AI-driventoolsare
already
guiding
prospective
students’
choices,
often
before
a
college
has
the
chance
to
engage
them.
In
today’s
evolvingsearchenvironment,
an
institution
mustdeploy
newstrategies
to
build
and
maintain
discoverability
and
communicate
value,outcomesandbrandinanonlineenvironment
thatnowincludes
AIenginesinaddition
tosocial
mediaandthetraditionalsearchexperience.Atthesametime,AIisreshapingtheskillsrequiredforlong-termemployability.
InstitutionsthatweaveAIliteracy
into
programs,while
doubling
down
on
human
skills
likejudgment,
creativity
and
ethical
reasoning,will
produce
graduateswhothriveinafuturewherepeopleandmachinesworksidebyside.CONFIDENTIALINFORMATIONOFEDUCATIONDYNAMICS,LLC
Copyright?2025EducationDynamics,LLC.
AllRightsReserved.2LeadershipImperativesThe
message
of
this
report
is
clear:
status
quo
protectionism
and
incrementalism
are
a
recipe
for
irrelevance.
Leadersmustdrivetransformationacrossthreedimensions:01
Portfolio–
Investinhigh-demand,career-orientedprogramswhilesunsettingunderperformingofferings.02Positioning
–
Unify
brand
and
enrollment
strategies
to
speakwith
one
clearvoice
to
all
ModernLearners
AND
meetthe
learnerwheretheyare,while
reinforcingthethreecritical
messagingcomponents
of
cost,
convenienceandcareeroutcomes.03
Culture–Instilla
student-centricculturebuilton
valuesandoutcomes.Investboldly
tocommunicate
value
anddeliveronthepromiseofthelong-termreturnoninvestmentinhighereducation.ADefiningMomentThisisaonce-in-a-generationleadershipmoment.Leaders
whoembracethedisruptionasopportunity
willnotonly
safeguardinstitutionalsustainability,but
they
willalsoredefine
theroleofhighereducationin
thelifeof
theModern
Learner.Thosewhohesitateorfailtoactdecisivelyriskfallingbehindinamarketplacethatisnowunforgiving.EducationDynamics
stands
ready
to
partner
with
institutions
who
are
prepared
to
act
boldly
and
leaders
who
recognizethatmeetingtheModern
Learner
wheretheyareisnot
justanenrollmentstrategy,butthenewmissionof
highereducationitself.CONFIDENTIALINFORMATIONOFEDUCATIONDYNAMICS,LLC
Copyright?2025EducationDynamics,LLC.
AllRightsReserved.3Key
TakeawaysCONFIDENTIALINFORMATIONOFEDUCATIONDYNAMICS,LLC
Copyright?2025EducationDynamics,LLC.
AllRightsReserved.4KeyTakeaway1AnUnstableEconomic
and
EmploymentLandscapeUncertaintyandinstabilityare
thenewconstantsina
globaleconomyundergoingsignificantstructuralchange.
The
labormarketisdefinedbyinconsistentand
fluctuatingindicatorsthatmake
futuretrendsdifficulttopredict.
While
overall
unemployment
remains
relatively
low,thistop-line
number
masks
underlyingweaknesses,
includingweak
jobcreationandloweremployeequitrates,whichsignalwidespreadeconomicanxietyandaworkforcehesitantto
makeboldcareermoves.
Thiscreatesachallengingenvironment
where
the
traditionalpromiseofadegreeneeds
to
bemorecompellingthanever.Amid
this
instability,
a
fundamental
paradox
has
emerged:
a
college
education
maintains
a
strong,
undeniable
correlationwith
higheremployment
rates,yetthe
public’s
perceptionof
itsvalue
is
in
asteep
and
steady
decline.
Thismisalignednarrativeputsimmensepressure
oninstitutionstoreclaim
their
story.Inamarketplacenow
defined
by
disruption
and
deep-seated
skepticism,
it
is
no
longer
enough
to
simply
possessvalue;you
must
aggressively,
transparently
and
relentlessly
prove
your
return
on
investment
to
every
prospective
student
and
continue
to
reinforcethismessagewithallstakeholders,includingyourstudents,alumni,industryandpoliticians.CONFIDENTIALINFORMATIONOFEDUCATIONDYNAMICS,LLC
Copyright?2025EducationDynamics,LLC.
AllRightsReserved.5KeyTakeaway2ARadically
Transformed
EnrollmentEnvironmentThe
enrollment
environment
has
notjust
evolved;
it
has
been
radically
and
permanently
transformed.While
fall
2024
showed
surface-level
enrollment
growth,
this
figure
conceals
faults
in
the
foundation.
The
demographic
cliffis
no
longerafuturethreatto
bediscussedin
boardrooms;
it
isa
present
reality
that
is
impacting
recruitment
funnels
today.
Fall
2025
was
the
demographic
high-water
mark
for
traditional-aged
undergraduates.
If
current
enrollment
rates
hold,
institutions
must
preparefor
a
sharp,
sustained
decline
intraditional
undergraduate-aged
students
beginning
in
2026andcontinuing
intotheforeseeablefuture.Transformative
leaders
are
already
acting
withurgentfocustoattractandservepreviouslyunderservedstudentmarkets.The
lessonsfromthesetrendsare
anunmistakablecalltoaction.Growth
is
now
driven
by
non-traditional
populations.
Adult
learners
seeking
to
upskill
in
a
volatile
economy,
ambitious
dual-enrollment
high
school
students
accelerating
their
path
to
a
degree
and
professionals
returning
to
complete
a
credential
are
the
newlifeblood
of
enrollment.For
decades,
these
students
were
a
secondary
consideration.Today,theyaretheprimarymarket.
Institutionsthatfailtotransformtheirprograms,marketingand
supportservicestothisnewrealitywillnot
juststagnate;theywillbecomeirrelevant.Demand
is
shifting
atthe
degree
and
programmaticlevels.
The
continued
enrollment
growth
in
community
colleges
andcertificate
programs
underscoresthe
Modern
Learner’s
laserfocusoncareeralignment,
speedto
completion
andatangiblereturnontheireducationalinvestment.Meanwhile,programmaticgrowthisconcentratedincareer-
focused
fields
like
healthcare,
technology
and
business,
while
traditional
pillars
like
the
humanities
and
social
sciences
facecontraction.
Thisisnotanindictmentofliberalartseducation,butaclearsignal
thatallprogramsmust
nowanswerthequestion:
“Whatisthepathtoasustainablecareer?”CONFIDENTIALINFORMATIONOFEDUCATIONDYNAMICS,LLC
Copyright?2025EducationDynamics,LLC.
AllRightsReserved.6KeyTakeaway3AIisAnUnmistakableForcewithFar-ReachingImplicationsThemostpotent
accelerant
of
this
transformationis
therapidintegration
of
ArtificialIntelligence(AI).
AIisnot
anew
tool.
The
technologyhasbeen
around
for
well
over
a
decade.However,itis
a
disruptive
force
fundamentallyrewiring
theworldaround
us.
Its
impact
is
multifold.
It
hasshatteredthestudent
recruitmentfunnelwhilesimultaneously,
transformingtheacademicandlearningprocessandredefiningtheverynatureofafuture-proofcareer.Modern
Learners
have
already
adopted
AI
as
a
trusted
tool
for
information
gathering.
Everything
from
student
searchto
retention
is
now
impacted
byAI
insomeway.Thisshift
is
reshaping
marketingchannels
in
realtimeand
turningthestudent
journeyintoaself-directed,hyper-personalizedprocess.AI’sintegrationintothe
workforcecreatesanadditionalpressurepoint
forbothinstitutionandstudent.
Theroleof
AIinthe
futureof
workcreatesdeepuncertainty
forstudents,
whonowquestioniftheirchosen
field
willevenexist
inadecade.This
placesa
new
imperativeon
institutions:todeliver
an
educationthat
not
only
imparts
knowledge
but
also
cultivates
uniquely
human
skills
like
critical
thinking,
ethical
reasoning
and
creativity,
all
while
building
deepAI
literacy.
Thevalue
of
a
degree
must
now
be
considered
by
its
ability
to
prepare
graduates
to
thrive
in
a
collaborativefuturewithintelligentmachines.CONFIDENTIALINFORMATIONOFEDUCATIONDYNAMICS,LLC
Copyright?2025EducationDynamics,LLC.
AllRightsReserved.7KeyTakeaway4AMandate
for
Transformative
LeadershipIn
an
era
of
constant
disruption,
incremental
adjustments
and
siloed
thinking
are
recipes
for
failure.
The
data
presentedinthisreportisamandateforafundamental,institution-wideshiftinstrategyandafocusonpullingthe
right
levels
to
drive
growth
and
revenue.
Survival
and,
ultimately,
success
now
depend
on
abandoning
outdated
structuresandembracingaunifiedinstitutionalstrategycenteredunequivocallyontheModernLearner.01
Align
Program
Portfolios
with
High-Growth
Sectors:
The
market
has
spoken
and
its
message
is
clear.Institutions
must
move
beyondtradition-boundcurriculumcommitteesand
implementa
rigorous,
data-driven
process
to
evaluatetheir
programofferings.This
meansactivelyinvestingin
programsthat
alignwith
current
andfuture
labor
market
demands
and
provide
studentswith
clear
pathways
to
successful,
high-mobility
careers.
It
also
requiresthe
leadershipandcouragetosunsetunderperforming
programsthat
no
longer
serve
a
clear
market
need,reallocatingthoseresourcestowardinnovationandgrowth.02Embracea
Unified
Brandand
EnrollmentStrategy:The
lines
betweenstudent
populations—undergraduate,
graduate,online,adult—haveeffectivelybeenerasedbytheModernLearnermindset.
Theresoundingmessage
fromallModernLearnersisa
focuson
threekeycomponentsofhighereducation:cost,convenienceandcareer
outcomes.Thisunifiedapproachoptimizeslimitedcampusresources,effectivelyengagesall
Modern
Learners
andservesasablueprintforgrowth.CONFIDENTIALINFORMATIONOFEDUCATIONDYNAMICS,LLC
Copyright?2025EducationDynamics,LLC.
AllRightsReserved.8Afragmentedstrategythatreliesonsiloeddepartmentstorecruitthesestudentsasafterthoughtsisdestined
tofail
inthis
newenvironment.Adisconnected
messagethat
fails
to
communicate
what
students
value
most
is
rejected
byyour
key
audience.
In
contrast,
a
truly
unified
strategy
centralizes
brand
messaging,
marketing
resources
and
enrollment
processes,
allowing
institutions
to
engage
all
prospective
students
efficiently
and
effectivelywithaconsistent,compellingnarrativetailoredtotheirindividualneedsandpathways.03Lead
the
Conversation
on
Value
and
Outcomes:
With
the
public’s
perception
of
higher
education’s
value
eroding,
institutionscanno
longeraffordtobepassive.
Leaders
must
proactivelyandtransparently
communicatetheir
worth
in
the
language
of
the
Modern
Learner.
This
means
moving
beyond
vague
platitudes
and
focusing
on
measurablecareeroutcomes,tangiblestudentsuccessstoriesandthe
harddata
that
demonstrates
a
positive
return
on
their
educational
investment.
Remember:
data
is
knowledge
and
knowledge
is
power.
Use
your
outcomesdatatobuildanunassailablecaseforyourinstitution’senduringvalue.Thefutureofhighereducationbelongstothosewillingtobuildit.We’renotwaitingforenrollmenttrendstoreboundorforfundingstreamstostabilize.Webelievegrowthispossible,sustainableandmeasurablewheninstitutionstakecontroloftheirnarrativeandaligntheirstrategies
aroundwhatreallymovestheneedle.BrentRamdin,
CEO
ofEducationDynamicsThis
is
Not
Business
as
Usual.
Thisis
What,sNext.CONFIDENTIALINFORMATIONOFEDUCATIONDYNAMICS,LLC
Copyright?2025EducationDynamics,LLC.
AllRightsReserved.9The
U.S.
labor
market
serves
as
both
a
bellwether
and
a
driver
for
higher
education.
The
structural
shifts
occurring
in
the
economy
and
labor
market
serveasacallto
actionforfundamental
change
to
both
meet
and
shape
the
future
employmentlandscape
and
global
economy.
After
several
years
of
sustained
post-pandemic
growth,
employers
are
cautious
to
fund
growth,
resulting
in
slow
job
creation
and
diminishing
the
bargaining
power
of
job
seekersandemployees.Atthesame
time,
thenatureofwork
and
careersisevolving
due
to
technological,
socialanddemographic
factors.Astechnologydrives
innovationandevolution,workersareforcedtoinvestinupskillingand
reskilling
to
remain
relevant
and
productive.
Workers
and
their
employers
areturningto
higher
educationtosupport
continuous
learning,
seeking
out
solutionsthatdeliveronthepromiseofhighereducation.Innovative
leaders
are
defining
new
ways
to
deliver
outcomes-focused
and
career-relevant
education
pathways
that
are
convenient,
flexible
and
cost
effectivewhiledelivering
immediate
returnsand
long-termvalue.
Designing
alternativecredentialsandproviding
programs
aligned
directly
to
high-
demandcareersisamongthemostimpactfulopportunitiesfor
bothworkers
andinstitutions.LaborMarketLandscapeCONFIDENTIALINFORMATIONOFEDUCATIONDYNAMICS,LLC
Copyright?2025EducationDynamics,LLC.
AllRightsReserved.102024-2025SeasonallyAdjustedUnemploymentRate4.4
4.34.24.03.83.63.4Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
MayJun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
20242025Source:U.S.Bureauof
Labor
Statistics,
Seasonally
AdjustedUnemploymentRateUnemployment
Trends:Signs
ofEconomicDistress
Are
EmergingUnemploymenthasbeguntoriseafterseveralyearsofstability,signalingthatworkershavefeweroptionsandless
mobilitythan
inthe
recent
past.Asjobsecurityweakens,
institutionsare
under
increased
pressureto
show
clear
careeroutcomes.Collegesthatforegroundjob
placement,appliedlearning
and
direct
employer
partnerships
can
positionthemselvesasthesafestroutethrougheconomicuncertainty.CONFIDENTIALINFORMATIONOFEDUCATIONDYNAMICS,LLC
Copyright?2025EducationDynamics,LLC.
AllRightsReserved.11UnemploymentRate
GapsbyEducationLevelEducational
attainment
continues
to
insulate
individuals
against
economic
downturns.
Workers
with
bachelor’s
degrees
and
higher
maintainstronger
employment
prospectsthanthosewithout
post-secondary
education.This
wideninggapunderscoresthelong-termpayoffofhighereducationinrealeconomicterms.UnemploymentRateGapsareWidening6.8%4.8%4.0%3.5%2.2%Source:U.S.Bureauof
Labor
Statistics,
June
2025Monthly
unemploymentby
educationalattainmentCONFIDENTIALINFORMATIONOFEDUCATIONDYNAMICS,LLC
Copyright?2025EducationDynamics,LLC.
AllRightsReserved.Bachelor’sdegree
andhigherSome
college,
no
degreeLess
thanHS
diplomaHighschool
graduateAssociate’sdegree12TheIncomePremium
ofHigherEducationOver
thepast
threedecades,
theincomeadvantageofhighereducationhasremainedstrikinglyconsistent.In2024,households
led
by
adults
with
at
least
a
bachelor’s
degree
earned
a
median
income
of$132,700-more
than
doublethe$58,400median
income
of
households
with
only
a
high
school
diploma.Whilebothgroupshaveexperiencedeconomicfluctuationstiedtorecessionsandbroader
labormarketshifts,the
long-term
divergence
is
clear.
Even
during
downturns,
households
headed
by
those
holding
a
bachelor’s
degree
maintainedasignificantearningsbuffer.This
wideningincome
gapreinforces
theargument
thathigher
educationisnotsimply
aboutimmediate
job
placementbut
aboutbuilding
durable
economic
security
across
alifetime.Forinstitutions,
thisis
apowerful
narrativeto
underscore
ROIfor
prospectivestudentsandfamilieswho
may
bequestioningthe
cost
of
college.At
the
same
time,
the
data
emphasizes:without
access
to
affordable
andflexible
postsecondary
pathways,workers
withoutdegreesriskbeingleftbehindinaneconomywhereeducationcontinuestodriveopportunity.MedianHouseholdIncomebyEducationalAttainment$132,700$58,40020052010
2015
20202024Bachelor’s
orMore(MedianHouseholdIncome,
$)
HighSchool(MedianHouseholdIncome,
$)Source:U.S.CensusBureau,CurrentPopulation
Survey(CPS);
Adjustedto2024dollars;2005-2024.140K120K100K80K60K40K20K0CONFIDENTIALINFORMATIONOFEDUCATIONDYNAMICS,LLC
Copyright?2025EducationDynamics,LLC.
AllRightsReserved.13ContinuousEducation
and
theModernLaborMarketWhile
unemployment
rates
clearly
highlight
the
economic
insulation
higher
education
provides,
it
is
increasingly
importantto
recognizethateducation
is
no
longeraone-timeeventthat
is
completed
early
in
life.The
traditional
modelisbeingchallengedbyrapidshiftsintechnology,automationandemployerskillrequirements.Modernlearnersarenavigatinga
labor
market
that
demands
continuous
education
and
skill
development.
Fromgraduatedegreestostackablecredentials,professionalcertificatesandshort-cycletrainingprograms,
today’s
workforce
requires
flexible
pathways
to
remain
competitive.
This
reality
underscores
the
widening
gap
in
unemployment
rates
by
education
level:
while
a
bachelor’s
degree
or
higher
continues
to
provide
insulation,
ongoing
upskilling
and
reskilling
are
now
essential
to
sustain
employability
and
career
mobility
across
the
entire
spanofworkinglife.For
higher
education
institutions,
the
takeaway
is
clear:
success
depends
on
delivering
programs
that
align
with
durable
labor
market
demand
while
also
meeting
the
modern
learner’s
need
for
lifelong
learning
opportunities.
Credentialsthatarecareer-relevant,adaptableandstackablewill
bethe
cornerstone
of
maintaining
employment
resilienceinaneconomywherechangeisconstant.LikelihoodofEnrollinginAnotherCredentialatYourCurrentSchoolNon-traditional
Undergraduate12%10%29%20%30%3.5TraditionalUndergraduate13%12%32%23%20%3.21-Definitely
not2-
Probably
not3-
Not
sure4-
Probably
would5-Definitely
wouldAverageratingTotal12%11%29%21%27%3.4Graduate12%11%28%21%28%3.4CONFIDENTIALINFORMATIONOFEDUCATIONDYNAMICS,LLC
Copyright?2025EducationDynamics,LLC.
AllRightsReserved.Source:ModernLearner
Survey
202514Job
Openingsand
Worker
ConfidenceJob
openings
have
contracted
significantly,fallingfrom
more
than
11
million
in
2022
to
under
8
million
in
2025.
Thismarksanotablecoolinginlabordemandafter
therecordhighsofthepost-pandemicrecovery.Feweropenings
signalthatemployersare
pulling
backon
aggressive
hiring
and
becoming
more
selective
intheir
recruitment.
For
prospectivestudents,thismeansthatthepathwaysintonew
jobsarenarrowing.Skills,credentialsand
experience
canhelp
job
seekers
differentiate
themselves,
whileinstitutions
canpartner
withlocal
employers
to
designprograms
todeliverandsupporttheacquisitionofeach.SeasonallyAdjustedJobOpenings2022-2025JobOpeningsandLaborTurnoverSurvey12,134Source:
JOLTS,
2022-2025The
jobopenings
volatilityacrossindustriesunderscoresastructuralshiftinhow
Americansengage
with
workand
by
extension,
how
they
must
engage
with
education.
Fields
once
viewed
as
stable,
such
as
education
and
health
care,
are
experiencing
contractions,
while
growth
is
accelerating
in
technology,
infrastructure
and
logistics.
This
divergencechallengestheassumptionthatasingledegreeearlyinlifecanensurelifelongstability.For
higher
education
institutions,
the
opportunity
lies
in
repositioning
themselves
as
lifelong
learning
partners
ratherthanone-timecredentialproviders.JanMar
MayJuly2022Sept
NovJanllIMar
MayJuly2023Sept
NovJanMar
MayJuly2024Sept
NovJanMar
May2025CONFIDENTIALINFORMATIONOFEDUCATIONDYNAMICS,LLC
Copyright?2025EducationDynamics,LLC.
AllRightsReserved.7,43715TotalMiningandloggingPrivateeducationalservices
DurablegoodsStateandlocal,excludingeducation
Arts,entertainment,andrecreation
Privateeducationandhealthservices
HealthcareandsocialassistanceStateandlocalgovernmentOtherservices
ManufacturingStateandlocaleducation
FinanceandinsuranceFederalGovernmentFinancialactivitiesProfessionalandbusinessservices
Realestateandrentalandleasing
RetailtradeLeisureandhospitalityAccommodationandfoodservicesNondurablegoodsTrade,transportation,andutilities
WholesaletradeTransportation,
warehousing,andutilitiesConstructionInformation-4%
-48%
mm-23%
-23%
-21%
mm-19%
-18%mm-17%
mm-16%mm-16%
-12%mm-7%
mm-6%
mm-6%
-5%
-4%
0%n1%m
4%
8% 9%mm
12%
18%
28%
34%mm
76%SeasonallyAdjustedJobOpenings%Change
July2024to
July2025by
IndustrySource:BLS
Seasonally
Adjusted
JobOpenings%Change
July
2024to
July
2025CONFIDENTIALINFORMATIONOFEDUCATIONDYNAMICS,LLC
Copyright?2025EducationDynamics,LLC.
AllRightsReserved.16QuitRatesOver
the
past
four
years,
voluntary
quit
rates
have
slowed
significantly,
an
indicator
that
worker
confidence
is
eroding.Inrecent
years,the
“GreatResignation”
reflectedoptimismthatemployeescouldleaveone
jobandquickly
findanother,oftenathigherpay.
Thatdynamichas
faded.
With
fewer
workers
willing
togambleonuncertaincareer
moves,mobilityisdecliningacrossmanysectors.
Thissignals
thatadultlearners
willonlyreturn
tohighereducation
ifinstitutionsofferflexibleformats,affordablepathwaysandcredentialswithunmistakablelabormarketvalue.QuitRates3.0%2021
2025Source:U.S.Bureauof
Labor
Statistics,
Seasonally
AdjustedCONFIDENTIALINFORMATIONOFEDUCATIONDYNAMICS,LLC
Copyright?2025EducationDynamics,LLC.
AllRightsReserved.2.1%17QuitRatesbyIndustryDuringthe
pandemic
recovery,sectors
like
leisureand
hospitality,
retailand
professionalservicessaw
historically
hi
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