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CBRE
FIGURESIINDUSTRIAL&LOGISTIcslQ42025
commitmentremainselevated
▲3.2%
vacancyrateaverage(2H25)
c.467,000sqm
NewIndustrialsupply4Q25
c.631,000sqm
GrossTake-up4Q25
5.7%
superprimeMidpointyield4Q25
Note:Arrowsindicatechangefrompreviousquarter.
keypoints
-
activityinthesydneyandAdelaidemarkets.
---
-
-
effectiverentgrowth,whichcontinuestobeinnegativeterritory.
-
incentivespost-2026.
-
andstandsat5.66%.yieldcompressionwasrecordedformostmarkets.
-
6billion-withsydneyandBrisbaneleadingactivity.
FIGURES|Industrial&Logistics|Q42025
2CBRERESEARCH?2026CBRE,INC.
Demand
Take-upsurpasses2024levels
Grosstakeupforcy2025totaledapproximately3millionsqm,exceedingthecy2024volumesbyjustover10%,inlinewithourforecastatthebeginningoftheyear.Leasingmomentumsoftenedtowardyearend,with4Q25recordingthelowestquarterlytakeupofthepast12months.
Leasingconditionshavecontinuedtoshiftinfavourofoccupiersoverthepastyear,drivenby
elevatedincentivelevelsandincreasedlandlordwillingnesstosecuretenantsintonewdevelopmentsaheadofpc.Asaresult,longtermleasingactivityremainselevated,particularlyforoccupiers
seekingtolockfavourableleaseterms.whilethisdynamicisexpectedtopersistintoearly2026,weanticipateincentivelevelstobeginmoderatingfromlate2026onwardsacrossmostmarkets.
Melbourneandsydneyledtake-upactivityin2025
sydneylednationaltakeupvolumesformuchoftheyear;however,aconcentrationoflargelease
dealsin2H25shiftedmomentumtowardMelbourne,resultinginMelbourneaccountingforthelargestshareoftotalfloorspaceleasedovertheyear.ThisoccurreddespiteamoderationinMelbourne's
overallactivitylevelscomparedwithrecentpeakyears.Melbournerepresented33%ofnationaltakeup,followedcloselybysydneyat32%,withBrisbaneaccountingfor16%.
AlthoughAdelaidecontributedasmallershareofnationaltake-upat11%,themarketrecordeditshighestannualtakeupsince2018,mainlyowingtoalargeleasedeal.
pre-leasetransactionscomprisedclosetoone-thirdoftotalfloorspaceleasedin2025,downfromapproximately40%in2024,reflectingagreaterproportionofleasingactivityoccurringwithin
existingassets.Thisshiftunderscoresamoreselectiveapproachbyoccupiers,favouringready-to-occupyspaceamidincreasedchoice.
Notableleasetransactionsduringthequarterincluded:
Apre-leasebyAustraliapostinAdelaide'souterNorthprecinct.
ApreleasebycostwayinMelbourne'swestprecinct.
Apre-leasebyHDsinsydney'souterNorthwestprecinct.
Bysector,Transport,postalandwarehousingoccupiersaccountedfor36%oftotalfloorspaceleasedin2025,followedbyretailTradeat20%.
FIGURE1:NationalGrossTake-upbycity
sydneyMelbourneBrisbane
Adelaideperth10-yearAverage
Tonote:reflectstransactions>5,000sqmforsydneyandMelbourne,transactions4,000sqmforBrisbane,transactions>3,000sqmforperthandAdelaide.
source:CBREResearchQ42025
FIGURES|Industrial&Logistics|Q42025
3CBRERESEARCH?2026CBRE,INC.
supply
Thepre-commitmentratefor2026iscloseto50%
Around2.2millionsqmofnewfloorspacewasaddedtothemarketin202515%abovethelongrunaverage.Theconcentrationofnewfloorspacein2025wasdeliveredinsydney(30%),followedbyBrisbane(27%)andMelbourne(26%).
closeto70%ofthecompleteddevelopments(byfloorspace)in2025werespeculativebuilds.Theshareofspeculativedevelopmentsinthe2026and2027pipelineiscurrentlyatc.48%.
Notabledevelopmentcompletionsoverthequarterincluded:
charterHall'SFlagstoneLogisticsEstate(Lot9)inBrisbane'swesterncorridor.
Aliro'swarehouse3inMelbourne'swest.
stocklandLot2inMelbourne'ssouthEast·
Greystar'spioneerEstateinBrisbane'SNorth.
Despitehigher-than-averagesupplyforecasttobeaddedtothemarketin2026and2027thereareseveralfactorstoconsider:
Thevacancyrateremainsoneofthelowestlevelsgloballyat3.2%(asat2H25)
Alargeshareofthepipelineisinearlystagesofdevelopment(i.e.,developmentapplicationstage).
wehaveidentifiedafewprojectsover20262029thatareunlikelytogoahead(i.e.,around10%ofthefloorspaceexpectedtobedeliveredoverthisperiod).
DespitetheprojectsthathaveDAApproval,severalofthemwillrequireaprecommitmentbeforeconstructioncancommence,whichcouldresultinsomeprojectsbeingpushedoutto2028and2029.
closeto50%ofthe2026supplyisprecommitted.
FIGURE2:Developmentsupplypipeline
completemmunderconstruction
mmDAApprovedDevelopmentApplicationstage
—-10-yearAverage
Tonote:reflectsnewprojects>5,000sqmforsydneyandMelbourne,projects>4,000sqmforBrisbaneandperth,projects3,0oosqmforAdelaide.
source:CBREResearchQ42025
FIGURES|Industrial&Logistics|Q42025
4CBRERESEARCH?2026CBRE,INC.
LeasingMarket
FIGURE4:superprimekeymetrics
Neteffectiverentgrowthfallsintonegativeterritory
Thenationalsuperprimesupply-weighted-averagenetfacerenthasincreasedby0.5%q-o-q.Despitethemarginalincreaseinfacerents,incentivelevelshavecontinuedtoincreasewhichhasledtoafurtherdecreaseineffectiverentgrowth.
AnotableincreaseinsuperprimefacerentwasrecordedfortheBrisbanemarket,increasingby2.5%q-o-q,withnochangeinincentivelevels.
overtheyear,nationalneteffectiverentshavefallenbyhalfapercentagepointforsuperprimegradeassetsanddecreasedfurtherforsecondarygradestockat-1.3%.weexpecttoseefurtherfallsinneteffectiverentsacrossallassetgrades,andmoresoforsecondary
gradeassetsoverthenext6months.
FIGURE3:superprimeweighted-averagenetfacerent,y-0-y%change
sydneyMelbourneBrisbaneperthAdelaide
source:CBREResearchQ42025
sydneyMelbourneBrisbaneperthAdelaide
Tonote:Datareflectsthesupplyweighted-average.
source:CBREResearch.
CBREResearchprovidedetailedrentforecastsviaapaidsubscriptionservice.
FIGURES|Industrial&Logistics|Q42025
5CBRERESEARCH?2026CBRE,INC.
InvestmentMarket
sydneyledinvestmentsaletransactionsfor2025
Australia'sindustrialandlogisticsinvestmentsalevolumesforincomeproducingassetsoverAUD10millionhavetotaledclosetoAUD6billion.Theconcentrationofactivity(byvalue)occurredinsydneyoverthisperiod(35%),followedbyBrisbane(30%).TherehasbeenanotablereductioninactivityintheMelbournemarket,withjustoverAUD1.1billioninsalesvolumecomparedto
2024cytotalofaroundAUD2.5billion.TherehasbeenanotableincreaseinsaleactivitywithintheBrisbanemarketwithclosetoAUD2billioninsalesabovelevelsrecordedforcy2024,
CY2023andcy2022.
yieldcompressionrecordedformostmarkets
yieldscompressednationallyby6bpsforsuperprimegradeassets.Thenationalmidpointyieldover4Q25forsupegradeassetsnowstandat5.66%.ThespreadbetweenMelbourneyieldsandotherEasternseaboardcitiesiswidening,mainlyduetovictoria'staxationpolicy·otherstate'sarebecominganetbeneficiaryofforeigncapitaloutflowfromvictoria,withBrisbanemidpointyieldsforsuperprimegradeassets(5.52%)nowsharperthanMelbourne(5.89%.
FIGURE5:Industrial&LogisticssuperprimeMidpointyieldsandAustralia10yrGovernmentBond
spreadofindustrialyieldtobondrate(RHS)10-yrbondrate
superprimeIndustrialcashRate
source:RBA,CBREResearchQ42025
FIGURE6:IndustrialInvestmentsalesforincomeproducingassets(greaterthanAUD10million),2014to2025
NSWVICQLDWASAOther*10-yearaverage
Tonote:ReflectsinvestmentsalesofincomeproducingassetsAUD10millionandgreater.
*otherreflectsportfoliosalesacrossmultiplecitieswhereindividualassetpricehasnotbeendisclosed.
FGURE7:stateshareoflndustrialnvestmentsalesbyvalue2025
source:CBREResearchQ42025
FIGURES|Industrial&Logistics|Q42025
6CBRERESEARCH?2026CBRE,INC.
FIGURE8:superprimeweighted-averagenetfacerent,bycity
sydneyMelbourneBrisbaneperthAdelaidesource:CBREResearchQ42025
FIGURE9:primeweighted-averageincentives
sydneyMelbourneBrisbaneperthAdelaidesource:CBREResearchQ42025
source:CBREResearchQ42025
FIGURE11:superprimeweighted-averagenetfacerenty-o-y%change
source:CBREResearchQ42025
FIGURES|Industrial&Logistics|Q42025
7CBRERESEARCH?2026CBRE,INC.
FIGURE12:primeweighted-averagenetfacerent,bycity
sydneyMelbourneBrisbaneperthAdelaide
source:CBREResearchQ42025
FIGURE13:secondaryweighted-averagenetfacerent,bycity
240
sydneyMelbourneBrisbaneperthAdelaidesource:CBREResearchQ42025
FIGURE14:Australiasuperprimeweighted-averagenetfacerentgrowthy-0-y
FIGURE15:Developmentsupplypipelinebycity
4,000,000
3,000,000
2,000,000
sydneyMelbourneBrisbane
perthAdelaide—-Historic10-yearAverage
Tonote:reflectsnewprojects>5,000sqmforsydneyandMelbourne,projects>4,000sqmforBrisbane,projects>3,000sqmforperthandAdelaide.
source:CBREResearchQ42025
FIGURES|Industrial&Logistics|Q42025
MarketAreaoverview
perthAdelaideBrisbane
sydney
Melbourne
Definitions
superprime:Lessthan6
yearsold,heightclearancebetween13.7mand14.6m.
Buildingsshowcasing
designexcellencewith
combinationofESFR
sprinklersanddocks/ongradedoors,aswellas
strongtruckarticulationforl
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