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2021年全球支付報(bào)告
隨著電子商務(wù)的興起,數(shù)字錢(qián)包蓬勃發(fā)展
2020年全球電子商務(wù)增長(zhǎng)加速,交易額達(dá)到4.6萬(wàn)億美元,
比2019年增長(zhǎng)了19%o
2020年數(shù)字錢(qián)包占電子商務(wù)交易量的44.5%,比2019年增
長(zhǎng)6.5%O中國(guó)消費(fèi)者在數(shù)字錢(qián)包方面領(lǐng)先,占電子商務(wù)交
易量的72.1%O美國(guó)數(shù)字/移動(dòng)錢(qián)包普及率落后于全球平均水
平,數(shù)字錢(qián)包占僅電子商務(wù)交易的29.8%,比2019年增長(zhǎng)了
23.7%O
預(yù)計(jì)到2024年,數(shù)字錢(qián)包將占全球電子商務(wù)支付量的
51.7%,信用卡(20.8%)和借記卡(12%)的份額略有下降。
在POS萎縮之際,現(xiàn)金倉(cāng)促撤退
銷(xiāo)售點(diǎn)最直接地感受到新冠的影響,2020年全球交易量比
2019年下降4.4%,預(yù)計(jì)全球經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇將發(fā)生在18-24個(gè)月
內(nèi)。2022全球交易量增長(zhǎng)率將達(dá)到6.5%,然后在2023年和
2024年分別增長(zhǎng)3.3%和3.5%o
新冠大流行使現(xiàn)金的減少速度加快了三年多,超過(guò)了2020
年的預(yù)測(cè)。2020年,現(xiàn)金占全球銷(xiāo)售點(diǎn)交易量的20.5%,比
2019年減少了32.1%。
移動(dòng)錢(qián)包填補(bǔ)了現(xiàn)金的空缺,比2019年增長(zhǎng)19.5%,占2020
年銷(xiāo)售點(diǎn)交易的25.7%o
在歐洲、拉丁美洲和I北美,信用卡(22.4%)和借記卡(22.3%)
占銷(xiāo)售點(diǎn)支付的大部分,而在亞太地區(qū)和中東和非洲的使用
相對(duì)較少。
展望2024年,預(yù)計(jì)現(xiàn)金使用量將比2020年再減少38%,僅
占全球銷(xiāo)售點(diǎn)交易量的12.7%o
預(yù)計(jì)到2024年,移動(dòng)錢(qián)包將比2020年再增加30%,占全球
銷(xiāo)售點(diǎn)交易量的33.4%O
2020changedourworldandhowweinteractwithinitmorethananyotheryc
recenthistory.Forthefirsttime,nomatterwherewewere,weexperienceds
together.We'veexperiencedemotionallowsandhopedforourfuture.We've
toalterourdailyhabitsandadjustfutureengagements.We'velearnedabout
technologyandservicesthathelpusdealwithbeingathomemoreoften.
WeYeconnectedbymorethanjustcommerce.We'reconnected
byasharedexperience.Thathasinevitablyalteredourconnections
tocommerce.
Asbusinessesbegantoreopenandwelearnedhowtonavigate
theworldamidstthepandemic,itbecameclearthatrebuilding
economieswasessential.Doingittherightwaywillallowforsmarter
experiencesandsmarterinteractions.
ThafsthefoundationofThe2021GlobalPaymentsReportby
WorldpayfromFIS.
Wellexplorehow2020catapultedpaymentsyearsaheadofwhere
theywereprojectedtobeandwelldiveintowhatcommercewill
looklikepostpandemic.Beyondjustpayments,wellhighlightthe
newestmodemcurrencyandconsiderationsforenteringdifferent
markets.You'llgetthesmarterinsightsyouneedtobuildatrue
omnichannelexperience.
We*veseentherapidchangethatcanoccurinadigitalworid.
Paymentoptionsarefrequentlyevolvingandcompetitionover
paymentmarketsharecontinuestoincrease.Wellhelpyoucreate
smartercustomerexperiencesbyhelpingyouunderstandwhich
paymentmethodsarepopularandwhichnewonesareontherise.
Rebuildingoureconomiesandbusinesseslieswithallofus.Itstarts
withunderstandingwherechangeoccurredandapplyingthoseinsights
tocreatethesmartercheckoutexperiencesconsumershavecometo
expect.Whiletherewasn'taguidebookfornavigatingapandemic,we
cangiveyouasolid,smarterpaymentsroadmaptothefuture.
Let'sstartbyrebuildingbusinessesandrethinkingsmarter
aboutcommerce.
irterv
Consumerpaymentpreferencesvaryconsiderablyaroundtheworld,increasefrom201
reflectinganinfinitediversityofhistorical,technical,cultural,economicandpenetrationbyall
regulatoryfactors.Attemativepaymentmethodslikedigitalwalletsandbank8%in2019toi0%
transfersarenowinthemainstream,ifnotintheoutrightmajority,andlegacy
methodslikecreditcardsandcashcontinuetodecline.Digitalwalletsrer
e-commercecons
Widespreaddisruptionscreatedaprofoundshiftincommerceandpayments,volumein2020,u
acceleratingtheadoptionofdigitalwalletsine-commercewhilehasteningthedigitalwallets,ac
declineofcashatthepointofsale.-wheredigital/m
walletsgrewtore
Digitalwalletsthrivease-commercesurgesover2019levels.
E-commerceexplodedin2020topostthehighestgrowthrateinfiveyears
Digitalwalletgain
ashome-boundconsumerssoughtalternativestoshutteredbrick-and-
cards,banktransl
mortarstores.Globale-commercegrowthacceleratedin2020despite
digitalwalletsto;
recessionaryheadwinds,postingU.S.$4.6trillionintransactions,a19%
2024withslightd
(to12%).By2024,digitalwallets,creditanddebitcardswillaccountfor
84.5%ofe-commercespend.Buynow,paylater(BNPL)continuestoearn
marketshare,expectingtodoublefrom2.1%in2020to4.2%by2024.
Onenewcomponentofour2020e-commerceanalysisisdirectdebit
Directdebitisaformofbanktransferwherearetailerwithdrawsfunds
directlyfromaconsumer'sbankaccountonaspecifieddateafterthe
purchase.MostpopularinEuropewhereitearned4%ofshare,direct
debitwasusedfor1.2%ofglobale-commercepaymentsin2020.
CashbidsahastyretreatamidPOScontraction
Point-of-salefelttheimpactofCOVID-19mostdirectly,with2020
globaltransactionvolumefalling4.4%from2019.Projectionssee
recoveryfromtheglobalrecessiontransactionvolumestaking18-24
months,returningto6.5%globalgrowthratesin2022,andthen3.3%
growthin2023and3.5%in2024.
Disruptionsinpaymenttypeswereasequallydramaticasthereductions
intotalvolume.COVID-19isacceleratingthepaceofcash'sdecline
fasterthaneventhemostbullishprojections.Thepandemicaccelerated
thedeclineofcashbyoverthreeyears,exceedingin2020ourprevious
projectionfor2023.Cashwasusedfor20.5%ofglobalPOSvolumein
2020,a32.1%reductionfrom2019.
Cashtransactionvaluesfellsteeplyaroundtheworldin2020:by21.9%
inNorthAmerica,33.6%inEurope,34.7%inLatinAmericaand36.6%
inAPAC.Cashhasfallentohistoricallylowusagearoundtheworld,
representingonly5.4%ofPOStransactionvolumeinCanada,4.5%in
Norway,11.9%intheU.S.andlessthan10%inmarketsasdiverseas
Australia,HongKongandSweden.
Mobilewalletsgainedmuchofcash'ssharelossatthepointofsale,
rising19.5%over2019torepresent25.7%of2020POStransactions.
Thepandemicusheredinawaveofinterestincontactlesspayment
methods,acceleratingalreadygrowinginterestinmobilewallets.
Creditcards(22.4%)anddebitcards(22.3%)continuetoeammajority
sharesofPOSpaymentsinEurope,LatinAmericaandNorthAmerica,
whileseeingcomparativelylessuseinAPACandMEA.
AnewcategoryinourPOS2020analysisisPOSfinancing,which
representsamixoflegacyandemergingpaymentsthatextendconsumer
creditatthepointofsale.Thisindudescreditofferedbyretailers,
financialinstitutions,marketplacesandBNPLservices.Thespectrumof
POSfinancingisbroadeningconsumerpaymentchoiceswhileboosting
merchantconversions.POSfinancingrepresents3.5%ofglobal2020POS
share,projectedtomaintainfairlysteadyshareat3.3%in2024.
Lookingaheadto2024,weexpectthetrendawayfromcashtocontinue
asconsumerscementtheirpreferencesofmoreconvenient,contactless
paymentmethodsatthepointofsale.Whileacceleratingcash'sdecline,
wedonotexpectasignificantcashbounce-back-regardlessofCOVID-
19'sultimatetrajectory.Weprojectcashwilldeclineanadditional38%
from2020torepresentjust12.7%ofglobalPOSvolumeby2024.
Thelossofcashwillbeabsorbedbymobilewalletswithexpectations
theywillriseanadditional30%from2020toaccountfor33.4%ofglobal
POSspendby2024.Mobilewalletswilleamsharesinthemid-teens
acrossallglobalregionsby2024,ledbytheoutlierofAPACwheremobile
walletswillachievemajoritystatus,earning47.9%ofPOSshareby2024.
Thoughshiftingwithinregions,cardshareswillholdsteadythrough
2024atroughly50%ofglobalPOStransactionvalues.
Globale-compaymentmethods
20202024*
Digital/MobileWallet44.5%51.7%
CreditCard22.8%20.8%
DebitCard12.3%■12.0%■
BankTransfer7.7%■5.3%
CashonDelivery3.3%■1.7%?
Charge&DeferredDebitCard3.3%1.6%
BuyNowPayLater2.1%14.2%■
DirectDebit1.2%1.0%1
Pre-PaidCard1.1%10.5%1
PostPay0.9%10.5%1
PrePay0.4%10.2%1
Other0.4%10.4%1
GlobalPOSpaymentmethods
20202024*
Digital/MobileWallet257%
CreditCard22.4%22.8%
DebitCard22.3%22.4%
Cash20.5%12.7%■
POSFinancing3.5%?3.3%!
Pre-PaidCard3.4%13.2%1
ChargeCard2.2%12.3%1
COVID-19causedprofounddisruptionstocommercethroughoutEmerce.Europ
Lockdownsandoperatingrestrictionsonphysicalbusinesseshelpedbetween2016an(
e-commercevolumessurge.Face-to-facebusinessesboretheheaviestsurveywillsustaii
economicburdens,strivingtosurviveandthriveeveninthefaceof
recessionaryheadwindsandevolvingregulations.Thoughthedigits
greatdiversity.T卜
Paymentmethodsacceleratedtowarddigitalsolutionsin2020.Digitalwalletsandhighgrowth(
andbuynow,paylater(BNPL)servicescontinuetoabsorbshareamidamoderategrowth
balancede-commercepaymentslandscapefrombanktransfers,creditpenetrationbuth
cardsanddebitcards.Moresignificantdisruptionwasseenatthepointofpenetration,lows
sale,wherecontactlessformsofcommercesuddenlyrosetoprominencetoEuropeane-comn
acceleratethedeclineofcash.fromalowof7.4,
Sustained,diversee-commercegrowthEuropeanpaymenl
highestinatleastc
Europeane-commercecontinuedtogrowthroughthepandemic,as
e<ommercepaym
consumerssoughttobridgethegapscreatedbyclosuresofin-person
Digitalwalletsarenowtheleadingpaymentmethodinthefivelargest
Europeane-commercemarkets:France,Germany,Russia,SpainandtheU.K.
Debitandcreditcardsbothcapturenearly19%ofpaymentsfor
e-commerceinEurope,contendingforasecond-placerankingof
Europeanpaymentpreferences.Debitcardsarethee-compayment
methodofchoiceinBelgium,DenmarkandIreland,whilecreditcards
reignincountriesasdiverseasNorwayandTurkey.BNPListheleading
e-compaymentmethodinSweden,helpingboostthe7.4%shareof
regionaltransactionvalueforbuynow,paylater.
Banktransfersrepresentarobust13%ofregionaltransactions,
sharingstrongleadershippositionsinTheNetherlandsandFinland.
ThepopularityofbanktransferamongEuropeanconsumersgoes
beyondeventhestrongdirectshareofpayments,asdigitalwallets
linkedtobankaccountscontinuetogainshare.Anemergingvariant
onbanktransfers,directdebitisbrokenoutcapturing4%ofEuropean
e-commercepayments,mainlydrivenbyGermany.
Lookingaheadthrough2024,weseeamarketthatcontinuestoreflect
Europe'sdiversity,withdigitalwallets,creditanddebitcards,bank
transfersandBNPLallearningdouble-digitalshareofe-compayments.
DigitalwalletsandBNPLwillgainadditionalshare,withdigitalwallets
rising13.3%tomaintainthecategorylead,approaching30%by2024.
ThepopularityofBNPLwillmakethelargestgains,nearlydoublingits
shareby2024toaccountfor13.6%ofe-comspend.Advancesbydigital
walletsandBNPLoptionswillcomeattheexpenseofmoretraditionalEuropu
paymentmethods,withchargecards,cashondeliveryandpre-paid
servicesseeingsteadydeclinesthrough2024.onlineui
andcrW
CashrapidlydeclinesamidPOScontractionequally<
Aswasthecaseglobally,Europeanpoint-of-salemerchantsfeltthe
impactofCOVID-19'seconomicchallengesmostdirectly.2020POS
transactionvolumefell10.2%acrosstheregiontoU.S.$6.76trillion.
Modestannualgrowthof4.2%isforecastforPOStransactionvolumeF
through2024.EuropeanPOSvolumesareexpectedtoexpand
sufficientlytoregain2019levelsduring2022.
CashusedeclinedatthePOSinEuropebymorethanathird(33.6%).
Thededineinconsumers'useofcashrepresentsamongthemost
dramaticpaymentmethodshiftsinmodemtimes.Cashvolumesdropped
bymorethanhalfinFrance(59.6%)andtheU.K.(51.1%).Althoughstill
consideredasignificantdrop,Germanysawtheleastdrasticdeclines,
fallingonly12.5%tn2020toaccountfor43.5%ofPOStransactionvolume.
Thoughthegreatlyacceleratedpaceofcash'sdeclinein2020wasdirectly
attributabletothepandemic,ourforecastsseeadditionalretreats
independentofCOVID-191spath.Europewillseetheuseofcashdedining
9.9%annuallythrough2024,whenitwillrepresentjust15.4%ofPOS
transactionvolume.By2024,weprojectcashwillcapture15.4%ofPOS
spendinEurope.Denmark,SwedenandNorwayareexpectedtobenearty
cashlesswithinfiveyears,whiteaboveaveragecashusewillpersistin
Germany,Italy,SpainandPoland.
CardsaccountedformostEuropeanPOSpaymentsin2020,increasingly
ofthecontactlessvariety.Cash'slossistranslatingtowinsforcardsat
thePOS:41%sharefordebit,11.5%forcreditcards,6%forchargecards
and2.6%forprepaidcards.Ourforecastprojectsdebitcardsexpanding
theirshareleadthrough2024,reaching43.9%ofPOSspend.
MobilewalletsarealsogainingsignificantPOSshare.Contactless
mobilewalletssurgedover63%in2020tocapture7.2%ofPOSspend.
Sustainedcompoundannualgrowthof22.9%willseemobilewallets
risetoearn13.9%ofPOSspendby2024.
Newtothe2021GPRisPOSfinancing.Createdtopropertycaptureand
categorizethefullrangeofinstantfinancingoptionsatthepointofsale,
POSfinancingencompassesBNPL,directmerchantfinancingandother
marketplacesolutions.POSfinancingrepresented4.3%ofregional
2020POSvolume.LedbyDenmarkandTheNetherlands,POSfinancing
projectstomaintainthatshareofregionalPOSspendthrough2024.
Denmark
Horwayi
RMROttg2021,3eIVMdtht?yhrMH"OMI(UfWttoIMQM4VWpe*”
GloMR^meneReportsttrope.(LMtAJ.bencarl]
withinfi、
Europee-compaymentmethods
2020202T
Digital/MobileWallet26.4%s—.29.9%
CreditCard18.9%19.0%■■
DebitCard18.8%HHi16.1%■■
BankTransfer13.0%11.1%
BuyNowPayLater7.4%13.6%■
Charge&DeferredDebitCard4.6%2.2%
DirectDebit4.0%■3.7%1
CashonDelivery3.3%11.5%1
Other1.2%11.1%1
Pre-PaidCard1.2%11.0%1
PrePay1.1%10.7%1
PostPay0.1%10.1%1
EuropePOSpaymentmethods
20202024*
DebitCard41.0%43.9%
Cash27.4%15.4%m
CreditCard11.5%■12.5%■
Digital/MobiteWallet7.2%■13.9%■
ChargeCard6.0%■6.6%■
POSFinancing4.3%I4.3%I
Pre-PaidCard2.6%I3.5%I
Numbersadjustedforroundingmayimpacttotals.
COVID-19causeddisruptionstocommerceacrossAsia-Pacific(APAC)inGrowthinChina's(
2020.Itimposedcompoundshockstotheeconomy:thedirectcostsofprojectedannual[
pandemicmanagement,substantialcostsresultingfromlockdownsandotherexceedU.S.$3.1tr
containmentmeasures,andreverberationsfromarecessionofglobalscope.growthratesthrot
lowof7.5%inJap;
Paymentmethodtrendsacceleratedtowarddigitalsolutionsthroughoutseee-comgrowth
APACin2020.Ascommerceshiftedfromthepointofsaletoe-commerce,projectedforthen
consumersshiftedpaymentpreferencestodigitalmethods.DigitalandandSingapore.
mobilewalletscontinuedtogaininpopularityasconsumersturnedaway
fromcashathistoricrates.Digitalwalletscon
digitalwalletsexc(
APACe-commerce:Toda/swindowintoaglobaldigitalfutureslightlyfrom58.491
useaccountingfor
E-axnmerceisprojectedtogrow13%annuallythrough2024.In2020,APAC
e-commercetransactionvalueexceededU5.$2.4trillionandisprojectedtodigitalwalletshavi
India(39.7%)andI
exceedU.S.$3.9trillionby2024.Expansionwillbedrivenlargelybymobile
(24.1%),HongKoni
commerce,growingfrom59.3%ofregionale-comin2020to64.1%by2024.
Creditcardsmaintainedastrongsecondplacepositionwith19.1%
ofe-compayments,despitefallingslightlyfrom20.1%in2019.They
remaintheleadingpaymentmethodinhalfoftheAPACcountries
includedinourreport,includingdominantpositionsinJapan(58.2%),
SouthKorea(57.4%)andSing叩ore(45.3%).DebitcarduseinAPAC
jumped38.1%in2020,risingfrom4.2%in2019to5.8%of2020e-com
payments,withconsumersusingdebitmoreoftentopayforsmaller
valuepurchasesduetothepandemic.
2024projectionsincludefurtherincreasesfordigitalwalletsinAPAC
e-compayments.Digitalwalletswillincreasetheirdominantleadin
e-commerceto65.4%by2024,risingtocategory-leadingpositionsin
Australia,MalaysiaandThePhilippines.Debitcardswillalsorisefrom
5.8%ofe-commercepaymentsin2020to7.1%in2024onstrengthin
Australia(21.3%),SouthKorea(20%)andIndia(18%).Buynow,paylater
(BNPL)serviceswillmorethandoublefrom2020to2024,from0.6%to
1.3%,Thesesharegainswillcomelargelyattheexpenseofcreditcards,
banktransfers,cashondelivery(COD)andprepaidcards,allofwhich
willlosesharethrough2024.
ChangingPOSpreferences
Aswasthecasethroughouttheworld,theeconomicimpactsof
COVID-19werefeltmostacutelyatthepointofsale.Thepandemic
contributedtosignificantdropsinPOStransactionvaluesinIndia
(-8.1%),Singapore(-10.4%),Thailand(-9.2%)andJapan(-7.4%).
Whiletheultimatepathofthepandemicgloballyaddsadditional
uncertainties,stronggrowthisprojectedtoarecoveryof2019POS
volumesbylate2021or2022.Chinaprojects6.2%growthfrom2020
through2024-including9.7%growthin2021-growingtorepresent
overU.S.$22trillionin2024.ThePhilippinesforecaststhelargest
growthrateregionallythrough2024at9.4%,followedcloselybyIndia
(8.9%)andVietnam(8.8%).ThemorematureeconomiesofJapan
(2.8%),SouthKorea(4%)andAustralia(4.6%)projectthelowestPOS
growthratesthrough2024.
Paymentmethodsatthepointofsaleareundergoingadramaticchange
awayfromcashandtowardmobilewallets,aglobaltrendledbyconsumers
inAPACwiththehelpofsomegovernmentinitiatives.InJapan,the
governmentactivelyoffereddiscountsforretailpurchaseswhenconsumers
paidwithanon-cashpaymentmethod.Whiletheshiftawayfromcashwas
inmotionlongbefore2020,thepandemicgreatlyacceleratedthetrend.
2020witnessedlargeshiftsinPOStransactionswithcash,droppingfrom
303%in2019to19.2%in2020,adeclineof36.6%.SparkedbyCOVID-19,
theaccelerateddedineintheuseofcashin2020aloneexceededourpre-
pandemicprojectionsfor2023.
MuchofthePOSspendpreviouslydedicatedtocashshiftedtomobile
wallets.Mobilewalletsshareincreasedby12%in2020,risingfrom
35.9%in2019to402%in2020.Mobilewalletsapproachedathree-
yearaccelerationin2020,nearlyreachingthe45.1%projectedfor2023.
PrepaidcardsalsogainedsignificantPOSsharein2020,risingfrom0.8%
in2019to3.5%in2020.
Lookingaheadto2024,weseeacontinuationofthesetrendsat
thepointofsale,withcashcontinuingtodeclineacrosstheregion,
projectedtofallanadditional43.8%from2020to2024,whencashwill
representonly10.8%oftransactions.Cashwillpersistastheleading
POSpaymentmethodinIndonesia,ThePhilippines,VietnamandJapan,
yetthededineofcashwillbeneartotalinsomemarkets,fallingto5.9%
inChina,2.1%inAustraliaandjust1.6%inHongKong.
Weprojectmobilewalletswillgrowtorepresent47.9%ofPOSspendby
2024.Chinawillcontinuetoleadthewaywithmobilewalletsprojectedat
57.1%ofPOSspend,whileTaiwan,ThailandandThePhilippineswillallsee
mobilewalletsexperiencedramaticgrowthratesofover25%.Creditand
debitcardswillalsoseesteadygainstoaccountinaggregateforone-third
ofPOSspendby2024.
APACe-compaymentmethods
20202024*
Digital/MobileWallet60.2%65.4%
CreditCard19.1%■■18.1%MH
BankTransfer6.5%4.1%■
DebitCard5.8%■7.1%■
CashonDelivery4.1%■2.0%?
Pre-PaidCard1.1%10.4%1
PostPay1.0%10.5%1
Charge&DeferredDebitCard0.8%0.4%
BuyNowPayLater0.6%1.3%1
DirectDebit0.3%0.3%
Other0.3%10.3%1
PrePay0.2%10.1%1
APACPOSpaymentmethods
2020202T
Digital/MobileWallet40.2%47.9%
Cash19.2%10.8%,
CreditCard19.1%19.8%
DebitCard14.5%IM15.2%
Pre-PaidCard3.5%■2.8%■
POSFinancing3.0%12.9%1
ChargeCard0.5%I0.6%I
Numbersadjustedfoeroundingmayimpacttotals.,Forecasted
Ouranalysisofpaymenttrendsfromacross-sectionofcountriesintheMiddlepersonalcaresoa
EastandAfricafindseconomiesandcitizensfacingacritkaljunctureasratesofneworim
commonchallengesconverge.onlinegroceryde
TheeconomiesoftheMiddleEastandAfricanavigatedatumultuousandAsMEAconsumer
recessionaryglobaleconomy.E-commercegrewasface-to-facebusinessessophisticatedeco
shuttered,acceleratingfundamentalshiftsthatwereunderwaypriortotheemergingasareg
pandemic.AdiversemixoftraditionalandcontemporarypaymentmethodsJumia,aleading.
viedfore-comsupremacy,whileatthepointofsale,substantialcrackspaymentinnovate
appearedinthelongstandingdominanceofcash.
MiddleEastandA
MEAe-commercepoisedforexplosivegrowthexperiencingrapi1
2016through202(
TheMiddleEastandAfrica(MEA)remainamongthelastfrontiersofunder-
stageemerginge(
tappede-commercepotential.MEAconsumersturnedtoe-commerce
accelerantfordig
duringthepandemicasdemandforgroceries,householdsuppliesand
reluctantcons
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