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tive tive I專業(yè)性

I(A)知法與(knowledgeof 經(jīng)驗(yàn)準(zhǔn)則(RuleofThumb):總是遵守最嚴(yán)格的,但最低限度CFAInstitute準(zhǔn)則和標(biāo)準(zhǔn)(code)不參與違法行為,違法行為必須脫離開來(dissociateandseparatefromtheviolations),最的情況可以離職;)當(dāng)發(fā)現(xiàn)有違法行為時(shí),CFAInstitute并不要求你向管理機(jī)構(gòu)但是,CFA又說:suchdisclosuremaybeprudentincertainCFA候選人在投資過程中必須保持獨(dú)立和客觀;不提供、I(B) IC)誤導(dǎo)陳述IC)(guaranteeinginvestmentperformance)和();ID)瀆職MembersandCandidatesmustnotengageinanyprofessionalconductinvolvingdishonesty,fraud,ordeceitorcommitanyactthatreflectsadverselyontheirprofessionalreputation,integrity,orcompetence.在職業(yè)行為中不能涉及不誠(chéng)實(shí)(dishonesty)、(fraud)和ID)II資本市場(chǎng)的誠(chéng)信(IntegrityofCapitalII(A)實(shí)質(zhì)性信息(MaterialNonpublicMtealaeil)reialeadamgosmosic理論是指分析師使用,處理和分析mtealpbicinomaon和nmtealnlicnomaon后得到的結(jié)論(B)市場(chǎng)(Market不能通過價(jià)格或虛增量的方式來誤導(dǎo)市場(chǎng)IIB)對(duì)客戶的職責(zé)(Duties 會(huì)員和候選人必須為顧客利益服務(wù)并且顧客利益置于個(gè)人和雇主。顧誠(chéng)須并顧任iuiaydty)Toobtaincertainresearchandbenefitsaidingtheinvestmentdecision-makingprocess,managersmaydirecttradestosomebrokerofferingtherelevantgoodsandservices.Brokerageis’sasset,somanagersshalldirect’sbrokeragetoobtaingoodsandservicesforthebenefitofthevery.III(B)公平對(duì)待FairCFA候選人在投資分析、投資建議、投資操作和其他職業(yè)行為中必須公平客觀(fairlyandobjectively)對(duì)待所有客戶。 swhopurchasedorheldthescingorderscontrarytothe betreatedthesameastheun-discretionaryaccounts,newissuesandsecondaryofferingsshouldbeallocatedtoallonaproratabasis.期更新(knowyours);陳述投資建議時(shí)明確區(qū)分事實(shí)和觀點(diǎn)(distinguishbetweenfactsandopinions)。投資建議和投資操作必須與明確的組合管理目標(biāo)和限制(statedportfolioobjectivesandconstraints)相一致。與目標(biāo)和限制(objectivesandconstraints)相一致;III(D)業(yè)績(jī)陳述(PerformanceIII(E)(PreservationofMembersandCandidatesmustkeepinformationaboutcurrent,former,andprospective sunless:Theinformationconcernsillegalactivitiesonthepartofthe Disclosureisrequiredbylaw, orprospective permitsdisclosureoftheinformation.對(duì)雇主的職責(zé)(DutiestoEmployers)IV(A)忠誠(chéng)(Loyalty)deprivethefirmofitsprofit,orcompromisetheadvantageofemployee’sskillandcapability; 獨(dú)立的合同承包商(independentcontractors)必須遵守與雇主IV(B)額外安排(AdditionalCompensation、好處、收益或相他考慮(gifts,benefits,compensation,or所有的安排必須得到雇主的同意(Noarrangementwithouttheemployer'sapproval);對(duì)于不合理的管理制度,管理者應(yīng)提請(qǐng)上層注意并提出改進(jìn)如果沒有制度或制度不完善(poor),管理者必須以的形式拒 mendationsanddiligence,thoroughness,andindependence)此條款的應(yīng)用取決于投資哲學(xué)(investmentphilosophy)、會(huì)員和候獨(dú)立性和客觀性objectivity 對(duì)于團(tuán)體,如果一個(gè)會(huì)員不同意團(tuán)體的研究結(jié)果,只要有合理和充分的基礎(chǔ),他不必將名字放在報(bào)告中V(B)與客戶溝通(CommunicationwithsandProspective向顧客披露分析選擇和構(gòu)建組合所采用投資程序的basicformatandgeneralprinciples,并且及時(shí)披露程序的變化; overthecall,orbythecomputer;利益(sofInterest)VI(A)披露(Disclosureofs) Investmentbankingservices;Market-makingactivities;Materialbeneficialownershipofstocks VI(B)優(yōu)先(Priorityof客戶的先于雇主的, 雇主的先于membersandcandidates自己的。;membersandcandidates是該賬戶的受益人之一,則他應(yīng)VI(C)推薦費(fèi)(Referral CFA會(huì)員和候選人職責(zé)(ResponsibilitiesasaCFAmemberorVII(A)CFA(ConductasmembersandcandidatesintheCFAProgram)望,以及CFA考試公正性和含金量的行為。CheatingontheCFANotcomplyingwithrulesandpoliciesoftheCFADivulgingtheinformationtoImproperlyusingtheMisrepresentinginformationonPCSorthe會(huì)員或候選人有自由和權(quán)力對(duì)CFA或CFA項(xiàng)目闡發(fā)自己的VII(B)CFA學(xué)會(huì),CFA稱謂和CFA項(xiàng)目(Referenceto當(dāng)提及CFA、和項(xiàng)目時(shí),不能誤導(dǎo)(misrepresent)或夸,CFA稱號(hào)的權(quán)利,必須滿足幾個(gè)條件:是CFACFA的三次考試,按時(shí)完成并提交年度述職報(bào)告(annualconduct 唯一正確的表述是:CFA,CharteredFinancial 說法都不對(duì),如cfa,C.F.A, TheGIPSapplytoinvestmentmanagementfirms(適用于投資管理EnsurefairrepresentationofresultsandfullIncludeallactualfee-paying,discretionaryportfoliosincompositesfor5-yearminimum,orsinceinception,thenmustaddoneyearofcompliantperformancehistoryeachyearuntila10-yearrecordisFirmarerequiredtousecertaincalculationandpresentationstandardsandmakespecificdisclosuresInputdatamustbeFirmsareencouragedtoadopt mended If swithlocallaw,followlocallaw,but erequirementsintheSupplementalprivateequityandrealestateprovisionscontainedinGIPSaretobeappliedinthoseassetclass認(rèn)證Mustbeperformedbyathirdparty(必須由第認(rèn)證Mustbeperformedonafirm-widebasis(必須對(duì)整個(gè)公司進(jìn)行認(rèn)證GIPS的九個(gè)部分(9MajorSectionsoftheGIPSInputdata(原始數(shù)據(jù)Realestate(不動(dòng)產(chǎn)Privateequity(私募Wrapfee/Separaymanagedaccount數(shù)量數(shù)量

現(xiàn)金流折現(xiàn)統(tǒng)計(jì)概念和

NPV,IRR,HPR,Money-weightedrateofreturn,Timed-weightedrateofreturn,Bankdiscountyield,effectiveannualyield,moneymarketyield,bond-equivalentyield不等式,變異系數(shù),Sharpe比Roy'ssafety-firstSession3:

Reading6.thetimevalueof

風(fēng)險(xiǎn)溢價(jià)流動(dòng)性風(fēng)險(xiǎn)溢價(jià) rFordiscrete EAR

misthecompoundingristhenominal/quoted/statedannualinterestrater/misperiodicinterestrateForcontinuous EARerConversionof

FVPVReading7.discountedcashflowNetpresent

CF t0(1IRRtInternalrateof t0(1IRRtHoldingperiodyield

P1P0DPmoney-weightedrateofreturn →thesameasinternalrateofreturntime-weightedrateofreturn→thesameasgeometricmeanreturn有效年利率(EAY(1HPY)365

)HPY N

i1X全距=Max(觀察值)-Min(觀察值) 分布,至少有1-k

標(biāo)準(zhǔn)Sharpe 正偏(positivelyskewed):均值>中位數(shù)>眾數(shù)。負(fù)偏(negativelyskewed):均值<中位數(shù)<眾數(shù)。Sample

1 (i(i

-X 1 X-X1Sample

(i excesskurtosis=samplekurtosis–Reading9probabilityconcepts發(fā)生的機(jī)率(oddsfortheevent 發(fā)生的概不發(fā)生的機(jī)率(oddsagainsttheevent i1 E(RpNwE(RwE(Ri1 兩資產(chǎn)投資組合的方差:Var(Rw22(Rw22(R2wwCov(RR A (bayes'formula):P(A|B)P(B|A)P(P(BP(B|A)P(A)P(B|C

n

(nrReading10Commonprobabilitydistributions,,,=σRoy'ssafety-firstratio=E(RP)

eTReading11.samplingandestimation

)n臨界值根據(jù)置信水平(confidencelevel)在z分布或t分布上找;標(biāo)準(zhǔn)誤差= Confidenceintervalestimate:Confidenceintervalofpopulationmean

σ—σnnSignificancelevel(α)Degreeofconfidence(1-α)Reading12HypothesisTesting顯著性水平(levelofsignificance)衡量的是發(fā)生第一類錯(cuò)誤的概率。第二類錯(cuò)誤(TypeIIerror):零假設(shè)是錯(cuò)誤的,但是在檢驗(yàn)中沒有被。Thepowerofatest=1-P(TypeII外的概率稱為p-值。

X/XXX/Xt(n-S//S/

F2s22s2

0Reading13.technical PatternsofUptrend:thepricegoestohigherhighsandhigherlows;Downtrend:thepricegoestothelowerlowsandlowerhighs.Supportline:Alowpricerangeinwhichbuyingactivityissufficientstopthedeclineinline:Apricerangeinwhichsellingactivityissufficienttostoptheriseinprice.Changein量Oncesupportlevelisbreached,it levelisbreached,it essupportlevel.shortinterestratio=賣空股數(shù)量 TRIN 量/價(jià)格下跌 Head-and-shoulderspattern:Pricetarget=Neckline-(Head–Inversehead-and-shoulderpattern:Pricetarget=Neckline+(Neckline–Prevailinguptrend:upwardmovesinpricesconsistof5wavesanddownwardmovesoccurin3waves.Prevailingdowntrend:downwardmovesinpricesconsistof5wavesandupwardmovesoccurin3waves.StudySession4:

的StudySession5:經(jīng)濟(jì):貨幣政國(guó)際貿(mào)易與匯

Reading13.TopicsinDemandandSupply Changeindemand:shiftofthedemandcurve(supplycurve)

Changeindemandty:movealongthedemandcurve(supplycurve)

EDX(QX)/ (P)/perfectlyelastic; elasticity ofdemand)EDX(QX)/ (I)/EDXIEDXIEDX(QX)/QX (P)/ EDX互補(bǔ)品(complementsEDX++++-++--ATC線和AVCU型。AFCMCUAVCATCMC曲線*APAVC線,APAVCMPMC線,MPMCU型,最低點(diǎn)的左邊為規(guī)模經(jīng)濟(jì)(economiesofscale),即平(diseconomiesofscale),即平均成本隨著生產(chǎn)數(shù)量的增加而增加。taker爭(zhēng)完全競(jìng)爭(zhēng)廠商短期供給曲線AVC

MRP1MRP2MRPN

MP2MR

MPNMRReading15.TheFirmandMarket。寡頭市場(chǎng)模型teouotoel的常,從中斷自的需曲線然的短期均衡的條件為利潤(rùn)最大化的條件*:首先,根據(jù)確定為負(fù)。在長(zhǎng)期,由于市場(chǎng)進(jìn)入壁壘高,廠商仍能維持正的經(jīng) Reading16.AggregateOutputPrices,andEconomicGrowth產(chǎn)出法(aggregateoutput)=收入法 e)=支出法t期GDP平減指數(shù)

100

N

國(guó)民收入=工資+利息++非公司企業(yè)主收入+公司稅前 個(gè)人可支配收入(aldisposable 引起總需求增加(AD曲線向右邊移動(dòng))的因素:7)8).AnIncreaseShiftsShiftsSupplyofSupplyofnaturalSupplyofhumanSupplyofphysicalProductivityandNominalNoInputprices(e.g.,NoExpectationoffutureNoBusinessNoNoNoReading17.UnderstandingBusinessCyclesemployment-to-populationratio,participationrate。關(guān)鍵是要區(qū)分 和working-agepopulation之間的關(guān)系。

working-age三種不同的失業(yè)類型*:摩擦性失業(yè)(frictionalunemployment)、結(jié)構(gòu)性失業(yè)(structuralunemployment)和周期性失業(yè)(cyclical2.通貨膨脹nfongfiondfonhpnfonP1P0Laspeyresindex和Paascheindex比較。Laspeyresindex以基期消引起通貨膨脹的原因ostpuhnain)通貨膨與失業(yè)率上升擴(kuò)張性的財(cái)政政策和貨幣政策,使得總需求曲線向右移動(dòng),mlnn調(diào)節(jié)下,短期總供給曲線向左移動(dòng),恢復(fù)到均衡狀態(tài),但是Reading18.MonetaryandFiscal 貨幣數(shù)量論(thetytheoryofmoney):MVPY,貨幣中性(moneyneutral)的概念。預(yù)防動(dòng)機(jī)(Precautionarymotive):隨著國(guó)民收入的投機(jī)動(dòng)機(jī)(Speculativemotive):投機(jī)動(dòng)機(jī)的貨幣需求i 效應(yīng) b)支出乘數(shù)(fiscalmultiplier)、乘數(shù)(taxmultiplier)和平衡

1-MPC(1t 1-MPC(1t

乘數(shù)(taxmultiplier):當(dāng)?shù)脑黾右粏挝粫r(shí),GDP的減少大于一單位,說明對(duì)GDP的減少有成倍放大的作用平衡預(yù)算(balancedbudget)是指增加一單位的支出,同)影響時(shí)滯(impactlag)。高低低低低高高高高高低高低高低Reading19.InternationalTradeandCapitalFlows絕對(duì)優(yōu)勢(shì)(absoluteadvantage)和比較優(yōu)勢(shì)(comparative國(guó)際貿(mào)易限制的:關(guān)稅(tariff),進(jìn)口(importquota),出(capitalaccount)和金融項(xiàng)目(financialaccount)。非金融資產(chǎn)的收買或,前者主要是投資捐贈(zèng)和注銷;后者主要是土地和無形資產(chǎn)(專利、 、商標(biāo)等)的收買或出金融賬戶(financialaccount):金融賬戶包括直接投資、國(guó)際貿(mào)易赤字的原因:XMSITG),貿(mào)易赤字是由于Reading20.CurrencyExchangeRaterealexchange nominalexchange CPI 即期匯率1

StudySession

EPS的計(jì)算,其他綜合利潤(rùn)項(xiàng)目StudySession資產(chǎn)負(fù)債表和現(xiàn)金流量

FCFF和FCFEStudySession

Study

ysis:An資產(chǎn)負(fù)債表:資產(chǎn)(asset負(fù)債(liability)+所有者權(quán)益(owner’s+–=–=管理層討論(managementdiscussionand 無法表示意見 erof 現(xiàn)金及現(xiàn)金等價(jià)物(Cashandcashequivalents)應(yīng)收帳款(Accountsreceivable,tradereceivables)預(yù)用(Prepaidexpenses)固定資產(chǎn)(Property,nt,andequipment)投資性房地產(chǎn)(Investmentproperty)性金融資產(chǎn)(tradingsecurities)長(zhǎng)期投資(investmentsecurities)應(yīng)付帳款(Accountspayabletradepayables)應(yīng)計(jì)負(fù)債(accruedliabilities)當(dāng)期和遞延所得稅負(fù)債(Currentanddeferredtaxliabilities)預(yù)收帳款(Unearnedrevenue)股本溢價(jià)(additionalpaid-incapital)留存收益(retainedearnings) 銷售收入(sales 銷售成本(costofgoods利息費(fèi)用(interest理論框架中的財(cái)務(wù)信息質(zhì)量要求分為基本要求和補(bǔ)充要求IFRS下財(cái)務(wù)報(bào)告的前提假定包括兩項(xiàng):權(quán)責(zé)發(fā)生制(accrualaccounting)和持續(xù)經(jīng)營(yíng)(goingconcern)。 e 分期付款(installmentmethod):按當(dāng)期收到的貨款確認(rèn)收入,成本回收法(costrecoverymethod):在全部成本收回之前,不門本年度的或虧損作為已下列報(bào),因(netoftax) infrequentitems上列報(bào),因而應(yīng)列報(bào)其稅前基本EPS 凈利潤(rùn)-稀釋每股收益 (凈利潤(rùn)-優(yōu)先股股利)可轉(zhuǎn)換優(yōu)先股股利可轉(zhuǎn)換債券利息(1-稅率) 普通股平均股數(shù)可轉(zhuǎn)換優(yōu)先股轉(zhuǎn)換股股數(shù)可轉(zhuǎn)換債券轉(zhuǎn)換股數(shù)執(zhí)行增加的股數(shù)GAAP和IFRSReading25.UnderstandingtheBalanceSheet(資產(chǎn)負(fù)債表Reading26.UnderstandingtheCashFlow3注意:在IFRS下,企業(yè)可以選擇將、債券投資獲得的股需要注意,企業(yè)支付的現(xiàn)金股利在GAAP為籌資活動(dòng)現(xiàn)金期初應(yīng)收賬款+銷售收入–銷售收到的現(xiàn)金=期末應(yīng)收賬款對(duì)商品或勞務(wù)供應(yīng)商付的現(xiàn)金(inventory、COGS、accountpayable調(diào)整得到)公司自由現(xiàn)金流(cashflowtothefirm,營(yíng)運(yùn)支股東自由現(xiàn)金流 cashflowtoequity, ysis營(yíng)運(yùn)能力指標(biāo)ActivityAssetturnover =taxburden×interestburden×EBITmargin×assetturnover×⑴.存貨計(jì)量方法:個(gè)別辨認(rèn)法(Specificidentification)、先進(jìn)先出(First-in,first-out,F(xiàn)IFO)、后進(jìn)先出(Last-in,first-out,LIFO)、平均成本計(jì)價(jià)法(WeightedAverageLIFOreserve=FIFOinventoryvalue-LIFOinventory期末存貨(endinginventory)=期初存貨(beginninginventory)+當(dāng)期購(gòu)入(purchases)-銷貨成本(COGS)FIFOSpecificidentification下,永續(xù)盤存制和實(shí)地盤高低高低低高高低低高高低低高低高高低低高1,使用有限的無形資產(chǎn)(finite-livedintangibleasset):如果進(jìn)行攤銷(amortization)。2,使用不確定的無形資產(chǎn)(indefinite-livedintangibleasset),在持有期間內(nèi)不需要攤銷,但一般情況下,企業(yè)內(nèi)部創(chuàng)造無形資產(chǎn)的成本支出應(yīng)該費(fèi)用化。當(dāng)然也存在一些例外研究與開發(fā)費(fèi)用(researchanddevelopmentcosts)Research在研究和開發(fā)費(fèi)用中也存在一個(gè)例外軟件開發(fā)費(fèi)用(softwaredevelopmentcosts),根據(jù)該軟件開發(fā)的作用不同,F(xiàn)orownForCapitalizedwhenthefeasibilityhasbeenCapitalizedwhentheproduct’sfeasibilityhasbeenestablished直線折舊法(straightlineDepreciationcost

2

cost-residualvalueoutputunitsusefullifeinunits公允價(jià)值模式(revaluationmodel):價(jià)值相對(duì)于原始成本上升“雜的情況是,當(dāng)前期資產(chǎn)價(jià)值下降,而后起回升時(shí),期記入 e遞延所得稅負(fù)債(DeferredTaxLiabilities):taxexpensetax遞延所得稅資產(chǎn)(DeferredTaxAssets):taxexpensetax資產(chǎn)的計(jì)稅基礎(chǔ)(taxbase),是指企業(yè)收回資產(chǎn)賬面價(jià)值過程

平價(jià)(issuedatpar):市場(chǎng)利率等于票面利率,債券的價(jià)折價(jià)(atadiscounttofacevalue):市場(chǎng)利率大于票面利溢價(jià)(atapremiumtofacevalue):市場(chǎng)利率小于票面利==負(fù)債表不表現(xiàn)該項(xiàng)資產(chǎn):并同時(shí)披露今后5年內(nèi)的現(xiàn)金支付。人對(duì)承租人的財(cái)產(chǎn),即使租賃財(cái)產(chǎn)的所有權(quán)未曾轉(zhuǎn)移。因而,出租人應(yīng)登記資本性租賃為一項(xiàng)財(cái)產(chǎn)的而承租人為一項(xiàng)財(cái)產(chǎn)的符合合同的要求企業(yè)在某些時(shí)候壓低報(bào)告的動(dòng)機(jī)主要集中在收集談判籌碼,:董事會(huì)不足凈利潤(rùn)的增加與CFO經(jīng)營(yíng)現(xiàn)金流不一致;非經(jīng)常性項(xiàng)目經(jīng)常出現(xiàn);過度強(qiáng)調(diào)non-GAAP衡量; 擔(dān)保(Colla 信用機(jī)構(gòu)如Moody'sandStandardandPoor's用以評(píng)價(jià)公司信譽(yù)的償還的可能性(將導(dǎo)致更好的信用等級(jí)以及較低的利息杠桿(leverage)。營(yíng)業(yè)收入的比率、息稅前利潤(rùn)、以及自由現(xiàn)金

SS11

DOLDFL,DTL的定義和計(jì)算NPVCF (1AcceptifNPV>0RejectifNPV<0 t0(1 IRR< IRR可能無解,也可能有多個(gè)IRR進(jìn)行再投資這PI=PVoffuturecash=1+AcceptifPI>1RejectifPI<凈現(xiàn)值曲線(NPVprofile):結(jié)合圖形分析以下幾點(diǎn)(橫軸為資本Reading36.Cost以現(xiàn)在的市場(chǎng)價(jià)值計(jì)算的權(quán)重,注意不能以賬面價(jià)值計(jì)算YTM PYTM P(1YTM)n(1YTM公 KcsE

1(1t)ED DE的主權(quán)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)溢價(jià)(countryriskpremium,CRP)。Kcs=rf+β[E(rM)-rf+CRP=債券市場(chǎng)收益率價(jià)差間斷點(diǎn)(breakpoints),計(jì)算為:Reading37.Measuresof經(jīng)營(yíng)杠桿(DOL)EBIT/EBITQ(PV STVC Q(PV) STVC財(cái)務(wù)杠桿(DFL)EPS/ Q(PV)EBIT/ EBIT Q(PV)F 盈虧平衡點(diǎn)(breakeventyof fixedoperatingcosts+fixedfinancing price-variablecostper經(jīng)營(yíng)活動(dòng)盈虧平衡點(diǎn)(operatingbreakeventyof fixed price-variablecostper1票面價(jià)值折現(xiàn)率( value)面值

yield 貨幣市場(chǎng)收益率( )收益率面值價(jià)格

債券等價(jià)收益率(bondequivalentyield):此處債券等價(jià)收

StudySession

SharpeRatio,TreynorMeasureReading41PortfolioManagement:AnOverviewDBP捐贈(zèng)基金和足儲(chǔ)戶的取足理賠的需取決于共同基金的投資取決于共同基金的投資足基金的贖回Reading42.RiskManagement:An險(xiǎn)(riskmodification)。防范與規(guī)避風(fēng)險(xiǎn)(RiskpreventionandAvoidance)接受風(fēng)險(xiǎn)(Riskacceptance):Self-insuranceand轉(zhuǎn)移風(fēng)險(xiǎn)(Risktransfer)轉(zhuǎn)換風(fēng)險(xiǎn)(RiskReading43.PortfolioRiskandReturn:Part兩資產(chǎn)投資組合的方差: w2σ2w2σ22ww 1 2 2效用函數(shù)(utilityfunction):UE(R12資本分配線(capitalallocationline,CAL),代表投資者按照不同的權(quán)Reading44PortfolioRiskandReturnPartII,

cov(Ri,RM)σ2Mσ2

σσmSharpeRatio RpSharpeRatio p Rp pM-

)=(RR) )=(RR)p Reading45.BasicsofPortfolio nningandConstructiontobearrisk);(2)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)承受意愿(willingnesstobearrisk)。situation)、法律和因素約束(legalandregulatory)、獨(dú)有的環(huán)境因素約束(uniquecircumstance)Reading44:

StudySession13:

Reading45:市場(chǎng)指Reading46:Reading47:股權(quán)概StudySession

Reading48:Porter的五個(gè)影響行業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)Reading49:權(quán)益估值:概念和Reading44:MarketOrganizationand完善的金融市場(chǎng)的特征(Characteristicsofawell-functioning(Market(Investor(TradingThebestbidandbestoffer"make"theAtradeacceptingacurrentbidorofferissaidto"take"theSellatlimitpriceorhigher(限制最低OrdermightnotbefilledValidity:Whentotrade(什么時(shí)候)Stoporders:Executeifpricereachesspecifiedlevel(當(dāng)價(jià)格到達(dá)規(guī)保證金(MarginInitialMarginRequirement():theminimumamountofmoneythatisrequiredforbuyingastock,therestisborrowedfromabrokerMaintenanceMarginRequirement(維持保證金要求):MinimumequityinpositionEquitypercentage=(stockvalue-loan)/stockMarginCall增加保證金通知)equity小于維持保證金水平時(shí)Marginalcall 1MMTotalReturnofLeveraged=(P0Q)leverage+Purchase期末權(quán)益 P1×+Dividends -MarginSales回報(bào)率=(endingequityinitialcost)initialReading45:SecurityMarketIndices(市場(chǎng)指數(shù)RebalancingUpdatingtheindexweightsonaperiodicbasis(定期重ReconstitutionPeriodicallyaddinganddeletingsecurities定期增加或剔除成分)股指方法(WeightingSchemesforStock 當(dāng)期市值,市 float-adjustedIndex 債券市場(chǎng)指數(shù)(BondMarket Dealermarketandinfrequenttrading(做市商市場(chǎng)和不頻Reading46:MarketIPOunderpricing(IPO價(jià)被低估Lossaversion厭惡損失人們面對(duì)同樣數(shù)量的收益和損失時(shí),認(rèn)Overconfidence過度自信Gambler’sfallacy(賭徒謬論)–錯(cuò)誤地認(rèn)為某發(fā)生的機(jī)率會(huì)隨Mentalaccounting(心理帳戶)-人們會(huì)把在現(xiàn)實(shí)中客觀等價(jià)的支Dispositioneffect(處置效應(yīng))-指投資人傾向賣出賺錢的、繼Informationcascades(信息瀑布)–沒有信息的投資者會(huì)模仿有信Reading47:OverviewofEquity股權(quán)特征(EquitySecurities普通股(Commonstock):紅利可變,且并非強(qiáng)制,追償權(quán)排與相似之處:紅利往往是固定的,一般沒有投票權(quán),當(dāng)公(Unsponsoreddepositoryreceipts):上市公司沒有參與,銀行持有投票權(quán),投資者沒有投票權(quán)美式存托憑證(AmericanDepositoryReceipts):以計(jì)價(jià),在Reading48:IntroductiontoIndustry 行業(yè)劃分方法(ApproachestoIndustryGrous):按產(chǎn)品或服務(wù)(IndustryLife:Growthstage增長(zhǎng)階段):需求增長(zhǎng)迅速,競(jìng)爭(zhēng)小,價(jià)格下降,Shakeoutstage(階段):增長(zhǎng)放緩,競(jìng)爭(zhēng)加劇,產(chǎn)能過剩,盈::(Industry絕對(duì)市場(chǎng)份額(Absolutemarketshare)對(duì)行業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)的影響小于相對(duì)市場(chǎng)份額(relativemarketshare)Porter的五個(gè)影響行業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力量(Porter’s Threatofnewentrants(新進(jìn)入者的Threatofsubstituteproducts(替代產(chǎn)品的Bargainingpowerofrs(供應(yīng)商的議價(jià)力(Industrybarrierstoexit)非實(shí)物產(chǎn)能(Non-physicalcapacity,比如資本和技能(e.g.,capital,skills)更容易被轉(zhuǎn)移到新的行業(yè)實(shí)物產(chǎn)能(Physicalcapacity轉(zhuǎn)化成生產(chǎn)的速度比非實(shí)物產(chǎn)能(non-physicalcapacity)慢DPreferredStock(perpetuity)=kOneyearholding D1 t t

sharepriceattimeHoldingperiodofn ...Dn GordonGrowthModel(constantVD01g k

kkcanbeevaluatedbyCAPM: k=Rrisk pany(Rmarket– g=retentionrate×ROE(forastable, ProfitMargin×TotalAssetTurnover×Financial

Total P k

D1

kDividendyield=Dividebyp0

D1/k

ThisistheleadingP/E;trailingP/EisP0/E0D1/E1=payoutratio=1–retentionrate 1

k

2(1 kk

D 0t

(MultiplierEnterpriseValueEnterprisevalue=Marketvalueofcommonstock+marketvalueofdebt–cashandshort-terminvestmentsEV/EBITDAratios在以下情況適用(Asset-basedEquity=marketvalueofassets–marketvalueof固定收益 StudySession15

StudySession

面值(par票息和頻率(couponrateandfrequency)B.否定條款(negativecovenants)1)償還債券(bulletstructure):到期前僅支付利息,到期回售條款(putprovision):投資者有權(quán)利提前以約定價(jià)格回售可轉(zhuǎn)條款(convertibleprovision):投資者有權(quán)利以約定的轉(zhuǎn)換 (LIBORprice1)相關(guān)債券:包括主權(quán)債、非主權(quán)債、類債、即為回購(gòu)利率(年化)。回購(gòu)本質(zhì)上是抵押,回購(gòu)利率受以 e 法。求折現(xiàn)率時(shí),利用類似的債券(到期日、信用)插值法求出適用的市場(chǎng)收益率(折現(xiàn)率)。主要用于不活躍或者沒有的YTM的利息率進(jìn)行再投資;投資者持有債券一直到期;不當(dāng)期收益(currentyield):當(dāng)期收益=贖回收益率:假設(shè)一個(gè)可贖回債券的人在可贖回日按照事先約定的行權(quán)價(jià)格把債券贖回,從到贖回這段時(shí)間的現(xiàn)金流內(nèi)部應(yīng)計(jì)利息(accruedinterest):在日和上次支付利息日之間遠(yuǎn)期利率曲線(forwardratecurve):由不同期限遠(yuǎn)期利率構(gòu)成零波動(dòng)率利差(staticspread,zero-volatilityspread):收益率曲本付息現(xiàn)金來自資產(chǎn)池,資產(chǎn)池現(xiàn)金收益分配給ABS的結(jié)構(gòu)叫做waterfallstructure。若資產(chǎn)池中全是房地產(chǎn)抵押(mortgageloans),對(duì)應(yīng)的資產(chǎn)支持就叫做抵押支持(MortgageBackedfoesr 款(interest-onlyloan)是本金不攤銷的 償還本金的罰金(prepaymentpenalty)。無求償權(quán)的(non-recourseloan)指人只能靠抵押資產(chǎn)池是商業(yè)房地產(chǎn)抵押的資產(chǎn)抵押叫RMBS。人是相關(guān)機(jī)構(gòu)的RMBS是AgencyRMBS,人非相關(guān)機(jī)構(gòu)的是non-agencyRMBS。信用增級(jí)(credit內(nèi)部增信:現(xiàn)金儲(chǔ)備(cashreservefund)、利差儲(chǔ)備(excessservicespreadfunds)、超額抵押(overcollalization、信用分層(senior/subordinatedstructure)等方式。(tranche)。按本金償還順序分層的CMO叫順序償本(sequential-payCMO)。約定了本金償還日程的層級(jí)叫做本金按(extensionrisk)和縮期風(fēng)險(xiǎn)(contractionrisk)。用于吸收過多或過少本金償還的層級(jí)叫支持層級(jí)(supporttranche),該tranche有最高的提前還款風(fēng)險(xiǎn)(prepaymentrisk)。利率上升時(shí),延展風(fēng)險(xiǎn)(extensionrisk)上升,提前還款的可能利率下降時(shí),縮期風(fēng)險(xiǎn)(contractionrisk)上升,提前還款的可資產(chǎn)池為汽車消費(fèi)、未償余額的資產(chǎn)支持債券分AutoloanABSCreditcardABS。CollalizedDebtObligations泛指以債權(quán)類資產(chǎn)池為抵押所的,若資產(chǎn)池是杠桿(leveragedbankCDOCollalizedBond(最先承擔(dān)信用損失),mezzaninebondseniorbond(最Reading56. eRiskand ntMacDur=D 1有效久期(VV

D.

i PMoneyDur=ModDurxPrice:PVBP

P-P收益率,利率下降,持有期回報(bào)低于債券收益率;持有期小于Reading57.Fundamentalsof 1)/資本FCFafterdividends/debt,比值越高,清償能力越

StudySession

Reading56.DerivativeMarketsand遠(yuǎn)期契約(Forwardcommitment):權(quán)利與義務(wù)對(duì)等,包括遠(yuǎn)期、90以及互換?;蛴泻霞s(Contingentclaim):權(quán)利與義務(wù)不對(duì)等,包括遠(yuǎn)期(Forward):個(gè)性化定制的合約,沒有很好的、信息不透明、有違約風(fēng)險(xiǎn),在場(chǎng)外市場(chǎng)。做多方,當(dāng)標(biāo)的資產(chǎn)價(jià)格上升逐日盯市制度(markingtomarket),保

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