啤酒設(shè)備市場分析Marketanalysisforbeerequipment一、2023—2023年大型啤酒廠設(shè)備產(chǎn)量回歸推想結(jié)果〔萬臺〕—、Regression Production Forecast of the Large BeerEquipmentfrom2023to2023(10,000units)大型啤酒廠設(shè)備產(chǎn)量增長率2023440392.735.60%2023469259.366.55%2023500583.236.68%2023534364.346.75%2023570602.696.78%YearProductionYearProductionoftheLargeBeerEquipmentGrowth Rate2023440392.735.60%2023469259.366.55%2023500583.236.68%2023534364.346.75%2023570602.696.78%Source:RegressionAnalysis2023-2023ApplicationForecastoftheLargeBeerEquipment invariousfieldsfrom2023to2023asfollowing:2023-2023年大型啤酒廠設(shè)備不同領(lǐng)域銷量推想〔萬臺〕SalesForecastoftheLargeBeerEquipmentinvariousfieldsfrom2023to2023(10,000units)202320232023202320232023原料粉碎76618.0380096.6684053.1788009.6891966.1995922.70糖化27566.2728817.8530241.3531664.8633088.3734511.87發(fā)酵37295.5538988.8540914.7742840.6944766.6146692.53啤酒過濾27160.8928394.0529796.6331199.2032601.7734004.34洗瓶灌裝49457.1451702.6154256.5456810.4859364.4261918.36壓蓋殺菌47430.2149583.6552032.9254482.1856931.4559380.72其它139858.30146208.19153430.39160652.59167874.80175097.00Year數(shù)據(jù)來源：相關(guān)經(jīng)濟(jì)模型分析YearItem202320232023202320232023MaterialCrushing76618.0380096.6684053.1788009.6891966.1995922.70Saccharification27566.2728817.8530241.3531664.8633088.3734511.87Fermentation37295.5538988.8540914.7742840.6944766.6146692.53BeerFiltration27160.8928394.0529796.6331199.2032601.7734004.34WashingBottling49457.1451702.6154256.5456810.4859364.4261918.36CappingSterilization47430.2149583.6552032.9254482.1856931.4559380.72Others139858.30146208.19153430.39160652.59167874.80175097.00Source:analysisforrelevantmodels2023-2023ConsumptionStructureoftheLargeBeerEquipmentfrom2023to202360000050000040000030000020230010000002023年

2023年原料粉碎 糖化 發(fā)酵 啤酒過濾 洗瓶灌裝 壓蓋殺菌 原料粉碎 糖化 發(fā)酵 啤酒過濾 洗瓶灌裝 壓蓋殺菌 其它數(shù)據(jù)來源：相關(guān)經(jīng)濟(jì)模型分析Source:AnalysisofRelevantEconomicModels從國內(nèi)需求來看，世界大型啤酒廠設(shè)備生產(chǎn)和消費(fèi)構(gòu)造正在快速發(fā)生變化，的需求預(yù)期，刺激著各現(xiàn)有廠商不斷擴(kuò)大產(chǎn)能。Intermsofdomesticdemands,productionandconsumptionstructureofthelargebeerequipmentworldwidearechangingsorapidlythatthemainmarkettransferredfromEuropeandNorthAmericatoAsiaandthenewfocusbeingChinaand other countriesinEastAsia. Hugedemand forecastisspurring the existing manufactures to constantly increase productioncapacities.2023373809AccordingtoNationalBureauofStatistics,apparentdemandfordomesticlargebeerequipmentin2023reached3,122,980thousandunitsandincreasedto3,738,090thousandunits.Pleasefinddetailedinformationasthechartbelow:二、2023-20233月我國大型啤酒廠設(shè)備行業(yè)表觀需求總量統(tǒng)計二、AggregateApparentDemandStatisticsofChina’sLargeBeerEquipmentindustryinMarchfrom2023to20234000008%3500007%3000006%2500005%2023004%1500003%1000002%500001%00%2023年 2023年 2023年 2023年 2023年2023年2023年 2023年 2023年 2023年 2023年2023年1-3月表觀需求量〔萬臺〕312298.4328994.1350444.8352270.5373809.590365.39增長率 5.35% 6.52% 0.52% 6.11% 7.04%增長率：GrowthRate資料來源：多點(diǎn)、多樣本、多數(shù)據(jù)對行業(yè)數(shù)據(jù)調(diào)研Source:researchonindustrydatabymultiplespot,sampleanddata大型啤酒廠設(shè)備行業(yè)將來需求推想分析AnalysisforFutureDemandForecastoftheLargeBeerEquipmentIndustry本推想方法為回歸分析法Thewayofforecastisregressionanalysis.圖表1、2023—2023年大型啤酒廠設(shè)備表觀需求量擬合ChartOne.ApparentDemand-fittingoftheLargeBeerEquipmentfrom2023to2023380000380000370000360000y=14629.86x+299673.93R2=0.963500003400003300003202303100003000002900002800002023年表觀需求量〔萬臺〕312298328994350445352271373810資料來源：相關(guān)資料整理Source:compiledrelevantinformation2023—2023〔萬臺〕RegressionForecastResultofApparentDemandfortheLargeBeerEquipmentfrom2023to2023(10,000units)大型啤酒廠設(shè)備表觀需求量增長率20233874533.65%20234020833.78%20234167123.64%20234313423.51%20234459723.39%資料來源：相關(guān)資料整理YearYearApparentDemandfortheGrowthRate2023LargeBeerEquipment3874533.65%20234020833.78%20234167123.64%20234313423.51%20234459723.39%Source:compiledrelevantinformation三、進(jìn)出口總量比照分析依據(jù)海關(guān)總署的統(tǒng)計，2023年我國大型啤酒廠設(shè)備行業(yè)進(jìn)口總量為1386220231242755639萬臺。圖表2、2023-20233月年中國大型啤酒廠設(shè)備進(jìn)出口量比照60000500004000030000202301000002023年2023年2023年2023年2023年進(jìn)口量〔萬臺〕13196.9213862.4112534.5811901.2912427.23出口量〔萬臺〕30821.4040314.7430753.9743543.3755638.98月2580.5214698.11美元，出口總額為9071萬美元，截止2023年進(jìn)出口總量分別為4199萬美元和146092023-20233月871.903859.37ComparisonofChinsimportandexportvolumeoftheLargeBeerEquipmentinMarchfrom月871.903859.3716000140001202310000800060004000202302023年2023年2023年2023年2023年進(jìn)口額〔萬美元〕3629.154031.043847.423774.414198.90出口額〔萬美元〕6549.559070.827261.3510761.4314609.45資料來源：以海關(guān)總署為主，多點(diǎn)、多樣本、多數(shù)據(jù)對行業(yè)數(shù)據(jù)調(diào)研Source:mainlybasedonthestatisticsfromtheGeneralAdministrationofCustoms,industrydataresearchbymultiplepoint,sample,data四、2023InvestmentStructureoftheLargeBeerEquipmentIndustryin2023202310.9138.2%。具體見以以下圖：TotalinvestmentvolumeofChina’slargebeerequipmentin2023is1.091billionRMB,foreigninvestmentaccountedfor38.3%.Detailedinformationasthechartbelow:2023Investment Structure of the Large Beer Equipmentindustryin2023外資：foreign-funded內(nèi)資：domestically-funded資料來源：國家統(tǒng)計局Source:NationalBureauofStatistics投資時機(jī)分析AnalysisforInvestmentOpportunity一、投資時機(jī)分析一、AnalysisforInvestmentOpportunitC=0.3×[〔1+d1j〕÷〔1+D1j〕]+0.2×[〔1+d2j〕÷〔1+D2j〕]+0.25×[〔1+d3j〕÷〔1+D3j〕]+0.25×〔d4j÷D4j〕、d2D3、d3全部者權(quán)益增長率，D4、d4表示全行業(yè)及企業(yè)勞動生產(chǎn)率。每個因式前的常數(shù)1，活力系數(shù)愈大，企業(yè)活力愈強(qiáng)。Fromthisequation,Crepresentsindustryactivitycoefficient;Jrepresentsindustry;D1andd1 representproprietaryinterestsoftheenterpriseandthewholeindustry;D4andd4representlaborproductivityoftheenterpriseandthewholeindustry.Constantsbeforeeachfactor(0.3,0.2,0.25,0.25)areweightsimposedbasedonimportanceofeach indicator.Ifeveryindicator oftheenterpriseisattheaverageleveloftheindustry,whiletheactivitycoefficientis1.Thelargeractivitycoefficientis,morepowerfulactivityoftheenterprisebecome.20236.6。據(jù)此推想，目前行業(yè)具有較大的投資時機(jī)。Itisexpectedtheindustryactivitycoefficientofthelargebeerequipmentin2023is6.6.Basedonsuchestimates,therearebiggeropportunitiesforthecurrentindustry.二、可行爭論分析二、AnalysisforFeasibility收益率＝投資收益/平均投資額×100%；式中：平均投資額＝〔期初長、短期投力氣。Returnoninvestmentoftheenterprisedividedbyaverageinvestmentvolumeequalstherateofreturnoninvestment. Itcouldbeexpressedasaformulation:therateofreturnoninvestment= returnoninvestment/averageinvestmentvolume*100%.Intheformulation,averageinvestmentvolume=(begining long-and-short-term investment + ending long-and-short-terminvestment)/2.Such indicator represents the profitable capability for theenterprisebylong-and-short-terminvestmentofcapital.202321.52202325.98%，呈現(xiàn)上升趨勢。目前是投資的時機(jī)。Rateofreturnoninvestmentofthelargebeerequipmentin2023is21.52%,somewhatlowerthanthatin2023.Butsuchrateonthefirsthalfof2023showedupbeatas25.98%.Itisthetimetoinvestnow.三、2023-2023ProfitAnalysisforinvestmentoftheLargeBeerEquipmentfrom2023to20232023-20232023大環(huán)境的逐步進(jìn)展，大型啤酒廠設(shè)備投資收益率將穩(wěn)步提高。Itisestimatedtherateofreturnoninvestmentofthelargebeerequipmentfrom2023to2023isasfollowing:forecastratesofreturnoninvestmentofthelarge beer equipment in 2023,2023, 2023,2023 are21.52%,23.74%,24.25%,25.22%respectively.Generallyspeaking,asChina’sfutureeconomybroaderenvironmentisgraduallydeveloping,therateofreturnoninvestmentofthelargebeerequipmentwillbefirmlyincreasing.2023-2023ForecastRateofReturnonInvestmentoftheLargeBeerEquipmentfrom2023to202326.76%27.59%26.76%27.59%29.00%23.74%24.25%25.22%0000002023年 2023年

2023年 2023年 2023年 2023年資料來源：相關(guān)資料整理Source:compiledrelevantinformation四、2023四、InvestmentTrendForecastoftheLargeBeerEquipmentIndustryin2023估量2023-2023年大型啤酒廠設(shè)備行業(yè)投資趨勢呈現(xiàn)投資工程傾向于中高2023-202363.59%，其次為36.41%。Itisestimatedinvestmenttrendforecastofthelargebeerequipmentindustryfrom2023to2023willshowweighingontheinvestmentofthemediumandhighendlargebeerequipment,averageinvestmentofthewholeindustryfrom2023to2023willaccountfor63.59%andthelowen