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EMERGING
TECH
RESEARCHPitchBookData,Inc.John
Gabbert
Founder,
CEOGenerative
AI
VC
TrendsNizar
Tarhuni
Vice
President,
InstitutionalResearch
and
EditorialSegmentandcategoryanalysisPaul
Condra
Head
of
Emerging
TechnologyResearchPitchBook
is
a
Morningstar
company
providing
the
most
comprehensive,
mostaccurate,
and
hard-to-find
data
for
professionals
doing
business
in
the
private
markets.InstitutionalResearchGroupAnalysisBrendan
BurkeSenior
Analyst,
EmergingTechnologybrendan.burke@Key
takeawaysData?GenerativeAIisnotexemptfromtheVC
recession:
Outside
ofoutliercorporatepartnerships,
VC
investmentisonlyon
pacetomatchthetotalraisedbyGenAIleaders
in2021,with$7.9
billioninconventionalVC
roundsinvestedYTD.Matthew
NacionalesData
Analystpbinstitutionalresearch@?AbarbellisforminginGenAI
startup
dealflowbyproduct
type:
VC
deal
countissupporting
theunderlyingAIcoretechnologiesand
theirultimateverticalapplicationsinsteadofgeneral-purposemiddlewareacrossaudio,language,images,
and
video.PublishingDesigned
by
Megan
WoodardPublished
on
November17,
2023???Closed
deals
feature
highrevenuemultiples:
The
medianlate-stagevaluationhasaccelerated171.7%YoY
to$250.0
million,whileearly-stagevaluationshavegrownas
well.ContentsKeytakeawaysOverview1Among
segments,
code
stands
out
for
M&A
probability:
Companiesinthissegment
featurehigh-qualityinvestors,consistentfundraisingfrequency,andimprovingheadcount.23YTD
fundraising
and
deal
countbysegmentIn
IPO
probability,theAI
core
and
healthcare
segments
havethehighestvalues:
Companiesinthese
segments
stand
out
withtheirscale,
paceoffundraising,and
high-qualityinvestors.YTD
valuationsCorporate
VCactivityYTD
exits589Exit
predictionInvesting
outlook1011We
have
launcheda
pre-seed
reportmethodology
to
more
accurately
andcomprehensively
capture
deals
from
theearliest
phase
of
venture.
Going
forwardwe
will
sunset
“angel”
asa
specified
stageof
venture
in
all
of
PitchBook’s
venture-focused
reports.1PitchBook
Analyst
Note:
Generative
AI
VCTrendsOverviewOurQ3
2023
Generative
AI
Emerging
SpaceMarket
Map
isavailabletoclientsonthePitchBookPlatform.Generative
AI
(GenAI)has
created
a
new
class
oftechnology
leaders
across
productsegments,
yielding
unprecedented
VCdeals.
The
multibillion-dollar
partnershipsbetween
tech
giants
and
startups
are
changing
the
VClandscape
and
presentingpromise
for
continued
startup
outcomes
during
a
tech
recession.
Discourse
aroundGenAI
suggests
that
weare
in
the
next
hype
cycle
and
that
VCsare
eager
tofund
anycompany
building
in
the
space.
To
validate
this,
wehavebeen
tracking
the
space
sincethe
emergence
ofdiffusion
models
in
Q32022,
continually
adding
companies
that
arebuilding
text
and
image
generation
models
toour
GenAI
emerging
space
market
map.This
list
includes
both
new
entrants
and
pre-existing
AI
companies
developing
newtechniques.
We
believe
this
list
has
become
the
most
comprehensive
ofits
kind
in
theVCecosystem.
As
a
result,
it
has
been
leveraged
byleading
corporationstomap
thestartup
landscape.
We
debuted
this
market
map
in
our
Q12023GenerativeAIVerticalSnapshot
and
havesince
added
more
than
double
the
number
ofcompanies
includedtoover
1,500
in
our
GenerativeAIEmergingSpace.
With
this
foundation,
wecan
gaininsight
intothe
initial
tendencies
ofinvestors
in
the
emerging
space
that
will
shapeinvestment
opportunities
going
forward.GenerativeAIproducttaxonomyAI
coreAudioCodeHealthcare?
Data?
Audio
search?
Application
development?
Coding
assistants?
Data
analytics?
Biotech?
Deployment?
Model
architecture?
Orchestration?
Music
generation?
Synthetic
voice?
Healthtech?
Voice
recognition
&transcription?
Documentation?
TestingNatural
language
interfacesVertical
applicationsVisual
media?
Chatbots
&
personal
assistants?
Customer
support?
Neural
search?
Corporate
strategy?
E-commerce?
Edtech?
2D
images?
3D
models?
Content
suite?
Gaming?
Sales
&
marketing?
Translation?
Fintech?
Industrial?
Video?
Writing
&
editing?
Information
security?
Legal?
Proptech2PitchBook
Analyst
Note:
Generative
AI
VCTrendsAtotalof$23.2
billionhasbeen
committedtogenerativeAIstartups
in2023throughOctober
15—alreadya250.2%
increaseover2022’stotal.Outside
ofoutliercorporatepartnerships,
VC
investmentisonlyon
pacetomatchthetotalraisedbyGenAI
leaders
in2021,with$7.9
billioninconventionalVC
roundsinvestedYTD.
Weexcludedealsmade
byMicrosoft
and
AmazonforOpenAI,
Anthropic,and
InflectionAIgiventheiroutsizeddeal
valuesand
commitmentofcloudcomputingresourcesoveramultiyearperiod
tostand
inforcash.
These
commitmentsdo
notresembletraditionalVC
investmentsand
comefromcorporatebalancesheets
insteadofcorporateventurearms.
Seen
thisway,
conventionalVC
investorshavenotexceededtheirpriorpaceofdeployment,and
especiallyso
when
consideringtheinvolvementofcorporateinvestorsinthese
rounds.
GenAI
isnotexemptfromtheoverallVC
recession,thoughthefield
isnotfacingdeclinesseen
inothercategories.GenerativeAIVC
dealvalue($B)$25Inflection-MicrosoftAnthropic-AmazonOpenAI-MicrosoftConventional
VC$20$15$10$5$02020202120222023*Source:
PitchBook
?
Geography:
Global*AsofOctober
15,
2023YTD
fundraisinganddealcountby
segmentAbarbellisforminginGenAI
startup
product
types,
withVC
deal
countsupportingtheunderlyingAIcoretechnologiesand
theirultimatevertical
applicationsinsteadofgeneral-purposemiddlewareacrossaudio,language,and
video.In2022,visualmediabrokeout
indeal
countwiththesuccessofStableDiffusion
and
Midjourneyinimagegeneration.In2023,
leadinginnovatorMidjourneyhasnotrequiredVCfunding,
and
deal
countisnoton
pacetosurpass2022’stotal.AI-coredealshavebrokenout
thisyear,withmorethan100
dealscompletedafter
barelysurpassing80
in2021and
2022.This,
inpart,
owestotheinfluxofnewstartups
formed
toorchestratelargelanguagemodels
(LLMs)and
aconsistentflowofmegadeals
forfoundationmodel
traininglabs.
Verticalapplicationshavegrownthemost
as
newuse
cases
emerge
infields
includingcorporatestrategy,edtech,fintech,and
legal.GenAI-nativestartups
incorporatestrategyand
fintechhaveraised23
roundsin2023,
after
onlyraisingfourin2022,demonstratingthenoveltyofuse
cases
infinancialplanning.3PitchBook
Analyst
Note:
Generative
AI
VCTrendsLagging
categories
demonstrate
challenges
toclosing
rounds
in
smaller
markets.
Dealcounts
in
audio
recognition,
music
generation,
and
video
havefallen
precipitouslyYoY.
While
models
in
these
spaces
haveimproved,
they
havenot
attracted
as
muchattention
as
text
synthesis
and
knowledge
search.
Deal
counts
are
also
not
growingquickly
in
large
categories
such
as
data
preparation,
neural
search,
and
sales
&marketing—areas
in
which
incumbents
havestrong
and
fast-developing
offerings.
Ofthe
33
categories
in
our
taxonomy,only
18
havereached
their
deal
count
from
2022,suggesting
that
investors
are
exercising
discretion
when
faced
with
new
use
cases.AnnualgenerativeAIVC
dealcountby
segment1201008060402002020AIcore2021Naturallanguageinterfaces2022Visualmedia2023*Vertical
applicationsAudioCodeHealthcareSource:
PitchBook
?
Geography:
Global*AsofOctober
15,
2023AI
core
drives
the
bulk
offunding
given
the
megadeals
for
foundation-model
traininglabs
and
database
enablers,
including
Databricks.
Looking
past
that
category,
wesee
that
VC
funding
is
not
breaking
out
across
segments
above
historical
totals.Most
segments
are
not
on
pacetoexceed
the
level
offunding
committedtothespace
in
2021,
with
exceptions
in
code
and
vertical
applications.
The
record-breakingperformance
ofGPT-4on
code
prediction
tasks
has
led
toan
expansion
ofVCinvestment
in
code
tools,
along
with
the
creation
ofnew
categories
in
data
analyticscoding
and
automated
testing.
Coding-assistant
VC
funding
has
increased
457.4%YoY
to
$369.1million.
In
vertical
applications,
fast-growingapplications
includeedtech,
fintech,
legal,
and
industrial,
all
ofwhich
are
on
pacetomore
than
doubleVC
funding
YoY.
In
slower-growingsegments,
such
as
natural
language
interfacesand
healthcare,
2021’s
high
funding
enabled
some
companiestodevelop
new
GenAIproducts
with
existing
runway,lowering
their
need
or
ability
toraise
further
VCfunding
in
2023.
These
totals
suggest
that
large
companies
willbe
created
in
AIcore
and
code.Lagging
categories
demonstrate
that
VCshavenot
supported
all
use
cases
equallyand
haveleft
opportunity
for
new
startups.
We
havetracked
YoY
declines
in
largecategories
including
data
preparation,
customer
support,
voicerecognition
&transcription,
video,
and
multimedia
content
suites.
Some
concern
mayarise
duetothe
rapidly
improving
capabilities
ofcompetitors
and
the
high
valuations
ofcompanies
already
addressing
these
opportunities.
We
believe
that
investors
may
notfully
appreciate
the
data
needs
offine-tuned
custom
models
and
the
market
sizeofcustomer
support,
both
ofwhich
willencourage
larger
deals
in
the
future.4PitchBook
Analyst
Note:
Generative
AI
VCTrendsAnnualgenerativeAIVC
dealvalue($M)
by
segment$2,000$1,500$1,000$500$02020202120222023*NaturallanguageinterfacesVertical
applicationsVisualmediaAudioCodeHealthcareSource:
PitchBook
?
Geography:
Global*AsofOctober
15,
2023YTD
valuationsForthedealsthatarecompleted,valuationshaveincreasedrapidlyin2023.
Themedianlate-stagevaluationhasaccelerated171.7%to$250.0
million,whileearly-stagevaluationshavegrownas
well.Pre-seed/seedvaluationsarenotnecessarilyoutlandish,withamedianvaluationof$14.6
million,whilethehighestearly-stagevaluationshavebeen
inSeries
Broundsforpre-establishedcompanieswithleadingalumnifromresearchlabs,
includingGoogle
Researchand
OpenAI.
The
highmedianlate-stagevaluationowestotheprevalenceofunicorncreation,with12companiesreachinga$1.0
billionvaluation,whilewetrackedonlyfourdownrounds.
Highvaluationsstemfromlargedeal
sizes,withoutstanding
AIcorecompaniesoutsideofOpenAI
and
Anthropicraising$150
millionto$300
milliontopursue
aggressivemodel
trainingand
inferenceroadmaps.
These
valuationsarenotdirectlypredicatedon
revenue,though100x
annualrecurringrevenue(ARR)
multipleshavepresentedaroughupper
bound
inthesample
ofcompanieswehaveheardabout.
Applicationshavebeen
limitedtoARR
multiplesof50x
to75xatthehighend.
Clusteringoccursaround15xto25xARR
formost
applicationcompanies,accordingtoVC
investorKelvinMu
atTransLinkCapital,who
hasexposuretoover50
closeddeals.guidelineissupported
byour
conversationswithinvestors.1This1:“Here
iswhat
I’mseeing
in
terms
ofvaluations,”
LinkedIn,
posted
byKelvinMu,
October
20,
2023.5PitchBook
Analyst
Note:
Generative
AI
VCTrendsGenerativeAImedianVC
pre-moneyvaluation($M)
by
stage$250$200$150$100$50$250.0$92.0$59.4$100.0$14.6$10.02022$0202020212023*Pre-seed/seedEarly-stageVCLate-stageVCSource:
PitchBook
?
Geography:
Global*AsofOctober
15,
2023Early-stagecompanieshavebeen
abletogrowtheirvaluationsbased
on
outsizedexpectations
fromAIinsiders,
whilelate-stagecompanieshaveexperiencedmoremutedgrowth.
The
top10
valuationstep-upsinour
datasetexcludingpre-seed/seed
dealscomefromacrossallsegments,
exceptvisualmedia.
The
topvaluationstep-upcame
fromsynthetic-voicestartup
ElevenLabs,led
byAIheavyweightsAndreesen
Horowitz,NatFriedman,and
DanielGross.
DanielGrossand
NatFriedmanco-createdtheAIGrant
programwhilealsoraisingajointfund
tosupportAIstartups.
Other
specialistinvestorsgrantingoutsizedvaluationsincludeRadicalVentures,RedpointVentures,and
Scale
VenturePartners.
We
believethese
fundshaveuniqueperspectives
on
thefutureofAIthatgivethemconfidenceassigninghighvaluationstoearly-stagecompanieswhilewinningdealswiththemostpromisingstartups.
The
founders
thatreceivethese
high-end
valuationsstand
outfortheirexperienceinAI.6PitchBook
Analyst
Note:
Generative
AI
VCTrendsTop
post-seedgenerativeAIvaluationstep-upsYTD*Valuationstep-up(post
to
pre)Deal
value($M)Post-moneyvaluation
($M)CompanyElevenLabsReka
AIClose
date
(2023)May
1SegmentAudioCategoryLead
investor(s)AndreessenHorowitz,
DanielGross,
Nat
FriedmanSynthetic
voicePlatform$18.5$58.0$100.0$315.010.2x8.0xDST
Global,
RadicalVenturesJune
27AI
coreNatural
languageinterfacesSales
&marketingTypefaceYurtsJune
29$165.0$16.0$18.0$1,000.0$70.0Salesforce
VenturesNava
Ventures6.6x5.4x5.1xSeptember
19October
10AI
coreAI
coreInfrastructureInfrastructureAmplify
Partners,Redpoint
VenturesModal
Labs$156.0VerticalapplicationsRobin
AIRegie.aiJanuary
7Legal$12.0$16.0$39.4$64.0Plural
Platform4.8x4.6xFoundation
Capital,Khosla
Ventures,Scale
VenturePartnersNatural
languageinterfacesSales
&marketingFebruary
9VerticalapplicationsGutter
Capital,Stage
2
CapitalOpusMay
25Edtech$8.8$34.8$75.0$500.04.3x4.0x4.0xModerneFebruary
7September
7CodeTesting$15.0$100.0Intel
CapitalInceptiveNucleicsAndreessenHorowitz,
NVenturesHealthcareBiotechnologySource:
PitchBook
?
Geography:
Global*AsofOctober
15,
20237PitchBook
Analyst
Note:
Generative
AI
VCTrendsCorporate
VC
activityCorporateventurecapital(CVC)
participationhasdrivenvaluationsoverall,withcorporateinvestorsstrikinground-tripdeals
thatpromisecloud
usage
inexchangeforupfrontcommitments.
AIisthemost
computationallyintensiveworkloadthatastartup
can
bringtomarket,makingsupport
forthecommunityaleadingpriorityforcloudgrowth.
As
aresult,CVC-involveddealshaveaccountedfor89.7%ofdealvalueafter
onlyreaching41.2%
in2022,showingthechokeholdthatcorporateinvestorshaveon
themarket.CVCshaveonlyparticipatedin26.7%ofdeals,
downYoY,
focusingon
themarketleaders
thatcan
contributesignificantcloudspending.CVCshaveinvestedatleast
$365.9millionacrossallsegments
exceptforaudioYTD,
leavinglittlegreenfield
forconventionalVC
investors.The
involvementofthese
investorscreateschallengesfortraditionalVCstolead
roundsand
offer
valuewithoutcomputingresources.ShareofgenerativeAIdealactivitywithCVC
participation100%75%50%25%0%89.7%41.2%28.3%26.7%2023*20202021Deal
value2022Deal
countSource:
PitchBook
?
Geography:
Global*AsofOctober
15,
2023Corporationsrankamong
themost
activeVC
investors.Alphabet,Microsoft,
andNvidiahaveallmade
atleast
10
post-seedVC
investments,rankingamong
thetopinvestorsbydeal
countalongwithAndreesen
Horowitzand
SVAngel.Thiscountincludesallaffiliatedventurearms
foreach
corporation.Other
leadingVC
investorshavedefined
investmenttheses
inthespaceand
featureAIinsidersas
partners,includingSequoia
Capital,KhoslaVentures,MadronaVentureGroup,and
CoatueManagement.
Solo
GPs
areessentialparts
ofearly-stageinvesting,includingNatFriedmanand
EladGil,among
others.
The
highparticipationofcorporateinvestorsshowsthedepthoftheircommitmenttostartups
when
VCsarestrugglingtoraisefreshfunds.8PitchBook
Analyst
Note:
Generative
AI
VCTrendsTop
post-seedgenerativeAIinvestorsby
dealcountin2023*InvestorDeal
countEarly-stage
VCLate-stage
VCVenture
growthInvestor
typeVCAndreessen
HorowitzNvidia
(including
CVC)Alphabet
(including
CVC)Microsoft
(Including
CVC)SV
Angel1212111010965576846362255433112201CorporationCorporationCorporationAngel
groupVCSequoia
Capital0000000Khosla
VenturesNat
Friedman841VC7Angel
(individual)VCFirestreak
VenturesElad
Gil630446Angel
(individual)VCMadrona
Venture
GroupCoatue
Management66PE/buyoutSource:
PitchBook
?
Geography:
Global*AsofOctober
15,
2023YTD
exitsVC
exitshavedemonstratedbimodaloutcomes,wheresome
promisinginitialtractioncan
redeem
thevaluationsgrantedbyVCs,yetotherresearchgroupswithouttractionmayexperiencealow-valueacquisition.We
havetrackedthreeacquisitionsover$500.0
millionso
farthisyear,led
byDatabricks
committingtoopen-sourceAIleader
MosaicML
fora$1.3
billionheadlineprice.
The
acquisitionwasjustifiedbytheopen-sourcedownloadsofMosaicML’scompressed
LLMs,alongwithtechnicalprogresson
LLM
inferenceacceleration.We
believethatinfrastructureinnovationwillbringadditionallargeacquisitionsfromtechleaders.Notallsegments
areexperiencinggreatoutcomes,withonlyone
verticalapplicationyieldinganacquisition—legal.Searchand
AIcorehaveseen
thegreatestdemand,
withtechchallengersacquiringgenerativeAIstartups
thatcan
efficientlyparse
customerdata.
Tech
giantsremaincontenttostrikepartnerships
withleadingstartups
and
host
smallerstartups
on
theircloudmarketplaces,thoughtheback-and-forthbetween
cloudhyperscalers
and
startups
mayencouragetakeoveroffersinafavorableregulatoryenvironment.9PitchBook
Analyst
Note:
Generative
AI
VCTrendsTTMgenerativeAIVC
exits*CompanyCasetextClose
date
(2023)SegmentCategoryExit
value
($M)
Acquirer(s)ARR
multipleMOICThomsonAugust
17Vertical
applicationsLegal$650.0Reuters65x9.6xInstaDeepJuly
31July12June
29AI
coreAI
coreAI
corePlatformPlatformPlatform$680.9$1,300.0$285.0BioNTechDatabricksMeituanN/A65xN/A6.3x38.5x1.2xMosaicMLLight
YearBeyondNatural
languageinterfacesChatbots
&assistantsCardinaDiagramNeevaJune
26June
21May
24N/ARampN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A2.4xVisual
media2D
imagesN/AFigmaNatural
languageinterfacesNeural
search$185.0SnowflakeRecursionPharmaceuticalsValence
DiscoveryMay
16HealthcareBiotechnology$35.1N/A3.4xCodigaApril
4CodeCoding
assistants2D
imagesN/AN/ADatadogN/AN/AN/AN/AClipDropMarch
8Visual
mediaStability
AISource:
PitchBook
?
Geography:
Global*AsofOctober
15,
2023Note:
Annual
recurring
revenue
multiples
are
approximate.ExitpredictionThe
abilityofGenAI
toproduceinvestorreturnswillbe
conditionedbythescalecompaniescan
achieveand
thesuitabilityoftheirbusinessmodels
forpublicmarkets.We
havecoveredtheindividualmarketsizesofAIcategoriesinour2023ArtificialIntelligence&
MachineLearningOverview,whichwillbe
adeterminingfactor
intheaddressable
marketsfornewAIstartups.
We
areseeingsome
GenAIinfrastructureand
vertical
applicationstartups
find
product-marketfit,
yetGenAIrolloutsremainintheirinfancyand
enterprise-widespendingremainsfar-off.TheinitialprogressofVC
fundinginthespaceprovidesuswithenough
datatocomparenewstartups
againstpriorwavesofsoftware
startups.
Whilethecurrenteconomydiffers
fromthatduringthelastwaveofAIexits,
webelievethatconsumerinterestcan
support
similaroutcomesas
monetary
policy
improvesinthemediumterm.Among
segments,
code
stands
out
forits
M&A
probability.Companiesinthisspacehaveraisedsignificantfundingyethavenotgrownintoindependentlylargecompanies.
Our
model’spredictionsaredrivenbyfactors
includinghigh-qualityinvestors,regularfundraising,and
improvingheadcount.
We
havebegun
toseeM&A
activity
incodingautomationwithDatadog’sacquisitionofCodigaandAmazonWebServices’
acquisitionofFig.GitHubitself
looms
as
ahighwatermarkforprivatedevelopertoolsafter
its
$7.5billionsale
toMicrosoft.
The
successofGitHubCopilotshouldencourageITcompaniestomakesimilarinroadsintocodingautomation,withMicrosoft
presentingapotentialbuyeras
well.10PitchBook
Analyst
Note:
Generative
AI
VCTrendsInIPO
probability,AIcoreand
healthcarehavethehighestvalues.
Our
model
seesfoundation-modelunicornsas
probabletoachieveIPOs
giventheirscale,
paceoffundraising,and
high-qualityinvestors.The
continuedvaluationgrowthofOpenAIinsecondary
transactions
isnotfactoredintothemodel,
yetitunderscores
thepotentialofapubliclistinginits
future.Biotechisone
ofmost
matureuse
cases
forgenerativeAI,
giventheprogressinmoleculardesign,and
hasalreadysupportedmultiplehigh-valueIPOs
suchas
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