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February2025
Long-TermInvesting
EmergingMarkets
LONG-TERMINVESTINGINEMERGINGMARKETS|FEBRUARY2025
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AnilRao
ExecutiveDirector,MSCIResearchandDevelopment
RohitGupta
VicePresident,MSCIResearchandDevelopment
TheauthorswouldliketothankDinankChitkaraforhiscontributionstothisresearch.
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Contents
Executivesummary 4
Introduction 5
Emergingmarketopportunityset 5
ExaminingEMunderperformance 7
Performancedecomposition 7
Earningsgrowthandsharedilution 8
ActivemanagementandtheEMopportunityset 10
Characteristicsoflong-term‘compounder’stocks 12
Concentrationofreturnsandwealthcreation 12
Fundamentalfactorsintheemergingmarkets 13
Commonattributesofcompounderstocks 14
Earlyhintsoffuturesuccess 16
Transitionfromgrowthtoprofitability 17
Implicationsforindexedinvestors 19
Conclusion 20
References 21
AppendixA:Indextotal-returndecomposition 22
AppendixB:Factorreturnsintheemergingmarkets 22
AppendixC:Stocksurvivorshipinout-of-sampleperiod 23
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Executivesummary
Emergingmarkets(EM)haveheldacentralpositioninglobalequityallocationssincethe1980s,drivenbyexpectationsoffavorablegrowthanddiversificationbenefits.Whilethesefactors
supportedoutperformanceuptothe2008globalfinancialcrisis(GFC),EMstockshave
underperformedthosefromdevelopedmarkets(DM)byalmost5%annuallythereafter.ThisdevelopmenthaspromptedinvestorstoreassesstheroleofEMintheirequityallocations.
Againstthisbackdrop,threecorequestionsemerge:
?WhyhaveEMequitiesunderperformedDMsincetheGFCdespitecontinuedoveralleconomicexpansion?
?WhichoperationalandfinancialattributeshavecharacterizedtheEMcompaniesthathaveoutperformed,evenamidbroadmarketheadwinds?
?Howcaninvestorsbothactiveandindexedbetteridentifythesepotential“l(fā)ong-termcompounders”andsoaligntheirportfolioswiththepersistentdriversoftotalreturn?
FollowingtheGFC,manyEMeconomiescontinuedtodevelop,withcommensurategrowthinthenumberoflistedsecuritiesparticularlyinChinaandIndiawhichhasexpandedtheinvestmentopportunityset.Despitetheriseinaggregateearningsandeconomicoutput,EMscapitalizationshareinglobalequitieshasremainednear10%,indicatingthatheadlinegrowthoftendidnot
consistentlytranslateintohigherrelativeper-sharereturns.
Akeydriverofthisdisconnectwaspersistentshareissuance.Whilesuchissuancereflecteda
healthysecondarymarket,italsotemperedearnings-per-sharegrowthdespiteoverallearnings
expansion.CurrencydepreciationagainsttheUSDfurtherweighedonreturns.Nevertheless,certainEMstocksbrokefromthispatternandpostedsustainedoutperformance,suggestingabifurcatedmarketinwhichcertainoperationalattributesmatteredmorethanrawtoplinegrowth.
Wedrawuponnearlythreedecadesofindex-andstock-levelreturnsandleverageanewequityfactormodeltunedtotheemergingmarkets.Throughthislens,weidentifythefundamental
attributessharedbylong-termcompounders.
Guidedbyaframeworkofdecomposingtotalshareholderreturn,weattributelong-term
performancetodriverssuchasinvestmentquality,return-of-capitalpoliciesandthebalance
betweengrowthandprofitability.Notably,thesecharacteristicswereevidentacrossdifferentEMsegments,includingmarketsoutsideofChina.Moreover,thesetraitswerealreadyapparentinthedecadeprecedingthecompounderssustainedoutperformance.
Thesefindingsarerelevanttobothactiveandindexedinvestors.Fordiscretionarymanagers,
identifyinghigh-qualitycompanieswithcapital-returnpoliciesmayrevealopportunitiesinamarketstillcharacterizedbylowanalystcoverage.Equally,indexedinvestorscouldemploysystematic
approachesthatemphasizesimilarfactors.
Takentogether,theevidencesuggeststhatwhileEMequitiesstillfacehurdlessuchasheightenedsensitivitytoanewU.S.administration,elevatedgrowthexpectationsandunevenshare-issuance
patternscompaniesexhibitingsuchoperationaldisciplinemayprovemoreresilient.
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Introduction
Onceheraldedfortheirhighgrowthpotential,emerging-market(EM)equitieshavesignificantly
underperformeddevelopedmarkets(DM)sincethe2008globalfinancialcrisis(GFC),castingdoubtonthetraditionalEMnarrative.Meanwhile,newdevelopments—suchasChina’spolicyshiftsandrange-boundequitymarketandIndia’songoingcapital-marketreforms—underscorediverging
trajectoriesacrossEMcountries.Asaresult,investorscouldbereconsideringtherelevanceofEMstocksinglobalequityportfolios.
WebeginbyhighlightingtheexpandingEMinvestmentopportunitysetandbyexaminingthe
componentsoftotalshareholderreturn,payingspecialattentiontoshareissuance,aphenomenonthatoftenunderminesgrowthinearningspershare(EPS).
WethendrawonthelongerhistoryofEMequityindexdataandapplyanewequityfactormodelthatconnectsoperationalleverstostockreturns.Ouranalysisaimstoclarifywhichfundamental
attributeshavehelpedcertainEMcompaniesthrive.Theframeworkweproposeisdesignedtoaidportfoliomanagersofbothactiveandindexedstrategiesinbetteridentifyingthosesignals
associatedwithfirmscapableofconvertingemergingeconomies’expansionintototalshareholderreturns.
Emergingmarketopportunityset
Thenumberoflistedcompaniesinglobalequitymarketshasgrownsteadilyoverthepasttwo
decades,drivenprimarilybyemergingmarkets.ThenumberoflistedsecuritiesinEMhasincreasedbyroughly100%since1998,supportedbyexpandingcapitalmarketssuchasthoseinChinaand
India.Incontrast,theuniverseofpubliclylistedcompaniesinDMhasdeclined.IntheU.S.,the
numberdeclinedsteadilyfrom1998to2010buthasrisenslightlysincetheCOVID-19pandemic.ThesepatternsareshowninExhibit1.
Exhibit1:RiseinthenumberoflistedcompaniesgloballydrivenbyEMissuance
Thedataperiodspans1998through2024,withthenumberofcompaniesmeasuredatyear-end,excludingtheover-the-counter
market.ThecountsforDM,DMexUSAandEMarebasedonlistedsecuritiesclassifiedaseligiblefortheMSCIWorld,MSCIWorldexUSAandMSCIEmergingMarketsIndexes,respectively.
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TheshareofEMsecuritiesintheMSCIACWIInvestableMarketIndex(IMI)hasalsoincreasedoverthepasttwodecades.Concurrently,EMoutpacedDMineconomicgrowthduringthisperiod.TheshareofglobalGDPrepresentedbyEM(measuredbytheMSCIACWIGDPWeightedIndex)rosetoover40%by2024fromjustover20%in2002.
Despitethisgrowth,thefree-floatmarketcapitalizationavailabletoinvestorshasremainedflatataround10%oftheMSCIACWIIMIsincetheGFC,asshowninExhibit2.Weexaminepotential
causesofthedisconnectbetweeneconomicgrowthandmarketcapitalizationinEMinthenextsection.
Exhibit2:EMfree-floatmarketcaphasremainedflatsincetheGFC
SampleperiodisfromJune1,2002,toDec.31,2024.
LONG-TERMINVESTINGINEMERGINGMARKETS|FEBRUARY2025
ExaminingEMunderperformance
EMequitieshaveunderperformedDMsincetheGFC,asExhibit3illustrates.U.S.equitieshaveledallmajorequitymarketssince2009,largelydrivenbygrowth-orientedtechnologystocks.Thiswasnotthecase,however,inthe10yearsleadinguptotheGFCwhenEMequitiesledmajormarkets,fueledbygrowthinLatinAmerica.
1
Exhibit3:EMequitiestrailedDMequitiesaftertheGFC
AnnualizedreturnsaregrossinUSDfromDec.31,1996,toDec.31,2008,andfromDec.31,2008,toDec.31,2024.TheregionalmarketsarerepresentedbytheMSCIUSA,MSCIWorldexUSA,MSCIEmergingMarkets,MSCIEmerging
MarketsAsiaexChina,MSCIChina,MSCIEmergingMarketsLatinAmericaandMSCIEmergingMarketsEMEAIndexes,respectively.Theperiodanalyzedisthelongestcommonhistoryfortheindexes.
China'ssignificantweightinEMindexes,combinedwithitslowerreturns,explainsalargepartofEMequitiesunderperformancesince2009.Incontrast,EMAsiaexChinadrivenbyIndia,TaiwanandKoreaperformedcompetitivelywithU.S.equitiessince2009,markingaturnaroundfromthe1997-2008periodwhentheAsiancurrencycrisisresultedincapitalflight,currencydevaluationandsloweconomicgrowththatweighedonstockreturns.
Performancedecomposition
SincetheGFC,growthindividendsandearningscontributedalmost70%toperformanceacrossallregions(wedescribeourdecompositionmethodologyinAppendixA).U.S.equitiesbenefitedfromacombinationofmultipleexpansionandgrowthindividendsandearnings,drivenbybothrisingprofitmarginsandexpandingsales(see
Exhibit4)
.
Emergingmarketsasawholeexperienceddecliningmargins,whichaffectedearningsgrowth.
WithinEMexChina,mutedearningsgrowthandcurrencydepreciationagainsttheUSDnegatively
impactedreturns.Valuationexpansion,particularlyinIndia,wasakeysourceofreturns,butnotsoinChina,wherevaluation-multipleexpansionwasmodest.
1AlthoughtheMSCIUSA,MSCIWorldexUSAandMSCIEmergingMarketsIndexeshavepricehistoryfrombeforeDecember1996,westartouranalysisinDecember1996toalignwiththefundamental-factordataweuselaterinthispaper.
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Importantly,deterioratingper-shareprofitability(showninturquoisein
Exhibit4)
inbothEMexChinaandChina,ratherthanweaktoplinegrowth,wastheprimaryreasonforlacklusterearningsgrowth.
Exhibit4:StrongUSDandlowerearningsgrowthweighedonEMreturnsaftertheGFC
ReturncontributionsareannualizedingrossUSDfromDec.31,2008,toDec.31,2024.TheregionalmarketsarerepresentedbytheMSCIUSA,MSCIEmergingMarketsexChina,MSCIWorldexUSAandMSCIChinaIndexes,respectively.
Earningsgrowthandsharedilution
TobetterunderstandthelowerEPSgrowthinEM,weanalyzedfactorsthatcontributedtothisphenomenon.Historically,investorshavebeenattractedtoEMduetostrongratesofeconomicgrowth.AsExhibit5illustrates,however,emergingmarketsachieved8.7%annualizedgrowthinaggregateearningsoutpacing8.5%U.S.growthyetthisgrowthdidnottranslateintosimilargainsinEPS.
Per-shareprofitabilityisimportantforstockholdersbecauseitmeasuresacompany'soperationalefficiency,accountingforinterestpaymentsandfacilitatingcomparisonsacrosscompanies.Somecompanies,however,mayusecertainfinancialstrategiestokeeptheirEPSfigureshealthyeven
whentheirfundamentalsareweak.SuchpracticesunderscoretheneedtotakeaholisticviewofacompanysfinanceswhileinterpretingEPStrends.Thatsaid,emergingmarketsregisteredan
annualizedEPSgrowthrateof5.6%,laggingtheEPSgrowthrateintheU.S.of9%.
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Exhibit5:TotalEMearningsrosewhileper-shareearningstrailedDM
SampleperiodisfromMay31,2002,toDec.31,2024.Indexearningsarecalculatedbottom-upusingmonth-endvalues.EarningspershareistrailingEPSatmonth-endfrequency.Returnsareannualized.
Ideally,aggregatedcorporateearningsgrowthshouldalignwithGDPgrowthoverthelongterm.Newshareissuances,however,couldcauseadisconnectbetweenearningsgrowthandGDPgrowth.
Bothaninitialpublicofferingandanexistingfirm’sfinancingexpansionwithsecondary,orrights,
offeringscandilutesharevalues.Sharedilutionreducesexistinginvestors'claimsonfutureearningsanddividends.Companiesmayissuenewsharesforpurposessuchascapitalexpenditure,new
acquisitionsorretiringdebt.
Ontheonehand,thisdynamiccouldleadtoslippagebetweenEPSandGDPgrowthrates,asnotedbyBernsteinandArnott(2003).Sharebuybacks,ontheotherhand,reducethenumberof
outstandingsharesandcansubsequentlyboostEPS.SharebuybacksgrewintheU.S.throughoutthe1990sand2000s,supportedbycorporatestrategiestoreturnexcesscashtoshareholders.Acommonlyacceptedrationaleforsharebuybacksincludesstock-pricesupport,capital-structureoptimizationandspecialtaxtreatmentforcashrepatriatedfromoverseas.
Inanequityindex,thecombinedimpactofsharedilutionandbuybacksonEPScanbeassessedusingthebuyback-yieldmetric,showninExhibit6.Indexbuybackyieldistheweightedaverageofeachconstituent’sbuybackyieldatmonth-end.Foreachstock,buybackyieldiscalculatedasthechangeinitstrailing12-monthsharecountrelativetoitscurrentsharecount.
NewshareissuancesandnewlistingshaveledtoanegativebuybackyieldinEMequitiessincetheGFC.Incontrast,U.S.firmshavehistoricallyfavoredsharebuybacks,resultinginapositivebuybackyieldoverthesameperiod.DMotherthantheU.S.(auniverserepresentedbytheMSCIWorldex
USAIMI)hadasimilarpatterntoEMuntil2023,whenbuybacksturnedsharplypositive.
TheEMbuybackyieldmovedintopositiveterritoryin2024,ledbyanincreasedlevelofbuybackactivity.
Exhibit6:BuybackyieldhasbeenmostlypositiveforUSandnegativeforEMoverthelast20years
DatafromApril29,2005,toDec.31,2024,basedondataavailability.Indexbuybackyieldistheweightedaverageoftheindex’sconstituents’buybackyieldsatmonth-end(annualfrequencypriortoApril2016).Pleasereferto
MSCIBuyback
YieldIndexesMethodology
formoredetail.
ActivemanagementandtheEMopportunityset
DespitethechallengesEMequitieshavefacedinkeepingpacewithDMequities’performance,theexpandingopportunitysetacrossEMcountries,sectorsandcompaniessuggestspotential
opportunitiesforactivemanagementofEMequities.
2
Managerscanseektoidentifycompanies
withstrongfundamentals,pricingpoweroruniquecompetitiveadvantagesnotfullyappreciatedbythemarket.
Oneindicatoroftheactive-managementopportunitysetistherelativelylimitedanalystcoverageofEMstockscomparedtothoseinthedevelopedmarkets.Feweranalyststrackingthesestockscanleadtomispricingopportunities,particularlyinthesmall-capsegment.Exhibit7showsthatanalystcoverageofindividualstocksissignificantlylowerinEMcomparedtoDM.
2WedefinesectorsusingtheGlobalIndustryClassificationStandard(GICS?).GICSistheindustry-classificationstandardjointlydevelopedbyMSCIandS&PGlobalMarketIntelligence.
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Exhibit7:EMstockshavelowerglobalanalystcoveragerelativetoDM
DataasofDec.31,2024.Coverageisdefinedastheratioofthenumberofsecuritiescoveredbyatleastthreeanalystsinaregiontothetotalnumberofsecuritiesinthatregion.Analystcountisapproximatedusingthemaximumnumberofanalysts’estimatesforsecuritiesforanymeasureorfiscalperiod.Source:IBES,MSCI
OuranalysisofriskdecompositionforEMactivemanagers'portfolios(Exhibit8)revealsthatnearly50%oftheoverallactiveriskwasattributabletostock-specificeffects,indicatingthatportfolios
werelikelyconcentrated,withlargeweightsassignedtoarelativelysmallnumberofstocks.
3
Country,currencyandindustryexposureswerealsomeaningful,buttheyexertedlessimpactcomparedtostock-specificrisk.Thisfindinghighlightsthatbottom-upstockpickingremainsacentralstrategyamongactivemanagersfocusedonEM.
Exhibit8:Stock-specificviewshavebeenthelargestactivebetforEMactivemanagers
DataasofNov.30,2024.Includesover170mutualfundswithassetsundermanagementgreaterthanUSD1million
andbenchmarkedtotheMSCIEmergingMarketsIndexusingtheMSCIEmergingMarketsEquityFactorModel.Source:
Lipper,MSCI
3Theaveragenumberofsecuritiesinthesampleofactivemanagerswas143,whiletheeffectivenumberofsecuritieswas47,
indicatingsignificantconcentration.Theeffectivenumberofsecuritiesinaportfolioquantifiesitsdiversificationbyadjustingfortherelativeweightsofindividualholdings,reflectingthenumberofequallyweightedsecuritiesthatwouldprovidethesamelevelof
concentrationrisk.
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ThisinsightpromptsacloserlookatthecharacteristicsofcompaniesthatprospereddespitethechallengesfacedbyEMsince2009.Agoodunderstandingofthetraitsoftheselong-term
compounderscouldinformapproachestostockselectionandrisk-exposuremanagement.
Characteristicsoflong-term‘compounder’stocks
Concentrationofreturnsandwealthcreation
Thepreviousanalysesunderscoretheimportantimpactthatdividendsandearningshavehad
historicallyonoverallmarketreturns.EquallyimportantisthenarrowleadershipwithinEMstocks.ResearchbyBae,ChanwooandWei(2006)foundthatstockreturnsinemergingmarketshave
tendedtobemoreskewedthaninotherregions,withsignificantgainscontributedbyafewhigh-performingstocks.
WefoundthatEMhadthehighestreturnconcentrationacrossmajorregions(Exhibit9).Our
analysisgroupedindividualstocksintoequallysizedquintilesbasedontheircontributiontototalreturnfrom2009through2024.Overthisperiod,thetopquintilecontributedmorethan80%ofthetotalreturninDMandover100%ofthetotalreturninEM.
Theseresultspartlyreflecttheasymmetric,right-tailednatureofindividualstockreturnsinEM,
whereahandfulofstockscandominateperformance,afindingalsomadebyHwangandSatchell(1999).Winner-takes-mostdynamicsoftenappearinfast-scalingindustriessuchastechnologyorinternetplatforms.InEM,theseeffectscanbeevenmorepronounced,withahandfulofcompanies—sometimesstate-backedwithpolicysupport—capturingoutsizedadvantages.
Anothercontributingfactoristhemechanicsofindexweighting:whenalargestockdeliversmarket-levelorabove-marketreturns,itshigherweightmagnifiesitsreturncontributiontotheindex,
compoundingovertimeandfurtherskewingoverallreturncontributions.
Exhibit9:EMstockshistoricallyhadthemostconcentratedreturncontributions
ReturncontributionsaregrossinUSDfromDec.31,2008,toDec.31,2024,andareshownasashareofeachmarket’stotalreturn.TheregionaluniversesarerepresentedfromlefttorightbytheMSCIEmergingMarketsSmallCap,MSCI
EmergingMarkets,MSCIEmergingMarketsexChina,MSCIWorldexUSAandMSCIUSAIndexes,respectively.Quintilesareequallysizedandbasedoncontributiontototalreturn.
TheseobservationsalignwithBessembinderetal.(2023),whofoundthatoveracenturyofU.S.
stock-markethistoryasmallfractionoffirmsdrovethebulkofwealthcreationthroughconsistentcompounding.
4
Identifyingsuchfirmsexanteisnotoriouslydifficult.Here,instead,weexaminetheircommonex-postattributes,whichmayprovideinsightsintohowEMcompounderscanarisedespitethebroaderchallengesinthesemarkets.
Exhibit10
underscoresthehistoricallynarrowleadershipinEMstocksbylistingthe10largest
individualcontributorstoperformanceintheEM,EMexChinaandEMsmall-capsegments.Notably,manyofthesetopperformersalsocamefromthefinancialandtechnologysectors.
Exhibit10:Tenlargest-returncontributionsinEMsince2009
ReturncontributionsaregrossinUSDfromDec.31,2008,toDec.31,2024,andareshownasashareoftotalreturn.Weshowonlythe10largestcontributorsforillustrativepurposes.TheregionaluniversesarerepresentedfromlefttorightbytheMSCIEmergingMarkets,MSCIEmergingMarketsexChinaandMSCIEmergingMarketsSmallCapIndexes,
respectively.
Fundamentalfactorsintheemergingmarkets
Weexaminedthecharacteristicsofthetop-quintilecompounderstocks(representedbytheblue
barsin
Exhibit9)
,usingtheMSCIEmergingMarketsEquityFactorModel(EMEFM),which
categorizesEMstocksasChinaorEMexChina.Theregionalbreakdownalignswiththesignificantperformancedifferencesbetweenthesetworegionssince2009.TheregionalcategorizationalsomotivatesacomparisonofcompounderstocksinthebroaderemergingmarketsandthenarrowerregionofEMexChina.
Wefocusedspecificallyonfundamentalfactorscloselyrelatedtoacompany'soperations.Thesefactorsincludedthosemeasuringgrowth,earnings,investmentpatterns,capital-allocationpoliciesandoperationalefficiency.WedefinethesefactorsinExhibit11andshowtheirlong-termbehaviorinAppendixB.
4Morerecently,MauboussinandCallahan(2024)showedarelatedresultontheskewnessinvaluecreation.Theyfoundthatmostofthevaluecreationineconomicprofit(asmeasuredbyreturnoninvestmentlesscostofcapitalmultipliedbyinvestedcapital)residedinthetopdecileoffirmsintheU.S.overtheperiod2019-2023.
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LONG-TERMINVESTINGINEMERGINGMARKETS|FEBRUARY2025
Exhibit11:KeyfundamentalfactorsrelatedtooperationsandefficiencyintheMSCIEMEFM
Factor
Measure
Descriptors
Earningsquality
Accountingtransparency
Accrualsinbalancesheetandcashflow,cashearnings
Investmentquality
Capitalefficiency
Long-termgrowthinshareissuance,assetsandcapitalexpenditures
Earningsvariability
Operationalconsistency
Variabilityinsales,earnings,cashflowsandforwardmultiple
Profitability
Operationalefficiency
Assetturnover,grossmargin,grossprofitability,returnonassets
Dividendyield
Capital-returnpolicy
Trailingandforwarddividendyield
Growth
Demandexpansion
Trailingsalesandearningsgrowth,forwardearningsgrowth
Commonattributesofcompounderstocks
SincetheGFC,top-quintilecompounderstockshavegenerallyreturnedmorecapitaltoshareholdersthroughdividends,demonstratedmoreconservativeinvestmentpatternsandweremoreprofitablecomparedtostocksinthebottomquintiles.Thesecompoundersalsoexhibitedmoreconsistent
operations(asmeasuredbysales,earningsandcashflow).Notably,theywerenotnecessarilyhigh-growthfirms.Theyalsodidnotexhibithigherearningsquality,asmeasuredbyaccruals.
ThisfactorprofilewasconsistentacrossbroadEM,EMexChinaandsmaller-capEMstocksas
showninExhibit12.
5
Fourfactors(dividendyield,investmentquality,profitabilityandlowearningsvariability)weresignificantattributesinallthreesegments,withlowearningsvariabilitybeingthemostsignificant.Furthermore,thesimilarityinsmall-capstocksindicatesthatthesefour
characteristicswerenotlimitedtojustthelargestfirms.
5Notethatthenegativeexposuretotheearnings-variabilityfactorindicatesthattop-quintilecompounderstockshadmorestableearningsthanthebottomquintileofstocks.
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LONG-TERMINVESTINGINEMERGINGMARKETS|FEBRUARY2025
Exhibit12:Dividendyield,investmentquality,profitabilityandlowearningsvariabilityweremostassociatedwithcompounderstocks
ExposuresarebasedontheMSCIEMEFM.End-of-monthexposuresareaveragedfromDec.31,1996,toDec.31,2008,andfromJan.31,2009,toDec.31,2024.Exposuresarethequintilespread,wherequintilesarebasedonreturn
contributions.TheregionaluniversesarerepresentedfromlefttorightbytheMSCIEmergingMarkets,MSCIEmergingMarketsexChinaandMSCIEmergingMarketsSmallCapIndexes,respectively.
Onlyinthesmall-capsegmentwashighgrowthstronglylinkedwithcompounderstocks.Thisfindingmayreflectthatsmallerstocksareatanearlierstageintheirbusinesslifecycle,whichallowsthemtoexpandintogrowingmarkets,withhighsalesandearningsgrowthdrivingcompounding.In
contrast,largerEMstocks,beingmoremature,reliedmoreonoperationalefficiencythangrowth.
Theindividualdescriptorsofthedividend-yield,investment-qualityandprofitabilityfactors,asshowninExhibit13,provideadditionalnuance.Notably,trailingdividendpolicy,sharebuybacksandreturnonassets(highlightedinredtextintheexhibit)werethemostdominantdescriptors—apatternalsoobservedacrossEM,EMexChinaandEMsmallcaps.
6
Thelowerrankingofgrossprofitabilitysuggeststhatthecompetitiveadvantageofcompounderstocksmaybetiedmoretocostleadersh
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