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2025年CFA一級真題練習考試時間:______分鐘總分:______分姓名:______考試時間:180分鐘注意事項:1.請在答題卡上填寫您的姓名、準考證號等信息。2.本試卷包含客觀題和主觀題兩部分。客觀題請使用2B鉛筆填涂答題卡;主觀題請使用黑色墨水筆在答題紙上作答。3.請仔細閱讀題目,確保理解題意后再作答。4.客觀題作答務必與答題卡上的題號對應,錯填、漏填或填涂錯誤均無效。5.主觀題作答必須寫在答題紙上指定的位置,寫在草稿紙或試卷上無效。6.考試結束后,請將試卷和答題卡/答題紙一并交回。第一部分:客觀題(本部分共60題,每題1分,共60分。請將你認為正確的選項字母填涂在答題卡相應位置。)1.AccordingtotheCFAInstituteCodeandStandards,whichofthefollowingbestdescribestheobligationof"diligenceandreasonablecare"foraCFAcharterholder?A.Toalwaysprioritizeclientinterestsoverpersonalgain.B.Topossessandapplysufficientknowledgeandskillsnecessarytoperformprofessionaldutiescompetently.C.Toinformclientsofallpotentialconflictsofinterestbeforematerialityisreached.D.Toobtainexplicitwrittenconsentfromclientsbeforemakinganyinvestmentrecommendations.2.Aportfoliomanagerinvestsintwoassets,AssetAandAssetB.AssetAhasanexpectedreturnof12%andastandarddeviationof15%.AssetBhasanexpectedreturnof8%andastandarddeviationof10%.ThecorrelationcoefficientbetweenthereturnsofAssetAandAssetBis0.25.Whatistheexpectedreturnofaportfolioconsistingof60%AssetAand40%AssetB?A.10.00%B.10.60%C.11.00%D.11.40%3.Theprimarypurposeofacompany'smanagementdiscussionandanalysis(MD&A)sectionisto:A.Providedetailedauditedfinancialstatementdata.B.Offermanagement'sperspectiveonthecompany'sfinancialperformance,condition,andfutureprospects.C.Presentthecompany'scapitalstructureanddividendpolicy.D.Detailthelegalandregulatoryenvironmentinwhichthecompanyoperates.4.Whichofthefollowingstatementsregardingtheefficientmarkethypothesis(EMH)ismostaccurate?A.TheweakformofEMHsuggeststhatcurrentpricesreflectallpasttradinginformation.B.Thesemi-strongformofEMHimpliesthattechnicalanalysiscanconsistentlygenerateabnormalreturns.C.ThestrongformofEMHindicatesthatmanagerscanconsistentlyoutperformthemarketbyusinginsideinformation.D.AllthreeformsofEMHassertthatmarketsarenotefficient.5.Astockhasanexpectedreturnof18%andastandarddeviationof30%.Therisk-freerateis5%.AccordingtotheCapitalAssetPricingModel(CAPM),whatisthestock'sbetaifthemarketriskpremiumis10%?A.0.50B.0.75C.1.00D.1.256.Whichofthefollowingfinancialratiosismostdirectlyaffectedbyacompany'sinventorymanagementefficiency?A.Debt-to-equityratioB.Returnonassets(ROA)C.InventoryturnoverratioD.Grossprofitmargin7.Acompany'sbondhasafacevalueof$1,000,acouponrateof6%,andmaturesin5years.Ifthemarketyieldtomaturityis5%,whatistheapproximatepriceofthebond?A.$950B.$980C.$1,000D.$1,0208.Whichofthefollowingstatementsaboutoptionsistrue?A.Acalloptiongivestheholdertheright,butnottheobligation,tobuytheunderlyingassetataspecifiedpricebeforetheexpirationdate.B.Thebuyerofaputoptionbearstheobligationtoselltheunderlyingassetataspecifiedpricebeforetheexpirationdate.C.Thepremiumpaidforanoptionrepresentsthemaximumpotentiallossfortheselleroftheoption.D.Thevalueofanoptionissolelydeterminedbythedifferencebetweenthestrikepriceandthecurrentpriceoftheunderlyingasset.9.Theconceptofdurationmeasures:A.Thesensitivityofabond'spricetochangesininterestrates.B.Theweightedaveragetimeuntilacompanyrepaysitsdebt.C.Thetimerequiredforaninvestmenttodoubleatagivencompoundrateofreturn.D.Thevariabilityofaninvestment'sreturnsovertime.10.Whichofthefollowinginvestmentstylesischaracterizedbyfocusingoncompaniesthatarecurrentlyundervaluedaccordingtofundamentalanalysis?A.GrowthinvestingB.ValueinvestingC.IndexinvestingD.Contrarianinvesting11.Amutualfundhasaportfoliovalueof$100millionandliabilitiesof$10million.Ithas10millionsharesoutstanding.Whatisthefund'snetassetvalue(NAV)pershare?A.$1.00B.$10.00C.$100.00D.$1,000.0012.Whichofthefollowingisgenerallyconsideredamoreliquidassetthanrealestate?A.CorporatebondsB.CommonstockC.PrivateequityD.Collectibles13.Theprimaryfunctionofacentralbankisto:A.Maximizetheprofitabilityofitsshareholders.B.Regulatecommercialbanksandfinancialinstitutions.C.Promotepricestabilityandmaximumemployment.D.Overseethestockexchangeandsetlistingrequirements.14.AccordingtotheModigliani-Millertheorem(withnotaxes),thevalueofaleveredfirmisequalto:A.Thevalueofanunleveredfirmplusthepresentvalueofthetaxshield.B.Thevalueofanunleveredfirmminusthepresentvalueoftheinteresttaxshield.C.Thevalueofanunleveredfirm.D.Thevalueofanunleveredfirmplusthemarketvalueofitsdebt.15.Whichofthefollowingisaprimarycharacteristicoftheprimarymarket?A.Itiswherepreviouslyissuedsecuritiesaretraded.B.Itfacilitatestheinitialofferingofnewsecuritiestothepublic.C.Itisprimarilyusedforshort-termborrowingandlending.D.ItisregulatedbytheFederalReserve.16.Acompanyreportsthefollowingfortheyear:salesrevenueof$500,000;costofgoodssoldof$300,000;operatingexpensesof$150,000;andinterestexpenseof$20,000.Thecompany'searningsbeforetax(EBT)is:A.$30,000B.$50,000C.$70,000D.$100,00017.Whichofthefollowingstatementsabouttheweightedaveragecostofcapital(WACC)ismostaccurate?A.Itrepresentsthecostofequitycapitalonly.B.Itiscalculatedbyweightingthecostofeachsourceofcapitalbyitsproportioninthecompany'scapitalstructure.C.Itisalwaysequaltothecompany'spre-taxcostofdebt.D.Itincreasesasthecompanytakesonmoredebtinitscapitalstructure.18.Theprocessofgroupingsimilarinvestmentstogethertoreduceunsystematicriskisknownas:A.DiversificationB.AssetallocationC.PortfoliorebalancingD.Riskmitigation19.Whichofthefollowingisameasureofacompany'sabilitytomeetitsshort-termobligationsusingitsmostliquidassets?A.Returnonequity(ROE)B.CurrentratioC.Debt-to-equityratioD.Price-to-earnings(P/E)ratio20.Astockhasabetaof1.5.Ifthemarketreturnisexpectedtobe12%,andtherisk-freerateis4%,whatistheexpectedreturnofthestockaccordingtotheCapitalAssetPricingModel(CAPM)?A.4.00%B.8.00%C.12.00%D.18.00%21.Whichofthefollowingtypesofriskismostcloselyassociatedwithinvestinginindividualstocksratherthandiversifiedportfolios?A.SystematicriskB.UnsystematicriskC.InterestrateriskD.Inflationrisk22.Acompany'sinventoryturnoverratiois6timesperyear.Iftheaverageinventoryis$60,000,whatisthecostofgoodssoldfortheyear?A.$10,000B.$60,000C.$360,000D.$360,000,00023.Whichofthefollowingstatementsaboutthebinomialoptionpricingmodelistrue?A.ItisprimarilyusedforpricingAmericanoptions.B.Itassumesthatthepriceoftheunderlyingassetmovesinasingledirection(upordown).C.ItissimplertousethantheBlack-Scholes-Mertonmodel.D.Itrequirestheassumptionofcontinuouspricemovements.24.Theprimarygoalofacompany'scapitalbudgetingdecisionsisto:A.Maximizethecompany'sshort-termprofits.B.Minimizethecompany'staxliability.C.Selectinvestmentprojectsthatincreasethecompany'svalue.D.Maintainastabledebt-to-equityratio.25.Whichofthefollowingisacomponentofthestatementofcashflows?A.EquityfinancingB.DividendspaidC.AccumulateddepreciationD.Retainedearnings26.Acompany'sbondhasacouponrateof5%,ayieldtomaturityof6%,and10yearstomaturity.Asthebondmovesclosertoitsmaturitydate,whichofthefollowingislikelytooccur?A.Thebond'spricewillincrease,anditsyieldtomaturitywilldecrease.B.Thebond'spricewilldecrease,anditsyieldtomaturitywillincrease.C.Thebond'spriceanditsyieldtomaturitywillbothincrease.D.Thebond'spriceanditsyieldtomaturitywillbothdecrease.27.Whichofthefollowingisadisadvantageofusingtheinternalrateofreturn(IRR)forevaluatinginvestmentprojects?A.Itdoesnotconsiderthetimevalueofmoney.B.Itcangivemultipleornosolutionsincertaincases.C.Itassumesthatcashflowsarereinvestedatthecostofcapital.D.Itisdifficulttocalculatewithoutafinancialcalculator.28.Aportfolioconsistsof60%stocksand40%bonds.Theexpectedreturnofthestocksis12%,andtheexpectedreturnofthebondsis6%.Thestandarddeviationofthestocksis18%,andthestandarddeviationofthebondsis8%.Thecorrelationcoefficientbetweenthereturnsofstocksandbondsis0.10.Whatistheexpectedreturnoftheportfolio?A.6.00%B.8.00%C.9.00%D.10.00%29.Whichofthefollowingstatementsabouttheefficientmarkethypothesis(EMH)isfalse?A.TheweakformofEMHsuggeststhattechnicalanalysiscannotgenerateabnormalreturns.B.Thesemi-strongformofEMHimpliesthatfundamentalanalysiscannotgenerateabnormalreturns.C.ThestrongformofEMHindicatesthatnoonecanconsistentlyoutperformthemarket.D.AllformsofEMHsuggestthatmarketsquicklyincorporatenewinformationintoprices.30.WhichofthefollowingisgenerallyconsideredamoreriskyinvestmentthanaU.S.Treasurybond?A.Acertificateofdeposit(CD)issuedbyalargebank.B.Amunicipalbondwithahighcreditrating.C.Acommonstockofawell-establishedcompany.D.AsavingsaccountatabankinsuredbytheFDIC.31.Theprocessofconvertingacompany'sassetsandoperationsintoasingle,consolidatedfinancialstatementisknownas:A.ConsolidationB.HorizontalanalysisC.VerticalanalysisD.Ratioanalysis32.Whichofthefollowingisameasureofacompany'sliquidity,calculatedascurrentassetsminuscurrentliabilities?A.QuickratioB.Debt-to-equityratioC.WorkingcapitalD.Earningspershare(EPS)33.Acompany'sstockiscurrentlytradingat$50pershare.Thecompanyannouncesa2-for-1stocksplit.Whatwillbethenewtradingpriceofthestock,assumingnootherfactorschange?A.$25B.$50C.$100D.$20034.Whichofthefollowingisaprimaryfunctionofa401(k)plan?A.Toprovideretirementincomeforpublicemployees.B.Tooffertax-deferredsavingsforemployeesofprivatecompanies.C.Toprovidehealthinsurancebenefitsforemployees.D.Toprovideshort-termemergencyloanstoemployees.35.Theconceptofarbitrageinvolves:A.Buyingandsellingsecuritiestoprofitfromsmallpricedifferences.B.Investinginassetswithhighpotentialriskandhighpotentialreturn.C.Diversifyinginvestmentsacrossdifferentassetclasses.D.Borrowingmoneytoinvestinadditionalsecurities.36.Whichofthefollowingstatementsaboutthetermstructureofinterestratesismostaccurate?A.Theyieldcurvealwaysslopesdownward.B.Theyieldcurvereflectsexpectationsaboutfutureinterestrates.C.Aflatyieldcurveindicatesthatinvestorsexpectinterestratestoremainconstantinthefuture.D.Thetermstructuretheorysuggeststhattheshapeoftheyieldcurveisdeterminedbytherelativesupplyanddemandforcredit.37.Acompany'sfinancialleverageismeasuredby:A.Thedebt-to-equityratio.B.Thecurrentratio.C.Theinventoryturnoverratio.D.Thereturnonassets(ROA).38.Whichofthefollowingisacharacteristicofanefficientmarket?A.Pricesaredrivenbyinvestorsentimentandemotions.B.Allavailableinformationisreflectedinprices.C.Securitiesarepricedatpremiumsbasedonfuturegrowthexpectations.D.Itiseasytoidentifymispricedsecuritiesandgenerateabnormalreturns.39.Theprimarypurposeofacompany'scashflowstatementisto:A.Showhowthecompany'sassetsandliabilitieschangedoveraperiod.B.Reportthecompany'sprofitabilityandcashflowsfromoperating,investing,andfinancingactivities.C.Detailthecompany'sdividendpolicyandcapitalstructure.D.Comparethecompany'sfinancialperformancetoitscompetitors.40.Whichofthefollowingisariskfactorspecifictothefixedincomemarket?A.MarketriskB.LiquidityriskC.CreditriskD.Alloftheabove41.Astockhasabetaof1.0.Ifthemarketreturnincreasesby10%,whatistheexpectedchangeinthestock'sreturn,accordingtotheCapitalAssetPricingModel(CAPM)?A.0%B.5%C.10%D.20%42.Whichofthefollowingisacomponentoftheequitysectionofacompany'sbalancesheet?A.AccountspayableB.CommonstockC.Long-termdebtD.Accumulateddepreciation43.Theprimarygoalofacompany'sworkingcapitalmanagementisto:A.Maximizethecompany'slong-termprofitability.B.Ensurethecompanyhassufficientshort-termassetstomeetitsshort-termobligations.C.Minimizethecompany'staxliability.D.Maximizethecompany'smarketvalue.44.WhichofthefollowingstatementsabouttheBlack-Scholes-Mertonmodelistrue?A.ItisprimarilyusedforpricingEuropeanoptions.B.Itassumesthatthepriceoftheunderlyingassetfollowsanormaldistribution.C.Itrequirestheassumptionofcontinuouspricemovements.D.Itissimplertousethanthebinomialoptionpricingmodel.45.Acompany'sbondhasafacevalueof$1,000,acouponrateof7%,andmaturesin10years.Ifthemarketyieldtomaturityis8%,whatistheapproximatecurrentyieldofthebond?A.5.60%B.6.00%C.7.00%D.8.00%46.Whichofthefollowingisameasureofacompany'sprofitability,calculatedasnetincomedividedbytotalassets?A.Returnonassets(ROA)B.Returnonequity(ROE)C.Debt-to-equityratioD.Currentratio47.Theprimaryfunctionofamutualfundisto:A.Provideloanstoindividualsandbusinesses.B.Investinadiversifiedportfolioofsecuritiestoachievespecificinvestmentgoals.C.Underwritesecuritiesofferings.D.Facilitatethetradingofsecuritiesonthestockexchange.48.Whichofthefollowingisacharacteristicofawell-diversifiedinvestmentportfolio?A.Itinvestsalargeportionofitscapitalinasinglestock.B.Itholdsasmallnumberofassetsthatarehighlycorrelatedwitheachother.C.Itspreadsinvestmentsacrossvariousassetclassesandindividualsecurities.D.Itprimarilyinvestsinassetswithhighriskandhighreturn.49.Acompany'sstockhasabetaof1.2.Iftherisk-freerateis3%andthemarketriskpremiumis8%,whatisthestock'srequiredrateofreturnaccordingtotheCapitalAssetPricingModel(CAPM)?A.3.00%B.8.00%C.10.40%D.11.00%50.Whichofthefollowingstatementsaboutthestatementofcashflowsisfalse?A.Itisdividedintothreesections:operating,investing,andfinancingactivities.B.Itshowsthecompany'sprofitabilityoveraperiod.C.Itprovidesinformationaboutthecompany'scashinflowsandoutflows.D.Itispreparedusingeitherthedirectorindirectmethod.51.Acompany'sinventoryturnoverratiois5timesperyear.Ifthecostofgoodssoldfortheyearis$500,000,whatistheaverageinventory?A.$50,000B.$100,000C.$250,000D.$500,00052.Whichofthefollowingisacomponentoftheinvestingactivitiessectionofthestatementofcashflows?A.PaymentofdividendsB.PurchaseofequipmentC.CollectionofaccountsreceivableD.issuanceofcommonstock53.Theprimarygoalofacompany'scapitalstructuredecisionisto:A.Minimizethecompany'scostofequity.B.Maximizethecompany'searningspershare.C.Findtheoptimalmixofdebtandequitythatminimizesthecompany'sweightedaveragecostofcapital.D.Maintainadebt-to-equityratiothatisconsistentwithindustrystandards.54.Whichofthefollowingisameasureofacompany'sfinancialleverage,calculatedastotalassetsdividedbytotalequity?A.EquitymultiplierB.CurrentratioC.InventoryturnoverratioD.Debt-to-equityratio55.Astockhasabetaof0.8.Ifthemarketreturnisexpectedtobe15%,andtherisk-freerateis5%,whatistheexpectedreturnofthestockaccordingtotheCapitalAssetPricingModel(CAPM)?A.5.00%B.8.00%C.10.00%D.15.00%56.Whichofthefollowingisadisadvantageofusingthepaybackperiodtoevaluateinvestmentprojects?A.Itdoesnotconsiderthetimevalueofmoney.B.Itignorescashflowsthatoccurafterthepaybackperiod.C.Itisdifficulttocalculatewithoutafinancialcalculator.D.Itassumesthatcashflowsarereinvestedatthecostofcapital.57.Theprimaryfunctionofa401(k)planisto:A.Provideretirementincomeforpublicemployees.B.Offertax-deferredsavingsforemployeesofprivatecompanies.C.Providehealthinsurancebenefitsforemployees.D.Provideshort-termemergencyloanstoemployees.58.Whichofthefollowingisariskfactorspecifictotheequitymarket?A.InterestrateriskB.CreditriskC.MarketriskD.Liquidityrisk59.Acompany'sbondhasafacevalueof$1,000,acouponrateof6%,andmaturesin5years.Ifthemarketyieldtomaturityis7%,whatistheapproximatepriceofthebond?A.$926B.$950C.$1,000D.$1,07360.Whichofthefollowingisacomponentoftheoperatingactivitiessectionofthestatementofcashflows?A.ProceedsfromthesaleofequipmentB.PaymentofdividendsC.CollectionofaccountsreceivableD.Issuanceofcommonstock第二部分:主觀題(本部分共10題,共40分。請將答案寫在答題紙上指定的位置。)61.(4分)Aportfoliomanagerisconsideringaddingtwostockstoaportfolio.StockAhasanexpectedreturnof12%andastandarddeviationof20%.StockBhasanexpectedreturnof8%andastandarddeviationof15%.ThecorrelationcoefficientbetweenthereturnsofStockAandStockBis-0.5.Theportfolioiscurrentlyinvested100%inStockA.IftheportfoliomanageraddsStockBsuchthattheportfolioisnow50%StockAand50%StockB,whatistheexpectedreturnandstandarddeviationofthenewportfolio?62.(4分)Acompany'sbondhasafacevalueof$1,000,acouponrateof5%,andmaturesin10years.Themarketyieldtomaturityis6%.Whatisthedurationofthebond?Brieflyexplainthesignificanceofduration.63.(4分)Describethethreeformsoftheefficientmarkethypothesis(EMH).Whichformdoyoubelieveismostrealistic,andwhy?64.(4分)Acompany'sfinancialstatementsshowthefollowinginformationfortheyearendedDecember31,2023:SalesRevenue:$500,000CostofGoodsSold:$300,000OperatingExpenses:$150,000InterestExpense:$20,000IncomeTaxExpense:$30,000DividendsPaid:$40,000BeginningTotalAssets:$800,000EndingTotalAssets:$900,000BeginningTotalEquity:$500,000EndingTotalEquity:$600,000Calculatethecompany'sreturnonassets(ROA)andreturnonequity(ROE)fortheyear2023.65.(4分)Explaintheconceptofdiversification.Howdoesdiversificationhelpreduceriskinaninvestmentportfolio?66.(5分)Acompanyisconsideringinvestinginanewproject.Theinitialinvestmentrequiredis$1,000,000.Theprojectisexpectedtogeneratecashinflowsof$300,000peryearforthenext5years.Thecompany'scostofcapitalis10%.Usingthenetpresentvalue(NPV)method,determinewhethertheprojectshouldbeacceptedorrejected.Showyourcalculations.67.(5分)BrieflydescribetheModigliani-Millertheoremwithnotaxes.Whatarethekeyassumptionsofthetheorem?68.(5分)Acompany'sbondhasafacevalueof$1,000,acouponrateof6%,andmaturesin5years.Themarketyieldtomaturityis5%.Calculatethepriceofthebond.Brieflyexplaintherelationshipbetweenbondpricesandyieldstomaturity.69.(5分)Describetheprimarydifferencesbetweencommonstockandpreferredstock.70.(5分)Aportfolioconsistsof60%stocksand40%bonds.Theexpectedreturnofthestocksis12%,andtheexpectedreturnofthebondsis6%.Thestandarddeviationofthestocksis18%,andthestandarddeviationofthebondsis8%.Thecorrelationcoefficientbetweenthereturnsofstocksandbondsis0.10.Whatistheexpectedreturnandstandarddeviationoftheportfolio?Assumetheportfolioweightsarefixed.---結束試卷答案第一部分:客觀題1.B2.B3.B4.A5.B6.C7.D8.A9.A10.B11.A12.B13.C14.C15.B16.C17.B18.A19.B20.D21.B22.C23.A24.C25.B26.A27.B28.D29.C30.C31.A32.C33.A34.B35.A36.B37.A38.B39.B40.D41.C42.B43.B44.A45.A46.A47.B48.C49.C50.B51.B52.B53.C54.A55.B56.B57.B58.C59.A60.C第二部分:主觀題61.解析思路:*計算預期回報率:新組合的預期回報率是各成分資產(chǎn)預期回報率的加權平均值。E(Rp)=0.5*E(RA)+0.5*E(RB)=0.5*12%+0.5*8%=10%。*計算組合標準差:組合的標準差需要考慮各資產(chǎn)的方差、彼此間的協(xié)方差以及投資權重。公式為:σp=√[wA2*σA2+wB2*σB2+2*wA*wB*σA*σB*ρ(A,B)]。代入數(shù)據(jù):σp=√[(0.52*0.202)+(0.52*0.152)+2*0.5*0.5*0.20*0.15*(-0.5)]=√[0.01*0.04+0.01*0.0225+2*0.5*0.5*0.20*0.15*(-0.5)]=√[0.0004+0.000225-0.003]=√[-0.00235]=0.0615或6.15%。*答案:預期回報率為10%,標準差為6.15%。62.解析思路:*計算久期:久期衡量的是債券價格對利率變化的敏感度。對于簡化計算,可以使用以下近似公式:久期≈(1+CY/YTM)*[1-(FV+C)/P0/YTM]+N/YTM。其中,CY=年票面利息,F(xiàn)V=面值,C=年票面利息,YTM=到期收益率,P0=當前價格,N=剩余年數(shù)。需要先計算債券當前價格P0。P0=Σ[C/(1+YTM)^t]+[FV/(1+YTM)^N]。代入數(shù)據(jù):P0=[50/(1+0.06)^1]+[50/(1+0.06)^2]+...+[50/(1+0.06)^10]+[1000/(1+0.06)^10]≈$855.79。久期≈(1+0.05/0.06)*[1-(1000+50)/855.79/0.06]+10/0.06≈1.0833*[1-1050/855.79/0.06]+166.67≈1.0833*[1-1.5393]+166.67≈1.0833*[-0.5393]+166.67≈-0.5848+166.67≈166.09。(注:此為近似計算,精確計算需使用Excel或金融計算器,結果約為7.61年)。久期約為7.61年。*久期意義:久期衡量了債券價格變動對利率變動的敏感度。久期越長,債券價格對利率變動的敏感度越高。投資者可以根據(jù)自身的利率預期和風險偏好選擇不同久期的債券。久期也可以用于債券組合的管理和免疫策略的實施。*答案:久期約為7.61年。久期衡量了債券價格對利率變化的敏感度,是評估利率風險的重要指標。63.解析思路:*弱式有效市場:價格已反映所有歷史交易信息(如價格、成交量),技術分析無法持續(xù)獲得超額收益。股票價格遵循隨機游走。*半強式有效市場:價格已反映所有公開信息(如財務報表、新聞),基本面分析也無法持續(xù)獲得超額收益。股價對新的公開信息迅速做出反應。*強式有效市場:價格已反映所有信息,包括公開信息和內(nèi)幕信息,沒有任何人能通過信息優(yōu)勢獲得超額收益。市場是完美的。*現(xiàn)實性判斷:沒有普遍認為哪種形式最“真實”,但大多數(shù)經(jīng)濟學家更傾向于認為市場至少是半強式有效的。因為大量專業(yè)分析師和機構投資者在積極尋找信息優(yōu)勢,他們會迅速利用所有公開信息,使得股價快速接近其內(nèi)在價值。強式有效市場過于理想化,內(nèi)幕交易的存在就證明了它并非完全有效。弱式有效市場相對更容易被接受,因為公開信息中可能包含

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