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FIGURES|TORONTODOWNTOWNOFFICE|Q42025CBRE
Fourthquartermaintainsandexpandsonthe
highlevelofactivityfromthethirdquarter
r1.2M
1.8M
$34.29
Avg.NetAskingLeaseRate($PSF)
15.0%
SFNetAbsorption
SFUnderConstruction
VacancyRate
Note:Arrowsindicatechangefrompreviousquarter.
ReportcoversDowntownonly,excludingMidtown.
ExecutiveSummary
-Overallvacancydecreasedby160basispoints(bps)to15.0%asdowntown’s1.2millionsq.ft.ofquarterlyabsorption,wastheall-timelargestforaquarterwithoutnewsupply.
Underscoring2025’s2.6millionsq.ft.ofannualabsorption,thelargestoverallannual
absorptionfiguresince2016.Despitehighactivity,tenantdemandforbest-in-classproductpersists,signalingacontinuationofactivityintonextyear.Overthecourseof2025ClassAandAAAvacancyfellbyover450bpsto14.0%and3.0%,respectively.
-Largeblockavailabilityisdecreasingrapidly,withonly15contiguousblocksofover100,000sq.ft.remaining.Duetothatdecrease,thereisheightenedcompetitionaroundthesespacesfrommanymajortenantsinthemarket.
-CIBCSquareIIisthelastsignificantprojectintheactivedevelopmentpipelineandisduefordeliveryinQ12026.Withthesupplyofnewbuildspaceexpectedtodryupoverthenextfewyearsandhightenantdemand,themarketisprimedfortheannouncementofanewofficetowertocommenceconstruction.
-Furtherleasingactivityisonthehorizon.Vacancyhasreachedthe15.0%thresholdmuchfasterthanexpected,improvingtheoutlookforvacancytoreturntoearlypandemiclevels.
FIGURE1:DowntownTorontoOfficeSupplyandDemand
NetAbsorptionandNewSupply(MSF)VacancyRate(%)
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5
-2.0
Q1
Q2Q3
2022
Q4
Q1
Q2Q3
2023
Q4
Q1
Q2Q3
2024
Q4
Q1
Q2Q3
2025
Q4
25.0%
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
-5.0%
-10.0%
-15.0%
-20.0%
NetAbsorptionNewSupplyVacancyRate
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
1CBRERESEARCH?2026CBRELimited
FIGURES|TORONTODOWNTOWNOFFICE|Q42025
2CBRERESEARCH?2026CBRELimited
Activityremainshigh,completingabanneryear
TheDowntownTorontoofficemarketexperiencedasecondaddinganexclamationpointtothebestyearfortheofficemarketpost-pandemic.Annually,overallvacancydecreasedby360bpsthelargestsince2005andtheannual2.6millionsq.ft.ofabsorptionwasthelargestsince2016.ThehighactivityinQ3continued,withmanymajortenantsinthemarketclosinglargeblock
dealsover50,000sq.ft.suchasCIBC’s165,000sq.ft.newdealatCIBCSquareandScotiabank’s150,000sq.ft.renewalat40KingStreetW.
Thesemajortransactionstooklongstandinglargeblocksoffthemarket,whichisbeginningtofundamentallychangethelandscapeforofficeproduct.In2025thenumberofbuildingswithover100,000sq.ft.inavailabilityshrunkfrom49(9.9millionsq.ft)to32(5.6millionsq.ft.).
Withthenumberoflargeavailabilitiesdecreasingrapidly,theofficemarketissetforaneraofhighcompetitionasmajortenantsvieforthetighteningsupply.Theavailabilityoflargeblocksisfurtherconstrainedbythelackofnewdevelopments.ConsideringCIBCSquareIIisfullypre-leased,nosupplyincreaseswilloffsetthesustained3.5millionsq.ft.ofdemandfromtenantsinthemarket.Activityfromthemajorbankshascontinuedwithover2.7millionsq.ft.inleasing
activityin2025andover800,000sq.ft.inQ4.Astheynearfulfillingspacerequirements,otherlargetenantsarenowdefiningthetenantlandscape,suchasAmazon,NationalBank,andStripePayments.Largedemandspreadingbeyondthelargestfinancialinstitutionssupportsthe
continuationofpositiveleasingactivitythroughoutthemarket.
TrendsintensifyincoremarketsandClassAAAspace
Coremarketsaccountedfor84.2%ofoveralldowntownabsorptionin2025.FinancialCore
vacancydecreasedby560bpsto9.0%,thelowestvacancyrateinthesubmarketsinceQ32021,definingitastheleadingmarketinDowntownTorontobecauseofisdesirablelocation.The
othermaindriverfortenantsispremiumqualityspaces,withDowntownoverallClassAspacedecreasing490bpssincethestartoftheyearto10.7%.Particularly,newbuildspacesare
seeingincreasedactivity,withmajornewbuildsinthelastfiveyearsbeingroughly90%leased.TheClassAAAmarketshowcasestheintersectionaleffectswhenthesetwomainattributes
coincide,distinguishingitselfasitsowntierofofficeproductandnotasubclasswithinA.In
2025aloneClassAAAvacancydecreasedby470bpsto3.0%vacancy,withover1.0millionsq.ft.innewleasingactivityinjust17.3millionsq.ft.ofinventory.ThisspacewillcontinuetoseethehighestlevelsofcompetitionandactivitywithbothmajortenantsandlandlordsdesiringtobewithinthisupperechelonofToronto’sdowntownmarket.
FIGURE2:DowntownTorontoNewLeasing,BuiltOutvsBaseBuild(MSF)
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.0
0.5
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Q1Q2Q3Q4
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
BuiltOutBaseBuild
ExcludesMidtown.
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
FIGURE3:DowntownTorontoTenantsintheMarket(MSF)
4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
Q1Q2Q3Q4
2025
0.0
FinancialServices
Technology
Insurance
LifeSciences
BusinessServices
Legal
Creative
Industries
Other
FIGURE4:DowntownTorontoTenantsintheMarket
byIndustry
2.8%
4.8%
4.8%4.9%
4.9%
5.9%47.3%
24.7%
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
FIGURES|TORONTODOWNTOWNOFFICE|Q42025
3CBRERESEARCH?2026CBRELimited
Lackofconstructionpipelineandnewavailabilitiesincreasesoptimism
aroundnewdevelopmentsbreakingground
Only53,000sq.ft.ofnewproductwasdeliveredtoToronto’sDowntownofficemarketin2025.CIBCSquareII’sdeliveryhasbeendelayedtoQ12026whichwillbring1.4millionsq.ft.ofnewinventorytothemarketbutwithnoavailablespace.Intotal2026issettodeliverover1.8
millionsq.ft.ofnewofficespace.Withpremiumspacedisappearingandabarrenconstructionpipelinepost2026,thedemandforanotherpremiumofficetowerisapparent.Thelargest
opportunitybeingOxfordProperties’theHUBdevelopmentat30Baywhichbeganpre-leasinginQ4.Thecompetitivelandscapeandnumberofmajortenantsinamarkethavereinvigoratedthelikelihoodofthisnewdevelopmentfindingananchortenanttopromptconstruction
commencement.Especiallyconsideringthatafter2026,downtownTorontowillhititslongestperiodofofficeconstructionstagnationsincetheearly1990’swithnonewsupplydeliveriesonthehorizonbesides212,000sq.ft.at481UniversityAvenuein2027.
Sustainedmarketactionpromotesevenstrongervacancyforecast
Theofficemarket’soverallbanneryearandextremelyactivelasttwoquartersarepositivesignsforthefutureofofficeleasing.ThisleasingvelocitywillcontinueintothenearfutureastenantdemandremainshighandactivityaroundmajorblocksinPortlandCommons,200FrontStreetWand351KingStreetEarenearingfinalizedagreements.Themarketissettobreakthe13.0%thresholdwithinthenexttwoyears,amarkthathasn’tbeenreachedsinceQ32022.
Absorptionfiguresaresettooutperformpre-pandemicaverages,particularlyinQ12026whichisexpectedtohaveover1.5millionsq.ftofpositiveabsorptionlargelyduetothedeliveryof
CIBCSquareII.Despitelowlevelsofnewsupply,highleasingvolumealonewillcontinuethistrendoverthenexttwoyears.
Withthemarketfinallyinrecoverythekeyquestionisnolonger,“whenwillvacancybeginto
decrease”,butrather“whenwillthisdecreaseend”.Theimminentoutlookisextremelypositiveasvacancyiscurrentlytrendingdownwardataratenotseeninover20years,butthatwillnotcontinuetothepointwheretheofficemarketreturnstotheunsustainablepre-pandemiclevels.Withinthenextfiveyears,afterthiswaveofleasingdiminishes,theofficemarketwillstabilizeoncemoreintoanewnormalfortheofficemarket.
FIGURE5:DowntownTorontoNewSupplyDeliveries(MSF)
3.5
FORECAST
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
20192020202120222023202420252026F2027F2028F2029F2030F
NewSupplyForecast
ExcludesMidtown
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
FIGURE6:DowntownTorontoSupply&DemandForecast
NetAbsorptionandNewSupply(MSF)VacancyRate(%)
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
FORECAST
-1.8MSF-1.4MSF-1.3MSF
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Q1Q2Q3Q4
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026F
2027F
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
mmNetAbsorptionNewSupplyVacancy
ExcludesMidtown.Pre-leasingisaccountedforwherecurrentlyinplace.
Source:CBREEconometricAdvisors,CBREResearch,Q42025.
FIGURES|TORONTODOWNTOWNOFFICE|Q42025
4CBRERESEARCH?2026CBRELimited
FIGURE7a:OfficeMarketStatistics(Central)
Submarket
Inventory
(SF)
Vacancy
Rate
(%)
SubletSpace
(%of
vacancy)
Net
Absorption
(SF)
YTDNet
Absorption
(SF)
NewSupply
(SF)
Under
Construction
(SF)
NetAsking
Rent
(PSF)
FinancialCore
27,426,732
9.0%
14.4%
272,647
1,377,538
0
0
$38.07
GreaterCore
21,465,661
17.0%
11.1%
562,510
576,775
0
1,430,000
$32.10
DowntownSouth
10,200,415
9.2%
22.1%
124,897
261,655
0
0
$35.69
DowntownNorth
6,483,449
13.0%
14.1%
7,595
44,369
0
211,589
$28.14
DowntownEast
9,606,227
27.1%
9.4%
264,489
396,128
0
103,334
$35.29
DowntownWest
2,610,704
23.6%
25.7%
17,923
-8,819
0
0
$26.97
LibertyVillage
3,754,761
29.6%
30.6%
-46,081
-15,132
0
80,966
$34.75
Downtown
81,547,949
15.0%
15.0%
1,203,980
2,632,514
0
1,825,889
$34.29
Bloor/Yonge
6,953,384
25.9%
32.8%
-159,604
-101,132
0
24,388
$26.98
St.Clair/Yonge
2,194,054
13.3%
3.7%
-21,075
8,435
0
0
$28.62
Eglinton/Yonge
4,520,506
17.1%
7.0%
-12,357
111,601
0
0
$18.79
Midtown
13,667,944
21.0%
22.8%
-193,036
18,904
0
24,388
$25.12
Central
95,215,893
15.9%
16.5%
1,010,944
2,651,418
0
1,850,277
$32.44
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
FIGURE8:NotableDowntownLeaseTransactions
Submarket
Address
Tenant
Size(SF)
Class
DealType
GreaterCore
141BaySt
CIBC
165,000
AAA
NewLease
FinancialCore
40KingStW
Scotiabank
150,000
AAA
Renewal
GreaterCore
483BaySt
HydroOne
150,000
A
Renewal
DowntownWest
460FrontStW
Wealthsimple
125,000
A
NewLease
BloorYonge
120BloorStE
YorkvilleEducation
88,302
B
NewLease
GreaterCore
1AdelaideStE
Softchoice
63,000
A
NewLease
FinancialCore
77KingStW
RGAReinsurance
43,000
AAA
NewLease
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
FIGURE7b:OfficeMarketStatistics(Suburban&Total)
Submarket
Inventory
(SF)
Vacancy
Rate
(%)
SubletSpace
(%of
vacancy)
Net
Absorption
(SF)
YTDNet
Absorption
(SF)
NewSupply
(SF)
Under
Construction
(SF)
NetAsking
Rent
(PSF)
Bloor/Islington
1,750,771
14.5%
9.6%
2,448
-35,206
0
0
$18.81
427Corridor
1,856,618
24.8%
12.7%
9,634
-2,295
0
0
$16.79
AirportStrip
3,330,753
20.1%
11.8%
-10,373
-40,295
0
0
$12.47
AirportCorp.Centre
7,304,012
21.4%
23.4%
-53,399
50,461
0
0
$19.15
MississaugaSouth
1,450,312
5.5%
34.4%
-14,511
-6,146
0
0
$16.87
CityCentre
3,752,801
23.1%
2.4%
-7,522
-44,780
0
0
$18.28
Hwy10/Hwy401
4,303,077
12.4%
12.6%
60,993
41,060
0
0
$19.67
Meadowvale
4,474,354
22.8%
8.4%
-218,204
-235,482
0
0
$19.75
Brampton
1,049,000
4.9%
65.7%
-13,991
-48,988
0
0
$17.96
Oakville
4,644,086
15.0%
17.9%
30,001
125,155
0
27,662
$18.43
Burlington
3,790,349
17.9%
13.9%
64,353
58,708
0
0
$16.29
West
37,706,133
18.2%
14.3%
-150,571
-137,808
0
27,662
$17.84
Scarborough
3,544,513
27.3%
21.1%
90,686
98,039
0
0
$15.40
MarkhamN./R.Hill
8,068,046
19.8%
1.3%
53,129
62,460
0
0
$19.27
MarkhamSouth
4,081,381
17.8%
2.8%
-36,491
-58,801
0
0
$16.64
E.York/D.MillsS.
2,552,330
31.9%
2.8%
38,955
43,144
0
0
$16.04
DonMillsNorth
2,792,656
23.7%
3.5%
-23,447
-94,708
0
0
$17.31
ConsumersRoad
3,632,790
31.5%
13.0%
-25,053
-66,613
0
0
$15.79
G.Baker/Vic.Park
1,510,904
24.6%
2.2%
63,974
66,660
0
0
$17.92
East
26,182,620
24.0%
7.1%
161,753
50,181
0
0
$17.22
NorthYonge
7,760,524
28.7%
10.9%
129,772
77,327
0
175,000
$22.12
NorthYorkWest
2,166,759
10.3%
0.4%
9,148
-41,505
0
0
$12.86
Vaughan
3,195,743
11.2%
17.9%
38,242
50,334
0
0
$19.88
North
13,123,026
21.4%
11.0%
177,162
86,156
0
175,000
$21.32
Suburban
77,011,779
20.7%
10.9%
188,344
-1,471
0
202,662
$18.18
GTATOTAL
172,227,672
18.0%
13.6%
1,199,288
2,649,947
0
2,052,939
$26.72
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.StatisticsasofDecember12th,2025.
FIGURES|TORONTODOWNTOWNOFFICE|Q42025
MarketAreaOverview
Definitions
Inventory:Acompletelistofofficeassets,displayedbytotalsq.ft.,trackedbyCBREintheGreaterTorontoArea.
Submarket:AsubdivisionoftheGreaterTorontoAreasubmarketwithdefinedboundariesrepresentingvariousnodes
andregions.NetAbsorption:Ameasureofthenetchangeinoccupiedspaceoveragivenperiodoftimeexpressedin
sq.ft.NetRentalRate:The
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