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FIGURES|WATERLOOREGIONOFFICE|Q42025CBRE
Vacancydropsamidareboundin
absorptionheadingintoyear-end
v17.7%v$16.3817K94K
VacancyRatePSFAvg.AskingLeaseRateSFUnderConstructionSFNetAbsorption
Note:Arrowsindicatechangefrompreviousquarter.
Overview
–Theyearclosedonastrongnotewithpositivenetabsorptionofmorethan94,000sq.ft.,
reversingatwo-quartertrendofnegativenetabsorption.Suburbanmarketsaccountedfor82,000sq.ft.ofthisgrowth,whilethecorecontributedanadditional12,000sq.ft.
–OverallvacancyposteditsfirstdeclinesinceQ12025,dropping60basispoints(bps)to
17.7%.Suburbanvacancyimprovednotably,falling70bpsto12.2%,thelowestlevelsinceQ1
2023and100bpsbelowsametimelastyear.Conversely,corevacancyclimbedto31.1%,up
180bpsfromyear-end2024.
–WellingtonRegion’savailabilityratedeclinedsharplyto8.9%,representinga230bps
decreasefromthepreviousquarterandreturningtolevelslastseenatthestartoftheyear.IncontrastWaterlooRegionhasremainedrelativelystablein2025.
FIGURE1:WaterlooRegionFundamentals–HistoricalAnalysis
NetAbsorptionandNewSupply(000ssq.ft.)VacancyRate(%)
400
300
200
100
0
-100
-200
-300
-400
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Q1Q2Q3Q4
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
-5.0%
-10.0%
-15.0%
-20.0%
NewSupplyNetAbsorptionVacancyRate
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
1CBRERESEARCH?2026CBRELimited
FIGURES|WATERLOOREGIONOFFICE|Q42025
2CBRERESEARCH?2026CBRELimited
Vacancycontinuestoleveloffassubleaseshareholdssteady
TheoverallvacancyratedecreasedslightlyinQ42025to17.7%,reflectingstableconditions
followingearlierfluctuationsintheyear.Vacancylevelsvariedbyassetclass,withClassAat
18.4%,ClassBat21.2%,ClassCat3.1%,andClassRCat20.1%.Whileeachclassexperienced
onlymodestquarter-over-quartermovement,themarketbenefitedfromstrongerQ4absorptionthathelpedpreventfurtherupwardpressureonvacancy.
Subleasespacecontinuedtorepresentanotableportionofavailableinventory,accountingfor10.1%oftotalvacantspaceinQ4.Class-levelresultsshowedsubleasesharesof8.7%inClassA,14.4%inClassB,and0.0%inbothClassCandClassRC.Asmoretenantssecuredupgraded
spaceatcompetitiverentallevels,thesubleasesharestabilizedbytheendofthequarter,evenasoverallavailabilityremainedelevatedacrosstheregion.
AstrongfinishtotheyearforMidwesternOntario
WaterlooandWellingtonRegionsended2025onastrongnotesimilartohowtheyearbegan,posting94,000sq.ft.ofpositivenetabsorptioninQ4,andreversingthedeclinesseenintheprevioustwoquarters.Availabilityeasedslightlyto20.9%,whilevacancydecreasedto17.7%,supportedbyconsistentleasingactivity.Asthetransitiontowardfullin-officeattendance
acceleratesandmorecompaniesmandateuptofourdaysperweekonsite,demandforlargeofficespacesisexpectedtostrengthenfurther.Subleasespaceclosedtheyearat292,000sq.ft.,a77,000sq.ft.reductiontowhereitwasinQ12025.Directvacancydecreasedcloseto2.6millionsq.ft.,thoughoverallmarketconditionsshowedsignsofstabilization.
Theregionrecorded29,000sq.ft.oftotalnetabsorptionthroughouttheyear,amodest
improvementthatreflectedrenewedtenantmovementacrossmostsubmarkets.GuelphandKitchenerledthepositiveshiftthisquarter,whileWaterlooandCambridgeshowedearly
indicationsoflevelingout,andGuelphexperiencedthemostnotablechangeinvacancy.With16.3millionsq.ft.oftotalinventory,themarketappearspositionedforgradualstrengtheningheadinginto2026.
FIGURE2:DirectVersusSubletHistoricalVacancy(MSF)
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
20122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
DirectSublease
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
FIGURE3:2025Quarter-Over-QuarterNetAbsorptionbySubmarket(000ssq.ft.)
80
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Waterloo
Kitchener
Guelph
Cambridge
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
FIGURES|WATERLOOREGIONOFFICE|Q42025
3CBRERESEARCH?2026CBRELimited
FIGURE4:OfficeMarketStatistics
Submarket
Inventory
(SF)
Vacancy
Rate
(%)
Under
Construction
(SF)
Quarterly
Net
Absorption
(SF)
Net
Absorption
YTD(SF)
Avg.Net
Asking
LeaseRate
($PSF)
Core
3,156,384
43.7%
0
919
-90,262
$17.08
Suburban
2,831,626
5.0%
0
19,281
-14,704
$14.63
KitchenerTotal
5,988,010
25.4%
0
20,200
-104,966
$16.84
Core
671,903
6.7%
0
-6,088
-8,244
$16.28
Suburban
5,612,230
19.6%
0
22,167
68,706
$15.99
WaterlooTotal
6,284,133
18.2%
0
16,079
60,462
$16.00
Core
350,557
6.3%
0
0
-2,145
$10.00
Suburban
1,411,489
4.5%
0
9,301
12,823
$12.97
CambridgeTotal
1,762,046
4.8%
0
9,301
10,678
$12.20
Core
538,520
4.0%
0
17,368
18,009
$15.30
Suburban
1,747,833
6.4%
17,000
31,283
44,532
$17.03
GuelphTotal
2,286,353
5.9%
17,000
48,651
62,541
$16.75
OverallTotal
16,320,542
17.7%
17,000
94,231
28,715
$16.38
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
FIGURE5:NotableLeaseTransactions
Size(SF)
Address
BuildingClass
Submarket
DealType
16,587
215QueenStreetW
B
Cambridge-Suburban
NewLease
15,695
16AndrewStreet
B
Kitchener-Suburban
NewLease
14,969
410AlbertStreet
B
Waterloo-IdeaQuarter&R&D
NewLease
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
FIGURES|WATERLOOREGIONOFFICE|Q42025
MarketAreaOverview
KITCHENEROFFICE
72VictoriaStreetSouth,Suite200Kitchener,ONN2G4Y9
Contacts
MeganSolomon
ResearchAnalyst
/p>
Megan.Solomon@
CBREOffice
Kitchener
72VictoriaStreetSouth,Suite200
Kitchener,ONN2G4Y9
?Copyright2026.Allrightsreserved.Disclaimer:Informationcontainedherein,includingprojections,hasbeenobtainedfromsour
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