2012級2實驗一.。游外匯收入年均增長22.6%，與此同時國內(nèi)旅游也迅速增長開放20多年來，特別是進入90年代后，中國的國內(nèi)旅游收入年均增長14.4%，遠高于同期GDP9.76%的增長。X4X5和鐵路里程X6作為相關(guān)基礎設施的代表。Yt——第t年旅游收X2——國內(nèi)旅游人數(shù)（萬人）X3（元）X4（元）DependentVariable:Method:LeastDate:06/05/15 Time:14:24Sample:19942013Includedobservations:Std.t- -- -- -- --MeandependentAdjustedR-S.D.dependentS.E.ofAkaikeinfoSumsquared.SchwarzLog-Hannan-QuinnF-R2很大，F(xiàn)顯著，但是x3x6不顯著，符號有正有負，可能存在多重共線性。11111三.分別作Y對X2、X3、X4、X5、X6T按R2的大小排序：x2x6x4x5以x2DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate:06/05/15 Time:14:48Sample:19942013Includedobservations:Std.t- -- MeandependentAdjustedR- S.D.dependentS.E.of AkaikeinfoSumsquaredSchwarzLog -Hannan-QuinnF- 不顯著，剔除DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate: Time:Sample:1994Includedobservations:Std.t-C--MeandependentAdjustedR-S.D.dependentS.E.ofAkaikeinfoSumsquaredSchwarzLog-Hannan-QuinnF-x4DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate:06/05/15 Time:14:50Sample:19942013Includedobservations:Std.t- -- -- MeandependentAdjustedR- S.D.dependentS.E.of AkaikeinfoSumsquared SchwarzLog -Hannan-QuinnF- x5DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate: Time:Sample:1994Includedobservations:Std.t---C--MeandependentAdjustedR-S.D.dependentS.E.ofAkaikeinfoSumsquaredSchwarzLog-Hannan-QuinnF-x3x2x5第一種.x2x5為基礎DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate: Time:Sample:1994Includedobservations:Std.t- -- -- MeandependentAdjustedR- S.D.dependentS.E.of AkaikeinfoSumsquared SchwarzLog -Hannan-QuinnF- 加入x6DependentVariable:Method:LeastDate: Time:Sample:1994Includedobservations:Std.t---C-- MeandependentAdjustedR- S.D.dependentS.E.of AkaikeinfoSumsquared SchwarzLog -Hannan-QuinnF- 加入x4DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate: Time:Sample:1994Includedobservations:Std.t---C--MeandependentAdjustedR-S.D.dependentS.E.ofAkaikeinfoSumsquared.SchwarzLog-Hannan-QuinnF-加入x3第二種，以x2x3為基礎DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate:06/05/15 Time:15:21Sample:19942013Includedobservations:Std.t- -- -- MeandependentAdjustedR- S.D.dependentS.E.of AkaikeinfoSumsquaredSchwarzLog -Hannan-QuinnF- 剔除DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate: Time:Sample:1994Includedobservations:Std. t---C MeandependentAdjustedR- S.D.dependentS.E.of AkaikeinfoSumsquaredSchwarzLog -Hannan-QuinnF- 保留DependentVariable:Method:LeastDate: Time:Sample:1994Includedobservations:Std.t---C--MeandependentAdjustedR-S.D.dependentS.E.ofAkaikeinfoSumsquared.SchwarzLog-Hannan-QuinnF-x5顯著，但是x3不顯著，剔除。x2x3x4x2x5x4DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate:06/05/15 Time:15:00Sample:19942013Includedobservations:Std.t-----C MeandependentAdjustedR- S.D.dependentS.E.of AkaikeinfoSumsquared SchwarzLog -Hannan-QuinnF- x6DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate: Time:Sample:1994Includedobservations:Std.t-----C-- MeandependentAdjustedR- S.D.dependentS.E.of AkaikeinfoSumsquared SchwarzLog -Hannan-QuinnF- x3模型一的最終結(jié)果為DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate: Time:Sample:1994Includedobservations:Std.t---C--MeandependentAdjustedR-S.D.dependentS.E.ofAkaikeinfoSumsquared.SchwarzLog-Hannan-QuinnF-以x2x3x4DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate:06/05/15 Time:15:27Sample:19942013Includedobservations:Std.t- -- -- MeandependentAdjustedR- S.D.dependentS.E.of AkaikeinfoSumsquaredSchwarzLog -Hannan-QuinnF- x6DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate:06/05/15 Time:15:27Sample:19942013Includedobservations:Std. t-----C--MeandependentAdjustedR-S.D.dependentS.E.ofAkaikeinfoSumsquared.SchwarzLog-Hannan-QuinnF-x5顯著，但是x3出現(xiàn)問題DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate:06/05/15 Time:15:29Sample:19942013Includedobservations:Std.t- -- MeandependentAdju