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11May2021
EquityResearch
Americas|UnitedStates
ElectricUtilities&Renewables
CSRenewables&UtilitiesConference-QuestionBank-May13-14,2021
AlternativeEnergy|Comment
InadvanceofourannualCreditSuisseRenewables&UtilitiesConference(virtual)2021,wehaveupdatedourmostrecentquestionbankforattendingrenewableandutilitycompaniesforyourconvenience.
Attendingcompanies:Renewablesandenergytransition(AY,AZRE,BLDP,Bayotech,BLNK,BE,ENPH,FSLR,HASI,NEP,SOL,RenewPower,SEDG,NOVA,SPWR,RUN,VoltaCharging).Utilities(AES,AGR,BKH,CMS,ED,DTE,DUK,ES,NEE,NI,NWE,PEG,SO).Pleaseseeourconferencewebsitefordetailedlistofparticipatingcompaniesacrossothersub-sectors,latestagenda,andregistrationdetails.PleasereachouttoyourCSrepresentativeorusforanyquestionsregardingtheevent.
Utilities–beyondthestorm,Q1earningsseasongenerallyresultedinhigherlossesforelectricandgasmarketers(e.g.,VST,EXC)thanoriginallyanticipated,whilegasmidstreamassetstendedtocomeoutahead(e.g.,SR).Inthewakeofthestorm,weintendtouseourconferencetosurveyattendeesonthestorm’simpactoninvestmentopportunitiesforgridmodernizationandgastransmissionandstorageupgrades.Wealsoseethisasagoodtimetodiscussopportunitiesthatarisefromincreasedfederalsupportforrenewables,storage,andevennuclearpowerintheforthcomingstimulusbilllaterthissummer.Willmanagementteamsandstateregulatorsreinvestfederalfundsincapitalinvestmentortaketheopportunitytoreducecustomerbillgrowth,particularlywiththeprospectofhighertaxrates?Additionaltopicsofgeneralinterestacrosstheindustryinclude:(1)DoyouexpectRNGandrenewablefuelblendingtoincreasethisyear?(2)Doyouexpectchangestoratebaseacrossthesectorin2Hor2022?(3)Doestheprospectofinflationconcernyou?(4)Howwouldahighertaxrateand/orextendedrenewabletaxcreditsaffectthecompany’scashflows,creditratings,deferredtaxstatus,andinvestmentgrowthpotential,particularlyforinvestmentinrenewables?
Renewables–timingsupplyconstraintsandBidenpolicies:Q1earningsfocusedonsupplychainchallenges,delays/highercostsduetologisticsconstraints,semiconductorshortagesimpactinginvertersupplies,inlineorstrongdemandguidanceformostdevelopers,andrisingcommoditycostsforsolarmoduleandtrackermanufacturers.Weexpectinvestorstoprimarilyfocusonadditionalcoloronthesupplychainpressurebeyondthenext2-3quarters,visibilityonskilledlaboravailability,expectationsontimingforthenextUSinfrastructurebill,visibilityforrenewableelectricityandrenewablefuels,California’snetmeteringrulesforresidentialsolar,andmanufacturingexpansionplanstosupportgrowingdemand.Expecttoalsofocusoncatalystsafterrenewablesector’sunderperformanceYTD,asmostofthestocksdonotembedanyupsidefromtaxcreditextensions.Conferencesurveyques:(1)Areyouconcernedabouttheriseinrenewableequipmentcostsin2Hvs1H(2)Areyouconcernedaboutrisingcostofdebt?(3)Whendoexpectthecongresstopasstheinfrastructurebill?(4)Howwouldahighertaxrateimpactcashflows?
ResearchAnalysts
MichaelWeinstein,ERP
2123250897
w.weinstein@
MaheepMandloi
2123252345
maheep.mandloi@
AndresSheppard
2123252306
andres.sheppard@
DISCLOSUREAPPENDIXATTHEBACKOFTHISREPORTCONTAINSIMPORTANTDISCLOSURES,ANALYSTCERTIFICATIONS,LEGALENTITYDISCLOSUREANDTHESTATUSOFNON-USANALYSTS.USDisclosure:CreditSuissedoesandseekstodobusinesswithcompaniescoveredinitsresearchreports.Asaresult,investorsshouldbeawarethattheFirmmayhaveaconflictofinterestthatcouldaffecttheobjectivityofthisreport.Investorsshouldconsiderthisreportasonlyasinglefactorinmakingtheirinvestmentdecision.
CreditSuisse–2021Renewables&UtilitiesFiresideAgenda
Figure1:CS2021Renewables&UtilitiesFiresideChats–Day1–May13,2021
Source:Companydata,CreditSuisseestimates
Figure2:CS2021Renewables&UtilitiesFiresideMeetingSchedule:FRIDAY,May14,2021
Source:Companydata,CreditSuisseestimates
11May2021
TableofContents
CreditSuisse–2021Renewables&UtilitiesFiresideAgenda
2
AtlanticaSustainableInfrastructurePlc(AY)–NotCovered
7
Avangrid,Inc.(AGR)–NotCovered
8
AzurePowerGlobalLtd(AZRE)–Outperform,TP$37
9
BallardPowerSystems,Inc.(BLDP)–NotCovered
10
Bayotech–Private
11
BlackHillsCorporation(BKH)–Outperform,TP$78
12
BlinkChargingCo.(BLNK)–NotCovered
14
BloomEnergy(BE)–Outperform,TP$35
15
CMSEnergy(CMS)–Outperform,TP$70
16
ConsolidatedEdison,Inc.(ED)–Underperform,TP$74
18
DTEEnergy(DTE)–Neutral,TP$133
19
DukeEnergy(DUK)–Neutral,TP$104
20
EnphaseEnergy(ENPH)–Neutral,TP$177
21
EversourceEnergy(ES)–Underperform,TP$85
22
FirstSolarInc.(FSLR)–Neutral,TP$73
23
HannonArmstrongSustainableInfrastructureCapitalInc.(HASI)–NotCovered
24
NextEraEnergyInc.(NEE)–Outperform,TP$85;NextEraEnergyPartners–Outperform,TP$8725
NiSourceInc.(NI)–Outperform,TP$29
27
NorthWesternCorporation(NWE)–Neutral,TP$67
28
PublicServiceEnterpriseGroup(PEG)–NotCovered
30
ReneSolaLtd.(SOL)–NotCovered
31
ReNewPower–Private
32
SolarEdgeTechnologies,Inc.(SEDG)–Neutral,TP$322
33
SouthernCompany(SO)–Outperform,TP$74
34
SunnovaEnergyInternationalInc.(NOVA)–Outperform,TP$56
36
ElectricUtilities&Renewables
4
11May2021
SunPowerCorp.(SPWR)–Underperform,TP$22
37
SunrunInc.(RUN),Outperform,TP$82
38
VoltaCharging–Private
39
ElectricUtilities&Renewables
5
11May2021
RecentCompanyNotes
AZRE:4/6RooftopSale
BE:5/6Q1Beat,NewPartnershipsandNewFacilities
BKH:5/6GrowthPlansonTrackaftertheStorm
CMS:4/30GreenPlansRemaininFocus
ED:4/301Q21EarningsPreview
DTE:4/28MidstreamSpinonTrack,andSoistheRest
DUK:4/141Q21EarningsPreview
ENPH:4/28Q1Beat,butComponentShortagesandhigherOpexinQ2
ES:4/201Q21EarningsPreview
FSLR:4/30PlanningforCapacityExpansionandNextGenModules
NEE:4/22RenewableBacklogGrows;ReiterateOutperform
NEP:4/22OrganicGrowthontheMenu;1Q21EarningsReview
NI:5/6RenewableBuildoutPushesForward
NWE:4/23PlansforMontanaGenerationAdvance
SEDG:5/4Q1Beat,NoSupplyShortagesbutLogisticsExpensive
SO:4/30NuclearDelayswereExpected,withGrowthPlanonTrack
NOVA:4/30StrongQ1,NoComponentShortages
SPWR:5/6BenefitingfromExclusiveSolarSupplyChain
RUN:5/6ResidentialSolarServesupaBeatandaRaise
RecentSectorNotes
4/26AlternativeEnergy:KeytopicsforQ1-SupplyshortagesandaBidenPlan
4/5HydrogenEconomy:Part4:APrimerontheAmericasValueChain4/27DirectCurrents-RisingRenewablePPAs
ElectricUtilities&Renewables
6
11May2021
AtlanticaSustainableInfrastructurePlc(AY)
–NotCovered
SantiagoSeage,CEO;FranciscoMartinez-Davis,CFO;LeirePerez,Dir.IR;MariaHervas,IR
Canyoutalkaboutwheredoyouseethebestinvestmentopportunitiestoday?EspeciallyasweseerenewablevaluationscomedownfromtheirpeaksinFebruary.
Withregardstotherecentacquisitions,canyoutalktowhatEBITDAmultiplesorIRRsdo
theyembed?Doesthewindportfolioacquisitionembedanyrepoweringassumptions?
Youhavereachedyourtargetequitygrowthinvestmentof$200-300M/yr.DoyouexpectanyfurtherM&Aorinvestmentplansfor2021?
Doyouseeanyorganicgrowthopportunitiesbeyondthird-partyacquisition?
Asyouthinkaboutthefuturepipeline,whichmarketsprovidethemostopportunity?
WithratesrisingintheUSandglobally,canyouremindushowmuchofyoudebtisatfixedrates?Doyouseemoreopportunitiestorecyclecapitalbyrefinancingexistingprojectdebt?
GiventhetaxcreditextensionintheUSandfallingequipmentcostsglobally,doyouexpectanyorganicrepoweringopportunityforwindorsolarassets?
Canyoutalkaboutyourbatterystorageplan?Whenwouldyouseeopportunityinaddingbatteriestoyourexistingsites?
Doyouexpecttoinvestindistributedsolar?EspeciallyasresidentialandcommercialsolarisgrowingatfastpaceinSpainandtheUS,bothyourcoremarkets.
Howmuchwouldyoupayforaresidentialassetvsutilityscalerenewableasset?
Howdoyouthinkaboutvalueoftherenewableassetsbeyondthecontractedlife?
Onthepolicyfront,whatdoyouexpectforrenewableprojectsintheUS,Spain,orotherregions?
ElectricUtilities&Renewables
7
11May2021
Avangrid,Inc.(AGR)–NotCovered
DennisArriola,CEO
Onapotentialhighertaxrateandinflation
Howwouldahighertaxrateand/orextendedrenewabletaxcreditsaffectthecompany’scashflows,creditratings,deferredtaxstatus,andinvestmentgrowthpotential,particularlyforinvestmentinrenewables?
ArePresidentBiden'spolicyproposalsandspendingplansforrenewableenergy,batteries,nuclear,andrenewablenaturalgasadequatetohelpalleviatecustomercoststoachieveyourgoalsontime?
Doestheprospectofinflationconcernyou?
Howcanthisbemitigatedifinflationprovestobeamorepersistentproblembeyondthecurrentperiodofpandemiceconomicrecovery?
Yourecentlyraised2021guidanceby$0.10to$2.25-$2.45
Whatassumptionsareembeddedinthisguidance?
Whatconditionsdrivethehighvs.lowendofyourtargetedlong-termratebaseandEPSgrowthranges?
OffshoreWind
OffshoreWind:WhatisthelatestonyourVineyardWind(800MW)andParkCityWind(800MW),andKittyHawkprojects?
OffshoreWind:Howmuchhasbeencurrentlyinstalledorisunderconstruction,andhowmuchisonthepipeline?
WithCODsplannedforVineyardWindandParkcityin2024and2025respectively,doyouanticipateanydelayswithBOEM?
NewManagement
WhatshouldinvestorsexpectfromtheappointmentofCatherineStempienasthenewPresidentandCEOofAvangridNetworks?
PNMMerger
Areyoustillon-tracktoclosetransactionin2H21?
Whatarethenextsteps?
Whatcaninvestorsexpectgoingforwardintermsofbusinessperformance?
Other
Canyouexpandonyoureffortsrelatedtodecarbonization,inparticularasitrelatedtogreenhydrogenandtheuseofelectrolyzers?
HowcanIberdrola’sexperienceinEuropeleverageAvangrid’slongtermhydrogenstrategy?
O&M:WhatisyourstrategytomanageO&Mspendinginthenearandlongterm?
ElectricUtilities&Renewables
8
11May2021
AzurePowerGlobalLtd(AZRE)–Outperform,TP$37
RanjitGupta,CEO;PawanAgrawal,CFO;NathanJudge,IR
Whatisthestatusofthe4GWauctionwinwithSECI?DoestherecentlockdownsinIndiaextendthenegotiationtimeline?
WherearethelatestPPAsinthemarkettoday?Areyoustillseeingmorecompetitionfornewprojects?
Canyoutalkaboutgrowthcapitalsourcesandtimingforthisyearornext?Howmuchcapitalraiseorrecyclingdoyouenvision?
Istherisingspotmodulepriceimpactingyou?Howmuchof2021installationsareyettobeimported?
CanyoutalkabouttheimpactofnewtechnologiessuchasBifacial,stringinvertersandtrackersonsolarplantpriceandperformance?
CanyoutalkaboutyourrelationshipwithmajorityholderCDPQ,andhavetheyindicatedanyinterestinacquiringassetsorhelpwithgrowthcapital?
Thinkingaboutthelong-term,canyoutalkaboutgrowthplansfor2025andbeyond,andpotentialfundingneedsandsources?
Highlevel,howshouldwethinkaboutwhatdifferentiatesAZREvsothers,andhowmuchmarketsharedoyouexpectinfutureauctions?
CanyoutalkaboutyourexpertiseonthewindsideandwhatchangeswouldberequiredatAzurePowerasyouthinkaboutwindandbatterystorageprojectsinthefuture?
WhatinterestratesdoyouseeinthemarkettodayfromdomesticaswellasinternationallendersinIndia?Areyouseeinganyratepressuregivenglobalriseinrates?
Whoisyourpreferredlender?Domesticbanksorinternationalgreenbonds?
Canyoutouchuponpolicychangesforimports,specificallyforthebasiccustomduty(BCD),approvedlistofmodulemanufacturers(ALMM),andperformancelinkedincentive(PLI)formanufacturers.Whendoyouexpectthetariffchanges?
Howshouldwethinkofpotentialupsidetoprojectreturnsfromcostreductions,newsolarpaneltechnologies,refinancing,andothertechnologies?
ElectricUtilities&Renewables
9
11May2021
BallardPowerSystems,Inc.(BLDP)–NotCovered
PaulDobson,CFO;GuyMcAree,IR
Pipelinevisibility–giventhemultipleannouncementsacrossverticals,whendoyouexpectthosetoconvertintofirmorders?Canyoubrieflytalkaboutthedifferentoptionalityyousee?
ForPaul–Givenyourexperienceingasandelectricutilities,whatlearningsdoyouhaveforthehydrogenindustry?Neworders,
Costreduction.Whatisthecostofahydrogenfuelcellandelectrolyzertodayandwheredoyouseeittrendingthisdecade?Havethetimelineschangedsincethelastyear?
BidenpolicieshavebeenmostlyfocusedonEVsandEVcharging.WhatdoyouexpectfromBidenadministrationorcongressforfuelcellsandelectrolyzers?
Doyouseeanyimpactfromtherecenttrendsacrosssectorsinhighercommodityandshippingcosts?
WhatarethecapexneedstoexpandmanufacturingcapacityinCanadaandChinafrom2020to2025?Toachieve~7GWcapacityby2025vs~3.6GWin2020.
WhendoyouexpecttoturnEBITDAorcashflowpositive?
Whataretheneartermcatalystsacrossthemultipleverticals?Inroadtransportation,trains,ships,powergeneration,etc?
Whichcountryorstatelevelregulationsaremostlucrativeforthefuelcellorelectrolyzerindustries?
Canyoutalkaboutthemanufacturingcostsandperformancemetrics(yield,life)forthe
hydrogenpoweredfuelcells?Howareoftenarethefuelcellsservicedorreplaced?
HowdoesthePEMtechnologyworks?WhatdroveyourdecisiontoadoptPEMtechnologyincomparisontootherfuelcellandelectrolyzertechnologies?
Howdoyouthinkaboutpotentialcompetitionasmanyindustrialsandenergycompanieshaveacquiredtheirownfuelcelltechnologies.
ElectricUtilities&Renewables
10
11May2021
Bayotech–Private
MoVargas,President&CEO
CanyoutalkaboutBayotech’sproductsinthehydrogenmarket,andhowbigisthemarketopportunity?
HowisyourdistributedSMRtechnologydifferentfromtraditionalhydrogenproductiontechnology?Whatisthedeliveredcostofhydrogenandequipmentlife?
Lasttimewespokeyoutalkedaboutlaunchingthenewproductinthemarket.Howhasthecustomerresponsebeenandhowdoestheorderbooklook?
Howistheorderbacklogacrossapplications?Whoareyourmaincustomers?
Whatareyourthoughtsonelectrolyzertechnologytoproducehydrogen?Givenmanycompaniesarefocusedonit,doyouseeanycompetitivethreatoverthenextfewyears?
Giventhefocusondecarbonization,canyoutalkabouthowyourmodularSMRtechnologycanbeusedtoproduceblueorgreenhydrogen?Whatistheroleofrenewablenaturalgas(RNG)orrenewablefuels?
HowdoyouthinkaboutcompetitionfromGreenHydrogenfromelectrolyzers?CanyoutalkaboutBayotech’splanstowardsgreenhydrogenproductioninnearfuture?
Whileweseepolicyfocusshifttolongtermtransitiontogreenhydrogen,whatareyouhearingfromthecustomerstoday?Wheredoyouseethemostdemandforamongcarbonreductionorzero-carbonofferings?
Whatisthecostinvolvedinsettingupanon-sitehydrogengeneratorandthesubsequentmaintenancecosts?Whatpaybackarecustomerslookingfor?
Canyoutalkaboutyourmanufacturingstrategy,howmuchisinhousevsoutsourced,whatarepotentialcapitalneedsforyouinthisindustry?DoyouexpectanyincentivesfromfederalgovttohelpexpandmanufacturingintheUS?
Whatarethemainsourcesofrevenues?Isitequipmentsales,orleasing?Whatisthecostofservicingtheseequipmentthroughthelifeoftheasset?
Areyouseeinganyinterestfromgasutilities(orothernaturalgassuppliersupstream)
lookingtoexpandintohydrogenproduction?
DoeswatersourcingfortheSMRprocesspresentanyproblem?
ElectricUtilities&Renewables
11
11May2021
BlackHillsCorporation(BKH)–Outperform,TP$78
RichKinzley,CFO;JeromeNichols,DirectorIR;DaveSoderquist,IRanalyst
Yourecentlyreaffirmed2021guidanceof$3.80-$4.00vs.CS/cons$3.86/$3.89,whatgivesyouconfidencethisearlyintheyear?
Youalsoreaffirmed2022guidanceof$3.95-$4.15,in-linewithCS/cons$4.05/$4.06.Whatconditionsdrivethehighvs.lowendofyourtargetedlong-termratebaseandEPSgrowthranges?
EquityNeeds.Youcontinuetotarget2021equityissuanceof$100M-$120MthroughAt-the-Market(ATM)program.Canyougiveusanyinsightonthetiming?Isthismorelikelytobeexecutedmoreheavilyin2Qor3Q?
Furthermore,youaretargeting2022equityissuanceof$60Mto$80MinATMprogram.Canyougiveusanyinsightoftiminghere?
WinterStormUriImpact.Yourecentlystatedapretaximpactof($12.5M),ornet
($0.15)impacttoEPSfromURI(withthemajorityofthelossresultingfromunrecoverablefuelcostsfromEnergyServicescontractualarrangementswithcustomers),canyoudescribeexactlyhowyouexpecttofullyoffsetthe$0.15drag?
ColoradoGasratecaseupdate(requesteda$13.5Mrevenueincreasebasedon50%equityanda9.95%ROE)
Discussthehistoryofthecaseandtheprogressthathadbeenmadeonsettlementtalks.
Whywastheratecasedismissedon1/6/21?
Whatledtoarefiling?
Whatarethenextsteps?
OtherRegulatoryUpdates.CanyougiveusanupdateonKansasGasandIowaGas?
DoyoustillexpecttofileforratecasesinQ2?
IsanewArkansasfilingispossibletoo?
Capitalplan
Youleftyourcapitalplan(2021-2025)unchangedinQ1withanexpectationof$600M+annuallyfor$3B+through2025.Whatarethepotentialincrementalprojects?
Doyouexpectfurtherincreasestogasprogramcapexintheouteryearsofthefive-yearplanasyoucontinuetorollforward?
Istheplaninherentlyconservativeasitrampsdowntowardthebackend?
Onapotentialhighertaxrateandinflation
Howwouldahighertaxrateand/orextendedrenewabletaxcreditsaffectthecompany’scashflows,creditratings,deferredtaxstatus,andinvestmentgrowthpotential,particularlyforinvestmentinrenewables?
Manyholdingcompanieshavebeenconsideringorexecutingdivestmentofnon-utilityassetsthattheythinkareadragonvaluation.Doyouseeanyopportunitiesoneithersideofthistrade?
Whatistheappropriatetimeframefordecarbonizationfromyourviewgivencustomerbillimpactsalongtheway?
ElectricUtilities&Renewables
12
11May2021
ArePresidentBiden'spolicyproposalsandspendingplansforrenewableenergy,batteries,nuclear,andrenewablenaturalgasadequatetohelpalleviatecustomercoststoachieveyourgoalsontime?
Doestheprospectofinflationconcernyou?
Howcanthisbemitigatedifinflationprovestobeamorepersistentproblembeyondthecurrentperiodofpandemiceconomicrecovery?
ESG.Forelectricoperations,youexpecttoreducegreenhousegasemissionsintensity40%by2030and70%by2040.Atthegasutilities,youexpecttoreducegreenhousegasemissions50%by2035(basedoff2005baselinelevels).Areyouontracktomeetthesegoals?
Whatisthemosteffectivewaytoachievenetzerocarbonemissionsovertime?
Howdoesthecompany’stargetforgreenhousegasemissionreductiontargetdrivelong-terminvestmentopportunitiesandgrowth?
Doyoustillexpectgenerationinvestmentstosavecustomers~$4B>30yearsandreduceGHG90%by2030?
Howcanthegasutilitiesprepareforamoreelectrified,hydrogen-focusedfuture?
ElectricUtilities&Renewables
13
11May2021
BlinkChargingCo.(BLNK)–NotCovered
MichaelFarkas,CEO;MichaelRama,CFO
Highlevel,wheredoyouseemostofthedemandforelectriccharging,especiallysincemajorityofhouseswillhavetheirownin-houseelectricchargers?
Bidenadministrationaimstoincreasethe#ofEVchargingstationsby5xto500,000chargers.Wheredoyouexpectmostofthechargerstobeinstalled?
HowdoyoudifferentiateBlinkvsotherEVchargingplatforms?
Howshouldwethinkaboutyourgrowth?Whatarethebestmetricstomeasuregrowthforyourplatform?Whichcountrieswilldrivegrowthinthecomingyears?
Willgrowthbeorganic,ordoyouexpectconsolidationinthespace?
CanyoutalkaboutBlink’smonetizationmodel?Whatistheavgperiodofexclusivityatsites?
WhatistheaveragecostofaLevel2orDCfastchargerandwhatistheaveragepaybackorIRRthresholds?
Whatisthesiteselectionprocess?
WeseemultiplechargingstandardsevolveintheUSandEurope.Howdoyouplantoaddressinteroperabilitytoexpandnetwork?
Howdoesthemixbetweenretailandfleetcustomersevolveforyou?
DoyouseepotentialcompetitionfromotherautoOEMsandenergymajors?Especiallyexistinggasstations?
CantalkaboutyouragreementwithGMtoprovideseamlesschargingfortheirUltiumCharge360platform?Whataretheeconomicsandhowdoesitimpactprofitability?HowdoyoudifferentiateBlink’sofferingvsotherEVnetworksontheUltiumplatform?
Whomdoyouprocurethecharging/mediaequipmentfrom?
Dotherecentsupplychainissuesimpactstationrollout?Eitherduetosemiconductorshortagesimpactinginverter/chargingequipmentorportcongestionsdrivingupimportcost?
IsEVchargerinstallationstandardizedordoyouseeanypotentialsavingsonthatfront?
ElectricUtilities&Renewables
14
11May2021
BloomEnergy(BE)–Outperform,TP$35
GregoryCameron,CFO&EVP
CanyouelaborateonyournewcollaborationwithbakerHughestojointlydeployfuelcellsalongwithgasturbinesformicro-gridandoff-gridapplications?
Howareyouprogressingonyourdifferenttechnologyplatform(Hydrogen,Biogas,Marine,CarbonCapture)?
Canyoutalkaboutthehydrogenlandscape?HowbigistheopportunityandwherecanBloom’ssolidoxidetechnologyshinevsothertechnologies?
CanSolidoxidefuelcells(orelectrolyzers)operatewithvariableload(orrenewables)?
Canyoutalkaboutgrowthplansatcurrentbusinessfornaturalgasbasedfuelcells?HowshouldwethinkaboutshipmentandEBITDAgrowthforthebusinessincomingyears?
CanyoutalktothelevelofcustomerengagementyouareseeinginTexasaftertherecentweatherevent?AreBloom’sfuelcellscompetitiveinTexas?
HowshouldwethinkaboutcostreductionswithGen5nowandwithGen7.5launchthisyear?Bothforthefuelcells,aswellaselectrolyzers?
Whencanweexpectnewsupplycontractsforhydrogenfuelcellsandelectrolyzers?Areyouorpotentialcustomersawaitinganyspecificmilestonesinproducttestingorcapacityexpansion?
Canyoutouchuponservicebusinessprofitability?Whatisdrivingtheimprovementtopositivemarginthisyearand20%by2025?Whatcouldacceleratethe20%milestone?
InQ12021,youstatedthatbacklogisgrowingsupportedbyexpansionsinmultiplestates,canyoupleasequantifyitforthequarter.Whatdevelopmentssoyouseesofarandwhatareyourexpectationsforbacklogandgrowthin2021?
Whatisthecostofasystemtoday?WhatshouldweexpectforGen7.5deploymentthisyearand2022?
WhatisthestatusofexpandingJVsinnewgeographies?WhichregionswouldyouprioritizebeyondtheUSandSouthKorea?
CanyoucommentontheelectricitycostwithGen7.5andthetimingofthecoststructure?AndcanyoutalkaboutelectricitycosttodaywithlatestGen5.0,andwhatdrivesthecostreductionincomingyears?
Whatisthemixofinternationalsalesinbacklog?AndhowshouldwethinkofmixofUSvsinternationalbookingsorsalesincomingquarters?
Whendoyouexpectcashflowprofitabilityfornewinstallations?
PolicyexpectationsfromBidenadministration?
ElectricUtilities&Renewables
15
11May2021
CMSEnergy(CMS)–Outperform,TP$70
GarrickRochow,President&CEO;SrikanthMaddipati,VPTreasurer&IROnapotentialhighertaxrateandinflation
Howwouldahighertaxrateand/orextendedrenewabletaxcreditsaffectthecompany’scashflows,creditratings,deferredtaxstatus,andinvestmentgrowthpotential,particularlyforinvestmentinrenewables?
Manyholdingcompanieshavebeenconsideringorexecutingdivestmentofnon-utilityassetsthattheythinkareadragonvaluation.Doyouseeanyopportunitiesoneithersideofthistrade?
Whatistheappropriatetimeframefromyourviewgivencustomerbillimpactsalongtheway?
ArePresidentBiden'spolicyproposalsandspendingplansforrenewableenergy,batteries,nuclear,andrenewablenaturalgasadequatetohelpalleviatecustomercoststoachieveyourgoalsontime?
Doestheprospectofinflationconcernyou?
Howcanthisbemitigatedifinflationprovestobeamorepersistentproblembeyondthecurrentperiodofpandemiceconomicrecovery?
2021GuidanceReaffirmedat$2.83-$2.87,inlinevs.CS/cons$2.85/$2.85,whatgivesyouconfidencethisearlyintheyear?
Whatassumptionsareembeddedinthisguidance?
Whatconditionsdrivethehighvs.lowendofyourtargetedlong-termratebaseandEPSgrowthranges?
CostSavings.Yourecentlyreaffirmedanexpectationofachievingatleast$200Minfutureplantretirementcostsavings(excludingincrementalO&Msavings)through2031,whichincludes$90MfromPalisadesin2022,$30MforKarn1&2coalunitretirementsin2023,$50MforMCVcontractchangein2025,and$60MforretiringtheCampbellcoalunitin2031+.
Canyougiveusaquarterlybreakdownofthecostsavingsandalittlemoreinsightonhowyouexpecttoachievethis?
Whatconditionsdrivethehighvs.lowendofyourtargetedlong-termratebaseandEPSgrowthranges?
IntegratedResourcePlan(IRP)
DoyoustillexpecttofileanewelectricratecaseinQ22021?
ThoughtsonwhatthenextIRPfilingcouldlooklike:furtheraccelerationofcoalretirements,integrationofrenewables,storage?
EquityNeedsUnchanged.CMScontinuestoexpecttoissue$250Mofequityin2021andupto$250peryearinthecompany’slong-termplan.Canyougiveusabitmoresenseontiming?
CapitalPlan(2021-2025)reaffirmed~$13.2B
Howdoyouexpecttofundthisplan?
Thecompany’s10-yearcapitalplancontinuestostandat$2
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