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InternationalFinance
SchoolofEnglishStudies,
TianjinForeignStudiesUniversity
TheScoreArrangementTotalScore=Ordinary(30%)+FinalExam(70%)IntroductionTo“Finance”FromNational,Corporate,AndPersonalProspectsBank(lender)Publicinvestorsacompany(borrower)capitalprincipalwithinterestsA.Financev.Providecapital(money)andcapitalmovement,withfinancialinstitutionsasintermediaries,inChinesemeans“融資”.a)indirectfinance,withcommercialbanksasintermediaries:AcompanyBorrowsshort-termfundsfromcommercialbanks.Anditisatemporarytransferofownershipoffundsfromthebanktotheborrower,andtheborrowerpromisestopaybackprincipalwithintereststothebankinthefuture.Acompanymayborrowlong-termfundsbyissuinglong-termcorporatebondstothepublic.Itisatemporarytransferofownershipoffundsfromthebondbuyers(investors)tothecompany.Andthecompanypromisestopaybacktheprincipalwithintereststothebondbuyersinthefuture.Here,commercialorinvestmentbanksplaytheroleoffinancialintermediationandcollectfeesforthisservices,insteadofinterests.investors(lender)acompany(borrower)dividendsb)directfinance,withinvestmentbanksasintermediaries:providingfundsthrubuyingshares
AcompanyAcquireslong-termfundsbyissuingstockstothepublic.Andtheinvestorsbecometheshareholders(owners)ofthecompany.Theshareholdershavethevotingpowersandmakedecisionsonsomeimportantissuesofthecompany.Andthecompanywillgivethedividendstotheshareholdersinthefutureifmakingprofits.B.Finance(fromnationalperspective)n.inChinesemeans“國家財政”.
Hence,governmentsusuallyusetwomethodstocoverfiscaldeficits.Oneisraisetaxrate(itmaycausedissatisfactionfromthepublicdirectly),anotheristoissuetreasurybondstocoverdeficits(itmeansthegovernmentwillborrowmoneyfromthepublicandguaranteetorepayprincipalwithintereststothepublicinthefuture).Governmentsobtainrevenuesfromcollectingtaxesandusetheserevenuesforpublicexpenditures,suchassocialwelfare,militaryexpenditures,education,environmentalprotection,andsoon.If,revenues>expendituresfiscalsurplusesIf,revenues<expendituresfiscaldeficitsC.Finance(fromcorporateperspective),inChinesemeans“公司財務”.Foracompany,itsassetsarecomposedofequity(所有者權(quán)益/自有資金)andliabilities(負債).
Assets=Equity+Liabilities
borrowmoneyfrombankorissuecorporatebondstopublicNote:Borrowingfrombankisshort-termdebtfinance,whileissuingcorporatebondsislong-termdebtfinance.
yourownmoneyorissuestocktopublictoraisecapitalD.Finance(frompersonalperspective)ismoneymanagement,inChinesemeans“個人金融(理財)”.
It’sabouthowtoallocateyourpersonalincomesforconsumptionandinvestments,suchassavings,buyingfinancialproducts(T/B,housing,stocks,insurance,futures,mutualfunds,foreignexchanges,andsoon)fromfinancialinstitutionstoearnmoremoney,butthereisariskforanyinvestment.RiskReturne.g.buystocks
RiskReturne.g.buyT-bondsReferenceBooksForLearningFinance&Economics:1、《金融學》,曹龍騏等,高等教育出版社。
2、《金融市場學》,張亦春、鄭振龍等,高等教育出版社。
3、《國際金融學》,姜波克,高等教育出版社。
4、《貨幣金融學》,殷孟波,中國金融出版社。
5、《宏、微觀經(jīng)濟學》,Paul.Samulson
&
William.Nordhaus,
機械工業(yè)出版社。
6、《經(jīng)濟學原理》,GregoryMankiw,機械工業(yè)出版社。
7、《中央銀行英語教程》、《商業(yè)銀行英語教程》、
《證券市場與投資銀行英語教程》,李若谷、張燕鈴、和廣北等,新華出版社。
8、《金融市場與機構(gòu)》,JeffMadura,
北京大學出版社。RecommendedMediaforLearning
Finance&Economicswww.FT.comwww.Ewww.WSJ.comwww.Bwww.F《21世紀經(jīng)濟報導》(報紙)《經(jīng)濟觀察家報》(報紙)《財經(jīng)》(雜志)中央電視臺經(jīng)濟頻道《經(jīng)濟半小時》節(jié)目中央電視臺經(jīng)濟頻道《中國財經(jīng)報道》節(jié)目Biz-China,EnglishChannel,CCTV-9Unit1.MoneyI.MoneyA.Definitionofmoneyandreviewofmoney’shistory.a)Moneyisdefinedasanythingthatisgenerallyacceptableinpaymentforgoodsandservices,orindischargeofdebts.b)Inthepast,manythingshaveservedtheirturnasmoney,suchasdecorativeshells,beads,stoneaxes,bronze,goldandsilver.c)Nowadays,forourdailypointofview,moneyreferstonotes,coins,checks,travelingchecksanddeposits.d)Thedifferencebetweencurrencyandmoney:Currencyreferstonotesandcoins,whilemoneycoversmorethancurrency,suchaschecks,travelingchecksanddeposits.B.Reasonsforusingmoney:a)Theuseofmoneyenricheseconomiclifebybroadeningthescopeofexchange,productionandconsumption.Itbroadensthescopeofexchangebyeliminatingtheneedfora“doublecoincidenceofwants”necessityinbartertrade.b)Itamplifiestherangeofgoodsandservicespeoplecanproducebymakingpossibleawiderspecializationanddivisionoflabor.c)Moneyaddsflexibilitytoeconomicconsumption.Itenableseachconsumertodistributehisspendingashewishes(Hecanchoosetospendallhisincomesimmediatelyorchoosetoexercisetheoptionoftransferringsomehisconsumptiontofuturewhenhemayenjoyitmore.)II.FunctionsofMoneyA.MediumofExchange(流通手段)—basicfunctionB.StandardofValue(價值尺度)—
basicfunctionC.StoreofValue(價值儲藏)D.StandardofDeferredPayment(延期支付標準)F.WorldCurrency(世界貨幣)
Duetothedevelopmentofinternationaltrade,somecurrencieshavecrossedborderandplayedtheroleofworldcurrency,suchasUSdollars,Euro,JapaneseYen,andBritishpounds.III.MoneySupplyA.Theavailablequantityofmoneyatamomentiscalledthemoneysupply.(是指貨幣存量,是一個國家或一個地區(qū)在某一時點上的現(xiàn)金存量和銀行存款的總和,其中銀行存款占的比例較大。)B.Basedontheliquidityoffinancialassets(liquidityoffinancialassets指存款和信用工具轉(zhuǎn)化為現(xiàn)金的速度和成本),thecentralbankcomputes3seriesofmoneysupply:i)Internationalexplanationofmoneysupply:
M1=C+DdM2=C+Dd+DtM3=C+Dd+Dt+Dn(Non-bankingfinancialinstitutions)ii)Chineseexplanationofmoneysupply:M0=CashM1=Cash+Dd
M2=M1+Quasi-Money(includingDt+marginsofsecuritiesfirms+otherdeposits)C.Broadly-definedmoney(廣義貨幣)&narrowly-definedmoney(狹義貨幣)
M1constitutesanarrowly-definedmoneysupply,whileM2andM3arebroadly-definedmoneysupply.D.KnowingMoneysupplyisthebasisforlearningmonetarypolicy(貨幣政策).
Monetarypolicy:i)Whenthecentralbankincreasesmoneysupply,moremoneyispumpedintotheeconomicsystemanditpromotestheeconomicgrowthandmaycauseinflation(andthenincreaseinterestratetocurbinflation);ii)Whenthecentralbankdecreasesmoneysupply,lessmoneyisintheeconomicsystemanditslowsdowntheeconomicgrowthandmaycausedeflation(andthenlowerinterestratetostimulatetheeconomy).Unit2.BalanceofPaymentsI.DefinitionofBalanceofPaymentsBalanceofPayments(BOP)referstoasystemofgovernmentaccountsthatrecordsandcatalogsacountry’sexportsandimportsaswellastheflowofcapitalandgiftsbetweentheresidentsofthecountryandresidentsofothercountriesduringaspecifictimeinterval.II.TwoPrinciplesofBOPNaturalPersonA.ResidentsLegalPerson(Enterprises&PublicAgencies)e.g.ForanMNC,suchasGeneralMotor(GM)forChina’sBOP:ParentinAmericaSubsidiaryinChinaso,foreignresidentregardedasChina’sresidentsNote:“Hence,salesbyaparentfirmtoaforeignsubsidiaryresultinbalanceofpaymentsentries,eventhoughthetransactiontakesplacewithinasinglecorporation.”B.Double-EntrySystem(復式記帳法)Eachtransactiongivesrisetobothacreditentry(貸記)
anddebitentry(借記)ofBOPindifferentcountries.CreditDebit
Inflowofcapital+-Outflowofcapitali)AlltransactionsinvolvingpaymentsfromforeignerstoacountryareenteredinBOP“receipts”columnwithaplussignal(+)toreflectthattheyarecredits,whichresultsininflowoffundstothecountry.ii)Allpaymentstoforeignersareenteredinthe“payments”columnwithaminussignal(-)toreflectthattheyaredebitsbecausetheyresultinoutflowsoffundstoothercountries.III.ImportantSectionsofBOPA.CurrentAccount(經(jīng)常項目帳戶)i)Merchandise-Imports&Exportstangiblegoods(有形商品)ii)Services(服務)-intangiblegoods(無形商品)
transportation運輸
tourism旅游
insurance保險
communication通訊
e.g.costCIFinsuranceBasedontherequirementsofBOP,thesetwopartsareputinto“Services”.freightiii)
UnilateralTransfer(單方面轉(zhuǎn)移、無償轉(zhuǎn)移)
Governmentaids得到“+”,支出“-”Remittancefromrepatriation匯入“+”,匯出“-”NetCurrentAccountBalanceNote:經(jīng)常項目差額(主動獲得外匯的多少),如果此項為正,國家處于主動地位;如果此項為負,國家需要用其他項目彌補,處境較被動。B.CapitalAccount(資本帳戶)i)DirectInvestment(直接投資/利潤)Long-termCapital(長期資本)
ii)PortfolioInvestment(證券投資/股息、紅利)iii)Short-termCapital(短期資本)NetCapitalAccountBalanceC.OfficialReserveAccount(官方貯備帳戶)i)Goldii)ForeignExchangeiii)SDRs(特別提款權(quán))
(PositioninIMF-在IMF的貯備頭寸)NetOfficialReserve(Note:SpecialDrawingRights(SDRs)areissuedtogovernmentsbyinternationalmonetaryfunds(IMF)tosettleinternationaldebtsandhavereplacedgoldininternationalfinancialtransaction.)gold25%SDRsforeignexchangedomesticcurrency75%
SDRs相當于股份公司,每個國家購買一定的份額(Share),此財產(chǎn)屬于基金組織財產(chǎn),存于本國中央銀行,待IMF需要時動用?,F(xiàn)在,美國占有份額的17.47%,居首位,中國占有份額的2.99%,居第八位。
經(jīng)常項目順差+資本與金融項目順差官方儲備增加(中國情況)經(jīng)常項目順差>資本與金融項目逆差官方儲備增加
經(jīng)常項目逆差<資本與金融項目順差官方儲備增加(美國情況)經(jīng)常項目逆差+資本與金融項目逆差官方儲備減少
經(jīng)常項目逆差>資本與金融項目順差官方儲備減少
經(jīng)常項目順差<資本與金融項目逆差官方儲備減少D.ErrorsandOmissions(凈錯誤和遺漏)Theestablishmentofthisaccountistofillthegaponthebookkeepingartificially.Theoretically,CurrentAccount+CapitalAccount=OfficialReservesPractically,CurrentAccount+CapitalAccount=OfficialReserves(Duetoincompletefiguresandsmuggling.)F.ComparativeAnalysisMethodsa)HorizontalAnalysis:CompareBOPwithothercountries’BOPs.b)VerticalAnalysis:CompareBOPwithyourownBOPsBefore.IV.AnalysisImplications(EquilibriumofBOP)A.ImplicationsoffavorableBOP&unfavorableBOPa)Itreferstotradeequilibrium,whichmeansthatexportsequalimports.Ifexportsexceedimports,tradesurpluswillappear.Andifexportsarelessthanimports,tradedeficitswillappear.b)Thesecondimplicationiscurrentaccount’sequilibrium.Iftradeitemrunsadeficit,theinvisibletradeitemcanmakeitup,andifitcannot,capitalaccountwillbeusedtocoverdeficits.c)Finally,ifitstillnot,thegovernmentshavetodrawontheirforeignreservesassets,whichshouldbeuseasthelastresorttocoverdeficits.
B.ImplicationsforManagersa)Acountryexperiencingseriousbalanceofpaymentsdeficitsisnotlikelytoimportasmuchasitwouldifitwererunningasurplus.b)Continuingdeficitsinacountry’sBOPmaysignalfuturecontrolsontheoutflowcapitalmovements.c)Acontinuingsurplusinacountry’sBOPmayindicateastronginternationalcompetitiveposition.
Unit3BasicTheoriesofBOP
(HowaretheimbalancesofBOPadjustedwhentheyoccurinacountry?)
I.TheElasticityApproach
(彈性論)A.PriceElasticityinEconomicsi)pricequantitydemandeddemandiselasticquantitydemandedpricequantitydemandeddemandisinelastic(littlechange)ii)pricequantitysuppliedsupplyiselasticquantitysuppliedpricequantitysuppliedsupplyisinelastic(littlechange)Note:“Whendemandorsupplyiselastic,itmeansthatquantitydemandedorsuppliedwillberelativelyresponsivetothechangeinprice.”“Aninelasticdemandorsupplyindicatesthatquantityisrelativelyunresponsivetopricechanges.”B.Whenadevaluation(pricedecreasing)occursinacountry,exportsarestimulatedbecausethepriceofitsgoodsinforeigncurrencieshasbeenreduced,andimportsareretardedbecausethedomesticcostofimportedgoodshasrisen.So,theimbalanceoftradehavebeenimproved.Butitdependsonthesizeofdevaluationandthepriceelasticityofdemand.Note:thesizeofdevaluationmeanshowmuchthepricegoesdownandtheelasticityofdemandincludestwoaspects:1)foreigndemandfordomesticgoodswhenthepricechanges(specifically,thedevaluationoccurs);2)domesticdemandforforeigngoodswhenthepricechanges(specifically,thedevaluationoccurs).i)Foracountry,devaluationofthecurrenciesexportstotalpaymentsofBOPtradedeficitsimports
(littlechangeduetoinelasticdemand)
Theexportsincreasefromdevaluation(althoughthepricegoesdown,foreigndemandfordomesticgoodsincrease)isnotsomuchasimports(becauseimportsareinelasticinshortterm),so,totalpaymentsincreaseandtradebalancedeteriorates.Andinthelongrun,thereistimetolookforsubstitutesforhigherpricedgoods.thusforthelongrun,thedemandiselasticandthecountry’stradebalanceisimproved.(ThisistheJ-curveeffect.)
ii)Foracountry,thedevaluationofcurrenciesexportstotalpaymentstradesurplusesimports(decreasegreatlyduetopriceelasticity)Thedevaluationofdomesticcurrencycausemoreforeigndemandofdomesticgoodsandlessdomesticdemandforforeigngoods.a)Theincreaseofexportsandthedecreaseofimportscausedbydevaluationcouldimprovetradebalance;b)Ortheincreaseofexportsaremorethantheimports(althoughthereislittlechangeinimports),whichcouldalsoimprovetradebalance.
II.AbsorptionApproach
(吸收論)A.DefinitionofAbsorptionApproach
Itisatheoryofthebalanceoftradethatemphasizeshowdomesticspendingchangesrelativetodomesticoutput.Inthenationalincomeaccount,totaloutputsequaltotalexpenditures.Totaloutputornationalincome(Y)consistsoffourtypesofexpenditures:consumption(C),investment(I),governmentexpenditures(G),andnetexports(X-M).
So,Y=C+I+G+(X-M)HereXstandsforexportsandMstandsforimports.Y+M=C+I+G+X
(國民收入+進口=消費+投資+政府開支+出口)
totalsupplytotaldemand
(總供給)(總需求)X-M(出口-進口)=Y-(C+I+G)B=Y-A“herewedefinedomesticabsorption(A)beingequalto(C+I+G)”If,Y>AtradesurplusY<AtradedeficitsY=Aexportsequalimports,reachtradeequilibriumB.CharacteristicsofAbsorptionApproacha)吸收論是從總收入和總支出的相對關(guān)系來考察國際收支失衡的原因,而不是從相對價格關(guān)系出發(fā)。此外,吸收論是建立在凱恩斯的宏觀經(jīng)濟學基礎之上,采用一般均衡的分析方法,而非具體價格分析方法。b)就貨幣貶值的效應來講,吸收論是從貶值對國民收入和支出的相對影響中考察國際收支失衡的原因。
III.MonetaryApproach
(貨幣論)A.Thebasicpremiseofthistheoryisthatanybalanceofpaymentsdisequilibriumistheresultofamonetarydisequilibrium,thatis,differencesexistingbetweentheamountofmoneypeoplewishtoholdandtheamountsuppliedbythemonetaryauthorities.“Inverysimpleterm,theexcessdemandformoneywouldbesatisfiedbyinflowsofmoneyfromabroad,whileontheotherhand,theexcesssupplyofmoneyiseliminatedbyoutflowsofmoneytoothercountries.”ThusthemonetaryapproachemphasizesthedeterminantsofmoneydemandandmoneysupplyalsodeterminetheBOP.Now,weuseaformulatoexplainthat:Md(貨幣需求)=
f(y,r)(y-收入水平,r-利率)
incomeMdMd
interestrateMdMdMs(貨幣供給)=D+F=D+B(于額)
domesticsupplyforeignsupply(順差,流入)DuetoMd=Ms,Md=D+B(國際收支平衡)
B=Md(貨幣需求)-D(國內(nèi)貨幣供給)If,Md>DMoneycomesinTradesurplusesMd<DMoneygoesoutTradedeficitsMd=DImports=Exports,reachtradeequilibrium.B.Policy:GovernmentsshouldcontroldomesticmoneysupplyinordertobalanceBOP.a)所有國際收支不平衡,在本質(zhì)上都是貨幣造成的,因此國際收支不平衡都可以由國內(nèi)貨幣政策來解決。b)國內(nèi)貨幣政策主要指國內(nèi)貨幣供應政策,因此松的貨幣政策(loosemonetarypolicy/creditpolicy)可以減少國際收支順差;緊的貨幣政策(tightmonetarypolicy/creditpolicy)可以減少貨幣收支逆差。
Unit4.ForeignExchangeMarket
I.DefinitionsofForeignExchange&ForeignExchangeMarketA.Foreignexchangeisdefinedasthecurrencyofanothercountry.
E.g.ToaJapanese,u.s.dollarisforeignexchange,andtoanAmerican,JapaneseYenisforeignexchange.B.Theforeignexchangemarketisamarketforconvertingthecurrencyofonecountryintothatofanothercountry.Themajorparticipantsintheforeignexchangemarketarelargecommercialbanksthatoperateattwolevels-retailandinter-bank:a)attheretaillevel,theydealwithbankcustomerswhowanttobuyorsellforeignexchange;b)attheinter-banklevel,usuallythroughforeignexchangebrokers,theytradeinforeignexchangewithotherdomesticandforeignbanks,andbrokerswillreceivecommissionsfortheirservices.
II.TheFunctionsofForeignExchangeMarket
A.CurrencyConversionThepaymentsacompanyreceivesforitsexportsandincomeitreceivesfromforeigninvestmentsmaybeinforeigncurrencies.Tousethosefundsinitshomecountry,thecompanymustconvertthemtoitshomecountry’scurrency;Internationalbusinessesuseforeignexchangemarketswhentheymustpayaforeigncompanyforitsproductsorservicesinthatcountry’scurrency;Internationalbusinessesuseforeignexchangemarketswhentheyhavesparecashthattheywishtoinvestforshort-termsinmoneymarket.E.g.AUSfirmhas$10mandwantstoinvestitfor3months.TheinterestrateinUSis8%,whiletheinterestrateis12%inFrance.Hence,thecompanymaychangeits$10mintofrancsforinvestmentstoearnmoreinterestsofanother4%.A.CurrencyConversionCurrencyspeculation(short-termmovementsoffundsfromonecurrencytoanotheroneinthehopesofprofitingfromthefluctuationsinexchangerates)isanotheruseofforeignexchangemarkets.E.g.AUScompanyhas$10mtoinvestfor3months.SupposethecompanysuspectsthatUSdollarisovervaluedagainstfranc.Thatisthecompanyexpectsthevalueofthedollartodepreciateagainstfranc.Thecurrentdollar/francexchangerateis$1=FFr6,thecompanyexchangeits$10mintofrancsandreceiveFFr6om.In3months,$1=FFr5(dollardepreciateagainstfranc),thenthecompanyexchangeitsFFr60minto$12m.Thus,thecompanygetsprofits=$12m-$10m=$2m.B.InsuringAgainstForeignExchangeRiskThesecondfunctionoftheforeignexchangemarketistoprovideinsurancetoprotectagainstthepossibleadverseconsequencesofunpredictablechangeinexchangerates.Throughforwardandfuturecontracts(tofixfuturedeliveryexchangerate),theforeignexchangemarketprovidesameansofremovingtheforeignexchangerisk.
III.CharacteristicsofForeignExchangeMarketTheforeignexchangemarketisaglobalsinglemarketofbanks,brokers,andforeignexchangedealersinmanylocationsconnectedbyelectroniccommunicationsystems,suchastelephone,faxandcomputer.Theforeignexchangemarkethasbeengrowingatarapidpace,whichreflectsageneralgrowthinthevolumeofcross-bordertradeandinvestment.Theforeignexchangemarketneversleeps,anditprovides24-hourtrading,becauseofthedevelopmentofInternettechnology.Mostforeignexchangetransactionsinvolvedollars.Dealersmaytradeonecountry’scurrencyforanotherone’swiththedollarsasintermediary,becausethevolumeofinternationaltransactionsinvolvingdollarsisgreat.Itisnothardtofinddealerswhowishtotradedollarsforothercurrencies.EuroUSdollarsJapaneseYen
tradingcostisbigger
Unit5.ForeignExchangeRate
I.DefinitionofForeignExchangeRateForeignexchangeratesaresimplythepricesofforeigncurrenciesintermsofone’sown.
II.QuotationMethodsofExchangeRatesA.DirectQuotationMethodItreflectstheamountofhomecurrencythatisrequiredtobuytheforeigncurrency.AndChinausesDirectquotation.E.g.TakingRMBasthehomecurrency,$1=RMB8.3foreigncurrencyhomecurrencyB.IndirectQuotationMethodtheindirectquotationmethodisthereverse,thehomecurrencyisexpressedasaunitandthepriceisshownbythenumberofunitsofforeigncurrencythatarerequiredtopurchaseoneunitofhomecurrency.E.g.TakingRMBasthehomecurrency,RMB1=$0.1204homecurrencyforeigncurrencyC.Cross-ExchangeRates
Mostexchangeratequotationtablesexpresscurrenciesrelativetothedollar,however,insomeinstances,theexchangeratebetweentwonon-dollarcurrenciesisneeded.Thistypeofrateisknownasacross-exchangeratebecauseitreflectstheamountofoneforeigncurrencyperunitofanotherforeigncurrency.Formulaofcross-exchangerate:valueof1unitofcurrencyAinunitsofcurrencyB=valueofcurrencyAin$/valueofcurrencyBin$E.g.1Mexicanpeso=$0.071C$=$0.70valueofMexicanpesoinC$=$0.07/$0.70=C$0.10(Thatis1C$=10Mexicanpesos.)
II.TypesofExchangeRatesA.SpotExchangeRate(現(xiàn)匯匯率)Whentwopartiesagreetoexchangecurrencyandexecutethedealimmediately,thetransactionisreferredtoasaspotexchange.Exchangeratesgoverningsuch“onthespot”tradesarereferredtoasspotexchangerates.Thevalueofonecurrencyisdeterminedbytheinteractionbetweenthedemandandsupplyofthatcurrencyrelativetothedemandandsupplyofanothercurrency.B.ForwardExchangeRate(遠期匯率)Toavoidfluctuationofspotrate,manyfirmsengageinaforwardexchange(signaforwardcontract).Aforwardexchangeoccurswhentwopartiesagreetoexchangecurrencyataspecifiedrateandexecutethatdealatsomespecificdateinthefuture.Exchangeratesgoverningsuchfuturetransactionsarereferredtoasforwardexchangerate.Takedollarsasanexample:Iftheforwardrateishigherthanthespotrate,thedollarissoldatapremium(升水)ontheforwardmarket;Iftheforwardrateislowerthanthespotrate,thedollarissoldatadiscount(貼水)ontheforwardmarket.Anexampleofusingaforwardcontractbyafirmtoavoidrisk:
AUSfirmimportslaptopsfromaJapanesesellerandsellthoselaptopsinAmerica@$2,000perunit,thecurrentspotrateis$1=¥120,A/Psin30daysare¥200,000perunit.sothecurrentpriceofeachcomputer=200,000/120=$1,667,profitsofeachcomputer=$2,000-$1,667=$333In3odays,thereare2possibilities:a)JapaneseYenappreciates,$1=¥95priceofeachcomputer=200,000/95=$2,105profitsofeachcomputer=2,000-2,105=-$105
(Inordertoavoidsuchfluctuationrisk,theUSfirmcansignaforwardcontract@$1=¥110tofixtheexchangeratein3odays.)b)JapaneseYendepreciates,$1=¥130priceofeachcomputer=200,000/130=$1,538profitsofeachcomputer=$2,000-$1,538=$462
(Withoutusingaforwardcontract,theUSfirmgainmore.)
Unit6.ForeignExchangeTransactions
I.Whatareforeignexchangetransactions?
Foreignexchangetransactionsarepurchasesandsalesofforeignexchangeswithapurposetomeettheneedsofreducingforeignexchangerisksandmakingprofits.Theyareinvolvednotonlyinmostofhugeamountofimporting,exporting,andforeigninvestmentthatgoesonthroughouttheworld,butineveryone’seconomiclife.
II.VariousForeignExchangeTransactionsA.Hedging(套期保值)involvesenteringintoacontractatthepresenttimetobuyorsellforeignexchangeataspecifiedpriceonagivenfuturedate.Itisameansofshiftingtheriskofapossiblemovementintheexchangeratetosomeoneelse.A.Hedginga.forwardtransactions:Aforwardcontractisanagreementtobuyorsellanassetatacertainfuturetimeforacertainprice.Thecontractisusuallybetween2financialinstitutionsorbetweenafinancialinstitutionandoneofitscorporateclients.(forexport&importbusinesses)Oneofthepartiestoaforwardcontractassumealongposition(多頭、買入)andagreestobuytheunderlyingasset(標的資產(chǎn)/外匯)onacertainspecifiedfuturedateforacertainspecifiedprice.Theotherpartyassumesashortposition
(空頭、賣出)andagreestoselltheassetonthesamedateforthesameprice.Thespecifiedpriceinaforwardcontractwillbereferredtoathedeliveryprice
(交割價格).
Aforwardcontractissett
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