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REPORT
Infrastructure
InvestmentOutlook2025
Recoverypending…
Managementsummary
andarelativelysoftstartto2025,investorscontinuetobecautiously
optimisticforarecoveryinthecomingmonths.Followingresilientperformance
in2022andasignificantblowtoinfrastructuredealactivityin2023,therewere
expectationsofanuptickinactivityin2024.However,continuedchallenging
financingconditionsresultedinfurtherdeclinesindealcountanddealsizein2024,incontrasttotheactivityuptickseeninprivateequitybuyoutsin2024.Despitethechallengingdealmarket,thewaveofconsolidationthatstartedin2022continuedinto2024,includingBlackrock'sacquisitionofGIP,GeneralAtlantic'sacquisitionofActisandCVC'sacquisitionofDIF.Lookingahead,whiledealmakinghas
remainedrelativelysoftinthefirsthalfof2025,theever-increasingneed
forcapitaltodeveloplong-termsustainableinfrastructuremeanstheoutlookforinfrastructuredealsispositive.Thematicinvestmentsinenergytransition,transportationdecarbonisation,andcirculareconomyaresettocontinue,
alongsidegreaterfocusoncore+andvalue-addhybridinfrastructureassets.Inthisreport,westartatamacrolevel,dissectingthebroaderinvestmentandfundraisingtrends,beforemovingtosector-levelanalysis,whereweaddresskeyfrontiertopicsbysector.
D
espiteanotherchallengingyearforinfrastructureinvestmentin2024
Cover:KarlHendon/gettyimages
2RolandBerger|InfrastructureInvestmentOutlook2025
3RolandBerger|InfrastructureInvestmentOutlook2025
Contents
1
2
3
4
9
13
Page
InfrastructureM&Adevelopmentandfundraising
Currentsentimentandoutlookfor2025
Sectoroutlookanalysis
3.1/Energy
3.2/Utilities
3.3/Transportation
3.4/Digitalinfrastructure
3.5/Socialinfrastructure
3.6/Hybridinfrastructure
30
Conclusion
Fast
facts
8%
declineinglobalinfrastructure
dealcountin2024vs.2023
14%
increasein
infrastructurefundraisingin2024vs.2023
86%
ofsurvey
respondents
expectthe
dealcountto
increasein2025relativeto2024
InfrastructureM&Adevelopment
andfundraising
5RolandBerger|InfrastructureInvestmentOutlook2025
Macroheadwindsthatstartedblowingin2022andpickedupspeedin2023failedtosubsidein2024,furtherimpactinginfrastructureM&Aactivity.In2024,globalinfrastructureM&Adealcountdeclined8%year-over-year(y-o-y),whiletheaveragedealsizedropped14%.Thisfurtherdeclinein2024contrastswithwhatmostrespondentsinourInfrastructureInvestmentOutlook2024surveyexpected,where60%ofrespondentsexpectedaslighttomoderatedealcountincreasein2024.Lowfundraisinglevelsandaworseningmacroeconomicsituation(inparticular,spikinginterestratesandgeopoliticaluncertainties)weretheprimaryreasons.
A
AGlobalinfrastructuredealcountandaveragesize1
750
700
650
600
550
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
3,4583,477
2,904
2,9202,938
2,803
2,684
2,606
2,533
2,167
1,983
20142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
Avg.dealsize[USDm]Dealcount[#]
1Averagedealsizefordealswithaknownvalue
Source:Preqin
Despiteasoftstartto2025,
infrastructureinvestorsare
cautiouslyoptimisticthatfavorable
trendswillcontinuetodrivethe
needforinfrastructurecapital."
SiongkoonLim,Partner
6RolandBerger|InfrastructureInvestmentOutlook2025
EuropeandNorthAmericaaccountedfortwo-thirdsoftheglobaldealcountin2024.Theirshareintheglobaldealcountdeclinedby3ppy-o-yasM&AactivityrecoveredinAPAC.Infact,APACwastheonlyregionwherethedealcountincreasedin2024(by16%y-o-y),supportedbyamorefavourablemacroeconomicenvironmentintheregionandnationalgovernmentinitiativestodriveinvestmentinlarge-scaleprojects.Whiledealsizedeclinedvs.2023inallregions,dealsizeinNorthAmericain2024wasstillhigherthanwhatwasseenhistorically(exceptfor2019and2021,whereafewmegadealsskewedthepicture).B
BInfrastructuredealcountandaveragesizebygeographyDealcount[#]
3,4583,477
2,920
2,803
2,9382,904
2,684
2,606
2,533
2,167
1,983
20142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
EuropeNorthAmericaAPACRestoftheworld
Averagedealsize1[USDm]
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
20142015201620172018201920202021202220232024 EuropeNorthAmericaAPACRestoftheworld
1Averagedealsizefordealswithaknownvalue
Source:Preqin
7RolandBerger|InfrastructureInvestmentOutlook2025
Despiteadeclineinthedealcountin2024,energyremainsthelargestinfrastructuresector,accountingfor69%ofdeals.Almostallsectorswereimpactedbythecontinuedmacroheadwinds,withthesteepestdeclineinutilities(~33%y-o-y).However,thedigitalandsocialinfrastructuresectorssawanuptickinM&Aactivity,withthedealcountrisingby17%and21%y-o-y,respectively.Notethatonesegmentnotcoveredinthisdataishybridinfrastructure(thecrossoverspacebetweenbusinessservicesandinfrastructureassets),whichhasbeencontinuingtogarnerinterestfrominfrastructureinvestors.C
CInfrastructuredealcountandaveragesizebysectorDealcount[#]
3,4583,477
2,9202,938
2,803
2,904
2,6062,684
2,533
2,167
1,983
20142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
EnergyUtilitiesTransportationDigitalinfrastructureSocialinfrastructure2Other3
Averagedealsizeover2014-20241[USDm]
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
20142015201620172018201920202021202220232024 EnergyUtilitiesTransportationDigitalinfrastructureSocialinfrastructure2
1Averagedealsizefordealswithaknownvalue;2Includeshealthcareandeducation;3Includesdiversified,defense,governmentbuildingsandunassigneddeals
Source:Preqin
8RolandBerger|InfrastructureInvestmentOutlook2025
Whiletheslowdownhadamarkedimpactoninfrastructurefundraisingin2023(whichhalvedfromits2022peakofUSD154bn),fundraisinglevelsinfactincreasedby14%y-o-yin2024.Thoughfundraisingforthecore+andopportunisticstrategiesdeclined,thiswasmorethanoffsetbygrowthinthecoreandvalue-addstrategies,wherefundraisingincreasedby2.5xand3.5xy-o-y,respectively.Relativeto2024,NorthAmerica'sshareinglobalfundraisingdeclined,offsetbysignificantincreasesacrossallotherregions,withEuropeaccountingforover50%oftotalfundraising.DandE
DInfrastructurefundraisingbyfundstrategy,2019-2024[USDbn]
154
141
113106
87
76
201920202021202220232024
CoreCore+ValueaddOpportunistic
Source:Preqin
EInfrastructurefundraisingbygeographyandfundstrategy,2019-2024
[USDbn]
%oftotal
38%
6%
7%
39%
54%
5%
2%
51%
25%
16%
7%
49%
44.6
55.6
41.0
42.4
29.9
22.2
14.0
6.3
3.9
7.07.6
1.4
EuropeNorthAPACRoWEuropeNorthAPACRoWEuropeNorthAPACRoW
AmericaAmericaAmerica
201920232024
CoreCore+ValueaddOpportunistic
Source:Preqin
Currentsentimentandoutlookfor
2025
10RolandBerger|InfrastructureInvestmentOutlook2025
Togaugeinvestors'expectationsforinfrastructureinvestmentsin2025,wesurveyedexperiencedinvestmentbankersandfundmanagers.86%ofrespondentsexpectgrowthintheinfrastructuredealcountin2025,upfrom77%in2024.Whileoverallsentimentisstrongerrelativetoour2024survey,respondents'expectationsarelessbullish,with81%expectingdealcounttogrowslightlyormoderately(vs.60%in2024)andonly5%expectingittogrowstrongly(vs.14%in2024).Thepositiveoutlookholdsacrossalldealsizesbutisleastoptimisticforlargerdeals.F
FOutlookforinfrastructuredealcount-2025vs.2024
Investmentoutlook-
Overall[%ofrespondents]
Mostrespondentsexpect
infrastructuredealstogrowbyupto10%y-o-yin2024
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Investmentoutlook-
Byassetsize[%ofrespondents]
Thepositivesentimentpersistsacrossalldealsizebrackets,albeitlowestforUSD>5bnvaluedeals
<USD
0.5bn
USD
0.5-1.0bn
USD
1.0-2.0bn
>USD
5.0bn
USD
2.0-5.0bn
N=37N=31N=30N=29N=29N=27
Strongdecline
(below-10%)Slightgrowth
(0%to5%)
Moderatedecline
(-5%to-10%)
Moderategrowth
(5%to10%)
Slightdecline
(upto-5%)
Stronggrowth
(10%+)
Stable
(c.0%)
Source:RolandBergerInfrastructureInvestmentOutlookSurvey2025
Surveyrespondents'profileoverview
Overallnumberofrespondents
N=37
Respondents'currentorganizationtype
[%ofrespondents]
8%
59%
Other
32%
Infrastructurefund
M&A
Investmentbanking
Respondents'geographicalfocus[%ofrespondents]
Global
Europe
NorthAmerica
Respondents'sectorfocus
[%ofrespondents]
19%
22%
86%
TransportationEnergy
UtilitiesSocialinfrastructureDigitalinfrastructureHybridinfrastructure
89%78%
65%
32%
68%
46%
Source:RolandBergerInfrastructureInvestmentOutlookSurvey2025
11RolandBerger|InfrastructureInvestmentOutlook2025
Respondentsexpectdealcounttogrowacrossallregions,withparticularlypositivesentimentacrossEuropeandNorthAmerica,where78%and79%ofrespondents,respectively,expectgrowth.RespondentsexpectslighttomoderategrowthinEuropeandAsia-Pacific(thoughaquarterofrespondentsexpectdealcountinAsia-Pacifictoremainflat)buthavethestrongestexpectationsforNorthAmerica,with18%expectingdealcounttogrowbyatleast10%intheregion.Thesentimentdifferssignificantlyacrosssectors,withrespondentsbeingmoreupbeatfortransportation,energyandhybridinfrastructurethanforutilitiesanddigitalandsocialinfrastructure.GandH
GOutlookforinfrastructuredealcountbygeography-2025vs.2024
[%ofrespondents]
50
40
30
20
10
0
Restofworld
N=19
Asia-Pacific
N=19
Europe
N=37
NorthAmerica
N=28
Strongdecline
(below-10%)Slightgrowth
(0%to5%)
Moderatedecline
(-5%to-10%)
Moderategrowth
(5%to10%)
Stable
(c.0%)
Slightdecline
(upto-5%)
Stronggrowth
(10%+)
Source:RolandBergerInfrastructureInvestmentOutlookSurvey2025
HOutlookforinfrastructuredealcountbysector-2025vs.2024
[%ofrespondents]
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
TransportationEnergyUtilitiesSocialDigitalHybrid
(includingwaste)infrastructureinfrastructureinfrastructure
N=37N=36N=36N=31N=36N=36
Strongdecline
Moderatedecline
Slightdecline
Stable
(below-10%)
(-5%to-10%)
(upto-5%)
(c.0%)
Slightgrowth
Moderategrowth
Stronggrowth
(0%to5%)
(5%to10%)
(10%+)
Source:RolandBergerInfrastructureInvestmentOutlookSurvey2025
12RolandBerger|InfrastructureInvestmentOutlook2025
Respondentsspecifiedtheavailabilityofattractiveacquisitiontargetsasthemostimpactfulfactorinfluencinginfrastructureinvestments,followedbythemacroeconomicsituationandfinancingavailability.Whilegeopoliticaluncertaintyisexpectedtoremain,andpotentiallyworsen,thisdoesnotdampeninvestorsentimentfordealsorfundraising,withjust6%ofrespondentsexpectingfundraisingin2025tobemoredifficultthanin2024.Alongsidethis,valuecreationisattheforefrontofinvestors'minds,with86%expectingittobecomemoreimportantin2025.l
lFactorsinfIuencinginfrastructureinvestmentsandfundraisingin2025
DeveIopmentoffactorsinfIuencinginfrastructureinvestments-2024vs.2023
[%ofrespondents]
1
2
3
4
5
N=37
AvaiIabiIityofattractiveacquisitiontargets
N=37
OveraIIeconomicsituation/economiccycIe
N=37
AvaiIabiIityofdebtfinancingandinterestrates
N=37
GeopoIiticaIenvironment(e.g.,tradeconfIicts)
N=36
GIobaIinfrastructurefundinggap
DecreasingorderofimportanceWorsenImproveRemainstable
94%
86%
Thevastmajorityofrespondentsbelieveitwill
beeasier(56%)ortakethesameeffort(38%)
tofundraisein2025relativeto2024
Morethanfour-fifthsoftherespondents
believethatvaIuecreationwiIIbecome
moreimportantin2025vs.2024
Source:RolandBergerInfrastructureInvestmentOutlookSurvey2025
Sectoroutlookanalysis
Wefurthersurveyedtheparticipantsonvariousinfrastructuresectorstounderstandtwokeyaspects:
1.Investmentfocus:Giventhecurrentmacroeconomicenvironment,wewantedtoknowhowparticipantsexpecttheirinvestmentfocustochangeacrossthecore,core+andvalue-addstrategies.Onabroaderlevel,mostrespondentsconsideredcore+andvalue-addassetsmoreattractivein2025thanin2024.Therewerenuancesinsomesub-sectors,whichwewilladdressintherespectivesections.
2.Futureattractiveness:Inaddition,wewantedtounderstandwhichinfrastructureassetsaredeemedmoreattractivein2025thantheywerein2024.Wealsogatheredinterestinginsightsintoeachofthesub-sectorsandassettypesthatinvestorsexpecttofocusonin2025.
Wenowdelveintoeachofthesectors,presentingtheoutputofthesurveyandRolandBerger'sviewsoninvestmentactivityinthesesectors.
14RolandBerger|InfrastructureInvestmentOutlook2025
3.1/Energy
In2024,theenergysectorremainedtheleadingsegmentininfrastructureintermsofdealcount.Ingeneral,thesectorsufferedlessthanotherinfrastructuresectors,asdealflowdroppedby~10%y-o-y,reflectingitscrucialimportancetodealmakersduetoglobalsustainabilitygoals.J
JEnergyinfrastructure-surveyresults
Relativefocusbyassettype-2025vs.2024[%ofrespondents]
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Decreaseslightly
Increasesignificantly
Nochange
DecreasesignificantlyIncreaseslightly
Mostattractiveassets(N=20)[%ofrespondents]
Heatelectrification/heatpumpsEnergyefficiencyschemesBiogas
Energystorage/batteriesGrid-scalesolarOnshorewind
CCUS(carboncapture,utilizationandstorage)
Sustainableaviationfuels(SAFs)Offshorewind
LNGregasificationandonshorestorage
Other
Nuclear-SMR
LDES-CAES,liquid-to-airOtherbiofuels
Low-carbonhydrogen(greenandblue)
60%50%50%45%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
15%
5%
5%
5%
0%0%
Heatelectrificationassetsarehighlyattractivetoinvestors,asthemostfeasibleand
economicalpathwaytodecarbonizeheating
Grid-scalesolarandonshorewindareincreasingin
attractivenesssincelastyearasgenerationcapacityscalesglobally
91%
Mostenergyinvestorspreferbrownfieldprojects(64%)togreenfieldones
orhavenoexplicitpreference(27%)
Source:RolandBergerInfrastructureInvestmentOutlookSurvey2025
15RolandBerger|InfrastructureInvestmentOutlook2025
Surveyrespondentsexpressedabroadlypositiveandimprovingoutlookforenergy-relateddealmakingin2025,withaclearpreferenceforcore+andvalue-addstrategies.Notably,around64%ofparticipantsindicatedapreferenceforbrownfieldinvestments—highlightingapragmaticfocusonupgradingandoptimizingexistinginfrastructureassetsovergreenfielddevelopment.
Markinganotableshiftfromtheprevioustwoyears,heatelectrificationemergedasthemostattractiveenergyinvestmenttheme,with60%ofrespondentsidentifyingitasatopassetclass.Thistransitionisdrivenbyseveralreinforcingfactors.Asgovernmentsmovetodecarbonizeresidential,commercialandindustrialheating—oneofthelargestsourcesofcarbonemissionsinmanyeconomies—electrificationpresentsascalable,maturepathway.Theproliferationofheatpumps,districtheatingupgradesandelectrifiedprocessheatsolutionsinindustryoffersstable,regulatedandoftensubsidy-backedinvestmentcases.
Energyefficiencyschemesalsosawasurgeininvestorinterest,buoyedbytheirabilitytodeliverimmediatecarbonsavingsatrelativelylowcapitalintensity.Theseschemesareincreasinglyframedasessentialenablersofnationalclimatetargetsandareoftensupportedbypolicyincentives,especiallyinEurope.
Meanwhile,moretraditionalfavoritessuchasbiogasandgrid-scalebatterystorageretainedtheirpositioninthetopfivemostattractiveassetclasses.However,energystorage/batteriessawthemostsignificantdropininvestorsentiment,decliningby32percentagepointsyear-over-year.Thismayreflectgrowingconcernsaboutmarketsaturationincertainregions,uncertaintiesaroundevolvingrevenuemodels,andincreasedcompetitionpushingdownreturns.
CCUSremainsarelevant,albeitnotcrucial,topicforinvestors,with25%ofrespondentsidentifyingitasamongthemostattractiveassets–thisislikelybecausetheeconomiccaseremainsimmature,withalackofclarityongovernmentsupportschemesandthelowcostofcarbonbeingidentifiedasthemainobstaclestorollout.WithinCCUS,assets/industrieswithpotentialforcarboncaptureretrofitareseenasthemostattractiveassettypes(61%ofrespondents),withwaste-to-energybeingtherunawaywinneramongindustriesexpectedtomakethemostprogress.
Attheotherendofthespectrum,assetcategoriesthatappearlessappealingtoinvestorsin2025includelong-durationenergystorage(LDES)technologieslikecompressedairenergystorage(CAES)/liquid-to-airsystems,nuclear–smallmodularreactors(SMRs)andotherbiofuels.Whilethesetechnologiesareoftencitedinlong-termdecarbonizationroadmaps,theyarecurrentlyseenaseithertooearly-stage,capitalintensive,orburdenedbyregulatoryandpublicperceptionrisks.Manyinvestorsremaincautious,preferringtoallocatecapitaltowardmoreproven,revenue-generatingsolutionsinthenearterm.
Astheenergytransitionmatures,investorfocusisclearlyshiftingtowardscalable,economicallyviableandpolicy-alignedassets.Heatelectrificationandenergyefficiencyrepresentthisnewwave–technologiesthatarenotonlyclimatecriticalbutalsocommerciallycompellinginthecurrentmarketenvironment.
16RolandBerger|InfrastructureInvestmentOutlook2025
ZOOMIN-CCUS
KCCUSdeepdive-surveyresults
MostattractiveCCUSassettypesforinfrastructureinvestment(N=18)[%respondents]
Assets/industrieswith potentialforcarboncapturerolloutonexistinginfrastructure
CO2storageinfrastructureTransportationinfrastructureLiquefactioninfrastructure
Other
CO2utilizationassets(e.g.,power-to-liquidfuels)
61%
39%
28%
17%
6%
6%
IndustriesexpectedtomakethemostadvancementonCCUSrolloutoverthenextdecade(N=17)[%respondents]
Waste-to-energyBioenergy(i.e.,BECCS)Ironandsteel
Cement
Chemicals(includingfertilizers)Other
DirectaircaptureTraditionalenergygeneration
59%
35%
6%
6%
6%
18%
18%
18%
KeyobstaclestowidespreadCCUSrolloutacrosshard-to-abateindustriesinEurope(N=17)[%respondents]
Lackofclarityon
governmentsupportschemesLowcostofcarbon(e.g.,lowETSprice)
Lackoftransportationinfrastructure
Technologicaluncertainty
Other
Lackofstorage/utilizationoptions
47%
35%
29%
12%
12%
53%
Source:RolandBergerInfrastructureInvestmentOutlookSurvey2025
17RolandBerger|InfrastructureInvestmentOutlook2025
Asglobaleconomiespursueambitiousclimatetargets,thespotlightisincreasinglyturningtohard-to-abatesectors,includingpowergenerationfromfossilfuels,cement,ironandsteel,andchemicalproduction,whichcollectivelycontributemorethan31gigatonsofCO?equivalentemissionsannually.Thesesectorsfaceuniquedecarbonizationchallenges–manyofwhichcannotbeaddressedbyelectrificationalone.
Fortheseindustries,carboncapture,utilizationandstorage(CCUS)isemergingasthecornerstoneofanycredibledecarbonizationpathway.ThemomentumforCCUShasneverbeenstronger.Carbonpricesareexpectedtorisesteadily,andmorecountriesareworkingonimplementingschemestopenalizeemittingCO2.ThismakesitincreasinglyexpensiveforemitterstoreleaseCO?withoutabatement.Governmentsaroundtheworldareratchetinguptheirclimatetargets,committingtolegallybindingemissionsreductionsthatextenddeepintoindustrialvaluechains.Meanwhile,technologycostsarebeginningtofall,withearlydeploymentsshowingpromisingperformanceandeconomics.
Still,thescaleofthechallengeremainsdaunting.Atpresent,globalCCUScapacityhoversataround50milliontonsperyear.Tomeeteventhemostconservativeclimategoals,thiscapacitymustgrowbyordersofmagnitudeoverthecomingdecades.Whatisneededisamassivescalingofinfrastructure–pipelines,terminals,storagesitesand,critically,capturesystemsinstalledatindustrialplants.
ThemostefficientandscalablewaytodeployCCUSiswidelyseentobethroughthedevelopmentofintegratedhubs–networksthatconnectmultipleemitterstosharedCO?transportationandstorageinfrastructure.Thesehubsoffercompellingbenefits:theyreduceunitcoststhroughvolumeaggregation,mitigateriskbydiversifyingtheemitterbase,andestablishascalablefoundationforlong-termcarbonmanagement.Yet,inpractice,mostCCUShubconceptsremainatanearlystage.ProjectssuchastheEastCoastClusterintheUK,PorthosintheNetherlandsandGOCO?inFrancearepromisingexamplesofmulti-stakeholdercoordination,buttheycontinuetofacecomplexpermitting,fundingandpolicyalignmentchallenges.
Despitethesehurdles,momentumisbuilding–forexampleintheUnitedStates,wheretheGulfCoastandMidwestareexperiencingasurgeinprojectactivity.Favorablesubsurfacegeology,coupledwithrobustfederaltaxincentiveslikethe45Qcredit,hascreatedanattractiveenvironmentforCCUSinvestmentanddeployment.InEurope,theNorthSearegionhasemergedasafocalpoint.Norway,theUnitedKingdomandtheNetherlandsareleadingeffortstobuildcross-bordercarbonmanagementinfrastructure,supportedbystrongpolicyframeworksandindustrialdemand.
AflagshipinitiativeanchoringEuropeanCCUSdevelopmentisNorthernLights–theworld'sfirstcommercial,open-accessCO?transportationandstorageproject.DevelopedaspartofNorway'sLongshipinitiativebyEquinor,ShellandTotalEnergies,NorthernLightsenablesindustrialemittersacrossEuropetodecarbonizebyprovidingaturnkeytransportationandstoragesolution.CO?iscapturedatindustrialsites,liquefied,andshippedviaspecializedvesselstoanonshoreterminalin?ygarden,whereitistheninjectedintoadeepsalineaquiferbeneaththeNorthSea.
Forinfrastructureinvestors,CCUSoffersacompellinginvestmentopportunity.
Eachelementofthevaluechain–capturefacilities,transportationnetworks,terminalsandstoragesites–requiressignificantcapitalinvestmentandpresentsattractivelong-termcashflowsunderpinnedbyregulatoryframeworksandclimatecommitments.K
18RolandBerger|InfrastructureInvestmentOutlook2025
3.2/Utilities
MuchofthefocuswithintheEuropeanutilitieslandscaperecentlyhasbeenonassetsintheUK,whereutilitieshaverarelyfacedagreatervariationinfortunes.
Waterutilitiesarefacingawellpublicizedstorm,bestcharacterizedbytheongoingThamesWatercrisis,fromwhichbothequityanddebtprovidersaresuffering.Withaninevitablerebasingoffinanceandinvestmentplans,thissectorwillbeahugefocusofinvestorsinthecomingyear,albeitnowathigh-riskequityreturns.
Gastransmissionanddistributionnetworksareperhapsthemoststableutilitysector.
Discussionofhydrogenblendinghasfallenaway,butboominggasturbineordersindicatetheresilienceofgasasabridgingfuel,andthescrappingofdomesticgasboilerbanspreviouslypennedinfor2035addsconfidenceforthegasdistributionnetworks.
Electricitynetworks,meanwhile,arefacingonce-in-a-lifetimerenaissance.Thenewgovernment'stargetsfordecarbonization,andattendantplanningreform,underpindouble-digitCAGRsinregulatorydeterminationsatallvoltagesandinallregionsoftheBritishIsles.Thecurrentstrategicchallengeforallassociatedbusinessesisinsecuringthematerials,hardwareandqualifiedstaffneededtodeliveronplannedgrowthwithoutfuelingcostinflation.L
LUtilities(includingwastemanagement)infrastructure-surveyresults
Relativefocusbyassettype-2025vs.2024[%ofrespondents]
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Core
Core+
Valueadd
N=18
N=17
N=16
DecreasesignificantlyDecreaseslightly
Nochange
Increaseslightly
Increasesignificantly
Mostattractiveassetswithinutilitiesinfrastructure(N=19)[%ofrespondents]
Heatnetworks/districtheatingElectricitylast-mileinfrastructure ElectricitydistributionnetworksWastemanagement
Waterlast-mileinfrastructureGaslast-mileinfrastructureWaterdistributionnetworksGasdistributionnetworks
37%
21%5%
5%
0%
58%58%
58%
Theprominenceofheatnetworksanddistrictheatingconfirmstherelevanceofheatdecarbonizationasafocustopicinenergy&utilities
Similarly,electricityinfrastructureisincreasinglyattractiveto
investorsasthegriddecarbonizes
Source:RolandBergerInfrastructureInvest
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