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CBRE
FIGURESIASIAPACIFICIQ32025
since2021amidresilientoccupiermarkets
+4.1%/+3.6%
APACGDPGrowth(2025F/2026F)
22.4%/21.7%
APACNetEmploymentoutlookca22025/a32025)
+3.6%/+2.8%
TABLE1:QuickFigures
APACIndustrialproduction(2025F/2026F)
Note#:Thenetemploymentoutlookiscalculatedbytakingthepercentageofemployersanticipatinganincreaseinhiringactivityandsubtractingthisfromthepercentageofemployersexpectingadecreaseinhiringactivity.
Executivesummary
-
stricterofficeattendancemandates.GradeAofficenetabsorptiongrew10%y-o-y,reaching14.5millionsq.ft.NFAforthequarter.TMTandfinanceleddemandacrossmostmarkets.Rentsfellslightlybutincreasedifmainlandchinamarketsareexcludedfromthedata.
-
reportedanincreaseinleasingenquiriesandsitevisitsasimprovedclarityonglobaltradepolicy
instilledretailerswithgreaterconfidencetoproceedwithexpansion.Rentsedgedupby0.2%q-0-q.
-
demandlargelydrivenby3PLsanddomestice-commerceoperators.whileasurgeinshort-termleaseswasobservedasoccupierspreparedfortheupcomingfestiveseason,rentsfell1.8%q-0-q.
--o-
billioninQ32025,thehighestquarterlyvolumerecordedsince2021.InvestmentvolumeinJapan
increased129%q-o-qtous$14billion,withactivityacrossallmajorsectorsregisteringsolidgrowth.officeinvestmentreboundedstrongly,withvolumerising85%q-o-q,primarilyduetorobustactivityinJapanandkorea.
source:CBREResearch,ManpowerGroupEmploymentoutlooksurveyQ32025&Q42025,oxfordEconomics,october2025.
Totalvolume
+28%
+15%
cross-border
-37%
-3%
Rents
-0.4%
-1.1%
capitalvalues
1.6%
5.1%
Rents
+0.2%
+0.9%
capitalvalues
-0.5%
-0.5%
Rents
-1.8%
-4,7%
capitalvalues
2.3%
7.3%
source:CBREResearch,Q32025.
*Transactionsincludedealsaboveus$10millionintheoffice,Retail,Industrial,Hotel,Residential(Incomeproducing),Mixedandothercommercialsectors,usingfixedexchangerates
Economy
Exportgrowthremainsstrongasu.s.reachestradedeals
severalAsiapacificmarketsstrucktradedealswiththeu.s.inQ32025,leadingtheTrump
administrationtocuttariffrates.Howeverasofoctober29,2025,India,TaiwanandNewzealandhadyettoreachagreementswiththeu.s.,withIndianexportsfacingtariffsofupto50%.Mainlandchinasecuredreducedtariffsof47%afterameetingbetweenpresidentsTrumpandxi.TherestofAsia
pacificfacestariffratesofbetween10%and20%,
De-escalatingtradetensionhelpedtheAsiapacificeconomydisplayresilientperformanceinQ32025.overallexportscontinuedtoregisterstronggrowthinTaiwan(+36.6%y-o-y),vietnam(+18.8%y
andHongkongsAR(+15.0%y-o-y).ExportsrecordedrobustgrowthinIndia(+11.2%y-o-y)despitesteepu.s.tariffs.
ThecontinuedstrengthinexportshelpedtobolsteroverallGDpgrowthinvietnam(+8.2%y-o-y)andkorea(+1.7%y-0-y).Incontrast,GDpgrowthslowedinmainlandchinaandsingaporeto+4.8%y
and+2.9%y-o-y,respectively.
selectedmarketspauseinterestratecuttingcycle
Amidconcernaboutdownsideriskstoemploymentintheu.s.,theFederalReservecutpolicyratesbyatotalof50bpsinseptemberandoctobertoarangeof3.75%-4.00%.However,theFedalsosignalledthepossibilitythatitmaynotproceedwithafurtherratecutatitsDecembermeetingastheu.s.
governmentshutdownishinderingthereleaseofkeyeconomicdata.Nevertheless,themarket
consensusisfortheu.s.policyratetobecutby25bpsinthenextandfinalFedmeetingoftheyear.
InterestratescontinuedtofallinseveralAsiapacificmarketsthisquarter,includingNewzealand(-
75bps),singapore(-72bps)andAustralia(-25bps).However,centralbanksinmainlandchina,Indiaandkoreapausedtheirratecuttingcycleduringtheperiod.InHongkongsAR,asofoctober29,2025,the3-monthHIBORhadreboundedby+188bpssinceQ22025,butisstilldown-81bpsy-t-d.
TheBankofJapan(BOJ)heldratessteadyinQ32025afterimplementingonehikeatthestartoftheyearasthecountrysawtheresignationofitsprimeministerandthesubsequentelectionofanew
leader.whileJapan'snewprimeministergenerallyfavourseasymonetarypolicy,financialmarketsstillexpectaratehikeeitherattheendofthisyearoratthebeginningof2026.
FIGURE1:AsiapacificGDPGrowthForecast(y-0-y%)
TABLE2:keyInterestRatechanges
NewzealandcashRate2.50175bps75bps
singapore3MSORA1.34173bps72bps
Indonesia
7-DayRepoRate
4,75125bps
75bps
philippines
ReverseRepoRate
4.75100bps
-50bps
India
policyRepoRate
5.50100bps
Flat
HongkongsAR
3MHIBOR
3.5681bps
+188bps
Thailand1-DayRepoRate1.5075bps25bps
Australia
cashRate
3.6075bps
25bps
korea
BaseRate
2.5050bps
Flat
Malaysia
overnightRate
2.7525bps
25bps
Mainlandchina
1YLoanprimeRate
3.0010bps
Flat
Taiwan
DiscountRate
2.00Flat
Flat
vietnam
DiscountRate
3.00Flat
Flat
JapankeypolicyRate0.50+25bpsFlat
source:CBREResearch,Macrobond,october2025.
capitalvalues-1.6%q-o-q
Rentalvalues-0.4%q-o-q
InvestmentTurnover
+55%y-o-y
Leasingstaysresilientasoccupiersentimentstrengthens
RegionalofficeoccupiersentimentstrengthenedinQ32025,drivenbyeasingtradetensionandstricterofficeattendancemandates.overallGradeAofficenetabsorptiongrew10%yo-y,reaching14.5millionsq.ft.NFAforthequarter.CBRE'S
foundthatmostmarketsreportedanuptickintenantenquiriesandinspections,withtheexceptionofcitiesinmainlandchina.
India'stierIcitiescontinuedtoleadregionalnetabsorption,fuelledbytheongoing
expansionofdomesticfirmsandGlobalcapabilitycentres(GCCS).DelhiNCR,Bangalore,andMumbaicollectivelygained8.7millionsq.ft.ofnetabsorption,a6%q-o-qincrease.
otherupbeatmarketsincludedHongkongsAR,wherenetabsorptionreacheditshighestquarterlylevelsinceQ32018.InAustralia,corelocationsinsydneyandBrisbanesaw
improvedmomentum,supportedbyflighttoqualityandlargercorporationsseekingspace.
DemandinTokyoremainsrobust,underpinnedbythereturntoofficeandlargeoccupiers'focusonstaffretention.However,netabsorptionslowedto600,000sq.ftamidtight
availabilityandlimitednewsupply·Mainlandchina'stierlcitiesmaintainedpositivenet
absorptionat2.9millionsq.ft.,butgrowthslowedassomeoccupiersturnedmorecautious.
TMTandfinanceremainkeydrivers;flexsectorstrengthensinIndia
TMTandfinanceleddemandacrossmostmarketsinQ32025.TherobustdevelopmentofAIcontinuedtosupportleasingactivityinmainlandchina.Inshanghai,TMTaccountedfor22%ofnewleasingvolume,narrowlybehindthefinancesector,with23%.InBeijing,theTMTsectorcomprisedonethirdofnewleasingactivity,withmostdealsinvolvingrelocations
initiatedbyAl,bigdata,cloudservicesandonlinegamingcompanies.
Inseoul,financeandmanufacturingaccountedfor40%ofcBDdemand,drivenbyrelocationrequirements.Bankingandfinancecomprised23%oftotalleasingvolumeinHongkong
SAR,makingitthelargestdemanddriver,ofwhichhalfcamefrommainlandchinesefirms.Duringthequarter,demandfromtheflexibleworkspacesectorpickedupinselected
markets.TheseincludedIndia,wheretheflexsectorcontributed21%oftotalleasingvolume,fuelledbytheIpoboom,ensuringitsurpassedthefinancesectorintermsofdemand.
FIGURE2:AsiapacificofficeNetAbsorptionandNewsupply
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
a1Q2Q3mmQ4AnnualGradeANewsupply
source:CBREResearch,Q32025.
FIGURE3:vacancyRateandDevelopmentpipeline
vacancyedgesdownasregionalsupplyeases
NewGradeAofficesupplyinAsiareached13.2millionsq.ft.inQ32025,mainlyconcentratedinIndiaandmainlandchinatierIcities(ex.Beijing).InIndia,DelhiNCR,BangaloreandMumbai
contributed5.9millionsq.ft.ofnewstock,withDelhiNCRaloneaccountingforaround50%oftotalsupply.some5.4millionsq.ft.ofnewstockwasdeliveredinmainlandchina,with
shenzhencontributingmorethanhalf(3.2millionsq.ft),followedbyGuangzhouandshanghai.
AsiaGradeAofficevacancyfellslightlyto18.2%,adropof0.1%q-0-q.strongerleasing
sentimentandeasingsupplypressurehaspusheddownvacancyinmostmarkets·Hongkong
SARsawvacancycontractamidrisingdemandinthecBDcore,whileTokyovacancyreached
1%amidlimitedsupply.AvailabilityinBangalore'SORRremainedtightthankstosustained
demandfromGccsandglobalbusinessoutsourcing.Lowervacancyinsingaporewasdrivenbyrelocationsandexpansionsacrossmultiplesectors.Inmainlandchina,vacancyfellinBeijing
andshanghaiassupplyeased.
Rentalperformancecontinuestodiverge
CBRE'SAsiapacificGradeAofficeRentalIndexdeclinedby0.4%q-o-qinQ32025but
increasedby1.4%q-0-qifmainlandchinamarketsareexcludedfromcalculations.keycitiesinGreaterchinaweretheonlymarketstorecordrentaldeclinesthisquarter,withthefallinsouthchinaacceleratingamidanupturninnewsupply.InHongkongsAR,therentaldecline
narrowed,indicatingstabilisationsupportedbyreneweddemandfromthefinancesectorandastrongIpopipeline.InTOKYO,neteffectiverentalgrowthreached3.8%q-o-q,thehighestsince2007,astightavailabilityandrobustdemandcontinuedtosupportrents.
InAustralia,nationaleffectiverentsroseby2.3%q-o-q,surpassingthepreviouspeaksetinQ42019.However,growthmomentumislargelyconcentratedinpremiumassetswithinsydneyandBrisbane'scorelocations,whileothermarketsshowinglimitedupside.occupierscontinueto
demandelevatedlandlordincentivestooffsetrisingfit-outcostsandprotectbalancesheets·
Rentsinseoulcontinuedtorisebutgrowthislosingmomentumfromthecurrenthighbase.InIndia,rentalgrowthwasobservedacrossmostmarkets,withthoseinMumbaiBkcsurgingbyarecord-high10%q-o-q,drivenbylimitedavailability,flexoperatorexpansionandnewpremiumsupplyreleasedbyanowner-occupier.
FIGURE4:AsiapacificGradeAvacancy(%)
25
AsiapacificAsiaAsia(excludingMainlandchina)pacific
12%
10%
4%
2%
-2%
-4%
-6%
-8%
pacific,whileGradeAaskingrentsareusedforothermarkets.source:CBREResearch,Q32025.
capitalvalues-0.5%q-o-q
Rentalvalues+0.2%q-o-q
Retail
InvestmentTurnover-29%y-o-y
Retailsalesgrowthshowssteadymomentum
AsiapacificretailsalesshowedsteadyperformanceinJulyandAugust.populationgrowthandratecutssupportedhouseholdspendinginAustralia,whilegrowthinvisitorarrivalsunderpinnedretailsalesgrowthinsingaporeandHongkongsAR.Inkorea,improvingconsumersentimentafterthe
presidentialelectionandincreasinginternationaltouristarrivalsboostedsales.
Retailsalesgrowthinmainlandchinaweakenedthisquarterastheeffectofthegovernment's
spendingstimulusstartedtowinddown.InJapan,consumptionactivityslowedduetoinflation,
resultinginnegativeretailsalesgrowthinAugust,thefirsty-o-ydeclineafterthreeyearsofpositiveperformance.
Leasingdemandpicksupbutretailerskeepcostsinmind
MostmarketsreportedanincreaseinleasingenquiriesandsitevisitsinQ32025asimprovedclarityonglobaltradepolicyinstilledretailerswithgreaterconfidencetoproceedwithexpansion.Nevertheless,moreretailersoptedtorelocateexistingstoresratherthanopennewones.Retailers'preferencefor
primecoreareasandhighoccupancycostsforsuchspaceisforcingthemtobemoreconservativeaboutexpansionplans.
F&B,fashion,andsports&athleisurebrandscontinuetoleaseprimespaceacrosstheregion.F&B
remainsakeysourceofdemandinmostmarketsasconsumersturnmorewillingtospendon
experience.MainlandchinaF&BbrandsareactivelyexpandingintoemergingsoutheastAsia,often
targetingnewshoppingcentres.otherkeytrendsincludeup-and-comingsports&athleisurebrandsseekingprimecorelocationsinTokyoandseoulforflagshipstores.Insingaporeandmainlandchina,gymandwellnessfacilitiesareexpandinginshoppingcentrestocapturethegrowingwellnesstrend.otheractivesectorsincludeonlineretailersinIndiaexpandingintophysicalstorestocapturedemand.
Expansionfromluxurybrandshasweakenedamidaglobalslowdowninluxurysales.Insteadof
openingmorestores,retailersinthiscategoryarefocusingonestablishingasingleflagshipstoretoaddressbrandexperienceanddifferentproductlines.storescarryingsecondhandluxuryitemshavealsobeennegativelyimpacted.
FIGURE6:y-0-YGrowthinoverallRetailsalesinselectedMarkets
Q32024Q42024Q12025Q22025Q32025
source:CEIC,CBREResearch,october2025.
FIGURE7:RetailLeasingsentiment
source:CBREResearch,september2025.
Availabilitysettotighten;supplyconcentratedinmainlandchinaandBangkok
MainlandchinatierIcitiesandBangkokbothsawthecompletionofsubstantialnewsupplyinQ3
2025,withtheformeraddingaround5millionsq.ftandthelatterwelcomingaround600,000sq.ft.
includingtheopeningofcentralpark.Despitesteadypreleasinginnewsupply,vacancycontinuestoedgeupinthesecitiesamidsluggishoccupancyinnon-primeareas.
whileoverallleasingmomentuminHongkongsARremainedupbeat,primestreetvacancyincreasedassomeleasesexpiredandmosttransactionsoccurredoutsideofcBRE'sbasket.InTOKYO,strong
demandinprimespaceabsorbednewsupply,ensurevacancyremainedlowinmostkeysubmarkets.
ThebulkofupcomingsupplyisconcentratedinmainlandchinatierIcities,withcloseto40million
sq.ft.ofnewshoppingcentrestockexpectedtoopeninQ42025and2026.othermarketswithlargenewsupplyincludeBangkok,with3millionsq.ft.dueduringthesametimeframe.Landlordsof
existingpropertieswillneedtoimprovetheirofferingtoensuretheirassetsstayrelevant.
Limitedavailabilityincorelocationdrivesrentgrowth
CBRE'SAsiapacificRetailRentalIndexedgedupby0.2%q-o-qinQ32025.Fuelledbyincreased
consumerdemand,regionalcentresinAustraliaperformedwell,withMelbourneseeingthestrongestgrowth.whilerentsinTOKYOGinzacontinuedtotrendhigherduetostrongretailerdemandanda
lackofavailability,thepaceofgrowthstartedtolosemomentumasrentsreachedahistoricalhigh.
Althoughmostmarketsreportedmildrentalgrowthoverthequarter,mainlandchinarentscontinuedtocontract.HochiMinhcitycBDrecordedthelargestdeclineinrentsacrosstheregion,mainlyduetothecompletionofonenewmallwithrentswellbelowmarketaverage.Nevertheless,theoutlook
remainspositiveforthismarketasavailabilityremainstight.
TheonsetofthefestiveseasonandtraditionalincreaseinleasingdemandduringQ42025shouldensureprimeretailrentscontinuetoriseinmostmarkets.However,rentsinmainlandchinawillcontinuetocorrectaslandlordsprioritiseoccupancyoverrents.
CBRE'SAsiapacificRetailcapitalvalueIndexfellslightlyinQ32025,withvaluesdroppingby0.5%qo-q.whilecapitalvaluesinmainlandchinaremainedonadownwardtrend,falling2.4%q-o-q,the
dropwasoffsetbyanincreaseinTOKYO,wherecapitalvaluesmovedinlinewithrents.
FIGURE8:RetailDevelopmentpipeline
Note:citywidesupplyistrackedexceptTOKYO(core),Australia(CBDandregionalcentres)andseoulmetropolitanarea
FIGURE9:Q-0-QRetailRentalchangeinselectedMarkets
Bangkok;andhighstreetsforHongkongsAR,Taipei,andTOKYO.
capitalvalues-2.3%q-o-q
Rentalvalues-1.8%q-o-q
Logistics
InvestmentTurnover-47%y-0-y
Resilientdemandsupportedbyshort-termleasingandflight-to-qualityrelocations
Regionalleasingmomentumcontinuedtorecoverfromprevioustariff-relateddisruption,withdemandinQ32025largelydrivenby3PLsanddomestice-commerceoperators.Asurgeinshort-termleaseswas
observedasoccupierspreparedfortheupcomingfestiveseason.CBRE'slatestAsiapacificLogisticsLeasingsentimentsurveyuncoveredstableexpansionarydemandbutgrowinginterestinupgrading,particularlyinIndiaandGreaterseoul.
Asmarketsadjusttotariff-relateddisruption,moreoccupiersarereassessingrelocationandrenewalstrategies,especiallyinmarketswithhigheravailability,suchasGreaterTokyoandGreaterosaka.
Flighttocoreandflighttoqualitystrategiescontinuedtodrivecommitmentstoprimeassetsinthesemarkets,
Leasingactivityinmainlandchinasoftenedthisquarterundertheweightofeconomicuncertaintyandtariffvolatility.whileshort-termleasesaheadoftheDoubleElevensalesperiodprovidedtemporary
support,netabsorptionremainednegativeasoccupiersreturnedspaceastheboostfromgovernmentconsumptionsubsidiesandfront-loadingexportactivitydiminished.InHongkongsAR,occupiers
stayedcautiousamidtheambiguoustariffoutlookdespitestrongexportperformance.Elsewhere,
Australiarecordeditsslowestquarterlytake-upin12monthsasdemandnormalisedfromastrongfirsthalf,althoughfull-yearvolumesarestillexpectedtosurpass2024levelsgiventhestrongpipeline.
Elevatedvacancycontinuestoweighonmarketperformance
severalmarketscontinuetostrugglewithhighvacancy,particularlymainlandchinacitiesandHong
kongsAR.Beijingvacancyhoveredataround30%,whilethatinshanghai,Guangzhou,andshenzhen
edgedhigherunderincomingsupply.southchinawasfurtherimpactedbyweakeningcross-bordere
commercedemand.HongkongsARvacancyclimbedto11.8%,markinganewhistoricalhighamidsofterleasingactivity.Invietnam'SNorthernRegion,recordquarterlycompletionspushedupvacancyfrom
17.3%to20.7%despitesoldleasingactivity.GreaterTOKYO'soverallvacancyeasedslightlyfrom10.9%to10.4%,supportedbystrongcommitmentsinnewprojectsintheGaikandoandken-0-doareas
singaporeprimelogisticsvacancydeclinedfurtherto6.4%,drivenbytheabsorptionofnewstockcompletedinH12025.
FIGURE10:NatureoftheFiveLargestindustrial&logisticsEnquiriesReceivedoverthepastMonth
source:AsiapacificLeasingsentimentIndex,CBREResearch,Q32025.FIGURE11:LogisticsvacancyRate
supplypipelineremainssubstantialdespiteslowingmomentum
RegionalsupplymoderatedinQ32025followingastrongH12025,with35millionsq.ft.completedduringthequarter.Thisbroughtthey-t-dtotalto106millionsq.ft.,roughly65%oftheannual
forecast,underscoringtheextentofQ42025'spipeline.Japanandmainlandchinaaccountedfor
overhalfofthetotalvolume,withGreaterTokyoleadingtheregionat4.2millionsq.ft.TwoofthethreenewcompletionsinGreaterTokyoachievedhighoccupancyrates,supportedbydemandfromtheconsumergoodssector.Elevatedsupplyinmainlandchinacontinuedtopushupvacancy,withshanghaiandGuangzhoucollectivelyaccountingforaboutone-quarteroftheregionaltotal.
Newsupplyisforecastedtoslowfrom162millionsq.ft.in2025to145millionsq.ft.in2026.
Mainlandchinawillremainthelargestcontributor,ledbyGuangzhou,Beijingandshenzhen.
Australia'spipelinewillexpandaboveitshistoricalaverage,withsydney'ssupplyneardoublingits2025level,promptinglandlordstoofferincentivesforprecommitments.Attheotherendofthe
scale,newsupplyinJapanwillshrinkfurther,withGreaterosakacompletionsdroppingsharplyto5.9millionsq.ft.in2026,NewstockinGreaterTokyowillremainlargelystableandwellbelowits20232024peak,whichwillprovidesupportforasoftrentalrecoveryin2026.
Greaterchinamarketsweighonregionalrents
CBRE'SAsiapacificLogisticsRentalIndexfellby1.8%q-o-qinQ32025,acceleratingfromlast
quarter's1.5%drop,whilethecapitalvalueIndexretreatedby2.3%q-o-q.citiesinmainlandchinarecordedthesharpestdeclines,withBeijingcorrectingby5.3%,followedbyshanghai(-3.7%)andGuangzhou(2.6%),aslandlordsslashedrenttomaintainoccupancy.shenzhenremainedthemostresilientamongtierIcities,supportedbyalackofnewstockandsomespillover3PLande-
commercedemandreturningfromperipheralmarkets.HongkongsARrentsfell3.7%q-o-q,thesteepestdropsince2009,understrongdownsizingactivity.
RentsremainedflatacrossmostIndiancities.ontheupside,rentsinBrisbaneandsydneygrewby4.3%and0.7%q-o-q,respectively,onafacelevel,underpinnedbystrongtake-upinnew
completions.However,elevatedincentivelevelskeptsydneyrentsinnegativeterritoryforthequarterandonay-t-dbasis.Rentsinsingaporeandvietnam'ssouthernregionincreasedamidtighteningvacancy.
FIGURE12:LogisticsDevelopmentpipelineinMajorMarkets
FIGURE13:Q-o-QLogisticsRentalchangeinselectedMarkets
4%
3%
2%
-1%
-2%
-3%
-4%
-5%
-6%
Note:Rentalchangesformainlandchinesecitiesadoptlikeforlikerentalchange.source:CBREResearch,Q32025.
Investment
TotalInvestmentTurnover+15%y-o-y
crossBorderTurnover-3%y-o-y
Investmentvolumereboundstohighestquarterlytotalsince2021
Asiapacificcommercialrealestateinvestmentvolumeincreased28%q-o-qtous$41.8billioninQ32025,thehighestquarterlyvolumerecordedsince2021.
InvestmentvolumeinJapanincreased129%q-0-qtous$14billion,withactivityacrossallmajorsectorsregisteringrobustgrowth.oneofthelargestdealstookplaceinosaka,where
MitsubishiuFJFinancialGrouppurchasedosakaDojimahamaTowerforus$678million.Inkorea,investmentturnoverwentupby33%q-o-qtous$7billion,astheofficesectoronceagaindominatedactivity.TheacquisitionofpangyoTechoneTowerinseongnambya
domesticpropertyfundforus$1.4billionwaskorea'slargesttransactionthisquarter.
singaporeandIndiaalsowitnessedanuptickininvestmentvolume.volumeinIndiarose71%qo-qtous$1.6billion,whileturnoverincreased26%q-o-qinsingapore.onemajortransactioninsingaporewaskeppelsustainableurbanRenewalFund'spurchaseofJemfromLendlease
GlobalcommercialREITforus$360million.
Investmentvolumeinmainlandchinafell21%q-o-qtous$7.8billion.Baincapital'ssaleofaportfolioofdatacentrestoGuangdongHEC,achinesetechnologycompany,forus$3.9billionwaslargestdealinthismarketandcomprisedabout50%ofthecountry'stotalvolumeforthequarter.HongkongsARreportedadecreaseof-5%q-o-qininvestmentactivity,althoughthenumberoftransactionsincreased94%q-o-q,drivenmainlybysmalldeals.
whileinvestmentvolumeinAustraliadeclinedbyamagnitudeof16%q-0-qtous$3.9billion,therewasanotablerecoveryinactivityintheofficesector,wherevolumeincreased53%q-o-q.TheofficesectorinMelbournewasparticularlyactive,withthecitycomprisingalmosthalfoftotalofficeinvestmentvolumeinAustraliaduringthequarter.
officeinvestmentreboundedstronglyinQ32025,withvolumerising85%q-o-q,primarilyduetorobustactivityinJapanandkorea.Thesetwomarketscombinedaccountedforalmosttwothirdsoftheregion'sofficeinvestmentvolumethisquarter.Industrialinvestmentincreasedby13%q-o-q,bolsteredbyregionalcitiesinJapan,butretailinvestmentcorrectedby55%q-0-qafterastrongQ22025.
Figure14:TransactionvolumebyMarket
Note:Transactionsincludedealsaboveus$10millionintheoffice,Retail,Industrial,Hotel,Residential(Incomeproducing),Mixedandother
commercialsectors
*othersEAsiaincludesMalaysia,Indonesia,philippines,Thailandandvietnamsource:CBREResearch,Q32025.
Figure15:Transactionvolumebysector
yieldtrendsdivergeacrossregion
yielddecompressioncontinuedtobewitnessedacrossallmajorsectorsinmainlandchinainQ32025assupplypressureandfallingrentsweighedoninvestorsentiment.yieldsinthismarketsoftenedbyasmuchas20bps,aswaswitnessedforGuangzhouoffices.ontheotherhand,shanghailogisticsyieldsheldstable.InHongkongsAR,yieldsacrossmajorsectorsalsoremainedrelativelyflatthisquarter.
Theyieldexpansioncyclealsocontinuedforperthoffices.However,yieldsforsydneyofficesshowedsignsoftighteninginQ32025,fallingby10bps.TheretailandindustrialsectorsinAustraliaalsoregisteredtighteningyieldsduringtheperiod.Regional
shoppingcentreyieldsfellbetween5bpsand15bpsacrossthecountry'smaincities,whileyieldsforlogisticspropertiescompressedbyupto20-25bpsinBrisbane,perthandAdelaide.
yieldsforseoulofficesshowedadownwardtrendof5bpsinQ32025amidrobust
investmentinofficeassetsduringthequarter.InJapan,primeyieldsacrossallmajor
sectorsheldsteadyinTOKYO.similarlyinsingapore,yieldsdisplayedlimitedmovement.
BorrowingcostscontinuedtofallinmostmarketsacrossAsiapacificasbenchmark
interestratesdroppedfurther.substantialdeclineswereregisteredinNewzealand,
singaporeandAustralia,wheredebtcostsdroppedby70bps,60bpsand30bps,
respectively.ontheotherhand,amidvolatilityinthe3-monthHIBORinHongkongsAR,lendingratesreboundedby185bpsafterfalling220bpsinQ22025.
Inkorea,borrowingcostsfellatamoremodestmagnitudeofgbps.ThecostofdebtinmainlandchinaandJapanbothheldstablethisquarter,inlinewithpolicyrateswhichalsoremainedunchangedinthesetwomarkets.
onbalance,yieldspreadsaregenerallymostpositiveinmainlandchinesecitiesduetoacombinationofyielddecompressionandlowborrowingcosts.Incontrast,Hongkong
SARrevertedtonegativecarryinQ32025giventhereboundinlendingrates.citiesinIndiaalsoprovidesignificantnegativecarrygivenhighborrowingcostsinthismarket.
FIGURE16:primeyieldtoRelativeBorrowingcosts(spread)
centres
source:CBREResearch,Q32025.
FIGURE17:yieldsbyMarketandsector
outlook
OFFICE
Regionalofficeleasingactivityisexpectedtofurtherstabiliseonthebackofimprovedclarity
aroundtheglobaltradeenvironment.Brightspotswillincludecontinuedflight-to-qualityand
flight-to-coredemandastenantsturnmoresel
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