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DisclaimerTheinformationinthisreportisprovidedonanas-isbasis.Thisdocumentwasproducedby
Google,Temasek,Bain,andotherthirdpartiesinvolvedasofthedateofwritingandissubjecttochange.Ithas
been
prepared
solely
for
information
purposes
over
a
limited
period
of
time
to
provide
aperspectiveonthemarket.Itisnotintendedforinvestmentpurposes.AllfinancialanalysisisderivedorestimatedbyBainanalysisusingbothnon-Googleproprietaryandpublicly
availableinformation.Googlehasnotsuppliedanyadditionaldataforfinancialanalysis,nordoesGoogleendorseanyfinancialanalysismadeinthereport.Whereinformationhasbeenobtainedfromthird-party
sources
and
proprietary
research,this
is
clearly
referenced
in
the
footnotes.Projectedmarketandfinancialinformation,analyses,andconclusionscontainedinthisreportshouldnotbeconstrued
as
definitive
forecasts
or
guarantees
of
future
performance
or
results.Google,Temasek,Bain,theirrespectiveaffiliates,oranyotherthirdpartyinvolvedmakenorepresentationorwarranty,either
express
or
implied,as
to
the
accuracy
or
completeness
of
the
informationinthe
Referencee-ConomySEAisamulti-yearresearchprogrammelaunchedbyGoogleandTemasekin2016.Bain&Company
joinedtheprogrammeasleadresearchpartnerin2019.TheresearchleveragesTemasekinsights,Bainanalysis,GoogleTrends,datafromresearchpartners,expertinterviews,andindustrysourcestoshedlightonthedigitaleconomyinSoutheastAsia(SEA).Theinformationincludedinthisreportissourcedas‘Google,Temasek,andBain,e-ConomySEA2025’,unlessotherwisespecified.
2Reachingnewheights:Navigatingthepathtoprofitablegrowth10theditionofe-ConomySEAbyGoogle,Temasek,Bain:Southeast
Asia’s
digital
economy
research
programmeUnlocking
theUnprecedentedSEA’sinternetSwipeupandtotheAt
full
velocity:$200B
opportunitygrowthforSEA’s$50Beconomy
hits
anright:SEA’s$100BResilientandinSEAinterneteconomyinflectionpointinterneteconomyracingaheadFromDigitalDecadeto
AIReality:Accelerating
thefuturein
ASEAN2021202220232024Through
thewaves,towardsaseaofopportunityProfitsontherise,
harnessingSEA’sadvantageRoaring‘20s:TheSEADigital
Decade201820192020201620173With
contributions
fromC?Ac
ventures
①sensor
Tower余
張(iran
ite?sia
sun
sue親cube
milieu
4e-Conomy
SEA
research
methodologyNotes:AlldollaramountsareinUSD.1)Dataprovidedbythird-partyresearchpartners.2)BainandTemasekconductedinterviews
and
a
quantitative
survey
with
SEA-focused
venture
capital
investors
from
July2025toSeptember2025.WIPWIPExpertinterviews2
and
industry
sourcesResearchpartnersResearchpartners1TemasekinsightsGoogleTrendsBainanalysisSEA-
6283M36M
116M6M72M101MtotalpopulationacrossthesecountriesIndonesiaMalaysiaPhilippinesSingaporeThailandVietnamASEAN-
4+81MtotalpopulationacrossthesecountriesBruneiCambodiaLaosMyanmar
5ThiseditionmarkstheexpansionofcoveragebeyondSEA-6toASEAN-10Unlessotherwisestated,allmentions
of
‘SEA-6’in
this
reportrefertothesesixmarkets:Indonesia,Malaysia,Philippines,Singapore,Thailand,andVietnam.
‘ASEAN-4’referstoBrunei,Cambodia,Laos,andMyanmar.‘ASEAN-10’referstoall10aforementionedcountries.Note:Populationnumbersarefor2024fromWorldBankWorldDevelopmentIndicators,lastupdated1July2025.Source:WorldBank614M463K55M18M8M1EcommerceMarketplacesDirect-to-consumer
GroceriesVideocommerce4Online
travelFlightsHotelsVacationrentalsTransport
6Insurance2Fooddelivery5OnlinemediaAdvertisingGamingVideo-on-demandMusic-on-demandWe
continue
our
focus
on
six
leading
sectors
in
the
digital
economyFinancialservicesPaymentsLendingWealthNotes:Ecommercedoesnotincludeinformalcommerceduetothelackofreliabledata.Financialservicesareexcludedfrom
market
sizing
estimates
due
to
differences
in
units
of
measurement
compared
to
other
leading
sectors.36Keepinggrowthmomentumsteady●
Ecommerce●Fooddelivery●Transport●Onlinetravel●Onlinemedia●
Payments●
Lending●Wealth●
InsuranceAdvancingintoan
intelligenteconomy●
Experience
redefinition●
Enterprisetransformation●
Ecosystem
enablementMappingtheAI
transformation●
Enablers●Dependencies●OutlookRekindlinginvestorinterest●
Landscape●AInativesContent03010402
7
8Executivesummary(1/2)Positivesignsofexitsareemerging
around
the
worldLearningfromthepast,morecompaniesarenow
focusing
on
profitability
from
an
earlystage.PositivesignsofpublicmarketexitsareemerginggloballyandinAPAC,asthevolumeofIPOshasrisenacrossexchanges
fromNASDAQtoHKEX,SSEStar,andothers.Thereisarobustpipelineofover150IPOcandidatesacrossIndonesia,Malaysia,andSingapore,despitetheregiontrailingglobalmarketsinthefirsthalfof2025.SEAsustainsitsgrowthmomentumacrosscoremetricsSEA’sdigitaleconomyisontrackto
surpass$300BinGMV:1.5Xourinauguralforecast10yearsago.BothGMVandrevenueareseeingsteadygrowthof~15%YoY,drivenbydeepeningdigitalparticipationandnew
monetisation
strategies,
whichinclude
higher
pricing,tieredofferings,anddiversifiedrevenuestreamsacrosskeysectors.Thedigitalfinancialservices(DFS)ecosystemstrengthensTencountriesinSEAnowhavenationalQRsystems,andareseeingextremely
strong
adoption.Eightmarketsnowoffercross-borderQRinteroperability.Lendingbusinessesaremanagingrisksbyusingtransactiondataforunderwriting,
while
digital
wealth
platforms
arestarting
to
reach
scale.Video
reinvigoratesecommerce;food
deliveryisalmostprofitableLeadingecommerceplayersaredeliveringasignificantGMVandrevenuegrowth
premium
in
a
consolidatingmarket.Videocommercenowaccountsfor25%oftotalecommerceGMV.FooddeliveryisonthecuspofprofitabilityasplayerslooktoraiseAOVand
expand
into
restaurant
dining.RetailmediasurgeascontentboundariesblurAnecosystem-widemonetisationpushisliftingretailmediatorapidlygainmomentumtowards$3B.Entertainment
formats
are
blurring,andshortdramaisafast-emergingformatonwhichChineseandlocalplayers
are
betting
to
compete
withglobal
powerhouses.Acautiousuptickinprivate
fundingPrivatefundinggrew15%inthelast12
monthsfrom$6.8Bto$7.7B.
Atilttowards
late-stage
funding(~80%of
totalfundinginSeriesCtoE+vs~70%inthe
yearbefore)reflectsshiftinginvestorpriorities.DFScontinuestogarnerthelion’sshare
offunding(45-50%,upfrom~30%inthe
year
before).Investorsturntheir
focusto
AITherearenow~700activeAIstartupsinSEA;~30%ofprivatefundinginthelast12monthshas
gonetowardsAI.50%ofVCssurveyed
indicated
that
more
than
aquarter
of
their
overall
portfolio
have
AIastheircoreproduct,andthisisanticipated
to
grow
to71%in
thenext12months.Notes:GMV=grossmerchandisevalue;YoY=year-on-year;AOV=averageordervalue;AI=artificialintelligence;VC=
venturecapitalist;IPO=initialpublicoffering.GMVincludesecommerce,fooddelivery,transport,onlinetravel,andonlinemedia,
whilerevenueincludesdigitalfinancialservicesinadditiontotheGMVsectors.Keepinggrowthmomentum
steadyRekindling
investorinterest
9Executivesummary(2/2)Lookingahead:thenextdecadeholdsbothpromiseanduncertaintyThedecadeaheadwillbedefinedbythebalancebetween
powerful
catalysts
and
significant
hurdles.Growth
will
be
driven
by
the
acceleration
of
AI,therevivalofcapitalmarkets,andgreatercooperationamongSEAnations.Thismomentum,however,facesamajorheadwindfromglobaluncertainty.Thedecisive
factorwill
be
the
wild
card
of
regulatory
choices,
whichcaneitherunlockorinhibittheregion'simmensepotentialinthisnextphase.FosteringconsumertrustforAI-assisteddecisionsThefullcommercialpotentialofAIcanonly
be
realised
by
fostering
consumertrust.DespitetheirenthusiasticadoptionofAI,usersremaincautious
aboutdelegatingmoresignificantdecisions
due
to
concerns
aroundprivacy,datasecurity,andreliability.Todeepen
confidence,businesses
mustbuildtrustworthyAIsystems
thatprioritise
transparency
and
control.Redefiningconsumerjourneysfromsearchto
discoveryAIisreshapingthepathtopurchase,replacingtraditionallinearsearcheswith
a
dynamic,AI-powered
discoveryprocess.ConsumersareincreasinglyusingtoolslikeAI-poweredsearchandmultimodalinputstoanswermorecomplexqueries,requiringbusinesses
to
adapt
their
strategies
for
guiding
consumers
on
their
journeysfrom
initial
curiosity
to
final
purchase.CapitalisingonSEA’s
enthusiasmforAIFuelledbyinterestthatexceedstheglobalaverage,SEA’sdigitallysavvy
consumers
are
rapidly
adopting
AI.Tocapitaliseonthispotential,businessesmustnavigatetheregion'suniquechallenges,including
fragmentedregulations,low-costlabour,andthecriticalneedtoearn
consumerconfidencefordecisionsthat
go
beyond
daily
conveniences.Transformational
milestonesoverthe
past
decadeSEA'sdigitaleconomyhasundergonea
monumental
transformation,beginning
with
an
incredible
wave
of200M
new
users
coming
online.Indoingso,theywentbeyondpassivescrolling
to
fully
embracing
digital
life,leading
to
a
fundamental
shiftinregionalcommerce
where3in5peoplenowshoponlineandover60%ofalltransactionsaredigital.Commemorating10yearsofunprecedentedgrowthTheSEAdigitaleconomyhasgrownfrom~$40BGMVadecadeagotoover$300Bin2025.However,whatismoresignificantisthedecisiveshifttomonetisationin2024thatisforecasttopropelrevenueto$135B:an11.2Xincreaseinadecade,overcomingchallengeslikeCOVID-19andinflation.Nuanced
regulatoryandfinancialbarriersAfragmentedregulatoryenvironmentacrossSEAposeschallengestoAIintegrationbycreating
uncertainty
and
raisingcompliancecosts.Relativelylowlabourcostsintheregionmeanthatbusinessesneedtoconsider
local
conditions
when
makingtheircaseforAIinvestments.Advancing
intoanintelligenteconomyMappingthe
AItransformationNote:ROI=returnoninvestmentKeepinggrowthmomentumsteadySEA’sdigitaleconomyisonastrongtrajectory
tosurpass$300B
in
GMV.Sustaineddigitaladoptionandeffectivemonetisation
strategieshaveresultedinaresurgentecommercesector,thefooddeliverymodelapproachingprofitability,theriseofretailmedia,andblurredlines
acrossentertainmentformats.
11Sustainedgrowthmomentumin2025GMVandrevenuedemonstratesustaineddouble-digitgrowthdespitecontinuedmacroeconomicpressures.Brunei,Cambodia,
Laos,andMyanmararenowincludedinouranalysis,collectivelyaccountingfor~2%of
total
GMV.Revenuegrowthremainsin
line
with
GMV
growthRevenuegrowthiskeepingpace
with,if
not
outpacing,GMVgrowthacrossallsectors,
underscoringthemonetisationdiscipline
consistently
observedover
the
past
two
years.SEA
continues
to
deliver
double-digit
growth
in
GMV
and
revenue+15%7625317312023Note:1)Toavoiddouble-counting,revenueforonlinemediaexcludesretailmedianetworks.Source:Bainanalysis+14%993042440+15%299333350181 Online
media1
Transport
and
food
Travel
Ecommerce8727421352024Revenue($B)GMV($B)10031424413053434511852025
2025(SEA-6)
(ASEAN-10)2602929451562262625371382025(ASEAN-10)2025
(SEA-6)+15%2024202312Direct(1P)revenuemodelB
channelsRevenueisthepriceofthegoodsorservices
sold,or
the
underlying
instrumentThirdparty(3P)platformmodelEcommerce
marketplacesRevenuetothirdparty(3P)intermediaryplatforms
is
a
portion
of
the
price
of
goods
orservices
sold,or
the
underlying
instrumentDigitalbusinessesderiverevenuethroughdirectsalesor
by
functioning
as
an
intermediary
platformIncludesadvertisingKeyrevenue
inthedigitaldefinitions
economyDigitalfinancial
services(DFS)Online/
game
publishersFooddelivery
platformsAirline/hotels’
ownchannelsFooddeliveryNote:OTA=onlinetravelagencyTransport
platformsOTAplatformsMediaplatformsOnline
mediaF
channelsTransportEcommercePayments,etc.Insurance,etc.ConsumerConsumerTravelPlatformSellerSellerN/A13Revenue($B)●
Grocery35959+16%+11%+16%1852430040
4135311611361202030(ASEAN-10)
14ThemarketisconsolidatingaslargeplayersscaleSeveraldomesticplayershaveexitedthemarket,which
is
consolidating
around
a
smaller
number
oflargerregionalcompanies.Theseleadingplatformsareleveragingsignificanteconomiesofscale,which
create
distinct
competitive
advantages.Videocommerceincreasesits
contribution
to
GMVVideo
commerce
continues
its
rapid
growth,nowdrivingapproximately25%oftotalGMV.Thisexpansionisfuelledbyahighvolumeoflower-value
transactions,trusted
local
creatorrecommendations,andseamlesssocial-ecommerceintegrationsthatconvertattention
into
sales
with
minimal
friction.AI’sgrowinginfluenceonconversionAIhasbecomeacorepartoftheshoppingjourney:usersturntoAIforhelpwithresearchanddecision-making,while
ecommerce
platforms
useAI
to
power
product
recommendations.Sixty-twopercentofSEAconsumerssayAI-poweredfeatures,such
as
hyper-personalised
productrecommendations,have
influenced
their
purchasedecisions.1
Thisis
creating
a
new
competitivefrontierforplatforms.ThecreatoreconomybecomesmorediverseAs
the
creator
population
skyrockets,trustbecomesacriticaldifferential,asconsumersprefer
authentic
recommendations.Oncedominated
by
top
creators,the
ecosystem
isnow
diversifying,with
niche
and
micro-influencersemergingasthenewdriversofmeaningful
transactions.As
the
market
consolidates,ecommerceGMV
and
revenue
growth
pick
up
againNote:2025estimatesarebasedonannualisedresultsfromH12025.Sources:Bainanalysis;1)Google/Milieu,TheImpactofAlontheDigitalConsumerinASEAN,ASEAN-10,September2025,n=7,200consumersEcommerceFooddeliveryTransportOnlinetravelOnlinemediaDigitalfinancialservices2025(ASEAN-10)2025(ASEAN-10)Non-groceryGMV($B)2025
(SEA-6)2025
(SEA-6)156201381718124+13%2024202420232023158Shoppertainment
takes
offVideocommercehasevolvedfromanichechannel
into
a
mainstream
force
that
is
projectedtocapture25%ofallecommerceGMVby2025,
upfromlessthan5%in2022.Theexplosivegrowth
is
fuelled
by
‘shoppertainment’,a
fusionof
content
and
commerce
often
led
by
creators,
that
transforms
online
shopping
into
animmersiveandentertainingsocialexperience.DigitalreachdiversifiesThenumberofsellersandstoresusingvideohassurgedby80%YoYtoover3M.With
the
right
recipe
for
success,businessescanreachconsumersinacost-effective
way.It
provides
a
dynamicstage
to
showcase
products
or
collaboratewith
skilled
creators
who
can
amplify
brandmessagesanddrivesalesthroughtrusted,engaging
content.VolumeovervalueindrivinggrowthThe
growth
in
video
commerce
GMV
ispowerednotbyhigherprices,butbya50%YoYsurgeintransactionvolume.ThelowAOVforvideocommercehaspulledoverallAOVdownfromlastyear’saverage.Thissignalsabroader
market
shift
towards
a
trust-based,entertainment-led
model
where
persuasivecreators
convert
audience
excitement
directly
intopurchases,defininganewnormoffrequent,smaller
transactions.A
high
volume
of
low-cost
purchases
has
propelled
video
commerce
to2.5X
GMV
in
two
yearsEcommerceFooddeliveryTransportOnlinetravelOnlinemediaDigitalfinancialservices6
.
5B+●50%
YoY3M+
80%YoYVideo
commerce
GMV($B)VideocommerceinSEA-62.5XGMVgrowth
since2023Sellersandstores
usingvideo2022
2023
2024
2025Averageordervalue(AOV)Percentage
of
ecommerce
GMV2025overallecommerceAOV2024overallecommerceAOV2025
videocommerceAOVTransaction
volume$13-$15perorder$11-$13perorder$6-$7perorderSource:Cube,SEA2025<5%20%25%13%154618316
SellersBrands
and
merchants
who
make
upthecommercialengineof
theecosystem.They
are
responsibleforsourcingproducts,managinginventory,andfulfillingorders.Percentage
of
GMV
captured
by
top
performersThe
top10sellers
per
category
drive20%oftotalcategory
transactionsintheirrespectivecountryEcommercevideocreatornichesLouisseScarlettFamilyShoppingandretailWinWilliamPhonesandelectronicsHero
products
take
the
spotlightWhiletheecosystemfeaturesalongtailofsellersandstores,videocommerceisdominatedbyasmallpooloftopsellersandbest-sellingproducts.Successisintrinsicallylinkedtotheliveformat:80%ofthesetop-performingproductsarefeaturedinlivestreams.Theabilitytobuildauthenticityandtrustthroughreal-time
interactionmakesitthekeychannelforcreatingviraldemandandestablishingproducts
as
bestsellers.CreatorscaleisbuiltontrustTopcreatorsoperateatremarkablescale,broadcastingamedianofmorethan30monthlylivestreams.Theirconstantpresenceisessentialformaintainingadirectandauthenticconnection
with
their
audience,afactor
that
underpins
their
success.Evenastheyachievemega-creatorstatus,preservingthisrelatabilityiscritical,astrustisthefoundationalcurrency
of
the
creator
economy.Itis
this
trust
that
makes
them
powerfulpartners
for
amplifying
sales
of
newand
existing
products.Topsellers,products,andcreatorspropel
the
videocommerceecosystem
CreatorsPersonalitiesandinfluencers
whoserve
as
the
bridge
to
consumers.Theybuildcommunitytrustandauthenticallydemonstrateproducts
whiledrivingengagement.
ProductsThe
items
being
sold.In
videocommerce,theyarethe
focalpoint
ofthecontent,with
their
valuedemonstratedthroughlive
video,
tutorials,andreviews.The
top1,000creatorsproduceamedianof30+monthlylive
videos
LIVE
The
top1,000productspercountrydrive25%ofthecountry’s
totalGMVEcommerceFooddeliveryTransportOnlinetravelOnlinemediaDigitalfinancialservicesPimrypieMixedcategoriesQuy?nLeoMixedcategoriesKohcunPhonesandelectronics80%
werefeatured
inlive
videosRosmarBeautySource:Cube,SEA2025LIVEA
distinct
category
mixVideo
commerce
is
forging
a
categorymix
that
sets
it
apart
from
traditionalecommerce.One
standout
is
the
beautyvertical,whichcapturesalargershareofthe
pie
in
this
format
due
to
the
powerof
demonstration.Another
key
trend
isthe
popularity
of
everyday
staples
likehomeandtools,andgroceries.Incontrast,categoriessuchasphonesandelectronicsaregrowingbuttrailtheirshareinthebroader
ecommerce
market,signallingpotential
for
future
expansion.The
‘show,don’ttell’advantageAnanalysisoftop-sellingproductsrevealsthatsuccessinvideocommerceiscloselytied
to
the
products’suitability
for
a
live,interactive
format.Examples
of
goods
that
dowellinthisenvironmentinclude:1)cosmetics,whichneedtobeseeninaction;2)supplements,forwhichliveQ&Ashelp
build
consumer
confidence
in
theirsafety
and
efficacy;and3)limited-editionitems,including
collectibles
and
flash-sale
gadgets,that
leverage
communityexcitement
to
drive
impulse
buys.LabubusSame-dayduriansWashingdetergentsGut
supplementsBedmattressesSmartphonesandtabletsCaroil3-in-1coffeePetfoodBabyformulaStorageandpackagingHeadphonesWomen’sunderwearRingsandearringsWide-legpantsInvisiblesocksSunscreen
FoundationmakeupBodylotionandcreamsWaterprooflipstickVideo
commerce
expands
beyond
beauty
and
fashion
into
a
full
spectrum
of
everyday
retail
categoriesCategoryOtherFoodandbeverageEverydaysuppliesHealthandbabyHomeandtoolsPhonesandelectronicsPercentageofGMV9%7%7%7%10%12%Video
commerce
categories
and
productsBeautyandpersonalcareFashionandaccessoriesEcommerceFooddeliveryTransportOnlinetravelOnlinemediaDigitalfinancialservices21%27%ExamplesoftopproductsSource:Cube,SEA202517AshifttowardseverydayaffordabilityDespite
macroeconomic
challenges,demand
for
food
delivery
has
remained
buoyant.Platformsareincreasinglytargetingsegmentsthat
value
affordability
by
introducing
newproducts
and
diverse
menu
options,shiftingthe
service
from
a
discretionary
luxury
to
amore
accessible
option
for
a
broaderconsumerbase.Insomemarkets,averageordervalueshaveincreased,drivenbycross-selling
tactics
like
free
delivery
foradd-on
orders
and
group
orders.Nextstop:profitabilityPlatformshavebeenactivelybuildingmoresustainablebusinessmodels.Theyhavemadesignificant
progress
in
reducing
their
cost
toserve
through
optimised
logistics
andstreamlinedoperationsinkeymetroareas.Most
are
now
profitable
or
are
soonapproachingprofitability.Smallerbusinessesgetintothe
advertising
gameMajor
platforms
are
reporting
high
double-digitgrowth
in
advertising
revenue.Long-tailvendors
are
following
in
the
footsteps
of
theirlargercompetitorsbyadoptingsophisticatedadvertising
solutions
offered
by
the
platforms
todriveawarenessandconversions.Asplatformsbecome
a
primary
advertising
channel
for
thesebusinesses,theirwillingnesstopayisincreasing.Steady
GMV
growth
reflects
food
delivery’s
shift
from
luxury
to
routine+14%+14%3622
231917LoyaltysubscriptionsCloudkitchens+18%+33%2.4
2.4
2.01.5Advertising+60
-
90%YoYrevenuegrowthNotes:2025estimatesarebasedonannualisedresultsfromH12025.Previouslyreportednumbersfor2023havebeenrevised.Source:BainanalysisCommissionsondine-in
vouchers202320242025
2025(SEA-6)
(ASEAN-10
)2030(ASEAN-10)Adjacent
revenue
streamsRevenue($B)GMV($B)DigitalfinancialservicesFooddeliveryEcommerceTransportOnlinetravelOnlinemedia2025
(ASEAN-10)2025
(SEA-6)2024202318Totalmarketsizeforfoodservices(2025)Total
food
servicesGMVExpansioninto
dininginOnlineGMV23B
ConsumersMerchantsPlatformsSavingsGrowthEngagementExclusivediscountsofAlow-costmarketingchannelIncreased
app
usage
and
user10-30%on
total
billstoacquirecustomersandincreasefoot
trafficstickiness,reducingchurnConvenienceMonetisationAsingleappfor
discovery,ProfitabilityExpanded
share
of
wallet
andtransport,andpaymentAhigh-marginalternativetoexpensive(20-25%commission)customerlifetime
value,plus
additionalrevenuestreamsDiscoverydeliveryservicesfrom
wallets,ads,Curatedlistsandratingscommissions,etc.tofindtrustedrestaurantsPartnershipAmarketingpartnerhelpingto
drivetheircoredine-inbusiness,
beyond
justalogisticsproviderDataVisibilityintoofflineconsumerspendingpatternsPlatforms
are
moving
beyond
delivery
to
capture
valuefromin-restaurantdiningEcosystembenefitsfromexpansionintodininginDigitalfinancialservicesFooddeliveryEcommerceTransportOnlinetravelOnlinemediaSource:BainanalysisRevenue($B)
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