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農(nóng)ARK
INVESTBIG
IDEAS
2026BIG
IDEAS
2026RESEARCH
REPORTFORINFORMATIONAL
PURPOSES
ONLYARK
Investment
Management
LLCThisisnota
recommendation
in
relation
to
any
named
particular
securities/cryptocurrencies
and
nowarranty
orguarantee
is
provided.Any
referencestoparticularsecurities/cryptocurrencies
are
for
illustrative
purposes
only.
There
is
no
assurance
that
the
Adviser
will
make
any
investments
with
the
same
or
similar
characteristics
as
any
investment
presented.
The
reader
should
not
assume
that
an
investment
identified
was
or
will
be
profitable.
PAST
PERFORMANCE
IS
NOT
INDICATIVE
OF
FUTURE
PERFORMANCE,
FUTURE
RETURNS
ARE
NOT
GUARANTEED.RAPID
PACEOF
CHANGEEXPOSUREACROSSSECTORSAND
MARKETCAPUNCERTAINTYAND
UNKNOWNSDISRUPTIVE
INNOVATIONREGULATORY
HURDLESPOLITICALOR
LEGAL
PRESSURECOMPETITIVE
LANDSCAPEPlease
note:
CompaniesthatARK
believes
are
capitalizing
on
disruptive
innovation
and
developingtechnologiesto
displace
older
technologies
orcreate
new
markets
may
not
infact
do
so.ARK
aimsto
educate
investors
andseeks
to
size
the
potential
investment
opportunity,
noting
that
risks
and
uncertainties
may
impact
our
projections
and
research
models.
Investors
should
usethe
content
presentedfor
informational
purposes
only,and
be
aware
of
market
risk,
disruptive
innovation
risk,
regulatory
risk,
and
risks
relatedto
certain
innovation
areas.Please
read
risk
disclosure
carefully.RISK
OF
INVESTING
IN
INNOVATION2ARK
Big
Ideas
2026Risks
Of
Investing
Aimforacross-sector
understanding
oftechnology
andcombinetop-downand
bottom-up
research.
Aimto
understandthe
regulatory,
market,sector,andcompany
risks.
(See
Disclosure
Page)In
InnovationSource:
ARK
Investment
Management
LLC,
2026.AI
Infrastructure19TheAIConsumer
Operating
System25AI
Productivity32Bitcoin38TokenizedAssets45Decentralized
FinanceApplications52Multiomics58Reusable
Rockets78Robotics83Distributed
Energy90AutonomousVehicles95Big
Ideas2026
marksthe10th
annual
edition
ofARK
Invest’s
flagshipresearch
report,
designedto
identify
and
contextualizethetechnologiesreshapingtheglobal
economy.
Eachyear,we
sift
through
short-term
noise
tofindsignal
andfocus
on
long-term
innovation
platforms,
as
exponential
technologies
are
converging,
markets
aretransforming,
and
entirely
newopportunities
are
emerging.
Big
Ideas
is
not
a
forecast
of
incremental
change.
It
is
aframeworkfor
understanding
step-function
changes
in
growth.Inthisyear’s
report,we
explore13
Big
Ideas
spanning
artificial
intelligence,
robotics,
energy,
blockchain,
space,
and
biology.
Based
on
our
research
in
both
public
and
private
markets,these
Big
Ideas
are
compoundingtoredefine
productivity,
capital
allocation,
and
competitive
advantage
across
industries.We
examine
how
thesetechnologies
are
movingfromexperimentationto
scale,
and
howtheir
convergence
is
acceleratingthe
pace
of
changefasterthan
consensus
expectations.For
a
decade,
Big
Ideas
has
served
as
a
signal
for
what’s
next.
Big
Ideas2026
continuesthat
mission,
equipping
investors,
businesses,
anddecision-makerswith
a
clearerview
ofwhere
innovation
is
heading
before
it
becomes
obvious.The
future
doesn’t
arrive
all
at
once.Thosewho
recognize
it
early
havethe
opportunityto
OwnWhat’s
Next.Welcome
to
ARK
Invest’s
Big
Ideas
2026.3ARK
Big
Ideas
2026
Autonomous
Logistics
101TheGreatAcceleration
044
ARK
Big
Ideas
2026:The
GreatAccelerationThe
GreatAccelerationAI
Is
The
Central
Dynamo,Accelerating
Five
Major
InnovationPlatformsAnd
IgnitingAn
Inflection
In
Macroeconomic
GrowthBrettWintonChief
FuturistFive
major
innovation
platforms—AI,Public
Blockchains,
Robotics,
EnergyStorage,
and
Multiomics—are
becoming
increasingly
interdependent
asperformance
advances
in
one
platform
unlock
new
capabilities
in
another.Reusable
Rockets
sendingAutonomous
MobilityAI
chipsto
orbit
could
become
criticalto
scalingthe
Next
Gen
Cloud.Multiomics
data
permissioned
on
Digital
Wallets
could
power
Neural
Networksthat
catalyzethe
development
ofPrecisionTherapiesto
cure
rare
diseases.DistributedEnergyGenerationAutonomousMobilityReusableRocketsNext
GenCloudHumanoidRobotsSmartContractsIntelligent
DevicesSource:ARK
Investment
Management
LLC,
2026.
For
informational
purposes
only
and
should
not
be
considered
investment
advice
or
a
recommendation
to
buy,
sell,
or
hold
any
particular
security.
Past
performance
is
not
indicative
offuture
results.
Forecasts
are
inherently
limited
and
cannot
be
relied
upon.AdvancedBattery
Sp
edTechnologyszobotcialiReMultiomicsNeural
TechnologyTechnological
Convergence
IsAcceleratingDigitalWalletsProgrammable
BiologyCryptocurrenciesNetworksPrecision
TherapiesARK
Big
Ideas
2026:
The
Great
Acceleration50.40.350.30.250.20.150.10.050RelativeImportanceAsA
TechnologicalCatalystu20232024
u2025AI
EnergyStoragePublicBlockchainsRoboticsMultiomicSequencing4035302520151050ConvergenceNetworkStrength(100PointScale)+35%+20%20232024
2025Disruptivetechnologies
are
intermeshing.Convergence
Network
Strength,
a
measure
ofthe
degree
to
which
disruptivetechnologies
are
catalyzing
and
beingcatalyzed
by
each
other,
increased
35%
in
2025.AI
remainsthe
critical
enabling
innovation
platform,the
importance
of
robotics
as
a
catalyst
inflected
in
2025.Among
major
new
developments:theworld’s
largest
robots—reusable
rockets—
could
play
an
extraordinary
role
in
enabling
AI;
energy
storage
and
distributed
energysystems
have
become
critical
enablers
ofnextgen
cloud
build-outs;
and
smartcontracts
andstablecoins
couldsupport
a
global
digital
monetary
ecosystem,
allowing
AI
agentsto
coordinate
and
direct
real-world
resources.Note:
Network
strength
measuresthe
realizedweighted
strength
of
each
network
connection
in
relationtothe
maximum
possible
weighted
strength
in
a
fully
connected
network.
Source:
ARK
Investment
Management
LLC,
2026,
based
on
datafromWinton
2024.
In
additiontothat
source,
certain
information
presented
may
be
the
result
of
ARK’s
internal
analyses,
which
draw
on
various
additional
sources
of
information.
For
informationalpurposes
only
and
should
not
be
considered
investment
advice
or
a
recommendationto
buy,
sell,
or
hold
any
particular
security.
Past
performance
is
not
indicative
offuture
results.
Forecasts
are
inherently
limited
and
cannot
be
relied
upon.Technology
PlatformGrowth
RatesAreAcceleratingAndCatalyzing
OneAnotherARK
Big
Ideas
2026:
The
Great
Acceleration6ReusableRocket
DemandTonsToOrbit10000000~60x~11xAdditional
upmassexpectedto
buildout
the
Starlinkconstellationthrough2030(LogScale)1000000100000100001000100101SpaceAIComputevsTerrestrialAICompute($PerToken
Ratio)5On
prospective
launchcosts,
space
basedcompute
could
prove25%
less
expensive
thanterrestrial
computethanterrestrialcompute0.5CostPer
kg
Launch(LogScale)Convergence
Should
LeadTo
Major
Increases
In
DemandNeural
network
demandfor
nextgen
cloud
compute
is
running
into
earthly
scaling
constraints.
Reusable
rockets
could
cometothe
rescue.
At
acompetitive
cost,
space-basedAI
compute
could
providethe
cloudwiththe
computational
powerthat
neural
networks
need
for
continued
growth.
AI
chipgrowth
could
increase
demandfor
reusable
rockets
60x
relativeto
our
existing
model.Note:ARK
internal
analysis
on
this
emerging
opportunity.
Source:ARK
Investment
Management
LLC,
2026,
based
on
data
from
SpaceX
2025a,
SpaceX
2025b,
Maguire
et
al.
2025.
In
addition
tothose
sources,
certain
information
presented
may
bethe
result
ofARK’s
internal
analyses,which
draw
onvarious
additional
sources
of
information.
For
informational
purposes
only
and
should
not
be
considered
investment
advice
or
arecommendationto
buy,
sell,
or
hold
any
particular
security.
Past
performance
is
not
indicative
offuture
results.
Forecasts
are
inherently
limited
and
cannot
be
relied
upon.On
currentlaunch
costs,space
computewould
be30%
more
costlyUpmassrequired
tosatisfy
100GW
of
AIcomputeTotalcumulativeupmass
bySpaceXthrough
2025Terrestrial/SpaceRatio(LogScale)ARK
Big
Ideas
2026:
The
Great
Acceleration1582243164476318911,2591,7782,5123,5485,0127,07910,00011240202856791479%8%7%6%5%4%3%2%1%0%SelectHistoricalTechnologicalInvestmentWavesCapital
ExpendituresAs
Percent
Of
GDPRailroadCarsSoftwareComputersAndElectrification
SemiconductorsComms.
EquipmentTelephonyNote:All
Historical
lines
are
USfixed
asset
annual
gross
investment
as
percent
of
US
GDP
and
derivedfromthe
NIPA
tables.
“Ecommerce”
signifies
warehouse
investments.
Data
center
and
Robotaxi
are
percent
of
globalconsensus
global
GDP
derivedfromthe
IMF
as
of12/31/2025.
Space
data
center
opportunity
derivedfrom
SpaceX
public
statements.
Historical
investment
cycle
investment
dollars
are
sourced
from
ARK
InvestmentManagement
LLC,
2026,
based
on
datafrom
Ulmer1960,
International
Monetary
Fund
2025,
and
National
Bureau
of
Economic
Research1958.
In
addition
tothose
sources,
certain
information
presented
may
be
the
result
of
ARK’s
internal
analyses,which
draw
onvarious
additional
sources
of
information.
For
informational
purposes
only
and
should
not
be
considered
investment
advice
or
a
recommendation
to
buy,
sell,
or
hold
any
particularsecurity.
Past
performance
is
not
indicative
offuture
results.
Forecasts
are
inherently
limited
and
cannot
be
relied
upon.AISoftwareAI
DataCentersSpaceTerrestrialRobotaxisTheWorld
Is
EnteringAn
UnprecedentedTechnology
InvestmentCycle198419871990199319961999200220052008186418671870187318761879188218851888192419271930193319361939194219451948ARK
Big
Ideas
2026:
The
Great
Acceleration1954195719601963196619691894189719001903190619092020202320262029197219751978198118521855185818611912191519181921201120142017Ecommerce2030189119518AcceleratesCapitalFormationFreesHumanPotentialFor
MoreProductiveUseTransformsNon-MarketActivity
IntoGDPAutomobileReplacementCycleShift
InPersonalDrive
TimeUtilizationTo
Work
OrLeisurePersonalShift
FromDrivingTo
PaidServiceSource:ARK
Investment
Management
LLC,
2026.
For
informational
purposes
only
and
should
not
be
considered
investment
advice
or
a
recommendation
to
buy,
sell,
or
hold
any
particular
security.
Past
performance
is
not
indicative
offuture
results.
Forecasts
are
inherently
limited
and
cannot
be
relied
upon.DisruptiveTechnologiesCanCatalyzeGrowth
In
Multiple
WaysDisruptive
TechnologyIncreasesReturns
OnDeployedCapitalARK
Big
Ideas
2026:
The
Great
Acceleration8x
IncreaseIn
MilesRobotaxisPer
Vehicle9$120,000$100,000$80,000$60,000$40,000$20,000$
-ImpactOf
HomeUpkeepOnGDP
Per
YearNotincluded
$65,000Included$2,600Imputed
Labor
Cost
Of
Maintenance
And
Care
Performed
By
Owners$120,000$100,000$80,000$60,000$40,000$20,000$
-ImpactOfASingleHouseholdHumanoid
Robot
OnGDP
Per
YearSurplusBetter
household
serviceImputedvalue
leisure
hours$7,100$31,000$20,000HomeownerTime
Freed,Half
Of
WhichDevoted
ToPaid
LaborCurrently,
only
$2,600
ofthe
~$68,000
average
value
ofhome
upkeepflows
through
togross
domestic
product
(GDP).A
single
household
humanoid
robot
could
impact
GDP
by$62,000
per
year.A
household
humanoid
robot
in
each
ofthe
90
million
US
owner
occupied
homes
couldincrease
GDP
by
nearly
$6trillion,
or
20%.If
humanoidswere
topenetrate
80%
of
UShouseholds
overfive
years,GDP
growth
could
acceleratefrom
2-3%
per
year
to
5-6%
per
year.Each
DisruptiveTechnologyCould
Generate
Profound
Macroeconomic
Results,
Humanoid
Robots
InThe
Home,AGood
Case
In
PointNote:
The
chart
calculations
assume
that
consumers
are
willing
to
pay
for
a
durable
good
at
a
25%
discount
rate
and
value
their
unpaid
time
at
half
the
average
wage
rate.
“Home
upkeep”
focuses
on
the
labor
portion
of
home
upkeep.
ARK
Investment
Management
LLC,
2026,
based
on
data
from
U.S.
Bureau
of
Labor
Statistics.
2025c,
U.S.
Bureau
of
Labor
Statistics.
2025d,
Tesla
2025.
In
addition
to
those
sources,
certain
information
presented
may
be
the
result
of
ARK’s
internal
analyses,
which
draw
on
various
additional
sources
of
information.
For
informational
purposes
only
and
should
not
be
considered
investment
advice
or
a
recommendation
to
buy,
sell,
or
hold
any
particular
security.
Past
performance
is
not
indicative
offuture
results.
Forecasts
are
inherently
limited
and
cannot
be
relied
upon.RobotOperating
CostOn
WorkOtherwise
LeftUndoneRobotOperating
Cost
Displacing
PaidServicesAmortized
1Year
CapitalExpense
OfA
RobotARK
Big
Ideas
2026:
The
Great
AccelerationPaid
HouseholdMaintenance
And
CareIncluded
$62,000Consumer
Surplus$3,60010ThisTechnological
Revolution
Should
LeadToAnother
Step
Change
In
Real
GDPGrowthHistorically,technology
paradigmshifts
have
ledto
structural
changes
in
GDP
growth.Capital
investment
alone,
catalyzed
by
disruptive
innovation
platforms,
could
add1.9
percentagepointsto
annualized
real
GDP
growththis
decade.The
new
capital
base—robotaxis,
next
gen
datacenters,
and
enterprise
investments
inAI
agents—
should
boost
returns
on
invested
capital.
Realized
realgrowth
could
exceed
consensus
expectationsby
morethan
4
percentage
points
peryear
as
other
innovations
beginto
impactthegrowth
trajectory.Each
innovation
platform—AI,
Public
Blockchains,
Robotics,
EnergyStorage,
and
Multiomics—should
provide
astructural
boostto
global
growth.Global
RealGDPGrowth3%0.6%0.3%0.14%.037%Source:
ARK
Investment
Management
LLC,
2026,
based
on
data
from
DeLong
1998,
Open
Philanthropy
2025,
and
Maddison
2007.
In
addition
to
those
sources,
certain
information
presented
may
be
the
result
of
ARK’s
internal
analyses,which
draw
onvarious
additional
sources
of
information.
For
informational
purposes
only
and
should
not
be
considered
investment
advice
or
a
recommendation
to
buy,
sell,
or
hold
any
particular
security.
Past
performance
is
not
indicative
offuture
results.
Forecasts
are
inherently
limited
and
cannot
be
relied
upon.2030ARK
Forecast
7.3%IMF
Forecast
3.1%100.0%10.0%1.0%0.1%0.0%ARK
Big
Ideas
2026:
The
Great
AccelerationLog
Years
Until203020251100019001500100,000LogScaleBC11ProjectedProgressInQuantumComputingDistanceFromCrackingRSA2048100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%2044
2054
2063AccelerationCaseDoublingqubit
countand
errorreductionsevery
3yearsCurrent
rate
ofprogress
(Google):doubling
qubits
andreducing
error
rate
by40%
every
4yearsSome
InterestingTechnologies
LikeQuantum
ComputingAre
UnlikelyTo
Be
Disruptive
For
20To40YearsA
disruptivetechnology
requires
asteepcostdeclinecrossing
key
price-pointsthat
opencompellinguniteconomicsacross
multiplesectorsandserves
as
a
platformforadditional
technologicalinnovation.Quantum
computing’s
performanceimprovement
curve
has
been
slow.
Despitespending
billions
in
research
and
development
(R&D),
doubled
qubits
only
once
in
more
thanfouryears.
Even
if
its
performance
andcostswereto
improve
markedly,
achievingMoore’s
Law’s
pace,
quantum
computingwould
not
be
usefulfor
cryptographic
decryption
untilthe
2040s.Note:
A
“qubit”
(quantum
bit)
is
the
fundamental
unit
of
information
in
a
quantum
computer.
Moore’s
Law
is
the
empirical
observation
that
the
number
of
transistors
on
an
integrated
circuit
doubles
approximately
everytwoyears.
Source:
ARK
Investment
Management
LLC,
2026,
based
on
data
from
Arute
et
al.
2019,
Gambette
2023,
Quantinuum
2024,
and
Neven
2024.
In
addition
to
those
sources,
certain
information
presented
may
be
the
result
of
ARK’s
internal
analyses,
which
draw
on
various
additional
sources
of
information.
For
informational
purposes
only
and
should
not
be
considered
investment
advice
or
a
recommendation
to
buy,
sell,
or
hold
any
particular
security.
Past
performance
is
not
indicative
offuture
results.
Forecasts
are
inherently
limited
and
cannot
be
relied
upon.AggressiveCaseMoore’s
Lawdoubling
in
qubit
count
and
error
rate
reductionevery
2yearsStatus
Quo
CaseDoublingqubit
count
and
errorreductionsevery4yearsARK
Big
Ideas
2026:
The
Great
Acceleration202020482034206220552027204112Nominal
GDP
($
Trillions,
Nominal)300Innovation
MarketCapNon-Innovation
MarketCap2001501005002000Nominal
GDPNon-InnovationInnovation70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%InnovationShareOfGlobal
EquityMarket
Capitalization(Percent)1870RailroadShare
Of
US
Equity
MarketCryptoVentureUnicornsPublicInnovation2000
20052010
201520202025
2030ENote:
Innovation
market
cap
includes
non-stablecoin
crypto
assets.
Pre-2015
innovation
market
cap
is
tech
sector
share
of
global
markets.
Source:ARK
Investment
Management
LLC,
2026,
based
on
datafrom
International
Monetary
Fund
2025,
Crunchbase
2026,
World
Federation
of
Exchanges
2026,
and
Bureau
of
Labor
Statistics
2026,
and
MSCI
Inc.
2026.
For
informational
purposes
only
and
should
not
be
considered
investment
advice
or
a
recommendationto
buy,
sell,
or
hold
any
particular
security.
Past
performance
is
not
indicative
offuture
results.
Forecasts
are
inherently
limited
and
cannot
be
relied
upon.DisruptiveTechnologiesCouldGrowTo
Dominate
Global
Markets20256.4%4.3%20.0%20152.5%4.5%-0.5%20202.6%7.8%18.0%20106.9%6.2%-2.7%20057.0%11.0%3.6%5-Year
Annual
Growth
RatesARK
Big
Ideas
2026:
The
Great
Acceleration9%-4%35%2030E2501314ARK
Big
Ideas
2026:
The
Great
AccelerationArtificial
IntelligenceComputationalsystems
andsoftwarethat
evolve
with
datacansolve
intractable
problems,
automate
knowledgework,and
acceleratetechnology's
integration
into
every
economicsector.The
adoption
of
Neural
Networks
should
prove
moremomentousthan
electrification
and
potentially
createtens
oftrillions
of
dollars
ofvalue.Atscale,
these
systems
willrequire
unprecedented
computational
resources,
andAI-specific
compute
hardwareshould
dominatethe
NextGenCloud
data
centersthattrain
and
operateAI
models.
Thepotentialfor
end-users
is
clear:
a
constellation
ofAI-drivenIntelligent
Devices
that
permeate
people's
lives,
changingthewaythattheyspend,
work,
and
play.
The
adoption
of
artificialintelligence
shouldtransform
everysector,
impact
everybusiness,
and
catalyze
every
innovation
platform.Source:ARK
Investment
Management
LLC,
2026.
For
informational
purposes
only
and
should
not
be
considered
investment
advice
or
a
recommendation
to
buy,
sell,
or
hold
any
particular
security.
Past
performance
is
not
indicative
offuture
results.
Forecasts
are
inherently
limited
and
cannot
be
relied
upon.EnergyStorageThe
declining
costs
ofAdvanced
BatteryTechnology
should
cause
an
explosion
informfactors,
enablingAutonomousMobility
systemsthat
collapsethe
cost
oftransportation.Electric
drivetrain
cost
declinesshould
unlock
micro-mobility
and
aerial
systems,
includingflyingtaxis,
enabling
businessmodelsthattransform
cities.Autonomy
should
reduce
the
cost
oftaxi,
delivery,
and
surveillance
by
an
order
ofmagnitude,
enablingfrictionlesstransportthat
will
increase
thevelocity
of
e-commerce
and
make
individual
carownershipthe
exception
ratherthanthe
rule.
Theseinnovations
combinedwith
large-scalestationary
batteries
and
Distributed
EnergyGeneration,
notablysolar
andsmall-
scalefission,
should
address
surging
power
demandfromAI
data
centerswhilesubstituting
electricityfor
liquid
fuel
and
increasingsystem-wide
resilience,
reliability,
andflexibility.Source:ARK
Investment
Management
LLC,
2026.
For
informational
purposes
only
and
should
not
be
considered
investment
advice
or
a
recommendation
to
buy,
sell,
or
hold
any
particular
security.
Past
performance
is
not
indicative
offuture
results.
Forecasts
are
inherently
limited
and
cannot
be
relied
upon.ARK
Big
Ideas
2026:
The
Great
Acceleration1516ARK
Big
Ideas
2026:
The
Great
AccelerationMultiomicsThe
costtogather,
sequence,
and
understand
digital
biologicaldata
isfalling
precipitously.
MultiomicsTechnologies
provideresearch
scientists,therapeutic
organizations,
and
healthplatformswith
unprecedented
accessto
DNA,
RNA,
protein,
and
digital
health
data.
Cancer
careshouldtransformwith
pan-cancer
bloodtests,
and
molecular
diagnostics
should
begintoidentify
and
categorize
a
panoply
of
diseases.
Fed
by
richmultiomics
data
and
powered
by
Programmable
Biology,AIsystems
running
autonomous
labs
could
collapsethe
cost
ofdrug
discovery,
development,
andtrials,transforming
returns
in
a
sectorthat
has
stagnated.
Biological
discoveries
should
power
novel
PrecisionTherapies
thattarget
and
cure
rare
diseases
and
chronic
conditions,
unlocking
profound
economics.
Overtime,the
design
andsynthesis
of
novel
biological
constructswillyield
advances
in
agriculture,
material
science,
and
even
computation.Source:ARK
Investment
Management
LLC,
2026.
For
informational
purposes
only
and
should
not
be
considered
investment
advice
or
a
recommendation
to
buy,
sell,
or
hold
any
particular
security.
Past
performance
is
not
indicative
offuture
results.
Forecasts
are
inherently
limited
and
cannot
be
relied
upon.Public
BlockchainsUpon
large-scale
adoption,
all
money
and
con
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