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CBRE
FIGURESISYDNEYCBDOFFICE|3Q25
LeasingdemandbeginstospreadoutsidetheCoreprecinctinQ32025
13.7%
CBDVacancyRate(+90bpsh-o-h)
1,560AUD/sqm
PrimeNetFaceRent(+1.5%q-0-q)
30.8%
PrimeIncentives(-130bpsq-0-q)
PrimeYield(-13bpsq0-q)
AUD1.36B
CBDOfficeInvestmentVolumesYTD2025(-64%y-0-y)
Note:Arrowsindicatechangefrompreviousquarter/halflyear.
FIGURE1a:SydneyCBDOffice|VacancyRateSummary
Indicator
Jul2025
Jan2025
Jul2024
H-o-HChange
Y--YChange
VacancyRate
13.7%
12.8%
11.6%
+90bps
+208bps
KeyPoints
-CBREreceived96leasingenquiriestotalling122,920sqminQ32025.Thiswasa10.8%improvementoverQ22025andthelargestquarterlyenquirytotalsince2023.
FIGURE1b:SydneyCBDCoreOffice|SummaryofPrimeMarketIndicators
Indicator
3Q25
2Q25
3Q24
Q--QChange
Y--YChange
NFR
AUD1,560
AUD1,538
1,496AUD
+1.5%
+4.3%
Incentives
30.8%
32.1%
32.0%
-130bps
-120bps
NER
AUD994
AUD955
934AUD
+4.1%
+6.5%
Yield
5.8%
5.9%
6.0%
-13bps
-25bps
-TheSydneyCBDsawthedeliveryof72,599sqmofofficespaceinH12025.Officedevelopmentissettoslowgoingforward.
-TheoverallCBDvacancyrateendedH12025at13.7%,anincreaseof90bpsfromthestartof2025.Increaseswereduelargelytothedeliveryofnewsupplyandoldstockwithdrawals
beingre-addedtomarketinventory
-IncreaseddemandforofficespaceacrosstheCBDhasstartedtodriverentalrategrowthandincentivetighteningacrossthemarket.Q32025markedthefirstquarterinseveralyearsthatincentivetighteningandeffectiverentgrowthwasrecordedintheCore,WalshBat,Midtown,andWesternCorridorprecincts.
Source:CBREResearch
-InvestmentactivityremainedmutedoverQ32025duetoalackofavailableproductGivenstrongdemandforhighqualityassets,caprateshavestartedtotightenincertainprecincts.
1
CBRERESEARCH◎2025CBRE,INC.
FIGURESISydneyCBDOffice|3Q25
2CBRERESEARCH◎2025CBRE,INC.
OfficeDemand
LeasingdemandcontinuestobuildacrossSydneyCBD
Leasingdemandhasshowedconsistentimprovementsincetheendof2024.ThistrendcontinuedinQ32025whenCBREreceivedleasingenquiriestotaling122,920sqm.Thiswasa10.8%improvementoverQ22025andthelargestquarterlyenquirytotalsince2023.
Whiletheflight-to-qualitytrendhaspersisted,signsofleasingappetiteinnon-Coreprecinctshasstartedtomaterializeover2025.TheWesternCorridorrecordedPrimenetabsorptionof22,276sqmoverthefirsthalf;thefirsttimetheprecincthasrecordedapositiveabsorptionfiguresince2022.It'sexpectedthatdemandfornon-CoreprecinctswillcontinuetobuildmomentumovercomingperiodsduetoenticingrentdifferentialsbetweenCoreandnon-CorepropertiesandtighteningvacancyratesinCorestockduetotheupcomingslowdowninnewsupply.
DespitethestrongperformanceoftheWesternCorridor,occupierscontinuedtoshowapreferenceforPrimegradespaceintheCoreprecinctoverH12025.PrimenetabsorptionintheCoreprecincttotalled13,492sqmoverthetrailingsix-monthperiod.ThismarkedthethirdconsecutiveperiodthattheCoreprecincthasrecordedpositivePrimenetabsorption.
NetabsorptiontotalsacrosstheremainingCBDprecinctswerefairlyneutralinH12025.TheWalshBayandSouthernprecinctseachrecordedpositiveabsorptiontotalsof4,542sqmand475sqm,whileTheRocksandMidtownprecinctsrecordednegativenetabsorptionof-4,988sqmand-3,951sqm.
Theflight-to-qualitytrendremainedevidentwhenlookingatnetabsorptiontotalsfortheoverallCBDbrokendownbybuildinggrade.ThehighestlevelsofleasingactivitycontinuedtobeseeninPremiumgradeassets.NetabsorptionofPremiumofficespacetotalled44,841sqmoverthefirsthalf.Eachoftheotherbuildinggradessawnegativeorneutralnetabsorptionoverthisperiod.ThistrendcontinuestobedrivenbythemigrationofoccupiersintonewlydeliveredPremium
gradestock.
FIGURE2:SydneyCBDOffice|LeasingEnquiryData
No.ofEnquiries
VolumeofEnquires(x1,000sqm)
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3
'1920202021
Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3
20222023
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Q4Q1Q2Q3
2024
Q1Q2Q3
2025
Q4
VolumeofEnquiries—No.ofEnquiries
Source:CBREResearch
FIGURE3:SydneyCBDOffce|6-MonthNetAbsorption(sqm)byPrecinctandbyBuildingGrade
■Prime■Secondary■Total
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
-10,000
-30,000
-20,000
WesternCoreSouthCorridor
Walsh
Bay
TheMidtownRocks
PremiumABCD
OverallCBD
*Barcutoffforpresentation.
Source:CBREResearch,PCA
FIGURESISydneyCBDOffice|3Q25
3CBRERESEARCH◎2025CBRE,INC.
Supply
FinalripplesofsupplywavehittheSydneyCBDin2025
TheSydneyCBDsawthedeliveryof72,599sqmofofficespaceinH12025.Thisfigureincludedthedeliveryof33AlfredStreet(c.32,000sqm)and121CastlereaghStreet(11,500sqm).Eachofthesenewdevelopmentsweredeliveredwithstrongpre-leasinglevelssecured.Thefirsthalfsupplytotalalsoincludedthereintroductionof1ShelleyStreet(c.29,500sqm)totheCBDofficeinventoryfigureafteritwasremovedduetorefurbishmentsbroughtonbyMacquarie'sdeparturetotheirnewheadquartersabovetheMartinPlacemetro.
Officedevelopmentissettoslowgoingforwardandnewsupplyisforecasttototalonly28,300sqmoverthesecondhalfoftheyear.Thistotalincludesthedeliveryof270PittStreet(23,000sqm)and1KentStreet(5,300sqm).Themarketwillthengetaone-yearreprievefromnewsupplybeforethedeliveryof55PittStreet(63,000sqm),AtlassianHQ(57,000sqm),andChifleyTowerSouth(53,000sqm)in2027.Leasinginterestforthese2027projectshasbeenverystrongandpre-leasingforthesethreedevelopmentsisnowover60%collectively.
Beyond2027,thesupplyoutlookremainsspeculativeduetochallengingdevelopmentconditionsincludingelevatedconstructionandfinancingcosts.Costpressurescoupledwiththeuncertaintyaroundlong-termleasingpre-commitmentshaveforceddeveloperstoreconsiderthetimingofnewconstructionprojects.It'snowlikelythat,following2027,thenextwaveofofficedevelopmentwon'toccuruntil2032orlater.
FIGURE4:SydneyCBDOffice|UpcomingMajorDevelopmentProjectsTotalNLA(sqm)
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
33AlfredSt270PittSt1211KentStCastlereagh
St
20252026
ZNewPrecommitments2RefurbPrecommitments
Note:EarlyFeasibilityandmootedprojectsnotshown.
Source:CBREResearch
55PittStAtlassianHQChifleySouth
2027
■New
■Refurb
FIGURE5:SydneyCBDOffice|Historical&ForecastNewSupply
TotalNLA(sqm)
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
2017
2019
0
2015
2016
2018
2020
021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
DAApplied/Approved
UnderConstruction
10-YearHistoricAverage
Complete
EarlyFeasibility
Source:CBREResearch,PCA
FIGURESISydneyCBDOffice|3Q25
4CBRERESEARCH◎2025CBRE,INC.
Vacancy
CBDvacancyratesnearingtopofcycle
VacancyratesintheSydneyCBDincreasedmarginallyoverH12025duelargelytothedeliveryofnewsupplyandoldstockwithdrawalsbeingre-addedtoinventories.TheoverallCBDvacancyrateendedH12025at13.7%,anincreaseof90bpsfromthestartof2025.Whilevacancyratesincreased,theamountofoccupiedstockintheSydneyCBDincreasedby10,298sqmoverthefirsthalfof2025.Thismarkedthesecondconsecutiveperiodthatoccupiedstockhasrisen,despitevacancyratesrisingduetonewsupply.SydneyCBDPrimeandSecondaryvacancyratesbothincreasedoverH12025,endingtheperiodat14.1%and12.9%,respectively.
TheCoreandWalshBayprecinctshavecontinuedtooutperformfromavacancyperspective.Primevacancyratesintheseprecinctsendedthefirsthalfat11.5%and9.0%,respectively,thelowestofanyCBDprecincts.
Givenrisingleasingenquirylevels,alackofforecastednewsupply,aslowdowninsubleaselistings,andtheongoingflight-to-qualitybyoccupiers,it'sexpectedthatCBDvacancyratesarenowattheirpeakforthiscycle.Vacancyratesareexpectedtotightenasnewsupplyslowsincomingyears.
FIGURE6:SydneyCBDOffice|LeasingMarketSummary
Market/Grade
Inventory
VacantSpace
Jul25
VacancyRateJul25
(6monthDiff)
NetAbsorption6months
Jul
25
Prime
3,548,655
sqm
500,382sqm
14.1%
(+82bps)
33,877sqm
Secondary
1,818,859
sqm
234,799sqm
12.9%
(+108bps)
-23,579sqm
Total
5,367,514
sqm
735,181sqm
13.7%
(+90bps)
10,298sqm
Source:PCA,CBREResearch
FIGURE7:SydneyCBDOffice|VacancyRatesbyGradeOverallVacancyRate
16.0%
14.0%
12.0%
10.0%
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
0.0%
2.0%
H2
15
H1H2
2016
H1H2
2017
H1H2
2018
H1H2
2019
H1H2
2020
H1H2
2021
H1H2
2022
H1H2
2023
H1H2
2024
H1
25
—Prime—Secondary
Source:PCA,CBREResearch
FIGURESISydneyCBDOffice|3Q25
5CBRERESEARCH◎2025CBRE,INC.
Vacancy
Figure8:SydneyCBDOfficelVacancyRatesbyPrecinct
25%
23.0%
20%
18.1%
17.7%
15%
15.7%
13.4%
13.6%
12.3%
11.5%
10%
10.0%
9.0%
5%
Secondary
Secondary
econdary
5.2%
Secondary
Secondary
Secondary
Prime
Prime
Pime
Prime
Prime
0%
WalshBayCoreSouthernWesternCorridorMidtownTheRocks
Source:CBREResearch
FIGURESISydneyCBDOfficel3Q25
6CBRERESEARCH◎2025CBRE,INC.
RentalRate&IncentivesTrends
IncentivesbegintotightenasrentgrowthcontinuesinQ32025
TheincreaseddemandforofficespaceacrosstheCBDhasstartedtodriverentalrategrowthandincentivetighteningacrossprecinctsoutsideoftheCore.Inlightofacceleratingleasing
activityacrossthemarket,theCBDprecinctaveragePrimenetfacerentalratefigureendedQ32025at1,263AUD/sqm,anincreaseof1.2%quarter-over-quarter.SecondaryfacerentalratesalsoincreasedoverQ32025,endingtheperiodat876AUD/sqm,representinggrowthof0.1%.
Theflight-to-qualityseenoverrecentperiodshasresultedinPrimerentalratesintheCoreandWalshBayoutperformingtherestofthemarket.PrimenetfacerentalratesintheseprecinctsimprovedonceagaininQ32025,reaching1,560AUD/sqmand1,344AUD/sqm,respectively.
Thesefiguresrepresentedquarter-over-quartergrowthof1.5%and2.1%.WhilenetfacerentalratesgrowthwasmoresubduedacrosstheotherCBDprecincts,theMidtownandWestern
Corridorprecinctscontinuedtoseeimprovedfacerentgrowththisperiod.Netfacerentsinthesesubmarketsreached1,205AUD/sqmand1,143AUD/sqm,respectively,growingby0.9%and0.2%quarter-over-quarter.
Encouraginglyforthemarket,Q32025markedthefirstperiodinseveralyearswhereincentivestightenedineachoftheCore,WalshBay,Midtown,andWesternCorridorprecincts.Prime
incentivesinthesesubmarketsdeclinedby-130bps,-83bps,-100bps,and-225bps,
respectively,thisquarter.Againstthisbackdrop,theCBDaveragePrimeandSecondary
incentivefiguresendedtheperiodat37.5%and38.2%,respectively,eacheithertighteningorholdingstableoverQ32025..
Givenstillrisingfacerentalrates,andtighteningincentives,neteffectiverentsineachofthefourlargestCBDprecinctsallshowedgrowthoverQ32025.Core,WalshBay,Midtown,andWesternCorridorneteffectiverentsincreasedby4.1%,4.2%,3.2%,and6.0%quarter-over-
quarterthisperiod.
Weexpectthistrendwillcontinueasleasingactivityinnon-Coregeographiesclimbsoverthecomingyears.
FIGURE9:SydneyCBDOffice|PrecinctAveragePrimeNetFaceRents,NetEffectiveRents,andIncentives
NetRents(AUD/sqm)Incentives
PrimeIncentives(%)一PrimeNER(AUD/sqm)—PrimeNFR(AUD/sqm)
Source:CBREResearch
FIGURE10:SydneyCBDOffice|PrecinctAverageSecondaryNetFaceRents,NetEffectiveRents,andIncentives
NetRents(AUD/sqm)
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
ō88
202021
60.0%50.0%40.0%
30.0%20.0%10.0%
0.0%
δ88
2022
δ88
2024
δ88
2025
ō88
2023
Incentives
SecondaryIncentives(%)
一SecondaryNER(AUD/sqm)—SecondaryNFR(AUD/sqm)
Source:CBREResearch
FIGURESISydneyCBDOfficel3Q25
RentalRate&IncentivesSnapshot
Figure11:SydneyCBDOficelRentalRatesandIncentivesbyPrecinct
PRIME
CORE
MIDTOWN
SOUTH
WESTERNCORRIDOR
WALSHBAY
THEROCKS
GrossRentalRate(AUD/sqm)
$1,836
$1,408
$1,068
$1,345
$1,605
$1,025
%QoQ
1.2%
0.7%
Stable
0.2%
1.7%
Stable
%YoY
4.5%
2.7%
1.6%
3.6%
5.0%
Stable
NetFaceRentalRate(AUD/sqm)
$1,560
$1,205
$904
$1,143
$1,344
$849
%QoQ
1.5%
0.9%
Stable
0.2%
2.1%
-0.5%
%YoY
4.3%
2.4%
1.4%
2.4%
4.2%
-0.5%
Incentives
30.8%
38.3%
41.7%
44.0%
37.3%
35.7%
QoQChange(bps)
-130
-100
Stable
-225
-83
Stable
YoYChange(bps)
-120
-117
100
-42
-33
Stable
NetEffectiveRentalRate(AUD/sqm)
$994
$666
$459
$551
$745
$483
%QoQ
4.1%
3.2%
Stable
6.0%
4.2%
-0.9%
%YoY
6.5%
4.7%
-1.1%
2.2%
4.3%
-0.9%
SECONDARY
CORE
MIDTOWN
SOUTH
WESTERNCORRIDOR
WALSHBAY
THEROCKS
GrossRentalRate(AUD/sqm)
$1,249
$1,038
$1,002
$1,051
$1,144
$975
%QoQ
Stable
-0.7%
Stable
Stable
Stable
Stable
%YoY
1.8%
3.2%
0.3%
2.2%
-1.1%
Stable
NetFaceRentalRate(AUD/sqm)
$1,055
$875
$842
$858
$985
$837
%QoQ
Stable
-0.8%
Stable
Stable
Stable
2.1%
%YoY
1.0%
2.4%
Stable
2.2%
1.4%
2.1%
Incentives
36.7%
39.7%
38.8%
38.6%
39.5%
35.5%
QoQChange(bps)
Stable
Stable
Stable
Stable
Stable
Stable
YoYChange(bps)
57
143
25
-8
Stable
Stable
NetEffectiveRentalRate(AUD/sqm)
$596
$463
$454
$453
$533
$491
%QoQ
Stable
-1.0%
Stable
Stable
Stable
3.6%
%YoY
-0.7%
-1.4%
-0.8%
2.5%
3.6%
3.6%
Source:CBREResearch
7
CBRERESEARCH◎2025CBRE,INC.
FIGURESISydneyCBDOffice|3Q25
InvestmentMarket
CBDinvestmentactivityremainsmuted,butyieldsbegintighteninginQ32025
Aftermakingasignificantrecoveryover2024,OfficeinvestmentvolumesintheSydneyCBDhaveslowedslightlyover2025.InvestmentvolumesreachedAUD1,363millionoverthefirstthreequartersof2025.ThisputsthemarketonpacetoreachAUDc.2.0billionoverthefullyear,whichwouldbeadeclineof62%comparedto2024.ThelargejumpinInvestmentvolumesin2024wasdrivenbylargersales,andthemoremutedactivityover2025speakstothedifficultyofcompletingsuchtransactionsinthecurrentmarket.
Whienewtransactionactivityremainedsomewhatlimited,thiswasduetoalackofavailableassetsasopposedtoalackofdemandfrombuyers.Themarketisslowlyshiftingbacktoasellersmarketandthiscausedcapratesforthebestproductinthebestlocationstobegintighteningoverthequarter.IndicativeyieldsacrosstheSydneyCBDnowrangefrombetween5.8%forPrimeassetsintheCoreprecinctto8.2%forSecondaryassetsinTheRocks.
ThelackofproductavailableintheCBDshouldensurethatCBDinvestmentvolumesremainsomewhatmutedovertheremainderof2025,withthebulkofoutstandinginvestmentactivitytotakeplaceinMetrosubmarkets.
FIGURE12:SydneyCBDOffice|SalesActivity
SalesVolumes|AUD(millions)No.ofTransactions
10,00050
8,00040
6,00030
4,00020
2,000
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