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12June2024|7:50PMHKT
GlobalTech:PC/Server/SmartphoneTAMupdates:PC+5%,Generalserver+3%,AIserver+57%,Smartphone+3%YoYin2025E
InthisJuneedition,weupdateourglobalPC/Server/SmartphoneTAMsto1)
factorinthelatestforecastsforkeysuppliersincludingHPE,HPQ,Dell,Apple,
Lenovo,Asus,Supermicro,Transsion,Samsung,Xiaomi,TaiwanODMs,2)updates
forUScloud(Microsoft,Alphabet,Meta,Amazon)andChinacloud(Tencent,Alibaba,Baidu)capexforecasts.
Comparedtoourlastupdate,weraiseourhighpowerAIservershipmentforecaststo591k/927kin2024E/2025E(vs.558k/872kpreviously),drivenbyrisingdemandofcomputing,newchipsetplatformlaunches,andbetterGPUsupply.Ourgeneral
serversshipmentforecastsarelargelyunchangedat12.0m/12.3munitsin2024E/2025E(vs.12.2m/12.7munitsinourpreviousestimates),or13%/3%YoYas2023waslower-than-expected.OurleadingUSCSPcapexinaggregateisraisedby17%/22%in2024E/2025Eorat+46%/10%YoYgrowthin2024E/2025E(vs.2023’s
+5%YoY),supportingourpositiveviewonAIandgeneralservers.
ForPC,ourestimatesarelargelyunchangedat270m/283munitsin2024E/2025E(vs.270m/282mpreviously),onourunchangedpositiveviewonAIPCsandWin-10endoflifereplacement.ForSmartphones,weslightlyraisedby2%/2%
respectivelyto1.2bn/1.2bnin2024/25E,onbetterthanexpectedshipmentinthepastfewquarters,whileweremaincautiousonQ2and2Hthisyeargivenno
signi?cantsignsoffullrecoveryofconsumerspending.
Relatedreports:
_
GlobalTech:PCs,smartphones,servers:Quantifyingmarketopportunities(LaunchingGlobalTAMsonOct3,2023)
GlobalTech:Servers/PCsupdates:UScloudcapexandPCsshipmentsraised;whilegeneralserversin2023Ereduced(UpdatesonOct17,2023)
GlobalTech:Smartphoneupdates:Restockingsupports4Q;recoveryin2024-25E(UpdatesonOct31,2023)
ChinaSmartphones:AIphoneswithmorespeci?canswers,smarterAIassistants,
andinteractionwithappsformaps,delivery,socialmedia(UpdatesonNov19,2023)
GlobalTech:PC/ServerTAMupdates:2024EPC/Serverstoupby7%/8%YoY
AllenChang
+852-2978-2930|
allen.k.chang@
GoldmanSachs(Asia)L.L.C.
VerenaJeng
+852-2978-1681|verena.jeng@GoldmanSachs(Asia)L.L.C.
MichaelNg,CFA
+1(212)902-8618|michael.ng@GoldmanSachs&Co.LLC
EricSheridan
+1(917)343-8683|
eric.sheridan@
GoldmanSachs&Co.LLC
KashRangan
+1(415)249-7318|kash.rangan@GoldmanSachs&Co.LLC
BenMiller
+1(917)343-8674|
ler@GoldmanSachs&Co.LLC
GiuniLee
+82(2)3788-1177|giuni.lee@GoldmanSachs(Asia)L.L.C.,SeoulBranch
KatherineCampagna
+1(212)902-1151|
katherine.a.campagna@GoldmanSachs&Co.LLC
GiliNaftalovich
+1(917)343-4286|
gili.naftalovich@
GoldmanSachs&Co.LLC
RonaldKeung,CFA
+852-2978-0856|ronald.keung@GoldmanSachs(Asia)L.L.C.
LincolnKong,CFA
+852-2978-6603|lincoln.kong@GoldmanSachs(Asia)L.L.C.
TimothyZhao
+852-2978-2673|timothy.zhao@GoldmanSachs(Asia)L.L.C.
TaeyongLee
+82(2)3788-0981|taeyong.lee@GoldmanSachs(Asia)L.L.C.,Seoul
Branch
ToshiyaHari
+1(646)446-1759|toshiya.hari@GoldmanSachs&Co.LLC
DaikiTakayama
+81(3)4587-9870|
daiki.takayama@
GoldmanSachsJapanCo.,Ltd.
GoldmanSachsdoesandseekstodobusinesswithcompaniescoveredinitsresearchreports.Asaresult,
investorsshouldbeawarethatthe?rmmayhaveacon?ictofinterestthatcouldaffecttheobjectivityofthis
report.Investorsshouldconsiderthisreportasonlyasinglefactorinmakingtheirinvestmentdecision.ForRegACcerti?cationandotherimportantdisclosures,seetheDisclosureAppendix,orgoto
/research/hedge.html.Analystsemployedbynon-USaf?liatesarenotregistered/quali?edasresearchanalystswithFINRAintheU.S.
GoldmanSachsGlobalTech
(UpdatesonDec12,2023)
GlobalSmartphones:Foldable:Introducingfoldablephoneforecasts;hingesande-paperinitiations(UpdatesonFeb1,2024)
GlobalTech:ServerTAMupdates:Serversupby8%YoYin2024E;AIandincreasingcomputinginfracapextofuelgrowth(UpdatesonMar13,2024)
_
12June20242
GoldmanSachsGlobalTech
AIservers:+116%/+57%YoYin2024E/2025E;generalservers:+13%/+3%YoY
GlobalServermarketopportunity
_
(Shipmentsinkunits)
OurBottomupmethod
GlobalserverTAM=
Generalserver+AIserver(highpower)+AIserver
(others)+HPC
Generalserver
Generalservershipments=
shipmentsofTop6server
brands+ODMdirect+othersGeneralserverrevenues=
shipmentsofeachcompanyxASPofeachcompany
General%intotalshipments
92%
88%
87%
83%
202220232024E2025E
AIserver
AIservershipments=
shipmentsofTop6serverbrands+ODMdirect+
others
AIserverrevenue=shipmentsxASP
AI%intotalshipments
10%
6%
3%
0%2021
0%
202220232024E2025E
HPCserver
HPCservershipments=shipmentsofTop6serverbrands+ODMdirect+
others
HPCserverrevenue=shipmentsXASP
HPC%intotalshipments
9%
7%
7%7%
Shipmentsbytype1Q232Q233Q23
Globalservershipments2,3,,93,93,9,3,120,8,9
Generalservers2,5732,6402,610
AIservers-highpower616875
AIservers-others232323
HPC240232277
ShipmentsYoY1Q232Q233Q23
Global-14%-22%-24%
Generalservers-18%-25%-28%
AIservers-highpower485%396%339%
AIservers-others
HPC10%-8%5%
ShipmentsQoQ1Q232Q233Q23
Global-23%2%1%
Generalservers-24%3%-1%
AIservers-highpower195%12%11%
AIservers-others0%-1%
HPC-32%-3%19%
Shipmentsmix1Q232Q233Q23
Generalservers89%89%87%
AIservers-highpower2%2%3%
AIservers-others1%1%1%
HPC8%8%9%
Revenuesbytype1Q232Q233Q23
Globalserverrevenues239,4,117,37,,27,2,32
Generalservers10,71811,84219,010
AIservers-highpower14,79616,81711,135
AIservers-others364364360
HPC3,2943,0632,917
Shipmentsbyvendor1Q232Q233Q23
Totalservershipments2,3,,93,93,9,3,12,,9
Dell365361345
HP248253282
Supermicro175215170
Lenovo173153160
ODMDirect1,0961,0781,076
Others840904952
Generalservershipments2,2,,62,63,7,81,14,1
Dell324323294
HP219211212
Supermicro172209165
Lenovo154133139
ODMDirect911906907
Others793858894
AIserver(highpower)shipments67171,4,71545
Dell003
HP---
Supermicro365
Lenovo---
ODMDirect555861
Others236
AIserver(highpower)shipments-allocationbyODMs
Quanta
HonHai/FIIWiwynn
WistronInventecGigabyte
ShipmentsYoY
Totalservershipments
DellHP
SupermicroLenovo
ODMDirectOthers
Generalservershipments
AIserver(highpower)shipments
ShipmentsQoQ
Totalservershipments
DellHP
SupermicroLenovo
ODMDirectOthers
Generalservershipments
AIserver(highpower)shipments
Chinamarket
Shipments
Marketshare
1Q23
-14%
-33%-18% -5%37%-14%-8%
-18%485%
1Q23
-23%
-25%-33%-19%-20%-12%-32%
-24%195%
1Q23
752
26%
2Q23
-22%
-27%-12%13%-22%-31%-15%
-25%396%
2Q23
2%
-1% 2%23%-12% -2%8%
3%12%
2Q23
923
31%
3Q23
-24%
-35%-23%-28%-32%-26%-13%
-28%339%
3Q23
1%
-4%11%-21% 5% 0%5%
-1%11%
3Q23
964
32%
4Q23
2,756
70
23
278
4Q23
-17%
-19%243%
-21%
4Q23
5%
6%-6%1%0%
4Q23
88%2%1%9%
4Q23
19,131
17,586
364
4,459
4Q23
366
253
245
172
1,018
1,074
317
221
238
150
907
924
3
2
7
0
46
12
4Q23
-17%
-25%-31%14%-20%-18%-13%
-19%243%
4Q23
5%
6%-10%44% 7% -5%13%
6%-6%
4Q23
1,069
34%
1Q24E
2,881
127
63
230
1Q24E
14%
12%
110%
169%
-4%
1Q24E
6%
5% 81%169%-17%
1Q24E
87%4%2%7%
1Q24E
8,741
30,895
928
3,061
1Q24E
340
229
273
175
1,477
807
292
201
261
155
1,212
760
7
4
12
0
98
8
1Q24E
14%
-7%-8%56% 1%35%-4%
12%110%
1Q24E
6%
-7% -9%11% 1%45%-25%
5%81%
1Q24E
921
28%
2Q24E
2,985
142
63
220
2Q24E
15%
13%
110%
172%
-5%
2Q24E
3%
4%
12%
1%
-4%
2Q24E
88%4%2%6%
2Q24E
10,151
34,543
940
2,808
2Q24E
354
251
303
156
1,459
888
307
211
288
134
1,205
840
9
4
16
1
103
10
2Q24E
15%
-2%-1%41% 2%35%-2%
13%110%
2Q24E
3%
4%10%11%-11% -1%10%
4%12%
2Q24E
1,009
30%
3Q24E
3,041
162
62
256
3Q24E
18%
16%
116%
169%
-8%
3Q24E
3%
2%14%-2%16%
3Q24E
86%5%2%7%
3Q24E
21,156
26,705
918
2,609
3Q24E
349
276
304
190
1,459
944
288
222
288
163
1,205
875
10
4
16
1
110
21
3Q24E
18%
1%-2%79%19%36%-1%
16%116%
3Q24E
3%
-1%10% 0%22%0%6%
2%14%
3Q24E
1,050
30%
4Q24E
3,096
159
63
201
4Q24E
13%
12%126%169%-28%
4Q24E
0%
2% -2% 1%-21%
4Q24E
88%5%2%6%
4Q24E
20,909
39,180
931
2,868
4Q24E
366
268
318
190
1,388
989
306
232
302
163
1,206
888
11
5
16
1
82
45
4Q24E
13%
0% 6%30%10%36%-8%
12%126%
4Q24E
0%
5%-3%5%0%-5%5%
2%-2%
4Q24E
1,084
31%
2022
13,704
62
-
1,086
2022
10%
8%956%
36%
2022
2022
92%0%0%7%
2022
96,989
12,373
-
13,900
2022
2,056
1,328
825
775
5,558
4,310
1,842
1,160
813
698
5,192
4,000
8
-
12
-
33
9
2023
10,580
274
93
1,027
2023
-19%
-23%344%
-5%
2023
2023
88%2%1%9%
2023
60,701
60,334
1,451
13,733
2023
1,438
1,036
805
658
4,268
3,770
1,258
863
783
576
3,631
3,469
7
2
22
0
220
23
52,471545
2022
10%
-1%5%32%0%17%6%
8%956%
2022
2022
3,945
27%
24
40
8
1
46
4
2023
-19%
-30%-22% -2%-15%-23%-13%
-23%344%
2023
2023
3,708
31%
2024E
12,003
591
251
907
2024E
15%
13%116%170%-12%
2024E
2024E
87%4%2%7%
2024E
60,958
131,322
3,717
11,345
2024E
1,409
1,024
1,198
710
5,783
3,628
1,194
867
1,139
614
4,827
3,363
35
17
59
3
393
84
77
87
41
6
131
21
2024E
15%
-2%
-1%
49%
8%
36%
-4%
13%116%
2024E
2024E
4,064
30%
2025E
12,324
927
541
995
2025E
8%
3% 57%115%10%
2025E
2025E
83%
6%
4%
7%
2025E
64,921
195,428
7,654
13,367
2025E
1,437
1,035
1,228
817
6,472
3,797
1,166
867
1,157
697
4,995
3,442
62
22
71
6
653
112
130
355
63
11
186
26
2025E
8%
2% 1% 3%15%12%5%
3%57%
2025E
2025E
4,319
29%
2026E
12,523
1,054
896
1,086
2026E
5%
2%14%66%9%
2026E
2026E
80%7%6%7%
2026E
65,229
214,434
12,331
15,095
2026E
1,455
1,050
1,256
876
7,139
3,783
1,121
867
1,176
731
5,333
3,295
84
23
80
11
719
138
2026E
5%
1%
1%
2%
7%
10%
0%
2%14%
2026E
2026E
4,419
28%
2027E
13,116
1,145
1,323
1,181
2027E
8%
5% 9%48%9%
2027E
2027E
78%7%8%7%
2027E
67,669
225,047
17,529
16,487
2027E
1,469
1,069
1,286
951
7,961
4,029
1,078
867
1,196
775
5,812
3,388
100
22
90
15
755
164
2027E
8%
1%2%2%9%12%6%
5%9%
2027E
2027E
4,688
28%
202220232024E2025E
Source:Companydata,GoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearch
12June20243
GoldmanSachsGlobalTech
PC:+4%/+5%YoYin2024E/2025E
GlobalPCsmarketopportunity
_
(Shipmentsinmunits)
OurBottomupmethod
GlobalPCsshipments=
sumofshipmentsbybrands
GlobalPCsrevenues=
DesktopsASPxshipments+
NotebooksASPxshipments+WorkstationsASPxshipments
PCsshipmentsbyregion(2024E)
Restof
World
19%
Asia/Pacific
(ex.Japan)
16%
China17%
Western
USA26%
Europe
17%
Japan5%
PCsshipmentsgrowthbyregion
Asia/Pacific(ex.Japan)YoY
3%
-9%
-37%
20212022
USYoY
8%
-20%20212022
ChinaYoY
0%
-21%
20232024E2025E
7%5%
-13%
20232024E2025E
10%9%7%
-15%-15%
2021202220232024E2025E
WesternEuropeYoY
16%
1%
5%
-21%2022
-14%
2021
20232024E2025E
Shipmentsbyproduct
GlobalPCsshipments
Desktops
Notebooks
Workstations
YoY
Desktops
Notebooks
Workstations
Mix
Desktops
Notebooks
Workstations
Shipmentsbyvendor
GlobalPCsshipments
LenovoHP
Dell
AppleASUS
Others
YoY
LenovoHP
Dell
AppleASUS
Others
Globalmarketshare
LenovoHP
Dell
AppleASUS
Others
Shipmentsbymarkets
GlobalPCsshipments
ConsumerdesktopConsumernotebook
ConsumerPCs
CommercialdesktopCommercialnotebook
CommercialPCsYoY
ConsumerdesktopConsumernotebook
ConsumerPCs
CommercialdesktopCommercialnotebook
CommercialPCsMix
ConsumerdesktopConsumernotebook
ConsumerPCs
CommercialdesktopCommercialnotebook
CommercialPCs
Shipmentsbyregion
Asia/Pacific(ex.Japan)
ChinaJapanUSA
WesternEuropeRestofWorld
YoY
Asia/Pacific(ex.Japan)
ChinaJapanUSA
WesternEuropeRestofWorld
1Q23
59
17
40
2
-29%
-23%-31%-20%
100%
30%68%3%
1Q23
59
13
11
9
4
4
19
-29%
-30%-26%-32%-38%-32%-24%
100%
22%18%15% 7%6%32%
1Q23
57
6
19
26
11
21
32
-29%
-29%-33%
-32%
-19%-29%
-26%100%
11%33%
45%
19%36%
55%
1Q23
11
9
3
13
10
11
-32%-24% 0%-29%-36%-28%
2Q23
63
17
44
2
-14%
-19%-12%-16%
100%
28%70%3%
2Q23
63
14
14
10
5
4
17
-14%
-18% 3%-23% -2%-19%-18%
100%
23%22%15%7%6%27%
2Q23
61
6
21
27
11
23
35
-14%
-25%-14%
-17%
-16%-10%
-12%100%
10%34%
44%
19%38%
56%
2Q23
9
10
3
17
10
12
-32%-10% -1% -9%-15%-9%
3Q23
71
19
50
2
-8%
-15%-5%-3%
100%
26%71%3%
3Q23
71
16
18
9
8
5
14
-8%
-5% -2%-15%-20% -9%-3%
100%
23%26%13%11%7%21%
3Q23
69
7
27
34
12
23
35
-8%
-14%-3%
-6%
-15%-7%
-10%100%
10%39%
50%
17%33%
50%
3Q23
12
11
3
17
12
13
-9%-15% -9%-11% -3%2%
4Q23
68
19
47
2
-2%
-5%-1%6%
100%
28%70%3%
4Q23
68
16
12
9
6
4
21
-2%
4% 5% -9%-19%-20%3%
100%
24%18%13% 8%6%31%
4Q23
66
7
25
32
12
22
34
-2%
-6%-2%
-3%
-4%1%
-1%100%
11%38%
49%
18%34%
51%
4Q23
10
11
3
16
12
14
-4%-11% 0% -4% 5%5%
1Q24E
59
15
43
2
1%
-14%7%1%
100%
25%72%3%
1Q24E
59
14
11
9
5
4
17
1%
9% 2% 5%14% -5%-10%
100%
24%19%15%8%6%28%
1Q24E
58
6
20
26
11
22
33
2%
-3%3%
1%
-5%6%
2%100%
11%34%
44%
18%38%
56%
1Q24E
9
9
3
14
11
12
-16%5%-1%5%8%9%
2Q24E
64
16
46
2
1%
-7%5%3%
100%
25%72%3%
2Q24E
64
17
14
9
5
4
16
1%
17%-1%-5%6%5%-9%
100%
26%21%14% 8%6%24%
2Q24E
62
6
21
27
10
25
35
1%
2%3%
3%
-12%6%
0%100%
10%34%
44%
16%40%
56%
2Q24E
9
11
3
18
11
10
5% 7% 2% 5% 2%-13%
3Q24E
75
19
54
2
6%
1%7%12%
100%
25%72%3%
3Q24E
75
19
19
10
8
6
14
6%
19%4%2% 3%17%-6%
100%
26%25%13%10%8%18%
3Q24E
73
7
29
36
11
25
36
6%
6%7%
7%
-2%8%
4%100%
10%40%
50%
16%34%
50%
3Q24E
13
12
3
19
12
13
5%10%8%9%6%-3%
4Q24E
72
18
52
2
6%
-3%10%6%
100%
25%72%3%
4Q24E
72
20
12
10
6
5
19
6%
21% 2%10% 3%37%-9%
100%
27%17%14% 8%7%26%
4Q24E
70
7
26
33
11
26
36
6%
4%5%
5%
-7%15%
8%100%
10%37%
48%
15%37%
52%
4Q24E
11
12
3
18
12
14
5%13%6%8% 5%0%
2021
361
96
258
7
19%
22%17%40%
100%
27%71%2%
2021
33
82
75
56
28
22
98
100%
23%21%16% 8%6%27%
2021
354
37
128
165
58
130
188
18%
29%16%
19%
18%18%
18%100%
11%36%
47%
17%37%
53%
2021
59
57
14
93
64
67
-37%10%-19% 8%16%22%
2022
301
86
208
8
-17%
-11%-19%2%
100%
28%69%3%
2022
68
58
47
28
20
81
-17%
-17%-23%-17% 0% -6%-18%
100%
23%19%15% 9%7%27%
2022
294
32
106
139
53
102
155
-17%
-13%-17%
-16%
-9%-22%
-18%100%
11%36%
47%
18%35%
53%
2022
53
49
12
74
51
55
-9%-15%-12%-20%-21%-18%
2023
260
72
181
7
-14%
-16%-13%-9%
100%
28%70%3%
2023
59
54
37
22
16
71
-14%
-13% -6%-21%-21%-20%-12%
100%
23%21%14% 8%6%27%
2023
253
26
92
118
46
89
135
-14%
-19%-14%
-15%
-14%-12%
-13%100%
10%36%
47%
18%35%
53%
2023
42
41
12
64
44
50
-21%-15% -3%-13%-14%-9%
2024E
270
68
194
7
4%
-6%7%6%
100%
25%72%3%
2024E
69
55
38
23
19
65
4%
17% 2% 3%6%14%-9%
100%
26%21%14% 9%7%24%
2024E
263
27
96
123
43
97
140
4%
2%5%
4%
-6%9%
4%100%
10%37%
47%
16%37%
53%
2024E
42
45
12
68
46
49
0%9%4%7%5%-2%
2025E
283
70
205
8
5%
3%6%5%
100%
25%73%3%
2025E
75
57
39
24
20
68
5%
8%3%3%3%7%4%
100%
26%20%14% 9%7%24%
2025E
275
27
100
127
43
105
148
5%
1%4%
3%
-1%8%
6%100%
10%36%
46%
16%38%
54%
2025E
43
48
13
72
47
52
3%7%4%5%1%6%
2026E
293
71
214
8
4%
2%4%4%
100%
24%73%3%
2026E
80
59
40
25
21
69
4%
7%2%3%3%5%1%
100%
27%20%14% 8%7%23%
2026E
285
28
105
133
44
109
152
4%
1%5%
4%
2%4%
3%100%
10%37%
47%
15%38%
53%
2026E
45
52
13
75
47
52
4%9%4%4%2%0%
2027E
303
72
222
8
3%
2%4%3%
100%
24%73%3%
2027E
86
60
42
26
22
68
3%
7%2%3%3%5%-1%
100%
28%20%14% 8%7%22%
2027E
294
28
109
137
45
112
157
3%
1%4%
3%
3%3%
3%100%
9%37%
47%
15%38%
53%
2027E
47
54
14
78
48
53
3%4%4%4%2%2%
Source:Companydata,GoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearch
12June20244
GoldmanSachsGlobalTech
Smartphones:+3%/+3%YoYin2024E/2025E
GlobalSmartphonemarketopportunity
_
2024E2025E
(Shipmentsinmunits)
OurBottomupmethod
Globalsmartphoneshipments
=sumofshipmentbybrand
Globalsmartphonerevenues=sumofrevenuesbybrand
Globalsmartphonerevenues=shipmentsxASP
Smartphoneshipmentsbybrands(2024E)
Others33%
Apple19%
Samsung20%
Xiaomi14%
ZTE0%
Lenovo4%
Transsion10%
DevelopedmarketsYoY
9%
0%
-7%2023
-7%
2024E2025E
-7%20212022
USYoY
12%
-7%
0%
-8%
-8%
2023
20212022
ChinaYoY
5%4%
1%
-5%
-13%
2023
2024E2025E
20212022
BRICsYoY
6%4%
2%
-4%
-12%
2023
2024E2025E
20212022
RestofemergingmktYoY
4%
9%7%
0%
-14%
2021202220232024E2025E
Shipmentsbyvendor
Globalsmartphoneshipments
Apple
SamsungXiaomi
TranssionLenovo
ZTE
SonyOthers
ShipmentsYoY
Global
Apple
SamsungXiaomi
TranssionLenovo
ZTE
SonyOthers
ShipmentsQoQ
Global
Apple
SamsungXiaomi
TranssionLenovo
ZTE
SonyOthers
Shipmentsmarketshare
Apple
SamsungXiaomi
TranssionLenovo
ZTE
SonyOthers
Shipmentsbyregion
GlobalsmartphoneshipmentsDevelopedmarkets
CanadaJapanUSA
WesternEurope
BRICs
BrazilIndiaChinaRussia
Restofemergingmarkets
RestofAsia/PacificRestofCEE
RestofLatinAmericaMiddleEast&Africa
ShipmentsYoY
Global
Developedmarkets
USA
WesternEurope
BRICs
IndiaChina
Restofemergingmarkets
ShipmentsQoQ
Global
Developedmarkets
USA
WesternEurope
BRICs
IndiaChina
Restofemergingmarkets
Shipmentsmarketshare
Global
Developedmarkets
USA
WesternEurope
BRICs
IndiaChina
Restofemergingmarkets
Foldablephones
Globalfoldablephonesshipment
Penetrationrate
Xiaomi
TranssionLenovo
SamsungOthers
1Q23
268
55
60
30
15
11
1
0
95
1Q23
-15%
-2%-20%-24%-13% -7%-44%-32%-15%
1Q23
-11%
-23% 1% -8% -8% 6%-22%-39%-11%
1Q23
21%22%11% 6% 4% 0% 0%35%
1Q23
268
67
2
8
32
26
109
10
31
65
4
92
32
11
19
30
1Q23
-15%-13%
-13%-10%
-14%
-16%-12%
-16%
1Q23
-11%-19%
-21%-17%
-9%
4%-11%
-6%
1Q23
100%25%
12%10%
41%
11%24%
34%
1Q23
2.6
1.0%
0.1
0.0
0.0
1.7
0.9
2Q23
268
45
53
33
25
11
1
1
100
2Q23
-7%
-2%-16%-17%34%-14%-21%-28%-6%
2Q23
0%
-20%-12% 8%64% 0%33%47%5%
2Q23
17%20%12% 9% 4% 0% 0%37%
2Q23
268
57
2
7
25
23
112
8
34
66
4
99
31
11
22
35
2Q23
-7%-15%
-20%-9%
-3%
-3%-2%
-6%
2Q23
0%-16%
-22%-11%
2%
10%1%
8%
2Q23
100%21%
9%9%
42%
13%25%
37%
2Q23
2.5
0.9%
0.0
0.0
0.2
1.0
1.2
3Q23
304
54
59
42
26
12
2
0
109
3Q23
0%
4% -9% 3%35%11%51%-58%-4%
3Q23
13%
21%12%27% 3%14%25%-29%9%
3Q23
18%19%14% 9% 4% 1% 0%36%
3Q23
304
67
2
7
33
25
128
9
44
67
8
109
35
13
24
37
3Q23
0%-3%
-1%-5%
-5%
1%-6%
10%
3Q23
13%18%
33%9%
14%
30%2%
10%
3Q23
100%22%
11%8%
42%
14%22%
36%
3Q23
7.5
2.5%0.10.00.45.31.6
4Q23
324
80
53
41
28
13
2
0
106
4Q23
8%
11%-10%23%68%32%61%-27%-1%
4Q23
7%
48%-10% -3% 8% 9%24%13%-2%
4Q23
25%16%13% 9%4% 1%0%33%
4Q23
324
85
3
8
42
31
131
11
37
74
9
109
37
13
21
38
4Q23
8%2%
4%0%
9%
26%1%
12%
4Q23
7%26%
27%23%
2%
-15%10%
0%
4Q23
100%26%
13%10%
40%
12%23%
34%
4Q23
5.5
1.7%
0.1
0.0
0.6
2.0
2.8
1Q24
300
53
60
41
29
11
1
0
105
1Q24
12%
-5% 0%34%85% 6%58%-21%11%
1Q24
-7%
-34%13% 0% 1%-15%-23%-33%-1%
1Q24
18%20%14%10% 4% 0% 0%35%
1Q24
300
65
2
7
30
25
123
12
34
69
8
112
37
12
24
40
1Q24
12%-4%
-4%-3%
13%
11%6%
22%
1Q24
-7%-24%
-27%-19%
-6%
-8%-6%
3%
1Q24
100%22%
10%8%
41%
11%23%
37%
1Q24
3.5
1.2%
0.0
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.9
2Q24E
272
41
54
41
29
13
1
1
94
2Q24E
2%
-8% 2%24%14%23%-42%10%-6%
2Q24E
-9%
-22%-10% 0% 1% 17%-51%104%-11%
2Q24E
15%20%15%11% 5% 0% 0%34%
2Q24E
272
53
2
8
22
21
113
8
36
65
3
107
33
12
27
35
2Q24E
2%-7%
-9%-9%
1%
6%-1%
8%
2Q24E
-9%-18%
-26%-16%
-9%
5%-6%
-5%
2Q24E
100%19%
8%8%
41%
13%24%
39%
2Q24E
4.3
1.6%0.20.00.61.61.9
3Q24E
301
51
61
42
32
11
1
0
102
3Q24E
-1%
-5% 3% 0%23% -9%-42%10%-6%
3Q24E
10%
26%13% 3%11%-15%25%-29%9%
3Q24E
17%20%14%11% 4% 0% 0%34%
3Q24E
301
62
2
7
30
23
135
9
46
73
7
103
36
14
16
37
3Q24E
-1%-8%
-9%-9%
6%
6%9%
-5%
3Q24E
10%17%
33%9%
20%
30%12%
-3%
3Q24E
100%21%
10%8%
45%
15%24%
34%
3Q24E
11.3
3.8%
0.4
0.1
0.4
5.9
4.5
4Q24E
328
81
59
42
32
13
1
0
100
4Q24E
1%
1%11% 3%13% -3%-42%-20%-6%
4Q24E
9%
58% -3% 0% 0%16%24%-17%-2%
4Q24E
25%18%13%10% 4% 0%0%30%
4Q24E
328
78
4
9
38
28
136
11
39
79
8
114
38
13
25
38
4Q24E
1%-7%
-9%-9%
4%
4%7%
5%
4Q24E
9%27%
27%23%
0%
-16%7%
11%
4Q24E
100%24%
12%9%
41%
12%24%
35%
4Q24E
10.2
3.1%
0.4
0.1
0.5
3.6
5.7
2021
1,360
236
272
191
82
51
9
3
516
2021
6%
16% 6%29%36%51%35% 7%-9%
2021
2021
17%20%14% 6%4% 1%0%38%
2021
1,360
318
10
37
153
118
565
43
161
330
31
477
168
56
91
162
2021
6%9%
12%6%
2%
7%1%
9%
2021
2021
100%23%
11%9%
42%
12%24%
35%
2021
8.1
0.6%0.2
-
0.26.80.9
2022
1,206
226
262
153
73
45
5
3
438
2022
-11%
-4% -4%-20%-12%-12%-36% 0%-15%
2022
2022
19%22%13% 6%4%0%0%36%
2022
1,206
297
10
34
140
113
499
41
144
286
28
411
142
46
85
136
2022
-11%-7%
-8%-5%
-12%
-10%-13%
-14%
2022
2022
100%25%
12%9%
41%
12%24%
34%
2022
14.2
1.2%0.2
-
0.111.22.6
2023
1,165
234
226
146
95
47
6
2
410
2023
-3%
4%-14% -5%31% 4% 3%-38%-6%
2023
2023
20%19%13%8%4%0%0%35%
2023
1,165
276
9
30
131
106
480
38
146
271
25
409
135
48
86
140
2023
-3%-7%
-7%-6%
-4%
1%-5%
0%
2023
2023
100%24%
1
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