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CBRE
FIGURES|MEMPHISINDUSTRIAL|Q42025
Memphisindustrialmarketendstheyear
withlowervacancyandsteadyrentalrates
6.4%
DirectVacancyRate
4.8M
SFNetAbsorption
3.4M
SFUnderConstruction
Note:Arrowsindicatechangefrompreviousquarter.
KEYTAKEAWAYS
-Directvacancyfellto6.4%inthefourthquarter,drivenby4.8millionsq.ft.ofpositivenetabsorptionafterlaggingearlyintheyear.
-Overallavailabilityinthemarkettightenedalongsidevacancy,withtotalavailabilityat10.3%,downfrom12.0%ayearago.
-DespiteasofterlabormarketandGDPgrowthprojectedat2.0%for2026,Memphisindustrialfundamentalsandtenantactivitypointtocontinuedmarketstability.
TheMemphisindustrialmarketclosedQ42025withnotableimprovementinfundamentals.Directvacancyrecorded6.4%,downfrom7.8%inthepriorquarter,supportedbystrongnetabsorptionof4.8millionsq.ft.Thismarksasharpreversalfromnegativeabsorptionearlierintheyear.AmajordriverwasUSPSoccupying922,500sq.ft.atMemphisOaksI,whileCTDI’s261,281sq.ft.departureatSouthparkDistributionCenterpartiallyoffsetgains.Averageaskingrentsheldsteadyat$4.63persq.ft.,reflectingminimalmovementcomparedtoprioryears.ActivitywasconcentratedintheSoutheastandDeSotoCountysubmarkets,whichaccountedformostofthequarter’spositiveabsorptionandleasingmomentum.
$4.63
NNN/LeaseRate
0
SFConstructionDeliveries
FIGURE1:Deliveries,Absorption&VacancyRate
14,000,000
12,000,000
10,000,000
8,000,000
6,000,000
4,000,000
2,000,000
0
-2,000,000
-4,000,000
20152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
16.0%
14.0%
12.0%
10.0%
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
Deliveries(sq.ft.)Absorption(sq.ft.)VacancyRateAvailabilityRate
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025
1CBRERESEARCH?2025CBRE,INC.
FIGURES|MEMPHISINDUSTRIAL|Q42025
2CBRERESEARCH?2025CBRE,INC.
Direct
Vacancy
(%)
8.4%
BuildingSF
74,371,246
AvailabilityRate(%)
12.7%
Submarket
FIGURE2:MarketStatistics
Avg
Asking
LeaseRate
($)
Under
Construction
Q42025
Net
Absorption
(SF)
YTD2025
Net
Absorption
(SF)
$4.5001,851,1501,315,357
DesotoCounty
9.2%
1.2%
1.8%
0
0
0
1,851,150
0
0
1,321,832(4,600)
(1,875)
13.3%
7.5%
1.8%
$4.46
$8.18
$12.45
67,177,526
6,636,787
556,933
BulkWarehouse
StandardDistribution
ServiceCenter
FayetteCounty8,170,6230.0%$-227,5000956,6670.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
227,500
0
956,667
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
$-
$-
$-
6,927,411
1,191,312
51,900
BulkWarehouse
StandardDistribution
ServiceCenter
MarshallCounty22,044,38714.1%$4.852,933,645068,64722.0%
22.6%
9.2%
6.2%
(63,953)
138,000(5,400)
2,933,645
0
0
0
0
0
14.7%
0.0%
6.2%
$4.84$-
$9.56
21,073,516
883,786
87,085
BulkWarehouse
StandardDistribution
ServiceCenter
Northeast14,844,0372.8%$8.89209,580(12,308)(122,657)3.7%
BulkWarehouse
StandardDistribution
ServiceCenter
3,750,903
8,591,545
2,501,589
0.4%
3.7%
3.2%
$9.00
$8.59
$9.82
0
209,580
0
0
(13,600)
1,292
0
(120,750)
(1,907)
0.4%
5.0%
4.6%
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025
Q42025Net
Absorption
(SF)
(SF)
2,771,882
BuildingSF
108,955,239
Direct
Vacancy
(%)
6.0%
Avg
Asking
LeaseRate
($)
YTD2025
Net
Absorption
Under
Construction
AvailabilityRate(%)
1,684,60211.7%
$4.610
Submarket
Southeast
6.0%
6.0%
6.9%
78,807,713
26,764,443
3,383,083
0
0
0
1,427,001(209,907)
467,508
12.2%
10.2%
12.0%
$4.54
$4.47
$7.30
BulkWarehouse
StandardDistribution
ServiceCenter
2,449,787331,274(9,179)
Northwest28,622,4034.4%$4.24018,168(193,140)5.4%
0
18,168
0
4.5%
4.2%
2.3%
19,769,927
8,328,405
524,071
0
0
0
5.2%
6.1%
2.3%
$3.75
$5.80
$7.00
BulkWarehouse
StandardDistribution
ServiceCenter
(121,036)(86,681)
14,577
Southwest45,517,5493.7%$3.880123,193854,0454.4%
0
0
0
2.6%
5.4%
11.3%
19,904,927
24,026,042
1,586,580
2.9%
4.1%
7.8%
11,250
111,943
0
$3.08
$3.86
$8.77
BulkWarehouse
StandardDistribution
ServiceCenter
1,219,258(359,828) (5,385)
MemphisMSA302,525,4846.4%$4.633,370,7254,752,0854,563,52110.3%
BulkWarehouse
StandardDistribution
ServiceCenter
217,411,923
76,422,320
8,691,241
7.1%
4.4%
5.3%
$4.52
$5.02
$8.20
2,933,645
437,080
0
4,312,187
447,785
(7,887)
4,739,769
(643,766)
467,518
11.4%
7.3%
8.4%
FIGURES|MEMPHISINDUSTRIAL|Q42025
3CBRERESEARCH?2025CBRE,INC.
Q42025Highlights
Thequarterrecordedmorethan8.2millionsq.ft.ofleasingactivity,whichwasdominatedbynewdealsratherthanrenewals.Large-scalecommitmentsincludeHyveSolutionsCorporation’s605,000sq.ft.leaseintheSoutheastsubmarketandGXOLogisticsWorldwide’s474,000sq.ft.leaseinDeSotoCounty.Additionally,ChattTransportServicesincreaseditsfootprintinthemarketbynearly1.6millionsq.ftthisquarter.Solarpanelstoragedealsinthesecondhalfplayedacriticalroleinthemarket’spositiveabsorptionfortheyear,accountingfor2.1millionsq.ft.thisquarterand2.7millionsq.ft.inthethirdquarter.Theyear’sstrongleasingactivity,withmorethan2.1millionsq.ft.yettocommence,positionsthemarketforsustainedpositiveabsorptionmovinginto2026.
Investmentsalesremainedmutedthroughthefourthquarter,reflectingbroadernationaltrendsofcautiouscapitaldeploymentamidhigherfinancingcosts.Transactionvolumewasconcentratedinsmaller,single-tenantassetsandselectportfoliotrades,asinstitutionalbuyerslargelystayedonthesidelines.NotabletransactionsincludexAI’sacquisitionof2400StatelineRdWandElmTreeFunds’purchaseof7700NailRd,bothinDeSotoCounty.Olymbecexpandeditsportfoliowiththeacquisitionof4481DistriplexCvinMemphis.
TheU.S.economyshowsmixedsignalsheadinginto2026.AI-drivengrowthandimprovingcapitalgoodsorderspointtobusinessoptimism,whilestrongercreditmarketssupportrealestateinvestment.However,consumerconfidenceremainsweak,withspendingconcentratedamonghigher-incomehouseholds.NationalGDPgrowthisexpectedtoaveragearound2%in2026,slightlysofterthan2025,ashiringslowsandlabormarketsremaincautious.ForMemphis,thesedynamicsfavorcontinuedindustrialdemandfromtechandlogisticssectors,evenasbroaderconsumersoftnesstempersretail-relatedactivity.
FIGURE3:KeyLeasingTransactions
Tenant
Location
Size(sq.ft.)
Submarket
TransactionType
Exel
3300TchulatechDr
971,880
Southeast
Renewal
ChattTransportServices
4795ImaginationDr
653,900
Southeast
NewLease
HyveSolutionsCorp
9105HacksCrossRd
605,427
DeSotoCounty
NewLease
ChattTransportServices
4600SonomaCv
603,388
Southeast
NewLease
GXOLogistics
3883USHighway51
473,760
DeSotoCounty
NewLease
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025
FIGURE4:AverageAskingRates($/sq.ft.)
$10.00
$8.00
$6.00
$4.00
$2.00
$0.00
20152016201720182019202020212022202320242025BulkStandardServiceOverall
FIGURE4:DirectVacancyRate
16.0%
14.0%
12.0%
10.0%
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
20152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
BulkStandardServiceOverall
MarketAreaOverview
Contacts
FIGURES|MEMPHISINDUSTRIAL|Q42025
Contacts
ElizabethGoodwin
SeniorManagingDirector
elizabeth.goodwin@
LaurenGoddard
AssociateResearchDirector
lauren.goddard@
MemphisOffice
6070PoplarAvenue,Suite500Memphis,Tennessee38119
?2025CBRE,Inc.Allrightsreserved.Thisinformationhasbeenobtainedfromsourcesbelievedreliablebuthasnotbeenverifiedforaccuracyorcompleteness.CBRE,Inc.makesnoguarantee,representationorwarrantyan
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