版權(quán)說明:本文檔由用戶提供并上傳,收益歸屬內(nèi)容提供方,若內(nèi)容存在侵權(quán),請進行舉報或認領(lǐng)
文檔簡介
TheStateofFintechAReviewoftheHealthandTrendsoftheFintechIndustry2022TheStateofFintech20224TheMacro:ChangingFintechLandscape7InvestmentandBenchmarking:FoundersFocusonFundamentals13OnExits:Hold,BacklogBuilds16Web3Spotlight:BuildingforaCryptoFutureTheStateofFintech:2022 2ExecutiveSummaryWhiplash!Thistimelastyear,Iwaswritingamuchdifferentcoverletter.Theinnovationeconomywasatthepeakofitsbestfundingyearever,andfintechwasatthecenterofthatsuccess.Ourclientswereraisingmoneyatabreakneckpaceforstaggeringvaluations.Fast-forwardtonowandmarketconditionshavechangeddramatically.Clientsaretellingusaboutplansto“trimfat”andextendrunwayasconsumerdemandsoftens.Whilethepublicmarketsgrapplewithacorrection,morepeoplewanttoknow:“Hasthefintechbubblepopped?”Fromavaluationsstandpoint,youmightseeaneasyanswer.High-profilecompaniesinourspacehaveseentheirpublicvaluationsfallsharplyoverthelast12months.Andwhiledownroundsarestillrare,it’sclearthatvaluationsareresettingintheprivatemarkets,too.Butthat’sonlypartofthestory.Toughmarketconditionsprovidethebestconditionstogrowresilientstartups.That’swhatwe’reseeingnow.Ahealthypipelineofpromisingnewfintechcompaniesisrisingtotheoccasion,whilemoreestablishedcompaniesareseekingnewgrowthopportunitiestocapturemarketshare.Inthisyear’sTheStateofFintechreport,wediveintothesetrendsandleverageSVB’sunmatchedproprietarydatatoofferauniqueperspectiveonthefintechindustry.Investmentmaybecoolingfromtherecordhighin2021,butnotbymuch.VentureCapital(VC)investorsareonpacetodeploy$38BintoUSfintechthisyear,thesecond-highestannualtotalfortheUS.Inourbenchmarkingsection,wedetailwhichsubsectorsarefaringbest,indexingkeyperformanceindicators(KPIs)likecashrunwayandrevenuegrowth.OurexitssectiondetailsthebacklogofIPO-readyfintechcompaniesandthegrowingstableoffintechunicorns.WeexploretheregulatorychallengesfacingWeb3companies,consumerlendersandneobanks.Thisyear,we’vealsoincludedaspotlightonWeb3,takingacloserlookatdecentralizedfinance(DeFi)andtheintersectionbetweencorporationsandcrypto.There’snodenyingit’sbeenachallengingyear,butmarketmomentslikethesecanalsopresentagoldenopportunityfordifferentiation.Fintechinfrastructure,commerciallendingandregtechareareaswithstronggrowthpotentialinthenearterm.Lookingaheadinto2023,theeconomicpictureremainsfoggy,butourconfidenceinthelong-termresilienceofthefintechsectorisunwavering.DanAllredSeniorMarketManager,FintechSiliconValleyBankTheStateofFintech:2022 3Macro:TheChangingFintechLandscapeTheFutureStateofFintech:Climate2022Tech44Here’sLookingatYou,FedAfteryearsofconsistentgrowth,aneconomicslowdowniswellunderway.USinflationreacheda40-yearhighinNovember2021andhasstayedstubbornlyputeversince,unmovedbyfiveconsecutiveratehikesfromtheFederalReserve.ThehikespushedthebenchmarklendingratefromnearzeroinFebruaryto3.83%inNovember,thefastestincreasesince1980.Concernsoverinflation,risingratesandgeopoliticaltensionhavecausedpublicmarketstoenterbear-marketterritory.BoththeS&P500andNasdaqCompositeindicesareonpacefortheirworstannualreturnssince2008.Oneofthemostexposedsectorstothesemacroforcesisfintech.VC-backedcompaniesthatleveragedthefreecashenvironmenttoofferproductssuchasbuynow,paylater
ChangeinUSInterestRates1PersonalLoans(24Mos.)CreditCardsFedFundsRateAutoLoans(60Mos.)Mortgage(30Yrs.)SinceFeb’22Fedcutsrates3%Mortgagerates+313bpsatthestartofdoublefromthepandemiclowto6.90%2%Mortgagerates+171bpshitanall-time+300bpsFedbegins1%lowof2.67%ratehikes0%+98bps+75bps-1%-2%2020 2021 2022
USLoanDelinquencies2TotalDelinquentConsumerAssetsBusinessLoanDelinquencyRateConsumerLoanDelinquencyRate$40B3.0%+34%$35B2.5%$30B2.0%$25B$20B1.5%$15B1.0%$10B$39B$30B$29B$33B$26B$23B$25B$29B$28B$31B0.5%$5B$B0.0%202020212022(BNPL)loansandnon-interest-bearingcheckingaccountsmaynowfacestiffercompetitionfromtraditionalbanksthathavedeeperdeposits—acheapsourceofcapital.Fintechcompaniescanpivottomeetthesechallenges,butchangestaketime.Andretainingcustomerscouldrequirestartupstospendheavily,andeventakelosses,atatimewhenequitycostsarehighandinvestorsarevaluingprofitabilitymorethangrowth.Theuncertaintyisweighingheavilyonfintechstocks,wipingoutmostgainsfintechcompaniessawduringtherecentbullmarket.TheSTOXXGlobalFintechIndex,forexample,outperformedtheS&P500untilNovember2021buthastradedatadiscounteversince.Trendsthatbenefitedfintechcompaniesduringtherun-upofthepastdecadearenowreversingthemselves.Consumerinterestratesareupacrossallcategories.Householdbudgetsaretighteningasdebtpaymentsgrowandinflation-adjustedwagesdrop.Mortgagerates,forexample,havemorethandoubledinthelastyear.Delinquencyratesforconsumerdebtarealsoincreasingwithdelinquentconsumerassetsup34%sinceQ22021.
ReturnsofS&P500andSTOXXGlobalFederalFundRateHikes4FintechIndexSinceJan202031983-841988-891993-951999-20002004-062015-1920222022Expected(Jan.’20=0)Index(Jan.’20=0)IndextoS&P500Index5%60%Fastest42.6%43.6%4%increase40%since19803%20%13.8%0%2%-14.3%Nov.’21–Sept.’22:-11.3%-20%1%-18.6%S&P500outperformsfintechsector-40%0%202020212022202304812162024283236MonthsSinceStartofRateHikeNotes:1)Onebasispoint(bps)isequivalentto0.01%.Autoratesarefornewvehicles.2)Delinquentloansarepastdue30daysormore.3)Asof9/20/2022.TheSTOXXindexincludes172companies.LogosfromLtoR:Visa,PayPal,Adyen,Robinhood,WorkdayandToast.4)ChangeinmonthlyaverageofthedailyFederalFundsEffectiveRate.ExpectedratebasedonmedianprojectionoftheFederalOpenMarketCommittee.TheStateofFintech:20225Source:St.LouisFed,ClevelandFed,S&PCapitalIQ,PitchBookandSVBanalysis.StillBuffering:RegsLagInnovationThepaceoffintechinnovationssuchasdigitalwallets,peer-to-peerlending,commission-freestocktradingandcryptocurrencyhasstrainedfederalregulators’abilitytopolicethem.WhiletraditionalfinancialinstitutionsgrappledwithamountainofnewregulationsfollowingtheGreatFinancialCrisis,fintechcompanieslargelyavoidedsuchregulationstobuildtechplatformswithlessoversightthanthelargebanksandinstitutionstheyweredisrupting.Theresultisashiftingmeshofrulesthatareexpensiveforfounderstonavigateandcomplicatedforconsumerstounderstand.Fintechstodayareoverseenbydozensoffederalagencieswithbroadmandatestoprotectconsumersfromdatabreaches,unfairlendingandfraud,whilealsoensuringdigitalplatformsdon’tenablecriminalactivitieslikemoneylaunderingoravoidinginternationalsanctions.Twocompaniesthatprovidesimilarservicesmayfacevastlydifferentregulatoryregimes.Coinbase,forexample,isregisteredasamoneyservicesbusinesswiththeTreasuryDepartment(thesameasWesternUnion),whileRobinhood,whichalsoofferscryptotrading,isregisteredasabroker-dealerwiththeSecuritiesandExchangeCommission(SEC).SoFiissuesloansunderitsownUSbankingcharter,whileChimeoffersloansthroughthird-partybanks.Thelegalrisksaresofraughtthatmanyfintechsturntoregulatorytechcompaniestostaycompliant.Nowthateconomicuncertaintyismounting,federaloversightisonlyheatingup.InSeptember,theConsumerFinancialProtectionBureau(CFPB)signaledthatgreaterscrutinyiscomingfortheshort-termconsumerloansknownasBNPL,whicharen’trequiredtogivedatatocreditagencies.PopularityforBNPLskyrocketedduringthepandemic,withoriginationsjumpingfrom17millionloansin2019to180millionin2021—a10.6xincrease.
USTimeline:TheRiseofFintechCompaniesandKeyRegulatoryActions1USVCDealsinFintechTTMUSFintechUnicornDeals(Pre-MoneyValuations)ValueofUSVC-backedFintechCompaniesTTM2,500CommoditiesFuturesJusticeDepartmentestablishescryptoenforcementteamDodd-FrankActSection1033OfficeoftheComptrollerTradingCommission(CFTC)requiresbankstoprovideoftheCurrency(OCC)$500Bdefinescryptocurrenciesasconsumersdigitalaccessallowsfintechstoapplycommoditiesunderthe$35B2,000totheirfinancialrecords.fornationalbankcharters.CommodityExchangeAct.CFPB$400BSEC,CFTCandFinCENannouncesissuejointstatement1,500greaterSECpublishesDAO2ondigitalassets.on$300B$22B$24BscrutinyReportandissuesTreasuryDepartment$20BBNPL.guidanceonICOs.31,000CFPBisestablished.issuesguidanceonvirtual$200Bcurrencyexchanges.$14B$13B$13B500$9B$11B$11B$100B$6B$8B$7B$8B$7B$7B$4B$4B$4B$3B$4B$3B0$2B$2B$1B$2B$2B$2B$0B20102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023USRegulationsonFinancialServices4USBNPLLoanOriginationsandVolumeNumberofRestrictionsbyAgencyBNPLLoanVolumeBNPLLoanOriginations50kTheDodd-FrankAct16.5k$24Badded20kfederal10.6xrestrictionsonbanking,40kinsuranceandsecurities.12.0kincreaseinBNPLloanoriginations180M30kfrom2019to9.8k202120k6.6k$8B10k$2B68M3.8k0k17M197019801990200020102020201920202021Notes:1)SquarebecameBlockin2021.Notshown:Stripevaluedat$95BinMarch2021.2)DecentralizedAutonomousOrganization3)InitialCoinOffering4)Thenumberofrestrictionsimposedbyfederalagenciesoverseeingthefinancialsector.Restrictionsarethewords“shall,”“must,”“maynot,”“required,”and“prohibited”inregulations.Logosfromtoptobottom:SEC,CFPB,CFTC,FederalDepositInsuranceCorporation(FDIC),NationalCreditUnionAdministration(NCUA).TheStateofFintech:20226Source:Reghub.ai,CFPB,PitchBookandSVBanalysisInvestmentandBenchmarking:FoundersFocusonFundamentalsTheFutureStateofFintech:Climate2022Tech77FlatIstheNewUpFintechwasamongthebest-fundedsectorsinarecordyearfortheinnovationeconomyin2021.Investmentinfintechsjumped2.5xfrom2020to2021,whileinvestmentforallsectorsincreased2x.Intenseinvestorcompetitionfordealscausedvaluationstoballoon.ByOctober2021,themedianSeriesC+valuationwas$965M,up2xfromOctober2020.Yettheenvironmenthaschangedin2022.VC-backedvaluationsatallstageshavestartedtodeclineasinvestorspausedforthesummer,hopingpublicmarketswouldrebound.Withnorallyinsight,realityissettinginandvaluationsareretreating.Thesteepestdeclinesinvaluationhaveoccurredforlate-stagefintechcompanies,whicharemostsusceptibletopublicmarketvolatilityandchangesinthevaluationsoftheirpublicmarketcomps.Enterprisevalue(EV)tonext12months(NTM)revenuemultiplesforpublicfintechcompanieshasdeclined55%
USFintechVCInvestmentUSFintechTrailing180-DayPre-moneyCapitalInvestedDealsExtrapolationValuationIndex12,1252,005300SeriesStartPeakEndSeed$7M$15M$13M$38B250A$23M$63M$55M1,1601,1681,2151,476200B$72M$263M$200MC+$499M$965M$733M150100$15B$17B$22B$56B$28B5020182019202020212022202020212022sincethemarketpeakedonJanuary3,2022.Whileearlystagevaluationshavedeclined,thesecompaniesaregenerallymoreshelteredasinvestorsrecognizethattheearlystageisalong-termgameandcanweatheradownmarket—evenbenefitingfromtheavailabilityoftalenteconomicslowdownspresent.However,valuationsdon’ttellthewholestory.Anecdotally,investorsareofferingtoughertermswith1-2xliquidationpreferences.Suchacompromisecanbeacceptableforfounderswhowanttoavoidadownroundandinvestorswhoprotectthemselvesfromdownsiderisk.Whiledownroundsarenotgenerallyreportedindata,analysisofSVB’sproprietarycalllogsindicatesthatdownrounds,flatrounds,insideroundsandextensionroundsarebeingdiscussedmorefrequently,asignthatmorecompaniesareconsideringthesemeasures.
MedianUSValuationStep-upbySeriesSeedtoA SeriesAtoB SeriesBtoC400%350%300%250%200%150%100%50%0%2019 2020 2021 2022
DownRoundSentimentonPrivateUSCompanyCallLogIndex2FintechFrontierTechEnterpriseSoftwareConsumerInternet500400Indexed300to1002001000Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3202020212022Notes:1)AsofMedianpre-moneyvaluationforthetrailing180days,smoothedwitha30-daymovingaverage.2)UsingSVBdatafromcallswithprivatecompanies.Trailing6-months:Mentionsofdownrounds,flatrounds,insideroundsorroundextensionsTheStateofFintech:20228Source:PitchBook,SVBproprietarydata,andSVBanalysis.ShineFadesforConsumerAppsWhenitcomestofunding,certainfintechsubsectorshavefaredbetterthanothers.Blockchain,CryptoandWeb3companieshaveremainedmostresilientatattractingdealflowin2022.Thesecompaniesexperiencedtheslightestdropinyear-over-year(YoY)dealactivityofanysubsectorbuthavegainedbillionsinnewinvestments,benefitingfromcrypto-specificVCfundsthatwereraisedin2021.However,cracksbegantoshowinQ3followingdeclinesincryptoassetprices.Web3postedlargequarter-over-quarter(QoQ)declinesindealflow.Thehardesthitsubsectorsin2022arethosemostexposedtothenegativemacroconditionsimpactingconsumerdemand.Consumeralternativelendingandpersonalwealthmanagementhavebothseendealcountscutinhalfin2022,withinvestmentvolumedownbyoverathird.Consumerpaymentappssawinvestmentdropby73%from
USVCInvestmentandChangeinDealCountbyFintechSubsector2ChangeinDealCountQ42021toQ32022CapitalInvestedYTDasofQ32022|ABCChange:CapitalInvestedChangeinDealCountQoQ2022FullYearOutlook2021to2022Outlook-36%-4%BlockchainandCrypto$7B$10B|33%-36%-12%Web3withFintechApplications$9B$12B|30%-20%-14%Payments:Commercial$2B$3B|-39%-17%-17%Insuretech:Commercial$2B$3B|-4%Notes:SignificantoverlapbetweenWeb3and-38%-20%FintechInfrastructure$3B$4B|-7%BlockchainandCrypto-39%-25%RealEstateFintech$3B$3B|-39%-27%-10%Insuretech:Consumer$1B$2B|-55%-29%10%AlternativeLending:Commercial$2B$2B|48%-39%-36%FinancialBusinessProcessSoftware$3B$4B|32%-38%-24%PaymentsConsumer$782M$1B|-73%-53%-39%PersonalFinanceWealthManagement$3B$4B|-37%-54%-25%AlternativeLending:Consumer$647M$863M|-35%2021totheextrapolatedtotalfor2022.Thesesectorsarebeinghamperedbyrisinginterestrates,tighteninghouseholdbudgetsanddownpublicmarkets.Robinhood,forexample,lost6.6millionusersin2022,droppingfrom22.5millionin2021to15.9millionthisyear.1Whileconsumer-facingappsarestrugglingtoattractfunding,B2Bfintechcompanieshaveremainedrelativelyrobust.Commercialpayments,commercialinsuretech,andfintechinfrastructurehavebenefitedfromincreasedinterestinbuildingtherailsandinfrastructureforenterprisefintechapplications.Wecanseethesetrendsplayoutinrevenuegrowthratesforconsumerandcommercialfintechplatforms.Consumerfintechsawsubstantiallyhighergrowthratesin2019and2020asconsumersmovedtheirspending,bankingandinvestingtofintechplatforms.However,startinginmid-2021,revenuegrowthratesforbothconsumerandcommercialsectorsbegantotrendtogetherasconsumeradoptionoffintechhasplateaued.
USVCInvestmentbyCustomerTypeCommercialFintech ConsumerFintech450400350300 Indexedto100150100500Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q32019202020212022
MedianYoYUSRevenueGrowthbyCustomerTypeCommercialFintech ConsumerFintech160%140%120%100%80%60%40%20%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q32019202020212022Notes:1)EstimatefromBusinessofA2)Web3companiesoverlapwithothersubsectors;ChangeindealcountcomparesQ42021dealcounttoQ32022.TheStateofFintech:20229Source:PitchBook,BusinessofA,SVBProprietarydataandSVBanalysis.MoreMoney,LessProblemsAsCOVID-19hitinearly2020,companieswereadvisedtocutburnandraise18-24monthsofrunway.Manycompaniesdidsosuccessfully,andasaresult,thenumberofcompaniesthatneededtoraisecapitalwithin12monthsdroppedsignificantlyacrossallstages.Whentheworst-casescenariodidn’tplayout,operationsreturnedtonormal,butcompanieshadstockpilesofcashinthebank.Notonlyhadstartupssaved,manyhadalsoraisednewrounds.Theinvestmentclimatewasgoinggangbusters.Companiescouldraisecheapequity(giventhehighvaluations)andsignificantsumsofcapital.Forexample,SeriesBvaluationspeakedatalevel265%higherthanthestartof2020.ThisledtoasurgeincashbalancesforUSVC-backedcompanies.Theyputthemoneytowork,andburnratesclimbed.Subsequently,remainingmonthsliquidity(RML)begantofall—substantially.Paymentscompanies,forexample,hadamedianof40monthsrunwayattheheightofthepandemicasdemandforcashlesstechnologyskyrocketedandinvestorsfilledtheircoffers.Asspendingincreased,cashrunwayforpaymentscompaniesfellto12monthsbyQ32022.Today,44%offintechcompanieswithunder$10Minrevenueneedtoraisecapitalinthenext12months.Withtop-tierinvestorssuchasSequoiarecommending18-24monthsofrunway,thesecompaniesmayfaceatoughfundraisingenvironmentastheylooktoextendrunwaywithoutbeinglabeledasdistressedbyVCs.Wehavealsoseenanincreasedinterestincompaniesseekingnon-dilutivefinancing,suchasventuredebt,toincreasetheircashrunway.It’sbecomingmorecommontostackaventureloanontopofafundingroundasawaytomaximizerunway.
VC-backedFintechCashBalances1CashandCashEquivalentsIndexedto100inQ42019TTMUSVCInvestmentInFintech190$60B180$50B170160$40B150Indexed140$30Bto100130$20B120110$10B10090$BQ4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q32019202020212022MedianMonthsofCashRunwaybyRevenueBand2Q42019Q42020Q42021Q32022402921191718241615141614151412110-Early$10M $10MMid-$25M $25MLate-$50M $Corp50M+
ShareofUSVC-backedFintechwithLessthan12MonthsofRunwaybyRevenue2$0-$10M $10M-$25M $25M-$50M $50M+50%40%30%20%10%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q320182019202020212022MedianMonthsofCashRunwaybySubsectorQ42019Q42020Q42021Q3202240271819231515181312128InsuranceTech Payments RealEstateNotes:1)MedianvalueofcashandcashequivalentsheldbyUSVC-backedfintechcompanies,indexedto100inQ42019;usingtrailingtwoquartersoffinancialdata.2)Annualrevenuecalculatedbymultiplyingtherunrateforthetimeperiodbythenumberofperiodsinayear.TheStateofFintech:202210Source:SVBproprietarydataandSVBanalysis.SlowYourGrowThetougheconomicenvironmentistakingitstoll.Aswithothersectors,fintechcompaniesaregrowingmoreslowlyin2022.Anincreasingsharearenotgrowingatall.SVBproprietarydatashowsthat38%offintechcompanieslostrevenuefromQ22022toQ32022,upfrom26%thepriorquarter.Publiccompanieshavemirroredthislacklustergrowth.AmongformerlyVC-backedfintechcompanieswentpublicsince2018,theaveragerevenuegrowthweightedbycompanysizefellfrom16%inQ42021to-3%inQ32022.Theheadwindsfacingthesecompaniesareprimarilydrivenbythepaceofinterest-ratehikes.Fintechsfacelesscompetitionfromtraditionalbankswheninterestratesarenearzeroandequityischeap.Mostneobanks,forexample,don’tofferinterestoncheckingaccounts,andmanyrelyonthird-partycharteredbankstoissue
DistributionofUSVC-backedFintechCompaniesbyQoQRevenueGrowthNegativeGrowth0%-50%50%+61%60%60%59%51%12%morecompaniesareexperiencingnegativegrowthratesinQ3 38%2022comparedtoQ2202221% 24% 22% 26%12%18% 16% 17% 15%Q32021 Q42021 Q12022 Q22022 Q32022
ShareofCompaniesbyRevenueGrowthandRevenueBand1PositiveQoQRevenueGrowthNegativeRevenueGrowth66%offintechcompaniesare77%76%86%79%84%growingslower71%73%74%inQ32022ascomparedtoQ2.20212022202120222021202220212022$0-$10M $10M-$25M$25M-$50M $50M+loans.Theirvaluetendstobeintheconvenienceandflexibilityoftheirtechinterface.Astraditionalbanksofferhigherinterestondeposits,customerretentionmaybecomeaproblemforplatformslikewalletapps.Thefastpaceoftheratehikesmaybeespeciallychallenging,becausecustomersaremoreawareoftherisingratesthantheymightbeiftherateswereslowlyincreasingovermanymonths.Whilefintechgrowthislackluster,thereisnoescapingthefactthatfintechisincreasinglyembeddedinallourfinancialdealings.Forexample,somecompaniesintheinsuretechindustrybenefitfromgrowingchallengesintheregulatoryenvironment,whichcreatetailwindsforcompaniesofferingcomplianceandrisk-managementsolutions.Soshort-rungrowthmaybehampered,butlong-termgrowthofthesectorisallbutassured.
MedianQoQRevenueGrowth:USFormerlyQoQRevenueGrowth:USFormerlyVC-backedFintechIPOsSince20182VC-backedFintechIPOsSince20183Middle50%ofCompaniesMedianAverageRevenueGrowthWeightedbyCompanySize16%500%400%300%200%100%2%0%20192020202120222019202020212022201920212022-100%2020Q42021Q12022Q22022Q32022-3%-3%InsuranceTechPaymentsRealEstateNotes:1)Annualrevenuecalculatedbymultiplyingtherunrateforthetimeperiodbythenumberofperiodsinayear.2)Analysisusestrailingtwoquarterstocalculatepercentile.3)FintechcompaniesthathavebeenlistedonamajorUSexchangesince2018.TheStateofFintech:202211Source:SVBProprietarydataandSVBanalysis.TimeforaHaircutJustasyoucan’tstopatrainonadime,itturnsoutyoucan’tcutcompanyspendinginasinglequarter.FivemonthsafterprominentinvestorssuchasLightspeedandCraftVenturesfirstwarnedfounderstobegintighteningtheirbelts,companiesarefinallycurtailingtheirspending.AccordingtoSVBproprietarydata,thereweremorefintechcompanieswithdecreasingnetburninQ32022thanatanypointsincethepeakofCOVID-19lockdownsinQ22020.Thecutsgiveusoptimismthatcompaniesareright-sizingtheirexpensestomatchdecreasedexpectationsforspendingandslowerrevenuegrowth.Adspendwasthefirsttogo,withcutsfirstspikinginQ32021.ByQ22022,59%ofcompanieswereslashingmarketingspend.Computingspendwasnextwith35%ofcompaniesmakingcutsinQ32021,increasingto50%byQ22022.CompaniesappearedtoholdoffonpayrollcutsuntilQ22022,whentheyspikedto41%ofcompanies.
USVC-BackedFintechEBITDAIndex1USVC-backedFintechChangeinNetBurnQoQChangeIncreasing>25%Decreasing>25%150150Increasing<25%Decreasing<25%AbundantcapitalfuelsCompaniescut100100growthatallcosts.spendingduringAbundant100%COVID-19.capitalfuels5050growthat80%allcosts.00IndexedSpending60%to100-50-50cutsbegintoimprove40%-100-100EBITDA.20%-150-1500%-200-200Q2Q4Q2Q4Q2Q4Q2Q4Q2Q4Q2Q4Q4Q1Q1Q2Q2Q3Q3Q4Q4Q1Q1Q2Q2Q3Q3Q4Q4Q1Q1Q2Q2Q3Q32017201820192020202120222019202020202020202020212021202120212022202220222019202020212022Amongsubsectors,fintechinfrastructure,realestateandalternativelendingcompanieshavethehighestshareofcompaniescuttingpayroll.Paymentsandblockchain/cryptosectorshavethefewestcompaniescuttingpayroll.Intheshortterm,weexpectpayrollcutstocontinue,asnewtechlayoffsareannounced.Thetechemploymenttrackerlayoffs.fyihascounted6,400layoffsintheUSfinanceandcryptosectorssinceJanuary,accountingfor12%ofallUStechlayoffstrackedonthesite.InQ32022,399companiesannouncedlayoffs—themostsinceinitialCOVID-19lockdownsinQ22020,when428companiesannouncedlayoffs.
ShareofCompaniesCuttingSpendQoQbyCategoryPayroll Computing Marketing60%50%40%30%20%10%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q32021 2022Notes:1)Annualizedmedianindexedto100atstartoftheperiod.Source:SVBproprietarydataandSVBanalysis.
ShareofCompaniesCuttingPayrollSpendQoQbyFintechSubsectorQ320222021AverageFintechInfrastructureRealEstateAlternativeLendingPersonalFinanceInsuretechFinancialBusinessProcessSoftwareBlockchainandCryptocurrencyPayments0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%TheStateofFintech:202212Exits:OnHold,ButBacklogBuildsTheFutureStateofFintech:Climate2022Tech1313IPOsSlow;BacklogContinuestoBuildFollowingarecordyearofliquidity,theIPOwindowhasundoubtedlyremainedshutin2022.IthasbeennearlyayearsincethelastUSVC-backedfintechIPO,andwhilethisisn’tunprecedented,itislongerthanmostinvestorswouldprefer.WiththeslowdownintraditionalIPOs,SPACsstartedtotakeupagrowingproportionofIPOs,with167SPACshittingthemajorUSpublicmarketsin2022.Currently,thereare60USSPACsactivelyseekingfintechcompaniesasapotentialtarget,withnearly$18Bsittinginaggregatetrustvalue.Withnorthof75%ofthemoverhalfwaytotheirdeadlinedate,thiscouldputupwardpressureonfintechactivity.However,it’snotalldoomandgloom.Agrowingbacklogoffintechcompaniesislookingtoexit.USfintechunicornshavegrownto159andstandatastaggering$656Binaggregatevaluation—a38%and15%increasesincetheendof2021,respectively.Ofthecurrentcohort,blockchain/cryptocurrencyandpaymentsubcategoriesmakeup28%and52%ofUSfintechunicornsbycountandaggregatevaluation,respectively.Furthermore,notonlyisthebacklogincreasing,butthelengthoftimefintechcompanieshavebeenprivateisalsobeginningtoincrease.Followingarecordyearofliquidityin2021,whichsawtheaverageage(definedhereasthetimefromthefirstroundtothelatestprivateround)fallasUSfintechunicornswentpublic,thistrendhasbeguntoreverseaspublicmarketsarenolongersupportive.Shouldthistrendcontinue,itcouldputpressureonstartupstoseekliquidityforinvestorsandkeyemployeesviasecondarysalesonplatformssuchasNasdaqPrivateMarket(NPM).BasedonproprietarydatafromNPM,moreprivatefintechsaresellingsharesonthesecondarymarketatadiscountrelativetothepastthreeyears—signalingthelevelofuncertaintyfeltamongstinvestorsinmarket.
USVC-backedFintech1IPOsbyMonthandDaysSinceLastIPO2,3DaysSinceLastUSVC-backedFintechIPOAggregateUSVC-backedFintechIPOValuationAggregateUSVC-backedNon-fintechIPOValuation53133632132418119520211210310577Dec'14Mar'15Jun'15Sep'15Dec'15Mar'16Jun'16Sep'16Dec'16Mar'17Jun'17Sep'17Dec'17Mar'18Jun'18Sep'18Dec'18Mar'19Jun'19Sep'19Dec'19Mar'20Jun'20
溫馨提示
- 1. 本站所有資源如無特殊說明,都需要本地電腦安裝OFFICE2007和PDF閱讀器。圖紙軟件為CAD,CAXA,PROE,UG,SolidWorks等.壓縮文件請下載最新的WinRAR軟件解壓。
- 2. 本站的文檔不包含任何第三方提供的附件圖紙等,如果需要附件,請聯(lián)系上傳者。文件的所有權(quán)益歸上傳用戶所有。
- 3. 本站RAR壓縮包中若帶圖紙,網(wǎng)頁內(nèi)容里面會有圖紙預覽,若沒有圖紙預覽就沒有圖紙。
- 4. 未經(jīng)權(quán)益所有人同意不得將文件中的內(nèi)容挪作商業(yè)或盈利用途。
- 5. 人人文庫網(wǎng)僅提供信息存儲空間,僅對用戶上傳內(nèi)容的表現(xiàn)方式做保護處理,對用戶上傳分享的文檔內(nèi)容本身不做任何修改或編輯,并不能對任何下載內(nèi)容負責。
- 6. 下載文件中如有侵權(quán)或不適當內(nèi)容,請與我們聯(lián)系,我們立即糾正。
- 7. 本站不保證下載資源的準確性、安全性和完整性, 同時也不承擔用戶因使用這些下載資源對自己和他人造成任何形式的傷害或損失。
最新文檔
- 2025年勞資專員試題及答案
- 年度保密工作總結(jié)
- 糖尿病專科護士考試試題(附答案)
- 選礦集控工操作考核試卷及答案
- 建設工程施工合同糾紛要素式起訴狀模板資深律師修訂版
- 保溫防腐工程糾紛專用!建設工程施工合同糾紛要素式起訴狀模板
- 2026 年離婚協(xié)議書 2026 版專業(yè)規(guī)范版
- 鐘山風景名勝區(qū)旅游服務中心項目塔式起重機基礎專項施工方案
- 定制家居員工年終總結(jié)(3篇)
- 電石生產(chǎn)副總年終總結(jié)(3篇)
- 第四單元地理信息技術(shù)的應用課件 【高效課堂+精研精講】高中地理魯教版(2019)必修第一冊
- 魯科版高中化學必修一教案全冊
- 管理養(yǎng)老機構(gòu) 養(yǎng)老機構(gòu)的服務提供與管理
- 提高隧道初支平整度合格率
- 2022年環(huán)保標記試題庫(含答案)
- 2023年版測量結(jié)果的計量溯源性要求
- 建筑能耗與碳排放研究報告
- GB 29415-2013耐火電纜槽盒
- 中國古代經(jīng)濟試題
- 真空采血管的分類及應用及采血順序課件
- 軟件定義汽車:產(chǎn)業(yè)生態(tài)創(chuàng)新白皮書
評論
0/150
提交評論