版權(quán)說明:本文檔由用戶提供并上傳,收益歸屬內(nèi)容提供方,若內(nèi)容存在侵權(quán),請進(jìn)行舉報(bào)或認(rèn)領(lǐng)
文檔簡介
CBRE
FIGURES|WASHINGTON,D.C.OFFICE|Q42025
VacancyisFlatteningandisIncreasingly
ConcentratedinClassBProperties
22.5%
VacancyRate
Note:Arrowsindicatechangefrompreviousquarter.
(404,164)
Q4SFNetAbsorption
0
SFUnderConstruction
$58.78
AverageGrossAskingRate
FIGURE1:HistoricalSupply&DemandDynamics
MSF
43210(1)
(2)
(3)
Washington,DCexperiencedoccupancylossinQ4thatpushedvacancyupwards10basis-points(bps)to
22.5%.OccupancylosswasoverwhelminglyconcentratedintheClassBmarket,wherevacancyincreased
25
20
15
10
250bpsinQ4.Overall,thecity’svacancyrateended2025flatyear-over-year,aidedbyinventoryremovalforredevelopmentorconversiontoalternativeuse,aswellasaslowdowninfederalgovernmentlease
contractionsinthesecondhalfoftheyear.
Tenantsleased7.1millionsq.ft.ofofficespacein2025,10%belowtheten-yearhistoricalaveragebut
reflectingresiliencydespitesignificantregionaleconomicuncertainty.TheClassA+segmentofthe
marketperformedwell,withnotableleasesincludingBracewell’s53,250sq.ft.extensionat2001MStreetNW,theNationalCableandTelecommunicationsAgency’s53,000sq.ft.renewalat25Massachusetts
AvenueNW,andBuchananIngersoll’s52,760sq.ft.renewalandexpansionat1700KStreetNW.
AmorestableeconomicoutlookshouldbenefitD.C.in2026.Amongprivatesectortenantsactively
5
0
lookingforspace,thereis474,000SFofexpectedoccupancygain,aidedbyseveralnew-to-markettenantsandsignificantplannedexpansions.WithTrophyvacancyremaininglowat10.7%,additionalprivatesectorgrowthshouldtrickledownintoClassA+andwell-capitalizedCommodityAproperties.
20152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
6005thStreetNW,RockefellerGroupandStonebridge’sTrophyredevelopmentoftheformerWMATA
Deliveries(L)NetAbsorption(L)Vacancy(R)
headquarters,deliveredinQ42025andishalf-leasedtoCrowell&Moring.Thisrepresentedthefirst
Source:CBRE
officedeliveryinWashington,D.C.sinceSkanska’s17xMinQ22024,whichisnow90%leased.
1CBRERESEARCH?2025CBRE,INC.
FIGURES|WASHINGTON,D.C.OFFICE|Q42025
2CBRERESEARCH?2025CBRE,INC.
SectorSnapshot
Legal
Lawfirmsaccountedfor30%ofleasevolumein2025,thesecond-leadingshareofanysector,slightlybehindthegovernment.Law
firmleasevolumegrewfromtheprioryear,drivenbyseverallargedealsfornewdevelopment.Thesectorhasshiftedtowards
incrementalgrowth,with62%offirmsthattransactedin2025eithergrowingormaintainingastablefootprint.Moderatelawfirm
footprintgrowthisexpectedin2026,withahandfuloffirmsexpectedtogrowsubstantially.
Government
Thegovernmentsectoraccountedfortheleadingshareofleasingin2025.Volumewasskewedupwardsbyseverallarge,short-term
extensions,includingthoseat470-490L’EnfantPlaza(National
TransportationSafetyBoard),4505thStreetNW(Departmentof
Justice),and1750PennsylvaniaAvenue(DepartmentofTreasury).Aslowdowninfederalgovernmentleasecontractionshelpedthemarketstabilizeinthesecondhalfof2025.Contractionsinthefirsthalfoftheyeardrovethebulkofthecity’s2025occupancyloss.
BusinessandFinancialServices
Businessandfinancialservicesfirmsaccountedfor14%ofthecity’sleasevolumein2025,thethird-highestshareamongsectors.
Notably,thesectorconsistentlyprovidesasourceofincrementalgrowth,with86%offirmseithergrowingormaintainastable
footprintin2025.NotableQ4dealsincludeRaymondJames’
relocationto1899PennsylvaniaAvenue,ChaosCapital’sexpansionattheBankBuilding,andKKR’sfirstD.C.leaseattheMillsBuilding.
FIGURE2:SelectNotableQ42025LeaseTransactions
Tenant
Industry
Address
Submarket
SF
LeaseType
MarketEffect
SidleyAustin
Legal
2100MStNW
CBD
234,000
NewLease
Contraction
GSA-NationalTransportationSafetyBoard
Government
470-490L’EnfantPlzSW
Southwest
163,538
Renewal
Flat
GSA-DepartmentofTreasury
Government
1750PennsylvaniaAveNW
CBD
120,000
Renewal
Flat
Bracewell
Legal
2001MStNW
CBD
53,250
Renewal
Flat
NationalCableandTelecommunicationsAssociation
Nonprofit
25MassachusettsAveNW
NoMa
53,000
Renewal
Flat
BuchananIngersoll
Legal
1700KStNW
CBD
52,764
Renewal
Growth
AmericanMedicalAssociation
Nonprofit
200MassachusettsAveNW
CapitolHill
36,886
NewLease
Flat
AmericanSocietyofNephrology
Nonprofit
1401HStNW
EastEnd
34,197
Renewal
Flat
CampaignforTobaccoFreeKids
Nonprofit
1400IStNW
EastEnd
31,557
Renewal
Flat
MunicipalSecuritiesRulemakingBoard
Nonprofit
1101KStNW
EastEnd
30,407
NewLease
Contraction
Source:CBRE
FIGURE3:2025GrossLeasingbySector(SharebySF)
FIGURE4:2025NetAbsorptionbySector(SF,000’s)
Business&FinancialServices
Legal
Nonprofits
Government
3%2%4%
4%
30%
13%
14%
30%
Government
Legal
Business&FinancialServices
Nonprofit
Technology
Education
Creative
Other
(1,000)(500)0500
Source:CBRE
Source:CBRE
FIGURES|WASHINGTON,D.C.OFFICE|Q42025
3CBRERESEARCH?2025CBRE,INC.
DevelopmentActivity
RockefellerandStonebridge’sTrophyredevelopmentprojectat6005thStreetNWdeliveredinQ42025.BXP’stwoplanneddevelopmentsat72512thStreetNWand2100MStreetNWaretheonlybuildingsinthecurrentpipeline.BothdevelopmentsarepreleasedtoAmLaw25lawfirms.
Lookingahead,largetenantsthatarewillingtopaythehighrents
necessarytoanchornewdevelopmentsmustcontendwithsignificant
roadblocks.Manypotentiallandlordpartnersareunwillingtodevelop
newofficeassets,andmanyofthebest-locateddevelopmentsiteslackaclearpathtocontrol.Likewise,marketsforofficeconstructionequityanddebtremaintight,limitingnewdevelopmenttothosefirmswhocanself-fundprojects.Thesefactorswillplacefurtherupwardpressureonnew
developmentrents,whilealsopushinglargetenantstoenterthemarketearliertomaximizeflexibility.
$300
$250
$200
$150
$100
$50
$0
Pricing
Askingrentsremainflatquarter-over-quarter,increasingjust0.05%inQ4to$58.78persq.ft.perannumonafull-servicebasis.Concessionsare
downslightlyin2025to$245persq.ft,thoughthisslightpullbackhasbeensignificantlyaidedbytighterdealsforTrophyspace.
RedevelopmenttoAlternativeUse
Lowvaluationsforcommodityofficepropertiescombinedwithresilientmultifamilyandhotelfundamentalshavemadeoffice-to-alternativeuseredevelopmentprojectsmoreviable.Eightoffice-to-residentialorhotelprojectsarecurrentlyunderwayinDC,withmoreexpectedtobegin
constructioninthecomingquarter.
FIGURE5:DevelopmentPipeline
ExpectedDelivery
Address
Submarket
SF
Preleased(%)
Developer(s)
2029
72512thStNW
EastEnd
320,223
94%
BXP
2031
2100MStNW
CBD
300,000
75%
BXP
Source:CBRE
FIGURE6:TotalConcessionPackages
FIGURE7:AskingRentChangesbyAssetClass
AssetClass
GrossRentPerSF
Quarterover
QuarterChange
Trophy
$96.22
0.43%
ClassA
$61.29
1.34%
ClassB
$47.45
-0.77%
Overall
$58.78
0.05%
Source:CBRE
*Analysisincludesnon-GSAleasessized10,000SF+intheCBD,EastEndandCapitolHill.ConcessionsweightedbySFandnormalizedfor12-yearterm.
Source:CBRE
FIGURES|WASHINGTON,D.C.OFFICE|Q42025
4CBRERESEARCH?2025CBRE,INC.
EconomicOutlook
TheU.S.economyissendingsomemixedsignals.Financialmarketsarefocusedontheupside,particularlyAI’ssizablecontributionto
growthinrecentquarters.Someindicatorsofbusinessactivity,suchascapitalgoodsorders,areimproving,andstrengtheningcredit
marketsarehelpingtousherrealestateintoanewcycle.
Thepicturegetsmoremelancholywhenlookingathouseholds.
Consumerconfidenceremainsweak,withspendingreportedly
drivenbyasmallersegmentofaffluenthouseholds.ThismosaicofdatasuggeststhatannualaverageGDPgrowthwillbesteadyin2026,at2%,butatouchsofterthanin2025.Akeycatalystisa
softerlabormarket,ascompaniesare‘slowtohire,slowtofire’—atrendthatislikelytolastafewquarters.Aconsequenceofthis
outlookissofterinflationandlong-termbondyieldstrendingjustbelow4%byH22026.
Mining,Logging,andConstruction
EducationandHealthServicesOtherServices
LeisureandHospitalityFinancialActivities TotalNonfarmManufacturing
Trade,Transportation,andUtilitiesInformation
ProfessionalandBusinessServicesGovernment
FIGURE8:EmploymentGrowthbyIndustry,12-MonthPercentChange
-4%-2%0%2%4%6%8%10%
Source:BLS
FIGURE9:UnemploymentRate
9%8%7%6%5%4%3%2%1%0%
UnitedStatesWashington,DCMetro
Source:BLS
FIGURE10:ConsumerPriceIndex,12-MonthPercentChange
10%9%8%7%6%5%4%3%2%1%0%-1%
UnitedStatesWashington,D.C.Metro
Source:BLS
FIGURES|WASHINGTON,D.C.OFFICE|Q42025
FIGURE11:KeyMarketStatistics
Numberof
Buildings
Inventory(SF)
Overall
Vacancy
Rate(%)
Q42025Net
Absorption(SF)
2025Net
Absorption(SF)
GrossAsking
Rent($/SF)
Under
Construction(SF)
CapitolHill
27
5,106,394
20.4
161,302
143,473
75.64
-
CapitolRiverfront
14
3,311,678
28.6
(18,677)
(19,426)
57.61
-
CBD
210
38,998,348
25.2
(39,363)
(214,256)
59.22
-
EastEnd
184
41,745,488
23.3
(185,399)
(170,655)
60.83
-
Georgetown
17
2,015,779
28.7
(20,116)
41,589
54.86
-
NoMA
42
11,744,127
17.9
(165,318)
(359,166)
52.11
-
Southwest
35
11,837,192
15.8
(99,480)
(284,167)
51.04
-
Uptown
53
4,590,234
17.1
(48,969)
(70,908)
44.61
-
WestEnd
14
2,618,514
21.6
11,856
(3,710)
53.54
-
Trophy4814,164,31610.7273,833818,25496.22-
ClassA+*5316,459,65021.1(135,371)253,95875.50-
ClassA28776,412,08022.3(298,222)(998,440)61.26-
ClassB22529,149,21428.9(361,806)(733,556)47.45-
ClassC362,242,14420.8(17,969)(23,484)45.48-
Overall596121,967,75422.5(404,164)(937,226)58.78-
Source:CBRE*Buildingsachievingtop25%oftakingrents,manyrecentlyrenovated
CBREMid-AtlanticResearchbeganusingaproprietarydatabaseforofficepropertiesin
溫馨提示
- 1. 本站所有資源如無特殊說明,都需要本地電腦安裝OFFICE2007和PDF閱讀器。圖紙軟件為CAD,CAXA,PROE,UG,SolidWorks等.壓縮文件請下載最新的WinRAR軟件解壓。
- 2. 本站的文檔不包含任何第三方提供的附件圖紙等,如果需要附件,請聯(lián)系上傳者。文件的所有權(quán)益歸上傳用戶所有。
- 3. 本站RAR壓縮包中若帶圖紙,網(wǎng)頁內(nèi)容里面會(huì)有圖紙預(yù)覽,若沒有圖紙預(yù)覽就沒有圖紙。
- 4. 未經(jīng)權(quán)益所有人同意不得將文件中的內(nèi)容挪作商業(yè)或盈利用途。
- 5. 人人文庫網(wǎng)僅提供信息存儲(chǔ)空間,僅對用戶上傳內(nèi)容的表現(xiàn)方式做保護(hù)處理,對用戶上傳分享的文檔內(nèi)容本身不做任何修改或編輯,并不能對任何下載內(nèi)容負(fù)責(zé)。
- 6. 下載文件中如有侵權(quán)或不適當(dāng)內(nèi)容,請與我們聯(lián)系,我們立即糾正。
- 7. 本站不保證下載資源的準(zhǔn)確性、安全性和完整性, 同時(shí)也不承擔(dān)用戶因使用這些下載資源對自己和他人造成任何形式的傷害或損失。
最新文檔
- 四川省宜賓市普通高中2026屆高三上學(xué)期第一次診斷性測試歷史試卷(含答案)
- 山西省2025-2026年三晉聯(lián)盟高三上1月月考?xì)v史試卷(含答案)
- 醫(yī)聯(lián)體信息共享平臺在轉(zhuǎn)診知情同意中的應(yīng)用
- 醫(yī)聯(lián)體不良事件根本協(xié)同防控體系
- 醫(yī)療設(shè)備采購中的綠色合規(guī)要求
- 醫(yī)療設(shè)備綠色認(rèn)證推動(dòng)行業(yè)可持續(xù)發(fā)展
- 醫(yī)療設(shè)備維護(hù)資源的多部門資源需求計(jì)劃模板
- 電梯技術(shù)內(nèi)容培訓(xùn)課件
- 預(yù)防出生缺陷科普
- 2026年中國兵器工業(yè)集團(tuán)航空彈藥研究院有限公司招聘備考題庫完整答案詳解
- 煙花爆竹安全生產(chǎn)會(huì)議
- 綠化養(yǎng)護(hù)中病蟲害重點(diǎn)難點(diǎn)及防治措施
- 學(xué)堂在線 雨課堂 學(xué)堂云 工程倫理2.0 章節(jié)測試答案
- 生態(tài)旅游區(qū)建設(shè)場地地質(zhì)災(zāi)害危險(xiǎn)性評估報(bào)告
- 網(wǎng)絡(luò)傳播法規(guī)(自考14339)復(fù)習(xí)題庫(含答案)
- 民辦學(xué)校退費(fèi)管理制度
- T/CIE 115-2021電子元器件失效機(jī)理、模式及影響分析(FMMEA)通用方法和程序
- KubeBlocks把所有數(shù)據(jù)庫運(yùn)行到K8s上
- 廣東省江門市蓬江區(qū)2025年七年級上學(xué)期語文期末考試試卷及答案
- 蘇州市施工圖無障礙設(shè)計(jì)專篇參考樣式(試行)2025
- 等腰三角形重難點(diǎn)題型歸納(七大類型)原卷版-2024-2025學(xué)年北師大版八年級數(shù)學(xué)下冊重難點(diǎn)題型突破
評論
0/150
提交評論