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CBRE
FIGURES|MIDTOWNMANHATTAN|Q42025
Absorptionreachedhighestannualtotal
since1997
5.19M
LeasingActivity
Note:Arrowsindicatechangefrompreviousquarter.
2.82M
NetAbsorption
13.4%
AvailabilityRate
QUICKFACTS
-Leasingactivitytotaled5.19millionsq.ft.inQ4,36%aheadofthefive-yearquarterlyaverageof3.81millionsq.ft.
-Year-endleasingactivitytotaled19.47millionsq.ft.,up16%fromtheprioryear.
-Renewalstotaled1.86millionsq.ft.inQ4,bringingtheyear-endtotalto5.34millionsq.ft.
-Theavailabilityratewasdown110basispoints(bps)fromlastquarterto13.4%andwasdown300bpsfromayearago.
-Netabsorptionwaspositive2.82millionsq.ft.inQ4,bringingtheyear-endtotaltopositive
7.88millionsq.ft.
-At$84.24persq.ft.,theaverageaskingrentwasup1%quarter-over-quarterand3%year-over-year.
-Thesubleaseavailabilityratewasdown50bpsfromlastquarterto2.3%,withtheaverageaskingrentdown2%fromoneyearagoto$63.08persq.ft.
10.6%
VacancyRate
$84.24
AverageAskingRent
MarketOverview
Midtownclosed2025onahighnote,deliveringrobustQ4leasingactivitythatpushedtheyear-end
totalto19.47millionsq.ft.,thehighestlevelsince2018—andamongthestrongestonrecord.Intense
demanddroveasharpdropinavailability,asabsorptionreacheditshighestmarkinnearly30years.Asaresult,theavailabilityratedeclinedto13.4%,movingclosertopre-pandemiclevelof11.8%.
Afteryearsofactivityconcentratedincoredistricts,limitedavailabilityinthoseareaspushedtenantdemandtosecondaryandtertiarydistrictsin2025.Despitethegeographicshift,large-blockusers
continuedtofavorhighqualityassets.Lookingahead,imminentdevelopmentswillbecriticalasprimeblocksbecomeincreasinglyscarce.RenewalswereprominentinQ4’slargestdealsandareexpectedtoriseamidtighteningsupply.
Askingrentspostedmodestgrowth,drivenbylimitedavailabilityinhigh-pricedassets,butwereheldbackbyalingeringsupplyofchallengedspace.WhileMidtown’soverallaskingrentsawonlyslight
quarterlyandannualgains,top-tierassetswithstrongleasingmomentumrecordedmorepronouncedannualincreases.
1CBRERESEARCH?2026CBRE,INC.
FIGURES|MIDTOWNMANHATTAN|Q42025
2CBRERESEARCH?2026CBRE,INC.
EconomicOverview
Nationally,theeconomyissendingmixedsignals.Financialmarketsarefocusedontheupside,particularlyonAI’ssizablecontributiontogrowthinrecentquarters.Someindicatorsof
businessactivity,suchascapitalgoodsorders,areimproving,andstrengtheningcreditmarketsarehelpingusherrealestateintoanewcycle.
Thepicturegetsmurkierwhenlookingathouseholdsandlabortrends.Consumerconfidenceremainsweak,withspendingreportedlydrivenbyasmallersegmentofaffluenthouseholds,whileasofterlabormarkethasentereda“slowtohire,slowtofire”phaseforcompanies–atrendthatislikelytolastafewquarters.Oneconsequenceofthisissofterinflationandlong-termbondyieldstrendingjustbelow4%byH22026.ThismosaicofdatasupportsCBRE’s
outlookforsteadyannualaverageGDPgrowthof2%in2026,atouchsofterthanin2025.
InNewYorkCity,thelabormarketalsoslowedin2025,thoughsomeaspectsremainedresilient.Office-usingemployment(OUE)fellinearly2025butrecoveredto1.86millionjobsasof
November2025(themostrecentdataavailable),lessthan1%shyoftheall-timehigh.Financialserviceswasoneofthekeysectorsthatshedjobsin2025,totaling507,000jobsasof
November2025,downfrom514,000atyear-end2024.Amongthesectorspostingthemost
gainsduringtheyearwereInformationservicesandaccounting,whilelegalservicesremainedroughlyonparwithitsyear-end2024level.NYC’sunemploymentratesteadilydeclinedduringthefirsthalfof2025beforerisinginrecentmonthsandfinishingNovember2025at5.5%.At
thislevel,itwasdown10bpsfromyear-end2024buthigherthanthenationalrateof4.6%.
LeasingActivity
Leasingactivityremainedstrongthroughyear-end,totaling5.19millionsq.ft.inQ4—36%abovethefive-yearquarterlyaverage,though8%belowlastquarter.Thismarkstheninthstraight
quarterofactivitysurpassingthefive-yearquarterlyaverage,reinforcingMidtown’sreturntopre-2020levels.Full-yearleasingreached19.47millionsq.ft.,up16%from2024andthehighestannualtotalsince2018.RenewalsalsosurgedinQ4,hitting1.86millionsq.ft.—thelargest
quarterlytotalof2025and40%abovethefive-yearaverage.However,annualrenewalvolumeendedat5.34millionsq.ft.,35%belowlastyear’slevel.
FIGURE1:TopLeaseTransactionsforQ42025
Size
(Sq.Ft.)
Deal
Type
Sublet/
Direct
Tenant
Address
495,753
R
D
Bloomberg
120ParkAvenue
361,569
R
D
GibsonDunn&Crutcher
200ParkAvenue
227,683
L
D
CVStarr&Company
343MadisonAvenue
202,875
L
D
Natixis
1633Broadway
177,707
R
D
AMCNetworks
11PennPlaza
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.Lease(L),Renewal(R),Expansion(E),RenewalandExpansion(RE),Direct(D),Sublet(S).
FIGURE2:LeasingActivity|QuarterlyHistorical
MSF
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
Q12021
Q22021
Q32021
Q42021
Q12022
Q22022
Q32022
Q42022
Q12023
Q22023
Q32023
Q42023
Q12024
Q22024
Q32024
Q42024
Q12025
Q22025
Q32025
Q42025
QuarterlyLeasingActivity5YQuarterlyAvg.
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
FIGURES|MIDTOWNMANHATTAN|Q42025
3CBRERESEARCH?2026CBRE,INC.
FinancialservicesremainedMidtown’sdominantleasingdriverinQ4—astreaknowspanning21
consecutivequarters.Fourdealsover100,000sq.ft.propelledthesector’sperformance,whichaccountedfor44%ofQ4activityandfaroutpacedthenextstrongestindustries:apparel/retail(11%)andinsurance(11%).For2025overall,financialservicesledwith38%ofallleasingactivity,followedbylawfirms(12%)andtechnologycompanies(10%).
AfteryearsofMidtown’scoredistricts(Plaza,SixthAvenue/Rockefeller,Fifth/Madison,Park
Avenue,andGrandCentral)dominatingleasing,PennDistrict/HudsonYardsclaimedthetop
spotforthesecondstraightquarter.Thedistrictlogged1.26millionsq.ft.inQ4,98%abovethefive-yearaverage,but16%belowQ3levels.Activitywasfueledbyfourleasesover100,000sq.ft.,ledbyRippling’s133,000-sq.-ft.dealat330West34thStreetandRobinhood’s125,000-sq.-ft.commitmentat2PennPlaza.Thisbroughtthedistrict’syear-endtotalto4.09millionsq.ft.,35%abovelastyear’stotal,andthehighesttallyofanydistrictinManhattan.
WhilelimitedqualitysupplyinMidtown’scorehaspushedtenantstoexplorealternateareas,largeoccupiersremainfocusedontop-tierassets.In2025,77%ofalltransactionsover50,000sq.ft.occurredinBetterBuildings1,underscoringthepreferenceforhigh-qualityspace.Thistrendhighlightsthat,evenasgeographyshifts,assetqualityremainsthedefiningfactorfor
largeoccupiers’leasingdecisions.Lookingahead,thescarcityofpremiumblocksislikelytointensifycompetitionforthesebuildings,drivingbothrentalgrowthandrenewalactivity.
Midtown’scoredistricts,whichhistoricallyaveraged60%ofleasingactivityfrom2020to2025,accountedfor54%inQ42025,slightlybelowtrendbutstillrobust.GrandCentralledthecorewith992,000sq.ft.ofleasingactivity,41%abovethefive-yearquarterlyaverageand40%
higherthanlastquarter.OutsideofCVStarr&Company’s228,000-sq.-ft.commitmentatthe
future343MadisonAvenue,activitywasdominatedbysmallerdealsunder25,000sq.ft.,whichrepresented52%ofthedistrict’stotalleasingactivityduringthequarter.Forthefullyear,GrandCentralrecorded3.52millionsq.ft.,an8%increaseover2024.
SixthAvenue/Rockefellerrecorded861,000sq.ft.ofleasingactivityinQ4,27%abovethefive-yearquarterlyaveragebut32%belowQ3.Fortheyear,thedistrictreached3.97millionsq.ft.—thesecond-highesttotalinMidtown,trailingonlyPennDistrict/HudsonYards.Leasingwas
FIGURE3:LeasingActivity|ByDistrict
ThousandSF
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
pai'
Q420255YQuarterlyAvg.
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
FIGURE4:NetAbsorption&AvailabilityRate|Historical
MSF
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
-2.0
-4.0
-6.0
-8.0
-10.0
-12.0
7.88
13.4%
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
20%
18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
mmNetAbsorptionAvailabilityRate
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
FIGURES|MIDTOWNMANHATTAN|Q42025
4CBRERESEARCH?2026CBRE,INC.
drivenprimarilybyfinancialservicesandlawfirms,whichtogetheraccountedfor61%ofthedistrict’s2025activity(36%and25%,respectively).
NetAbsorptionandAvailability
Midtown’savailablesupplytightenedinQ42025,drivenbystrongdemandandminimalnewadditions.Absorptionsurgedto2.82millionsq.ft.,thehighestquarterlytotalsinceQ22000,whichpushedtheavailabilityratedown110bpsto13.4%,itslowestquarterlylevelsinceQ2
2020.Midtownhasregisteredsixconsecutivequartersofpositiveabsorptiontotaling12.61
millionsq.ft.overthatsix-quarterspan—thestrongestsustainedrunonrecord.Newsupplyadditionswereconstrained,withonlysixspacesover100,000sq.ft.enteringthemarketinQ42025.Fortheyear,absorptionreached7.88millionsq.ft.,thehighestannualtotalsince1997,underscoringthedepthofdemandandthetighteningmarketconditions.
Availablesubleasespacefellto5.85millionsq.ft.inQ4,markinga52%declinefromtheFebruary2023peak.Subleaseinventorynowaccountsforjust18%ofMidtown’stotalavailabilityandsits15%belowyear-end2019levels.
Midtown’scoredistrictssawsupplydecline,nearingtheequilibriumrangeof10to12%.The
aggregateavailabilityrateinthismarketsegmentforallqualitytiersfellto12.1%inQ4.High-
qualityspaceremainedexceptionallyscarce:theavailabilityrateforBetterBuildings1withinthecoredroppedtojust8.0%asofQ42025,highlightingtheintensecompetitionforpremium
assets.
PennDistrict/HudsonYardssawthehighestabsorptionofanyMidtowndistrictduringQ4,
totaling1.09millionsq.ft.Thisperformancewasfueledbyrobustleasingandvirtuallynonewsupply.Fourleasesover100,000sq.ft.weresigned,includingRippling’s133,000-sq.-ft.dealat330West34thStreetandRobinhood’s125,000-sq.-ft.commitmentat2PennPlaza.Notably,thedistrictsawnonewavailabilitieslargerthan25,000sq.ft.duringthequarter.Thissharp
contractionpushedtheavailabilityratedown300bpsto7.6%,makingPennDistrict/HudsonYardsthetightestdistrictinManhattan.
GrandCentralposted575,000sq.ft.ofabsorptioninQ4,drivenlargelybythewithdrawalofsubleasespace.Twomajorsubleaseblockswerebackfilledbytheoriginaltenants:Visiting
FIGURE5:QuarterlyNetAbsorption|ByDistrict
ThousandSF
1,200.0
1,000.0800.0600.0400.0200.0 0.0-200.0
pai'
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
FIGURE6:SubleaseandDirectAvailabilityRate|Historical
20%
18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
2.3%
11.1%
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
DirectSublease
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
FIGURES|MIDTOWNMANHATTAN|Q42025
5CBRERESEARCH?2026CBRE,INC.
NurseServiceofNewYorktookback169,000sq.ft.at220East42ndStreet,whileMcCann-
EricksonAdvertisingwillreoccupy116,000sq.ft.at622ThirdAvenue.Thisactivitypushed
year-endabsorptionto2.23millionsq.ft.andcontributedtoasharpdropinavailability,to
13.6%—down130bpsfromQ3and450bpsyear-over-year.Supportedbypremiercommuter
accessandstrongtenantdemand,GrandCentralranksamongMidtown’smostactivedistricts.
SixthAvenue/RockefellerwastheonlyMidtowndistricttopostnegativeabsorptioninQ4,withavailabilityincreasingby20,000sq.ft.Despitehealthyleasingactivity,threelargespace
additions—eachover100,000sq.ft.—introducedover400,000sq.ft.ofnewsupply.Asaresult,theavailabilityrateheldsteadyat11.3%,thoughitremains290bpsloweryear-over-year.
AverageAskingRent
Midtown’saverageaskingrentreached$84.24persq.ft.inQ42025,up1%fromlastquarter
and3%year-over-year.Whileoverallgrowthappearedmodest,strongleasingactivitypulled
high-endproductoffthemarket,leavingalargevolumeofcommodityspacethatmasksrent
gainsinpremiumsegments.BetterBuildings1withinMidtown’scoretelladifferentstory:askingrentsclimbedto$119.02persq.ft.,up14%fromtheirpost-pandemictroughof$104.08inQ4
2021,amidsustaineddemandfortop-tierassets.
SixthAvenue/RockefellerpostedthestrongestrentgrowthinQ4,withaskingrentsrising5%quarter-over-quarter.Thisincreasewasdrivenbynewsupplyenteringthemarketwith
premiumpricing,includingfourspacesover25,000sq.ft.listedwithtriple-digitrents.Asaresult,thedistrict’saverageaskingrentclimbedto$89.21persq.ft.,up8%year-over-year.
TimesSquareSouthandGrandCentraleachposteda4%increaseinaskingrentsduringQ4,drivenbytheremovaloflow-pricedspacefromthemarket.TimesSquareSouthbenefitedfromthewithdrawalofa116,000sq.ft.blockat500SeventhAvenue,whichhadbeenpricedwell
belowthedistrictaverage.Similarly,GrandCentralsawtwolow-pricedsubleasestotaling
285,000sq.ft.comeofflineastenantsreclaimedthespace.Byyear-end,TimesSquareSouth’saverageaskingrentreached$60.94persq.ft.,whileGrandCentralclosedat$75.27persq.ft.
ParkAvenue,Fifth/MadisonAvenueandTimesSquare/WestSiderecordedmodestrent
FIGURE7:SubleaseSpaceasa%ofAvailableSpace|Historical
26%
24%
22%
20%
18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
17.5%
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
FIGURE8:AvailabilityRate|ByDistrict
0%
"w",w"pai'
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.Q42024Q42025Midtown
FIGURES|MIDTOWNMANHATTAN|Q42025
6CBRERESEARCH?2026CBRE,INC.
movementof2.0%orless,whileEastSide,PlazaandPennDistrict/HudsonYardsremainedstablecomparedtoQ32025.
TakingRentIndex
Thetakingrentindexincreased70bpsquarter-over-quarterto96.3%andwasup290bpsyear-over-year.Thecurrenttakingrentindexhaseclipsedtheyear-end2019levelwhentheindex
was95.3%.Thatsaid,concessionpackagesfornewleasesofrawspacehaveremainedatthe
near-recordlevelsoverthepastseveralyears.Packagesaveraged$156.15persq.ft.intenant
improvementallowance(TI)and17monthsoffreerentin2025.Since2019,averageTIpackageshaveincreased48%andaveragefreerenthasincreased20%.
PerSq.Ft.
$140
$120
$100
$80
$60
$40
$20
FIGURE9:AverageAskingRent|ByDistrict
$0
Q42024Q42025Midtown
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
FIGURE10:AverageAskingRent|Historical
PerSq.Ft.
$90
$80
$70
$60
$50
$40
$84.24
$63.08
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
OverallSublease
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
PerSq.Ft.
$215
$195
$175
$155
$135
$115
$95
FIGURE11:ConcessionValues|RentAbatementandT.I.Allowance
$75
Months
2025DealsAverage
*Thisstudyexaminesalldirectnewleaseslargerthan25,000sq.ft.withatermlengthgreaterthan10years.(omitsrenewalsandexpansions).Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
FIGURES|MIDTOWNMANHATTAN|Q42025
7CBRERESEARCH?2026CBRE,INC.
DevelopmentPipeline
TheMidtowndevelopmentpipelinefeaturestwosignificantofficeconstructionprojectsslatedforcompletioninthenext12months:520FifthAvenueand665FifthAvenue.Collectively,theseprojectswilldeliverapproximately340,000sq.ft.ofnewspacetoinventory,withapre-
committedrateof48%.
ThefirstprojectisRabinaProperties’mixed-usesupertalldevelopmentat520FifthAvenue,offeringbothresidentialunitsand211,000sq.ft.ofofficespace.Thesecond,Rolex’snew
headquartersat665FifthAvenue,willencompass126,000sq.ft.ofofficespace.
Theplannedpipelinehasalsoseenprojectscometotheforefrontasfirstmovers.Related’s70HudsonYardsisawaitinggroundbreakingwithitscommitmentfromDeloittetoanchorthe
project.Additionally,BostonPropertiesnowhasananchortenantfor343MadisonAvenueandisexpectedtogoverticalinQ32026.Astheseprojectsbeginfoundationwork,theywillbe
addedtotheactiveconstructionpipeline.
SeveralotherplanneddevelopmentsitesintheMidtowncoreincludeRelated’sproposed
constructionof625MadsonAvenue(833,000sq.ft.),RXR’s175ParkAvenue(2.10millionsq.
ft.),VornadoRealtyTrustandRudinManagement’sjointventureat350ParkAvenue(1.80millionsq.ft.),Extell’s570FifthAvenue(1.50millionsq.ft.)andRudinManagement’s415MadisonAvenue(343,000sq.ft.).
Incontrast,severalprojectsareunderwaytoconvertobsoleteofficespacetoalternativeuses,signalingastructuralshiftinMidtown’sinventory.Currently,tenactiveconversionswillremove
3.31millionsq.ft.fromtheofficemarket.Inaddition,17plannedorannouncedprojectstotaling
6.40millionsq.ft.areinthepipeline,alongwithtenrumoredconversionsthatcouldtakeanother4.92millionsq.ft.offline.Ifrealized,theseinitiativeswouldsignificantlyreducetheofficesupplyandreshapemarketdynamics.
FIGURE12:ConcessionValues|Historical*
FreeRent
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
17
$156.15
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
$175
$150
$125
$100
$75
$50
$25
$0
TenantImprovementAllowance
FreeRent——T.I.
*Thisstudyexaminesalldirectnewleaseslargerthan25,000sq.ft.withatermlengthgreaterthan10years.(omitsrenewalsandexpansions).
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
FIGURE13:TakingRentIndex|Historical
100%
95%
90%
85%
80%
75%
Q12021
Q22021
Q32021
Q42021
Q12022
Q22022
Q32022
Q42022
Q12023
Q22023
Q32023
Q42023
Q12024
Q22024
Q32024
Q42024
Q12025
Q22025
Q32025
Q42025
96.3%
Source:CBREResearch,Q42025.
FIGURES|MIDTOWNMANHATTAN|Q42025
MarketAreaOverview
Definitions
Availability:Spacethatisbeingactivelymarketedandisavailablefortenantbuild-outwithin12months.Includesspaceavailableforsubleaseaswellasspaceinbuildingsunderconstruction.
AskingRent:Weightedaverageaskingrent.
ConcessionValues:ThecombinationofrentabatementandT.I.allowance.Includesnewleasesforrawspace,25,000sq.ft.orgreaterandconsummatedyear-to-date.Thisexcludesexpansionandrenewaldeals.
LeasingActivity:Totalamountofsq.ft.leasedwithinaspecifiedperiodoftime,includingnewdeals,expansions,andpre-leasing,butexcludingrenewals.
LeasingVelocity:Totalamountofsq.ft.leasedwithinaspecifiedperiodoftime,includingnewdeals,expansions,pre-leasingandrenewals.
NetAbsorption:Thechangeintheamountofcommittedsq.ft.withinaspecifiedperiodoftime,asmeasuredbythechangeinavailablesq.ft.
RentAbatement:Thetimebetweenleasecommencementandrentcommencement.
TakingRent:Actual,initialbaserentinaleaseagreement.
TakingRentIndex:Initialtakingrentsasapercentageofaskingrents.
Definitions
T.I.:Tenantimprovements.
Vacancy:Unoccupiedspaceavailableforlease.
PercentageofLeasingbyIndustry:Thepercentageofsq.ft.leasedbyanindustrybasedontransactionswhereatenantandindustryhavebeenconfirmed.
SurveyCriteria
CBRE’smarketreportanalyzesfullymodernizedofficebuildingsthattotal150,000+sq.ft.inMidtown,includingowner-occupiedbuildings(exceptthoseownedandoccupiedbyagovernmentorgovernmentagency).Newconstructionmustbeavailablefortenantbuild
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