后危機(jī)時(shí)代的鉆石產(chǎn)業(yè)新機(jī)遇和新挑戰(zhàn)

TheNewOpportunitiesandChallengesoftheDiamondIndustryinPost-Financial-CrisisEra李牧LiMu上海鉆石交易聯(lián)合管理辦公室副主任Vice-chairmanofDiamondAdministrationofChina目錄

Agenda1234金融危機(jī)對(duì)中國鉆石業(yè)的沖擊TheImpactoftheFinancialCrisisontheChineseDiamondIndustry中國經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)變給鉆石產(chǎn)業(yè)帶來的機(jī)遇和影響TheOpportunityandImpactofDiamondIndustryAsaResultofChineseEconomicRestructuring中國經(jīng)濟(jì)和中國鉆石產(chǎn)業(yè)的復(fù)蘇TheRecoveryofChineseEconomyandChineseDiamondIndustry中國經(jīng)濟(jì)面臨的挑戰(zhàn)TheChallengesofChineseEconomy全球金融危機(jī)GlobalFinancialCrisis世界鉆石產(chǎn)業(yè)進(jìn)入二戰(zhàn)后最為艱難的時(shí)期

TheglobaldiamondindustryhasbeendraggedintotheworstdownturnsinceWorldWarII50%40%33%25%全球二分之一的鉆礦停產(chǎn)Halfofthediamondmineswentoutofproduction歐美等發(fā)達(dá)國家鉆石零售市場(chǎng)一度萎縮性下降40%DiamondsalesindevelopedcountriessuchasUnitedStatesandEUonceweredeclinedby40%三分之一的鉆石加工廠倒閉Onethirdofthemanufacturingfactorieswerecloseddown四分之一的鉆石批發(fā)商資金鏈斷裂Onefourthofthediamonddealerssufferedfromfundshortage世界5中國鉆石產(chǎn)業(yè)同樣受到極大沖擊

China'sdiamondindustrywasalsohithardbythefinancialcrisis中國鉆石加工工廠中的2萬多名從事鉆石加工的成熟技術(shù)工人失去工作，這一比例幾乎占據(jù)中國鉆石加工能力的40%。Diamondmanufacturingfactorieshadtostopproductionorclosedownand20thousandskillfulworkerslosttheirjobs,accountingformorethan40%ofmanufacturingcapacityofChina.中國目錄

Agenda1234金融危機(jī)對(duì)中國鉆石業(yè)的沖擊TheImpactoftheFinancialCrisisontheChineseDiamondIndustry中國經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)變給鉆石產(chǎn)業(yè)帶來的機(jī)遇和影響TheOpportunityandImpactofDiamondIndustryAsaResultofChineseEconomicRestructuring中國經(jīng)濟(jì)和中國鉆石產(chǎn)業(yè)的復(fù)蘇TheRecoveryofChineseEconomyandChineseDiamondIndustry中國經(jīng)濟(jì)面臨的挑戰(zhàn)TheChallengesofChineseEconomy中國政府四萬億投資推動(dòng)鉆石消費(fèi)市場(chǎng)的復(fù)蘇

Chinesegovernment's4-trillioninvestmentpromotedtherecoveryofthediamondconsumerindustry政府4萬億投資及十大產(chǎn)業(yè)振興規(guī)劃4-trillion-yuanstimuluspackageandrevitalizationplanfortenmajorindustries極大拉動(dòng)國內(nèi)消費(fèi)中國鉆石消費(fèi)市場(chǎng)復(fù)蘇鉆石消費(fèi)2009年世界GDP排名

2009WorldGDPranking排名/Ranking國家或地區(qū)/Region人均GDP/GDPpercapita1盧森堡/Luxemburg104511.862挪威/Norway79085.003卡塔爾/Qatar68871.714瑞士/Switzerland67559.575丹麥/Danmark56115.356愛爾蘭/Ireland51356.287荷蘭/Holand48222.928阿聯(lián)酋/UnitedArabEmirates46856.809美國/UnitedStates46380.9110奧地利/Austria45989.2225中國香港/ChinaHongKong29825.5539中國臺(tái)灣/ChinaTaiwan16391.5699中國大陸/ChinaMainland3677.86排名/Ranking國家或地區(qū)/RegionGDP1美國/UnitedStates14.262日本/Japan5.073中國/China4.914德國/Germany3.355法國/France2.686英國/GreatBritain2.187意大利/Italy2.128巴西/Brazil1.579西班牙/Spain1.4610加拿大/Canada1.342009年GDP排名(單位：萬億美元)2000WorldGDPRanking(Trillion,USD)2009年人均GDP排名(單位：美元)2009WorldGDPPerCapitaRanking(USD)世界來源：國際貨幣基金組織。Source:IMF中國鉆石交易快速增長(zhǎng)

Chinesediamondexchangevolumeincreasesrapidly中國鉆石首飾零售總額(10億元人民幣)RetailSalesofDiamondJewelryinChina(BillionRMB)2009年上海鉆石交易所進(jìn)出口交易鉆石總額(百萬美元)TotalValueofDiamondImport&ExportThroughSED(MillionUSD)上海鉆石交易所鉆石進(jìn)出口交易快速增長(zhǎng)，2010年鉆石進(jìn)出口交易鉆石將超過28億美元，比去年增長(zhǎng)90%以上TheimportandexportvolumeofSDEreached1.5billionUSDin2009.For2010,thatnumberisexpectedtoclimbto2.8billionUSD,morethan90%higherthanlastyear.中國全球三大鉆石消費(fèi)市場(chǎng)成品鉆進(jìn)口額

NetImportofPolishedDiamondinWorld'sTopThreeDiamondConsumerMarket全球三大鉆石消費(fèi)市場(chǎng)的成品鉆進(jìn)口額(百萬美元)NetImportofPolishedDiamondinWorld'sTopThreeDiamondConsumerMarkets(MillionUSD)目錄

Agenda1234金融危機(jī)對(duì)中國鉆石業(yè)的沖擊TheImpactoftheFinancialCrisisontheChineseDiamondIndustry中國經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)變給鉆石產(chǎn)業(yè)帶來的機(jī)遇和影響TheOpportunityandImpactofDiamondIndustryAsaResultofChineseEconomicRestructuring中國經(jīng)濟(jì)和中國鉆石產(chǎn)業(yè)的復(fù)蘇TheRecoveryofChineseEconomyandChineseDiamondIndustry中國經(jīng)濟(jì)面臨的挑戰(zhàn)TheChallengesofChineseEconomy復(fù)蘇之路依然漫長(zhǎng)Theroadtorecoveryisstilllong世界經(jīng)濟(jì)的復(fù)蘇之路將非常艱難

Theglobalrecoveryisfullofuncertainties美國第二階段“量化寬松”貨幣政策，使得全球資源性商品繼續(xù)非理性上漲USgovernmentlaunchedthesecondroundof$600billionquantitativeeasing,whichcouldgiverisetofurtherincreaseofpricesofresourcecommodities消費(fèi)ConsumerMarket商品價(jià)格Price社會(huì)問題Socialissues發(fā)展問題Developmentissues失業(yè)率Unemploymentrate國內(nèi)消費(fèi)沒有明顯起色，消費(fèi)者信心沒有恢復(fù)Themarketsinthesecountriesshownopositivesignsofimprovementandconsumerconfidenceisnotfullyrestored.以美國、歐洲、日本等為代表的發(fā)達(dá)國家的失業(yè)率居高不下TheunemploymentratesindevelopedcountriessuchasUnitedStates,EUandJapanremainhigh對(duì)世界鉆石產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈——從礦業(yè)開采、加工到鉆石交易、消費(fèi)，以及鉆石管理、規(guī)則、法律與秩序等環(huán)節(jié)提出了新的理念和挑戰(zhàn)newschallengesandnewideasfortheglobaldiamondindustrychain.舊的世界經(jīng)濟(jì)秩序、沖突與戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)、人道與人權(quán)Theoldworldeconomicorder,conflictandwar,humanitarianismandhumanrights能源短缺、環(huán)境污染、全球氣候變暖、綠色生產(chǎn)、低碳生活Energyshortage,environmentalpollution,globalwarming,greenproduction,low-carbonlife鉆石產(chǎn)業(yè)Diamondindustry人均GDP/GDPPerCapita貧富差距/Wealthgap由于人口基數(shù)龐大，中國的人均收入較低Duetothehugepopulationbase,China'spercapitaincomeisverylow中國經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的深層原因underlyingreasons中國經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的深層原因

TheunderlyingreasonsofChineseeconomicrestructuring經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)/EconomicStructure產(chǎn)業(yè)附加值/Industrialaddedvalue不同區(qū)域的貧富貧富差距較大，城鄉(xiāng)發(fā)展不平衡Largewealthgapexistsindifferentregionsbetweenrichandpoor,thedevelopmentbetweenurbanandruralisuneven中國面臨著經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中的結(jié)構(gòu)性不平衡，粗放型的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式Chinaisfacingastructuralimbalanceineconomicdevelopmentaswellasextensiveeconomicgrowthmode總體上，中國仍處于全球產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈結(jié)構(gòu)的低端Overall,Chinaisstillinthelowendoftheglobalindustrialchain目錄

Agenda1234金融危機(jī)對(duì)中國鉆石業(yè)的沖擊TheImpactoftheFinancialCrisisontheChineseDiamondIndustry中國經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)變給鉆石產(chǎn)業(yè)帶來的機(jī)遇和影響TheOpportunityandImpactofDiamondIndustryAsaResultofChineseEconomicRestructuring中國經(jīng)濟(jì)和中國鉆石產(chǎn)業(yè)的復(fù)蘇TheRecoveryofChineseEconomyandChineseDiamondIndustry中國經(jīng)濟(jì)面臨的挑戰(zhàn)TheChallengesofChineseEconomy中國鉆石產(chǎn)業(yè)面臨的機(jī)遇和影響

TheNewOpportunitiesandChallengesofChineseDiamondIndustry$國內(nèi)鉆石消費(fèi)將繼續(xù)保持較快增長(zhǎng)Chinesediamondconsumptionwillcontinuetomaintainarapidgrowth123中國政府支持鉆石產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的力度會(huì)越來越大ThesupportsofChinesegovernmentforthedevelopmentofdiamondindustrywillincrease鉆石加工將加快向中西部地區(qū)轉(zhuǎn)移Thediamondprocessingindustrywillspeedupthetransitiontothecentralandwesternregions鉆石產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈中高端業(yè)態(tài)將加快在上海等特大城市產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚Th